• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weibull distribution analysis

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Nonparametric Bayesian estimation on the exponentiated inverse Weibull distribution with record values

  • Seo, Jung In;Kim, Yongku
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.611-622
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    • 2014
  • The inverse Weibull distribution (IWD) is the complementary Weibull distribution and plays an important role in many application areas. In Bayesian analysis, Soland's method can be considered to avoid computational complexities. One limitation of this approach is that parameters of interest are restricted to a finite number of values. This paper introduce nonparametric Bayesian estimator in the context of record statistics values from the exponentiated inverse Weibull distribution (EIWD). In stead of Soland's conjugate piror, stick-breaking prior is considered and the corresponding Bayesian estimators under the squared error loss function (quadratic loss) and LINEX loss function are obtained and compared with other estimators. The results may be of interest especially when only record values are stored.

Field Reliability Analysis of S-Bond of AF Track Circuit for Automatic Train Control System (자동열차제어장치 AF궤도회로 S-BOND의 사용신뢰도 분석)

  • Choi, Kyu-Hyoung;Rho, Young-Whan
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.2
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    • pp.308-313
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents a reliability analysis of S-bonds for AF track circuits, which detect train movement and transmit a speed control signal to the train. Field survey shows that S-bonds are exposed to very large vibrations transferred from rail, and suffer from frequent failures when they were installed on ballasted track. We collected the time-to-failure data of S-bonds from the maintenance field of Seoul metro line 2, and made a parametric approach to estimate the statistical distribution that fits the time-to-failure data. The analysis shows that S-bonds have time-to-failure characteristics described by Weibull distribution. The estimated shape parameter of Weibull distribution is 1.1, which means the distribution has constant failure rate characteristics like exponential distribution. The reliability function, hazard function, percentiles and mean lifetime are derived for maintenance support.

Statistical Analysis for Fatigue Lifetime of Ceramics (세라믹스의 피로수명에 대한 통계적 분석)

  • 박성은;김성욱;이홍림
    • Journal of the Korean Ceramic Society
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    • v.34 no.9
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    • pp.927-934
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    • 1997
  • Static and cyclic fatigue tests were carried out for alumina specimen to study the statistical analyses (normal, lognormal and Weibull distribution) of fatigue lifetime data and nominal initial crack length data. Fatigue lifetime data followed Weibull distribution better than normal or lognormal distribution, for the shape parameter of the notched specimen was larger than that of the unnotched specimen. The nominal initial crack length data obtained from fatigue lifetime followed the lognormal and Weibull distribution better than normal distribution, for the coefficient of variation of the unnotched specimen was larger than that of the notched specimen, and shape parameter of unnotched specimen was smaller than that of the notched specimen.

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Analysis of Insulating Reliability in Epoxy Composites using Weibull Distribution Equation (와이블 분포식을 이용한 에폭시 복합체의 절연 신뢰도 분석)

  • Park, No-Bong;Lim, Jung-Kwan;Park, Yong-Pil
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.813-816
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    • 2003
  • The dielectric breakdown of epoxy composites used for transformers was experimented and then its data were applied to Weibull distribution probability. First of all, speaking of dielectric breakdown properties, the more hardener increased, the stronger breakdown strength became at low temperature because of cross-linked density by the virtue of ester radical. The breakdown strength of specimens with filler was lower than it of non-filler specimens because it is believed that the adding filler forms interface and charge is accumulated in it, therefore the molecular motility is raised and the electric field is concentrated. In the case of filled specimens with treating silane, the breakdown strength become much higher. Finally, according to Weibull distribution analysis, reducing breakdown probability of equipment insulation lower than 0.1 % level requires the allowable field intensity values to be kept under 21.5 MV/cm.

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Analysis of Insulating Reliability in Epoxy Composites Using Weibull Distribution Equation (와이블 분포식을 이용한 Epoxy 복합체의 절연 신뢰도 해석)

  • 임중관;박용필;이준웅
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.14 no.8
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    • pp.647-651
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    • 2001
  • The dielectric breakdown of epoxy composites used for transformers was experimented and then its data were applied to Weibull distribution probability. First of all, speaking of dielectric breakdown properties, the more hardener increased, the stronger breakdown strength became at low temperature because of cross-linked density by the virtue of ester radical. The breakdown strength of specimens with filler was lower than it of non-filler specimens because it is believed that the adding filler forms interface and charge is accumulated in it, therefore the molecular motility is raised and the electric filed is concentrated. In the case of filled specimens with treating silane, the breakdown strength become much higher. Finally, from the analysis of weibull distribution, it was confirmed that to low allowed breakdown probability under 0,.1%, the applied field value needed to be under 21.5MV/cm.

