• 제목/요약/키워드: Weibull deterioration

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Accelerated life testing of concrete based on stochastic approach and assessment

  • Zhu, Binrong;Qiao, Hongxia;Feng, Qiong;Lu, Chenggong
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2017
  • This study aimed to design the accelerated life testing (ALT) of concrete, which stimulating the special natural environment maximumly. Its evaluation indexes, such as dynamic elastic modulus, mass and ultrasonic velocity were measured, and the variation of relative mass and relative dynamic elastic modulus of concrete were studied. Meanwhile, the microanalysis method was used. Moreover, an exploratory application of the stochastic approach, the Weibull distribution and the lognormal distribution, were made to assess the durability of concrete structures. The results show that the ALT for simulating natural environment is more close to the service process of concrete structure under actual conditions; The relative dynamic elastic modulus can be used as the dominant durability evaluation parameters, because it is more sensitive to the environmental factors compared with the relative quality evaluation parameters; In the course of the concrete deterioration, the destruction of the salt freezing cycle is the dominant factor, supplemented by other factors; Both of those two stochastic approaches can be used to evaluate the reliability of concrete specimens under the condition of ALT; By comparison, The lognormal distribution method is better to describe the reliability process.

생산설비의 유지보수서비스와 제품의 불량률을 고려한 최적 생산주기 연구 (Determining an Optimal Production Time for EPQ Model with Preventive Maintenance and Defective Rate)

  • 김미경;박민재
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제47권1호
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    • pp.87-96
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to determine an optimal production time for economic production quantity model with preventive maintenance and random defective rate as the function of a machinery deteriorates. Methods: If a machinery shifts from "in-control" state to "out-of-control" state, a proportion of defective items being produced increases. It is assumed that time to state shift is a random variable and follows an arbitrary distribution. The elapsed time until process shift decreases stochastically as a production cycle repeats and quasi-renewal process is used to implement for production facilities to deteriorate. Results: When the exponential parameter for exponential distribution increases, the optimal production time increases. When Weibull distribution is considered, the optimal production time is closely affected by the shape parameter of Weibull distribution. Conclusion: A mathematical model is suggested to find optimal production time and optimal number of production cycles and numerical examples are implemented to validate the patterns for changes of optimal times under different parameters assumptions. The real application is implemented using the proposed approach.

가속수명시험(ALT)을 이용한 WOLED의 성능 및 신뢰성 평가 (Evaluation of Performance and Reliability of a White Organic Light-Emitting Diode(WOLED) Using an Accelerated Life Test(ALT))

  • 문진철;박형기;최충석
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to extract the major factors related to the deterioration mechanism of white organic light-emitting diodes(WOLED) by performing accelerated testing of temperature, voltage, time, etc., and to develop an accelerated life test(ALT) model. The measurement results of the brightness of the WOLED exhibited that their average brightness tended to increase as the operating voltage increased and that the half-life period of the brightness appeared after approximately 400 hours when the operating voltage was 20V and the ambient temperature was $85^{\circ}C$. It could be seen that although the WOLED showed comparatively the same brightness when the initial acceleration began after the operating voltage was applied to it, its brightness changed excessively after the WOLED's thermal storage had been made. In addition, it was observed that the half-life period was reduced as the ambient temperature and applied voltage increased. The strength of the WOLED which had been maintained in the range of visible light at the maximum load was reduced by the deterioration of the organic light emitting material due to the influence of the operating voltage and temperature, and the reduction of emitted light was small at low voltage and temperature. It could be seen that the failure of the WOLED during the ALT was caused by wear due to load accumulation over time, and that Weibull distribution was appropriate for the life distribution and acceleration was established between test conditions. From the WOLED analysis, it is thought that factors influencing the brightness deterioration are voltage, temperature, etc., and that comprehensive analysis considering discharge control, dielectric tangent margin, etc., would further increase the reliability.

