• 제목/요약/키워드: Weather Observation

검색결과 610건 처리시간 0.023초

B2 기후변화시나리오와 극한지수를 이용한 기후변화가 극한 강우 발생에 미치는 영향분석 (Analysis of Impact Climate Change on Extreme Rainfall Using B2 Climate Change Scenario and Extreme Indices)

  • 김보경;김병식
    • 대한토목학회논문집
    • /
    • 제29권1B호
    • /
    • pp.23-33
    • /
    • 2009
  • 전 세계적으로 기후변화, 이상기후와 과거에는 경험하지 못했던 극한 사상이 미래에는 어떠한 크기와 출현빈도를 가지고 공간적 분포가 변화하게 될지 관심이 높아지고 있다. 그러나 이들 사상은 일정한 지역 또는 규칙적인 패턴이나 주기를 따르지 않아 그 빈도와 경향성을 정량적으로 평가하기에는 무리가 있다. 본 연구에서는 극한 사상을 보다 객관적으로 평가하기 위하여 강우 관련 극한 지수(STARDEX, 2005)를 제시하였다. 현재와 미래 극한 사상의 시공간적 분포를 비교하기 위하여 우리나라 전역에 위치한 기상청 산하 66개 관측소의 과거 자료로부터 각 지수들을 산정하여 현재까지의 경향성을 분석하고, SRES B2시나리오와 YONU CGCM으로부터 모의된 2045s(2031-2050)자료를 이용하여 미래의 극한 사상의 각 지수별 차이를 산정한 후 그 경향성을 공간적으로 나타내었다. 그 결과 여름철에는 동서 방향으로 내륙 전반에 걸쳐 강우량 증가 경향성을 보였으며 가을철에는 강원도 일부 지역과 남해안 지역을 중심으로 경향성이 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 한편, 강우 발생이나 집중 시기와 대별되는 건조 지속기간 분석 결과에서는 여름철보다 가을철 상승 경향성이 더 큰 것으로 나타났으며, 제주도와 해안부근에서 증가 경향성이 뚜렷하였다.

지상관측자료와 레이더 자료를 이용한 자료동화가 수치모의에 미치는 영향: 사례 연구 (The Impact of Data Assimilation on WRF Simulation using Surface Data and Radar Data: Case Study)

  • 최원;이재규;김유진
    • 대기
    • /
    • 제23권2호
    • /
    • pp.143-160
    • /
    • 2013
  • The effect of 3DVAR (Three Dimension Variational data Assimilation) was examined by comparing observation and the simulations of CNTL (to which data assimilation was not applied) and ALL (to which data assimilation was applied using ground observation data and radar data) for the case of a heavy snowfall event (case A) of 11-12 February 2011 in the Yeongdong region. In case A, heavy snow intensively came in the Yeongdong coastal region rather than Daegwallyeong, in particular, around the Gangneung and Donghae regions with total precipitation in Bukgangneung at approximately 91 mm according to the AWS observation. It can be seen that compared to CNTL, ALL simulated larger precipitation along the Yeongdong coastline extending from Sokcho to Donghae while simulating smaller precipitation for inland areas including Daegwallyeong. On comparison of the total accumulated precipitations from simulations of CNTL and ALL, and the observed total accumulated precipitation, the positive effect of the assimilation of ground observation data and radar data could be identified in Bukgangneung and Donghae, on the other hand, the negative effect of the assimilation could be identified in the Daegwallyeong and Sokcho regions. In order to examine the average accuracy of precipitation prediction by CNTL and ALL for the entire Gangwon region including the major points mentioned earlier, the three hour accumulated precipitation from simulations of CNTL and ALL were divided into 5, 10, 15, 20, 25 and 30 mm/3hr and threat Scores were calculated by forecasting time. ALL showed relatively higher TSs than CNTL for all threshold values although there were some differences. That is, when considered generally based on the Gangwon region, the accuracy of precipitation prediction from ALL was improved somewhat compared to that from CNTL.

