• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weibull Lifetime

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Study on the Power Performance on WindPRO Prediction in the Southeast Region of Jeju Island (제주 남동부 지역을 대상으로 한 WindPRO의 발전량 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Hyun, Seunggun;Kim, Keonhoon;Huh, Jongchul
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2010.06a
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    • pp.184.1-184.1
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    • 2010
  • In order to research the way to evaluate wind resource without actual Met Mast data, this paper has been carried out on the southeastern region of Jeju island, Korea. Although wind turbine has been an economical alternative energy resource, misjudging the prediction of lifetime or payback period occurs because of the inaccurate assessment of wind resource and the location of wind turbine. Using WindPRO(Ver. 2.7), a software for wind farm design developed by EMD from Denmark, wind resources for the southeastern region of Jeju island was analyzed, and the performance of WindPRO prediction was evaluated in detail. Met Mast data in Su-san 5.5Km far from Samdal wind farm, AWS in Sung-san 4.5km far from Samdal wind farm, and Korea Wind Map data had been collected for this work.

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Field data analyses for repairable products (수리가능한 제품의 사용현장 데이터 분석)

  • 배도선;윤형제;최인수
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.133-145
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    • 1995
  • This paper is concerned with the method of estimating lifetime distribution from field data for repairable products with multiple modes of failure, and is an extension of Bai et al.(1995). The log linear function is considered as a model for describing the relation between failure time of a product and covariates. Using the nonhomogeneous poisson process, general methods for obtaining pseudo maximum likelihood estimators(PMLEs) for the parameters are outlined and specific formulas for Weibull distribution are obtained. Effects of follow-up percentage on the PMLEs are investigated. Extension to case-cohort design is also considered.

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Prediction of Characteristics Life of the Rubber Gasket (가스켓용 고무소재의 특성수명 예측)

  • Park, Joon-Hyung;Lee, Se-Hee;Jang, Hyun-Duck;Kim, Gwang-Sub;Yang, Jeong-Sam
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.213-235
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we carried out an accelerated degradation test that is commonly used to predict characteristics life of rubber gaskets for a pole transformer. The potential failure mode applied for the test is rubber elongation and the corresponding failure mechanism is heat. From the result, we found that Weibull distribution is the fatigue life distribution in NBR and H-NBR. After estimating characteristics life in commonly used temperature, the average life span of $B_{50}$ in NBR is 7.7 years under $50^{\circ}C$ and the life span in H-NBR is 28 years.

Design of Accelerated Degradation Test with Tightened Critical Values under Random Coefficient Degradation Rate Model (확률계수 열화율 모형하에서 판정가속을 도입한 가속열화시험의 설계)

  • Cho, You-hee;Seo, Sun-keun
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents accelerated degradation test plans considering adoption of tightened critical values. Under arandom coefficient degradation rate and log-linear acceleration models, the asymptotic variance of an estimatorfor a lifetime quantile at the use condition as the optimization criterion is derived where the degradation ratefollows a lognormal and Reciprocal Weibull distributions, respectively and then the low stress level andproportions ofunits allocated to each stress level are determined. We also show that the developed test plans canbe applied to the multiplicative model with measurement error.

Optimal Design of Accelerated Life Tests with Different Censoring Times

  • Seo, Sun-Keun;Kim, Kab-Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.44-58
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    • 1996
  • This paper presents optimal accelerated life test plans with different censoring times for exponential, Weibull, and lognormal lifetime distributions, respectively. For an optimal plan, low stress level, proportion of test units allocated and censoring time at each stress are determined such that the asymptotic variance of the maximum likelihood estimator of a certain quantile at use condition is minimized. The proposed plans are compared with the corresponding optimal plans with a common censoring time over range of parameter values. Computational results indicate that those plans are statistically optimal ones in terms of accuracy of estimator when total censoring times of two plans are equal.