고전력 활선 XLPE 케이블의 열화를 측정하기 위한 판정기준의 적용 및 절연상태 판정 (Application of Judgement Criteria to Measure Deterioration and to Judge Insulation Resistance in High-Power Live XLPE Cables)

  • 엄기홍
    • 한국인터넷방송통신학회논문지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.239-244
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    • 2017
  • 전력 수요는 매년 증가추세에 있으며, 이에 따라 발전소에서 동작하는 모든 장비들과 대용량의 장거리 전력수송을 위한 장비들은 신뢰할 수 있는 수준에서 완전한 상태로 동작하여야 한다. 발전소에서 생산한 고전압 전력을 전달하기 위해 사용하는 케이블은 주로 6.6 kV XLPE 케이블(또는 CV케이블)이다. 제작 기술, 설치환경 및 사용조건에 다르겠지만, 케이블은 동작함과 동시에 열화과정이 진행된다. 접속재의 경우, 제조 결함이나 공사 결함이 있는 경우 대체로 동작 후 약 3 년 내에 고장을 일으키며, 그렇지 않는 경우 수명이 20-30 년을 지속하는 경우가 많다. 우리는 케이블의 열화 상태를 감시하기 위한 장비를 개발하여 충남 태안의 한국서부발전주식회사(Korea Western Power Co. Ltd.)에 설치하였다. 우리는 이 논문에서 케이블의 열화 판정의 기준을 설정하고, 기준에 따른 열화정도를 판정하고, 케이블의 대체여부를 결정함으로써 발전소에서 설치된 활선 케이블의 동작 상태를 감시한 결과와 케이블을 구성하고 있는 절연체와 방식층이 절연저항 특성에 미치는 영향 및 케이블의 동작에 미치는 영향을 연구한 결과를 제시한다.

발전소에서 운전 중인 고전력 케이블의 절연저항의 변화를 감시하는 장치의 개발 (Development of Equipment Measuring Insulation Resistance of High-Power Cables in Operation at Power Station)

  • 엄기홍;김보경
    • 한국인터넷방송통신학회논문지
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.159-164
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    • 2016
  • 급증하고 있는 수요에 따른 고전력을 생산하기 위하여 발전소에서는 이에 대응하는 시설장비를 운영해야 한다. 규모는 점차 커지고, 기능이 다양해지고 있다. 발전소에서 불의가 사고가 발생하면 장비가 지장을 받게 되고, 막대한 경제적 손실 및 장애를 초래하게 된다. 사고 발생의 원인 중의 하나로서 케이블의 두 도체를 전기적으로 분리시키는 유전체의 기능이 약화되는 것이다. 케이블에 의한 사고를 미연에 방지하기 위하여 동작 상태를 감시 확인하여야 한다. 우리는 절연저항을 측정하기 위한 장비를 개발하여 서부발전(주)의 현장에 설치하여 운용 중이다. 변압기의 2차 측 와이(Y) 결선으로 연결된 모선은 생산된 전기를 외부 장치에 전송한다. 우리가 개발한 장비는 모선과 on/off 되는 케이블의 절연 저항을 측정하는 장비이다. 우리는 이 논문에서 하드웨어 구성을 위주로 우리가 개발한 장비를 소개한다.

수명의 불확실성을 반영한 추계학적 장비 대체시기 결정모형 (A Stochastic Optimization Model for Equipment Replacement Considering Life Uncertainty)

  • 박종인;김승권
    • 한국국방경영분석학회지
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.100-110
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    • 2003
  • Equipment replacement policy may not be defined with certainty, because physical states of any technological system may not be determined with foresight. This paper presents Markov Decision Process(MDP) model for army equipment which is subject to the uncertainty of deterioration and ultimately to failure. The components of the MDP model is defined as follows: ⅰ) state is identified as the age of the equipment, ⅱ) actions are classified as 'keep' and 'replace', ⅲ) cost is defined as the expected cost per unit time associated with 'keep' and 'replace' actions, ⅳ) transition probability is derived from Weibull distribution. Using the MDP model, we can determine the optimal replacement policy for an army equipment replacement problem.