차세대 중형위성을 활용한 온실가스 관측 정보 획득 방안 연구 (A Study of the Acquisition Plan for GHG Data using CAS500)

  • 최원준;김상균
    • 한국위성정보통신학회논문지
    • /
    • 제12권3호
    • /
    • pp.1-7
    • /
    • 2017
  • 우리나라 기후변화의 양상은 전세계 평균에 비해 높은 양상으로 나타나 기후변화 대응을 위한 적응 정책이 절실한 상황이다. 특히, 기후변화에 따른 우리나라의 경제적 손실이 2,800조원에 달할 것으로 예측되는 상황으로 최소 300조원의 천문학적인 비용이 기후변화 적응에 필요할 것으로 연구되었다.(KEI, 2011) 이러한 막대한 비용의 적절한 투입시기, 분야 설정 등 효율적인 투입을 위해 정확한 기후변화 예측 및 영향이 필수적이다. 이러한 기후변화 예측 및 영향 분석을 위해서는 전구뿐만 아니라, 한반도를 비롯한 동북아시아에서 불균질하게 나타나고 있는 온실가스 농도의 정확한 파악이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화의 유발인자인 온실가스 관측을 위한 위성 개발에 대한 필요성에 대해 분석하고, 해외 온실가스 관측 위성 개발 현황에 대해 조사하여 저궤도 환경위성 개발 방안에 대해 제시하고자 한다. 온실가스 관측 위성은 우주개발중장기계획에 반영된 차세대 중형위성과 연계, 추진하여 기상, 농림, 토양 관측 위성과 함께 기후변화 이외에 수질, 토양, 생태로 환경 감시 범위를 확대할 수 있을 것으로 예상된다.

라디오미터를 이용한 겨울철 강수형태 결정 및 예측가능성 고찰 (Determination and Predictability of Precipitation-type in Winter from a Ground-based Microwave Radiometric Profiler Radiometer)

  • 원혜영;김연희;장동언
    • 대기
    • /
    • 제20권3호
    • /
    • pp.229-238
    • /
    • 2010
  • The 1,000~500 hPa thickness and the $0^{\circ}C$ isotherm at 850 hPa have been used as the traditional predictors for wintertime precipitation-type forecasts. New approaches are taking on added significance as preexistence method of determination for wintertime precipitation-type exhibits more or less prevalent false alarms. Moreover thicknesses and thermodynamic profiles from ordinary upper-air observation were not adequate to monitor the atmospheric structure. In this regard, Microwave radiometric profiler microwave radiometer is useful in wintertime precipitation-type forecasts because radiometric measurements provide soundings at high temporal resolution. In this study, the determination and the predictability of wintertime precipitation-type were examined by using the calculated thicknesses, temperature of 850 hPa (T850) from a microwave radiometer, and surface observation at National Center for Intensive Observation of severe weather (NCIO) located at Haenam, Korea. The critical values for traditional predictors (thickness of 1000~500 hPa and T850) were evaluated and adjusted to Haenam region because snow rarely occurred with a 1000-500 hPa thickness > 5,300 m and T850 > $-10^{\circ}C$. Three thicknesses (e.g., 1,000~850, 1000~700, and 850~700 hPa thickness), T850, surface air temperature, and wet-bulb temperature were also evaluated as the additional predictors. A simple nomogram and a flow chart were finally designed to determine the wintertime precipitation-type using the microwave radiometer. The skill scores for the predictability of precipitation-type determination are considerably improved and the predictors showed the temporal variations in 12 hours before precipitation. We can monitor the hit and run snowfall in winter successful by realtime watch of the predictors, especially in commutes of big cities.