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The Evaluation of Inspection Period based on Reliability in Railway Traction Power Systems (철도급전시스템의 신뢰도기반 점검주기 산정)

  • Kim, Hyungchul
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.62 no.8
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    • pp.1177-1183
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, the analysis of inspection period bases on reliability is suggested in the field of traction power system. Even though there are several maintenance models, the most commonly used maintenance assessment has been focused on time based maintenance in real traction power systems. The maintenance intervals are selected on the basis of long-time experience. It ensures high availability and exact planning of staff. Reliability centered maintenance, which evaluates criticality and severity of each failure mode, achieves the operation, maintenance, and cost-effective improvement that will manage the risks of equipment. This paper deals with electrification in railway inspection frequency and applied reliability based inspection frequency instead of constant intervals. The distribution function of failure rate in traction power system belongs to Weibull function. Also, the fault data and the number of installed equipments for electrifications are collected. The failure history is investigated and classified in detail. Though these complicated procedures, it contribute to extend equipment lifetime and to reduce maintenance costs.

Lifetime Estimation of High Power White LED for Lighting Use (고출력 조명용 White LED의 수명예측)

  • Lee, Myeong-Hoon;Shin, Seung-Jung;Kwack, Kae-Dal
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.1343-1348
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    • 2008
  • LEDs which have many merits are widely used in the field of light devices, and have rapidly replaced old light devices such as incandescent or fluorescent lamps. Long life, on the order of 50,000 to 100,000 hours, is one of the key features of light emitting diodes(LEDs) that has attracted the lighting community to this technology. High Power white LEDs have yet to demonstrate this capability. This paper planed accelerated life test that has two factor(temperature, current) and two levels. Finally, using ALTA programs, we estimated the common shape parameter of Weibull distribution, life-stress relationship, B10 life and accelerating factors.

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Lifetime Estimation of an Automotive Halogen Lamp (자동차용 Halogen Lamp 의 수명 예측)

  • Kim, Chung-Sik;Shin, Seung-Jung;Kwack, Kae-Da
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.1259-1264
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents an accelerated life test for burn out of tungsten filament of automotive halogen lamp. There are many failure modes and failure factors that associated with tungsten filament. But in this explain the dominant failure mode of tungsten filament is the bumout of the filament failure. At first, over voltage, high temperature, inrush current and vibration are selected as stress factors by using of two stage Quality Function Deploymeng(QFD). And we planed accelerated life test that has one factor(voltage) and three levels. By experiment it has absorbed that over voltage has an effect on the life of halogen lamp. Using ALTA programs, we estimated the common shpae parament of Weibull distribution, life-stress relationship and $B_{100p}$ life.

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Lifetime Estimation for BLU LED (BLU(Back light Unit) 용 LED 의 수명예측)

  • Kim, Min-Pyo;Kim, Jae-Jung;Chang, Seog-Weon;Kwack, Kae-Dal
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.1271-1276
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    • 2008
  • This study has explained about LED for BLU which is widely used in the kinds of display devices or lighting. It was shown that the open due to delamination were the dominant LED for BLU failure mode and mechanisms from failure analysis of LED samples. Then, we have defined failure as yellowing and 100% reduction of light output intensity of LED for BLU and acceleration factors as temperature and current in Accelerated Life Test(ALT). Finally, we have estimated the Weibull distribution, life-stress relationship, and accelerating factor is used by ALTA Software.

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Dynamic Fatigue Behavior of Alumina Ceramics (알루미나 세라믹스의 동적피로거동)

  • 이홍림;이규형;박성은
    • Journal of the Korean Ceramic Society
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    • v.34 no.10
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    • pp.1053-1059
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    • 1997
  • The dynamic fatigue behavior of alumina ceramics was observed at room temperature using four point bending system. The dynamic fatigue fracture strength and the dynamic fatigue lifetime were observed as a function of crosshead speed and the notch length. The notched specimen showed the smaller deviation in dynamic fatigue fracture strength than the unnotched specimen. The crack growth exponent n and the material constant A of the notched specimen could be represented as functions of the notch length. Fracture strength of the specimen calculated from the notch length, when the notch length was regarded as the crack size, was in good agreement with the measured 4 point bending strength. Fracture surface of the specimen showed the different fracture modes according to the crosshead speed. The four point flexural strength, fracture toughness, Young's modulus and Weibull modulus of the alumina were measured as 360 MPa, 3.91 MPa.m1/2, 159GPa, 17.64, respectively.

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