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Reliability Analysis of Degradation Data for LEDs (LED 열화데이터의 신뢰성 분석)

  • Park, Chang-Kyu
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.59-69
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    • 2009
  • LEDs have rapidly replaced old light devices such as incandescent or fluorescent lamps, and have been widely applied in general lighting, signals, automobile, signs and others. Since LEDs are for both indoor and outdoor use, temperature and humidity inevitably affect its reliability. We explain the result of the degradation life test on LEDs, and guide to reliability analysis procedure. Analysis on reliability measures are performed by Weibull++6 program, and a common shape parameter of Weibull distribution on the LED is suggested. Also, we make a description of reliability analysis procedures for the degradation data using collected test data from degradation tests. Reliability analysis procedures are consisted of estimating degradation models and failure time, verifying of distribution and parameters of the distribution, and estimating of reliability measures. Finally, this paper suggests reliability analysis method for light characteristics on LEDs.

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Errors in GEV analysis of wind epoch maxima from Weibull parents

  • Harris, R.I.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.179-191
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    • 2006
  • Parent wind data are often acknowledged to fit a Weibull probability distribution, implying that wind epoch maxima should fall into the domain of attraction of the Gumbel (Type I) extreme value distribution. However, observations of wind epoch maxima are not fitted well by this distribution and a Generalised Extreme Value (GEV) analysis leading to a Type III fit empirically appears to be better. Thus there is an apparent paradox. The reasons why advocates of the GEV approach seem to prefer it are briefly summarised. This paper gives a detailed analysis of the errors involved when the GEV is fitted to epoch maxima of Weibull origin. It is shown that the results in terms of the shape parameter are an artefact of these errors. The errors are unavoidable with the present sample sizes. If proper significance tests are applied, then the null hypothesis of a Type I fit, as predicted by theory, will almost always be retained. The GEV leads to an unacceptable ambiguity in defining design loads. For these reasons, it is concluded that the GEV approach does not seem to be a sensible option.

A Study on the Statistical Analysis of HDPE films` Breakdown Strength using Weibull Statistical Function (Weibull통계함수를 이용 HDPE필름 절연파괴강토 통계적해석에 관한 연구)

  • 강무성;오재형;박대희
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 1997.11a
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    • pp.106-108
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, the breakdown strength of Pure HDPE(High density polyethylene) films and aged HDPE films were evaluated using 2-parameter Weibull distribution function. The result show that both were fitted 2-parameter Weibull distribution. This method could be used to be the diagnostic tool to evalute the insulation performance and endurance under the multiple stresses.

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Estimation of weibull parameters for wind energy application in Iran's cities

  • Sedghi, Majid;Hannani, Siamak K.;Boroushaki, Mehrdad
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.203-221
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    • 2015
  • Wind speed is the most important parameter in the design and study of wind energy conversion systems. The weibull distribution is commonly used for wind energy analysis as it can represent the wind variations with an acceptable level of accuracy. In this study, the wind data for 11 cities in Iran have been analysed over a period of one year. The Goodness of fit test is used for testing data fit to weibull distribution. The results show that this data fit to weibull function very well. The scale and shape factors are two parameters of the weibull distribution that depend on the area under study. The kinds of numerical methods commonly used for estimating weibull parameters are reviewed. Their performance for the cities under study was compared according to root mean square and wind energy errors. The result of the study reveals the empirical, modified maximum likelihood estimate of wind speed with minimum error. Also, that the moment and modified maximum likelihood are the best methods for estimating the energy production of wind turbines.

Statistical Analysis of Bending-Strength Data of Ceramic Matrix Composites : Estimation of Weibull Shape Parameter (세라믹 복합체의 굽힘강도 데이터의 통계적분석 : 와이블 형상모수의 추정과 비교를 중심으로)

  • 전영록
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.17-33
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    • 2001
  • The characteristics of Weibull distribution are investigated as a function of shape parameter. The statistical estimation methods of the shape parameter and statistical comparison methods of two or more shape parameters are studied. Assuming Weibull distribution, statistical analysis of bending-strength data of alumina titanium carbide ceramic matrix composites machined two different methods are performed.

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