New Generation of Imaging Radars for Earth and Planetary Science Applications

  • Wooil M. Moon
    • IUGG한국위원회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • IUGG한국위원회 2003년도 정기총회 및 학술발표회
    • /
    • pp.14-14
    • /
    • 2003
  • SAR (Synthetic Aperture Radar) is an imaging radar which can scan and image Earth System targets without solar illumination. Most Earth observation Shh systems operate in X-, C-, S-, L-, and P-band frequencies, where the shortest wavelength is approximately 1.5 cm. This means that most opaque objects in the SAR signal path become transparent and SAR systems can image the planetary surface targets without sunlight and through rain, snow and/or even volcanic ash clouds. Most conventional SAR systems in operation, including the Canada's RADARSAT-1, operate in one frequency and in one polarization. This has resulted in black and with images, with which we are familiar now. However, with the launching of ENVTSAT on March 1 2002, the ASAR system onboard the ENVISAT can image Earth's surface targets with selected polarimetric signals, HH+VV, HH+VH, and VV+HV. In 2004, Canadian Space Agency will launch RADARSAT-II, which is C-band, fully polarimetric HH+VV+VH+HV. Almost same time, the NASDA of Japan will launch ALOS (Advanced land Observation Satellite) which will carry L-band PALSAR system, which is again fully polarimetric. This means that we will have at least three fully polarimetric space-borne SAR system fur civilian operation in less than one year. Are we then ready for this new all weather Earth Observation technology\ulcorner Actual imaging process of a fully polarimetric SAR system is not easy to explain. But, most Earth system scientists, including geologists, are familiar with polarization microscopes and other polarization effects in nature. The spatial resolution of the new generation of SAR systems have also been steadily increased, almost to the limit of highest optical resolution. In this talk some new applications how they are used for Earth system observation purpose.

  • PDF

해양기상부이 관측자료를 이용한 풍랑특보의 적절성 평가 (Evaluation of the Appropriateness of High Wind Wave Alert by Comparing the Marine Meteorological Observation Buoy Data)

  • 강민균;설동일
    • 한국항해항만학회지
    • /
    • 제46권1호
    • /
    • pp.11-17
    • /
    • 2022
  • 풍랑특보는 우리나라 부근을 항행하는 선박 및 해상 업무 종사자에게 큰 영향을 미친다. 이 연구에서는 최근 11년(2010-2020년) 동안 기상청에서 발표한 서해·남해·동해의 앞바다 및 먼바다의 풍랑특보와 주요 해양기상부이의 관측자료를 비교·분석하여 풍랑특보의 적절성을 평가하였다. 각 해역에 대한 풍랑특보와 해양기상부이 관측자료를 일별, 월별, 연별로 통계를 내어 연평균, 월평균, 계절별로 비교한 결과, 풍랑특보의 적중률이 전 해역에 걸쳐 매우 낮았으며, 특히 남해 앞바다와 제주도 앞바다의 적중률은 겨울에 가장 낮은 것으로 분석되었다. 해상에서의 풍랑특보가 어선의 어업활동, 여객선 운항 및 관광, 해상 레저활동 등에 미치는 영향을 고려할 때 해양기상 예·특보의 정확성을 개선할 필요가 있음을 확인하였다.

제주도 풍력자원 데이터베이스 구축을 위한 기상통계분석 (Meteor-Statistical Analysis for Establishment of Jejudo Wind Resource Database)

  • 김현구;장문석;이은정
    • 한국환경과학회지
    • /
    • 제17권6호
    • /
    • pp.591-599
    • /
    • 2008
  • In order to support the development of wind farms in Jejudo, a wind resource database for Jejudo has been established using a meteor-statistical analysis of KIER(Korea Institute of Energy Research) met-mast measurements and KMA(Korea Meteorological Administration) weather data. The analysis included wind statistics, tower shading, an exposure category classification using satellite images, the effect of atmospheric stability on the wind profile exponent, and a correlation matrix of wind speed to gain an understanding of the meteorological correlation between long-term weather observation stations and short-term met-mast measurements. The wind resource database for Jejudo, is to be provided as an add-on to Google $Earth^{TM}$, which is expected to be utilized as a guideline for the selection of an appropriate reference site for long-term correction in the next wind farm development project.