The Aging of Signalling Equipment and the Impact on Maintenance Strategies

  • Antoni, Marc
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.107-112
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    • 2009
  • Research projects of SNCF aim at reducing the costs of infrastructure possessions and improving the operational equipment availability and safety. This permanent search for a better regularity led the SNCF to analyse the maintenance approach of signalling equipment in detail. Until now, it was commonly acknowledged that signalling equipment, which consists of many electronic devices, is not subject to aging. In this study, a Weibull lifetime model, able to describe an aging phenomenon, is used and it can be shown that the deterioration is statistically significant. The validity of the model is tested. We also analyse the influence of environmental covariates. We simulate different scenarios in order to investigate the impact of several maintenance strategies as well as on future maintenance costs, on the amount of components to replace based on the mean age of the network. It can be shown that in most cases a systematic replacement strategy offers the best solution.

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전해 캐패시터의 최적 가속시험방법과 수명예측 (The best accelerated method and lifetime prediction of electrolytic capacitors)

  • 김하나;심찬호;김성준;윤중락;이헌용
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2005년도 제36회 하계학술대회 논문집 C
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    • pp.1945-1947
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    • 2005
  • This study considers find out best accelerated life testing and lifetime prediction of electrolytic capacitors. We proved about relation between failure and deterioration mechanism from last thesis. Beside we performed test that temperature and voltage press higher than allowance specification. Failure distribution acquired from those test. And wiebull function and Minitab program applied to accelerated constant and lifetime by means of calculation. At the result, goodness of fit affect to weibull function and acceleration factor therefore fitting is important factor in reliability testing.

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온도, 속도, 그리고 하중 변화에 따른 볼 베어링용 그리스의 수명평가 (Life Evaluation of Grease for Ball Bearings According to Temperature, Speed, and Load Changes)

  • 손정훈;김세웅;최병호;이승표
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 2021
  • Ball bearing is a device that supports and transmits a load acting on a rotating shaft, and it is a type of rolling bearings that uses the rolling friction of the balls by inserting balls between the inner ring and the outer ring. Grease, which is prepared by mixing a thickener with a base oil, is a lubricant commonly used in bearings and has the advantage of a simple structure and easy handling. Bearings are increasingly being used in high value-added products such as semiconductors, aviation, and robots in the era of the 4th industrial revolution. Accordingly, there is an increasing demand for bearing grease. The selection of grease is an important factor in the bearing design. Therefore, a study must be conducted on the grease life evaluation to select an appropriate grease according to operating conditions such as a high temperature, high rotational speed, and high load. In this study, we evaluate the life of ball-bearing grease according to various operating conditions, namely, temperature, speed, and load changes. For this, we develop and theoretically verify a grease life test machine for ball bearings. We conduct a life test of grease according to various operating conditions of bearings and predict the grease life with a 10% and 50% failure probability using the Weibull analysis. In addition, we analyze the oxide characteristics of the grease over time using the Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy and the deterioration characteristics of the grease using the carbonyl index.

전기이중층커패시터의 가속열화시험 (An Accelerated Degradation Test of Electric Double-Layer Capacitors)

  • 정재한;김명수
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.67-78
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    • 2012
  • An electric double-layer capacitor(EDLC) is an electrochemical capacitor with relatively high energy density, typically hundreds of times greater than conventional electrolytic capacitors. EDLCs are widely used for energy storage rather than as general-purpose circuit components. They have a variety of commercial applications, notably in energy smoothing and momentary-load devices, and energy-storage and kinetic energy recovery system devices used in vehicles, etc. This paper presents an accelerated degradation test of an EDLC with rated voltage 2.7V, capacitance 100F, and usage temperature $-40^{\circ}C{\sim}65^{\circ}C$. The EDLCs are tested at $50^{\circ}C$, $60^{\circ}C$, and $70^{\circ}C$, respectively for 1,750hours, and their capacitances are measured at predetermined times by constant current discharge method. The failure times are predicted from their capacitance deterioration patterns, where the failure is defined as 30% capacitance decrease from the initial one. It is assumed that the lifetime distribution of EDLC follows Weibull and Arrhenius life-stress relationship holds. The life-stress relationship, acceleration factor, and $B_{10}$ life at design condition are estimated by analyzing the accelerated life test data.