• 제목/요약/키워드: Weather state model

검색결과 103건 처리시간 0.029초

Refined numerical simulation in wind resource assessment

  • Cheng, Xue-Ling;Li, Jun;Hu, Fei;Xu, Jingjing;Zhu, Rong
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.59-74
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    • 2015
  • A coupled model system for Wind Resource Assessment (WRA) was studied. Using a mesoscale meteorological model, the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, global-scale data were downscaled to the inner nested grid scale (typically a few kilometers), and then through the coupling Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) mode, FLUENT. High-resolution results (50 m in the horizontal direction; 10 m in the vertical direction below 150 m) of the wind speed distribution data and ultimately refined wind farm information, were obtained. The refined WRF/FLUENT system was then applied to assess the wind resource over complex terrain in the northern Poyang Lake region. The results showed that the approach is viable for the assessment of wind energy.

Development of A Leaf Wetness Duration Model Using a Fuzzy Logic System

  • Kim, K.S.;S.E.Taylor;M.L.Gleason
    • 한국농림기상학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농림기상학회 2003년도 춘계 학술발표논문집
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    • pp.50-53
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    • 2003
  • Models have been developed to estimate leaf wetness duration (LWD) using conventional weather observations, e.g., air temperature, water vapor pressure, and wind speed, which are relatively invariant over space (Pedro and Gillespie, 1982; Gleason et al., 1994; Francl and Panigrahi, 1997).(omitted)

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두개의 제어기를 사용한 건물 내부의 온도변화와 에너지소비량을 계산하기 위한 해석적 연구 (A study on the analytical method for calculating the inside air temperature transient and energy consumption load of the building using two different controllers)

  • 한규일
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제48권1호
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    • pp.82-90
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    • 2012
  • Four different buildings having various wall construction are analyzed for the effect of wall mass on the thermal performance and inside building air and wall temperature transient and also for calculating the energy consumption load. This analytical study was motivated by the experimental work of Burch et al. An analytical solution of one-dimensional, linear, partial differential equations is obtained using the Laplace transform method, Bromwich and modified Bromwich contour method. A simple dynamic model using steady state analysis as simplified methods is developed and results of energy consumption loads are compared with results obtained using the analytical solution. Typical Meteorological Year data are processed to yield hourly average monthly values. This study is conducted using weather data from two different locations in Korea: Daegu having severe weather in summer and winter and Jeju having mild weather almost all year round. There is a significant wall mass effect on the thermal performance of a building in mild weather condition. Buildings of heavyweight construction with insulation show the highest comfort level in mild weather condition. A proportional controller provides the higher comfort level in comparison with buildings using on-off controller. The steady state analysis gives an accurate estimate of energy load for all types of construction. Finally, it appears that both mass and wall insulation are important factors in the thermal performance of buildings, but their relative merits should be decided in each building by a strict analysis of the building layout, weather conditions and site condition.

기후조건을 고려한 인간-기계체계의 신속도 (Reliability Analysis of the Man-Machine System Operating under Different Weather Conditions)

  • 이길노;하석태
    • 한국국방경영분석학회지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.76-87
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    • 1997
  • This paper deals with reliability and MTTF analysis of a non-repairable man-machine system operating under different weather conditions. The system consists of a hardware(machine) and a two-operator standby subsystem such as the air combat maneuvering of fighters with dual seat. The failure times for the subsystems follow the exponential distribution with constant parameter. By considering not only the effect on hardware component but also the weather conditions and human performance factors such as the operator's errors, a Markov model is presented as a method for evaluating the system reliability of time continuous operation tasks. Laplace transforms of the various state probabilities have been derived and then reliability of the system, at any time t, has been computed by inversion process. MTTF has also been computed.

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Improvement of WRF forecast meteorological data by Model Output Statistics using linear, polynomial and scaling regression methods

  • Jabbari, Aida;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.147-147
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    • 2019
  • The Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models determine the future state of the weather by forcing current weather conditions into the atmospheric models. The NWP models approximate mathematically the physical dynamics by nonlinear differential equations; however these approximations include uncertainties. The errors of the NWP estimations can be related to the initial and boundary conditions and model parameterization. Development in the meteorological forecast models did not solve the issues related to the inevitable biases. In spite of the efforts to incorporate all sources of uncertainty into the forecast, and regardless of the methodologies applied to generate the forecast ensembles, they are still subject to errors and systematic biases. The statistical post-processing increases the accuracy of the forecast data by decreasing the errors. Error prediction of the NWP models which is updating the NWP model outputs or model output statistics is one of the ways to improve the model forecast. The regression methods (including linear, polynomial and scaling regression) are applied to the present study to improve the real time forecast skill. Such post-processing consists of two main steps. Firstly, regression is built between forecast and measurement, available during a certain training period, and secondly, the regression is applied to new forecasts. In this study, the WRF real-time forecast data, in comparison with the observed data, had systematic biases; the errors related to the NWP model forecasts were reflected in the underestimation of the meteorological data forecast by the WRF model. The promising results will indicate that the post-processing techniques applied in this study improved the meteorological forecast data provided by WRF model. A comparison between various bias correction methods will show the strength and weakness of the each methods.