관측과 기상모델을 이용한 춘천지역의 도시열섬현상 연구 (A Study of Urban Heat Island in Chuncheon Using WRF Model and Field Measurements)

  • 이종범;김재철;장윤정
    • 한국대기환경학회지
    • /
    • 제28권2호
    • /
    • pp.119-130
    • /
    • 2012
  • Heat island phenomena in Chuncheon (Korea) were investigated using air temperature measured by automatic weather stations and temperature dataloggers located at rural and urban sites. Numerical simulation of the phenomena was performed using Weather Research and Forecasting Urban Canopy Model (WRF-UCM) and results were compared with the observation. The model was initialized with NCEP/FNL data. The horizontal resolution of the fine domain is 0.33 km. The results of observational analyses show that the intensity of heat island was significantly higher during the nighttime than during the daytime. The highest measured temperature difference between rural and urban site is $3.49^{\circ}C$ and average temperature difference varies between 1.4 and $1.9^{\circ}C$. Good agreement was found between the simulated and observed temperatures. However, significantly overestimated wind speed was found at the urban sites. The linear regression analysis between observed and simulated temperature shows high correlation coefficient 0.96 for urban and 0.94 for rural sites while for wind speed, a very low correlation coefficient was found, 0.30 and 0.55 respectively.

SATELLITE MONITORING OF OIL POLLUTION IN THE EUROPEAN SEAS

  • Kostianoy, Andrey G.
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한원격탐사학회 2006년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2006 PORSEC Volume II
    • /
    • pp.977-980
    • /
    • 2006
  • Ships and industries damage the delicate coastal ecosystem in many parts of the world by releasing oil or pollutants into rivers, coastal and offshore waters. After a tanker accident the biggest problem is to get a clear idea of the extent of the oil slick and predict the way it will move. For natural and man-made oil spills it is necessary to operate a regular and operational monitoring. In the Mediterranean, North and Baltic seas aircrafts or ships normally carry it out. This is expensive and is constrained by the limited availability of these resources, borders between countries, daylight hours, good weather conditions, etc. Satellite imagery can help greatly identifying probable spills over large areas and then guiding aerial surveys for precise observation of specific locations. The Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) instrument, which can collect data almost independently of weather and light conditions, is an excellent tool to monitor and detect oil on water surfaces. SAR is currently on board the ENVISAT, ERS-2 and RADARSAT satellites. The application of this technology to the investigation of oil pollution in the Caspian, Black, Mediterranean, North and Baltic seas is shown.

  • PDF

DEVELOPMENT OF 2.8-GHZ SOLAR FLUX RECEIVERS

  • Yun, Youngjoo;Park, Yong-Sun;Kim, Chang-Hee;Lee, Bangwon;Kim, Jung-Hoon;Yoo, Saeho;Lee, Chul-Hwan;Han, Jinwook;Kim, Young Yun
    • 천문학회지
    • /
    • 제47권6호
    • /
    • pp.201-207
    • /
    • 2014
  • We report the development of solar flux receivers operating at 2.8 GHz to monitor solar radio activity. Radio waves from the sun are amplified, filtered, and then transmitted to a power meter sensor without frequency down-conversion. To measure solar flux, a calibration scheme is designed with a noise source, an ambient load, and a hot load at $100^{\circ}C$. The receiver is attached to a 1.8 m parabolic antenna in Icheon, owned by National Radio Research Agency, and observation is being conducted during day time on a daily basis. We compare the solar fluxes measured for last seven months with solar fluxes obtained by DRAO in Penticton, Canada, and by the Hiraiso solar observatory in Japan, and finally establish equations to convert observed flux to the so-called Penticton flux with an accuracy better than 3.2 sfu.