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Effects of Geography, Weather Variability, and Climate Change on Potato Model Uncertainty

  • Fleisher, D.H.;Condori, B.;Quiroz, R.;Alva, A.;Asseng, S.;Barreda, C.;Bindi, M.;Boote, K.J.;Ferrise, R.;Franke, A.C.;Govindakrishnan, P.M.;Harahagazwe, D.;Hoogenboom, G.;Naresh Kumar, S.;Merante, P.;Nendel, C.;Olesen, J.E.;Parker, P.S.;Raes, D.;Raymundo, R.;Ruane, A.C.;Stockle, C.;Supit, I.;Vanuytrecht, E.;Wolf, J.;Woli, P.
    • 한국농림기상학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농림기상학회 2016년도 추계 학술발표논문집
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    • pp.41-43
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    • 2016
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안개제거의 깊이 맵 추정을 위한 비선형 모델 (Nonlinear model for estimating depth map of haze removal)

  • 이승민;응오닷;강봉순
    • 전기전자학회논문지
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.492-496
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    • 2020
  • 안개가 낀 악조건의 날씨에서는 가시성이 저하되어 카메라로 포착한 정보들을 정확히 인식하기 어렵다. 안개 낀 날씨에서도 사물인식, 차선 인식 등 카메라 기반의 기기들이 정상 동작할 수 있도록 안개제거 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 안개 영상에서 밝기와 채도의 차이가 영상의 깊이에 따라 비선형적으로 증가한다는 분석을 통해 깊이 맵 추정을 위한 비선형 모델을 제시한다. 비선형 모델의 안개 제거 방법은 여러 가지 안개제거 방법과의 정량적 수치평가(MSE, SSIM, TMQI)를 통해 동등 이상의 결과를 보여줌으로써 우수한 성능을 자랑한다.

A Practical Application of Multiple Wave Models to the Small Fishery Harbor Entrance

  • Jung, Jae-Hyun;Lee, Joong-Woo;Jeon, Min-Su;Kang, Seok-Jin
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제31권7호
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    • pp.579-587
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    • 2007
  • Samchunpo(Sin Hyang) Harbor is located in the bay of Sa Chun, the central south coast of Korean peninsula. The harbor and coastal boundaries have been protecting by natural coastal islands and shoals. Currently, The Sin Hyang harbor needs maintenance and renovation of the sheltered structures against the weather deterioration and typhoon damages. Consequently to support this, the calculation of accurate design wave through the typhoon wave attack is necessary. In this study, calculation of incident wave condition is simulated using steady state spectrum energy wave model(wide area wave model) from 50 years return wave condition. And this simulation results in wide offshore area were used for the input of the extended mild slope wave model at the narrow coastal area. Finally, the calculation of design wave at Sin Hyang harbor entrance was induced by Boussinesq wave model(detail area wave model) simulation. The numerical model system was able to simulate wave transformations from generation scale to shoreline or harbor impact. We hope these results will be helpful to the engineers doing placement, design, orientation, and evaluation of a wide range of potential solutions in this area.

기후변화에 따른 유역의 수문요소 및 수자원 영향평가 (Impact Assessment of Climate Change on Hydrologic Components and Water Resources in Watershed)

  • 권병식;김형수;서병하;김남원
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2005년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.143-148
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    • 2005
  • The main purpose of this study is to suggest and evaluate an operational method for assessing the potential impact of climate change on hydrologic components and water resources of regional scale river basins. The method, which uses large scale climate change information provided by a state of the art general circulation model(GCM) comprises a statistical downscaling approach and a spatially distributed hydrological model applied to a river basin located in Korea. First, we construct global climate change scenarios using the YONU GCM control run and transient experiments, then transform the YONU GCM grid-box predictions with coarse resolution of climate change into the site-specific values by statistical downscaling techniques. The values are used to modify the parameters of the stochastic weather generator model for the simulation of the site-specific daily weather time series. The weather series fed into a semi-distributed hydrological model called SLURP to simulate the streamflows associated with other water resources for the condition of $2CO_2$. This approach is applied to the Yongdam dam basin in southern part of Korea. The results show that under the condition of $2CO_2$, about $7.6\% of annual mean streamflow is reduced when it is compared with the observed one. And while Seasonal streamflows in the winter and autumn are increased, a streamflow in the summer is decreased. However, the seasonality of the simulated series is similar to the observed pattern and the analysis of the duration cure shows the mean of averaged low flow is increased while the averaged wet and normal flow are decreased for the climate change.

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기계학습을 통한 여름철 노면상태 추정 알고리즘 개발 (Estimation of Road Surface Condition during Summer Season Using Machine Learning)

  • 여지호;이주영;김강화;장기태
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제17권6호
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    • pp.121-132
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    • 2018
  • 기상은 교통흐름, 운전자의 주행패턴, 교통사고 등 여러 방면에서 도로교통에 영향을 미치는 중요한 요인이다. 본 연구는 기상상황과 노면상태 사이의 관계에 초점을 맞추어 기계학습을 통해 도로의 노면상태를 추정하는 모델을 개발하였다. 노면 상태의 수집을 위해 실험 차량에 노면센서를 부착하여 '건조', '습윤', '젖음', 3가지 범주로 구분된 노면상태 정보를 수집하였고, 이를 추정하기 위한 변수로 도로의 기하구조 정보(곡률, 구배), 교통정보(교통량), 기상정보(강우량, 습도, 온도, 풍속)를 활용하였다. 노면 상태를 예측하기 위한 알고리즘으로는 다양한 기계학습 알고리즘이 검토되었으며, 그 중 가장 높은 정확도를 보인 'Random forest'를 기반으로 한 2단계 분류모형을 구축하였다. 총 16일의 실측 데이터 중 14일의 데이터를 모델을 학습하는 데 활용하였고, 2일의 데이터를 모형의 정확도를 검증하기 위해 사용하였다. 그 결과 81.74%의 검증 정확도를 가지는 노면상태 예측 모델을 구축하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 기상청에서 관측하는 기상정보로 도로의 노면상태를 추정할 수 있다는 가능성을 보여주며, 새로운 장비나 센서를 설치하지 않고도 기존의 기상 관측 정보와 교통정보 등을 활용하여 노면의 상태를 추정할 수 있음을 시사한다.