• Title/Summary/Keyword: Water Balance 모형

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A Study on Water Demand Forecasting Methods Applicable to Developing Country (개발도상국에 적용 가능한 물수요 예측 방법 연구)

  • Sung-Uk Kim;Kye-Won Jun;Wan-Seop Pi;Jong-Ho Choi
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2023
  • Many developing countries face challenges in estimating long-term discharge due to the lack of hydrological data for water supply planning, making it difficult to establish a rational water supply plan for decision-making on water distribution. The study area, the Bandung region in Indonesia, is experiencing rapid urbanization and population concentration, leading to a severe shortage of freshwater. The absence of water reservoir prediction methods has resulted in a water supply rate of approximately 20%. In this study, we aimed to propose an approach for predicting water reservoirs in developing countries by analyzing water safety and potential water supply using the MODSIM (Modified SIMYLD) network model. To assess the suitability of the MODSIM model, we applied the unit hydrograph method to calculate long-term discharge based on 19 years of discharge data (2002-2020) from the Pataruman observation station. The analysis confirmed alignment with the existing monthly optimal operation curve. The analysis of power plant capacity revealed a difference of approximately 0.30% to 0.50%, and the water intake safety at the Pataruman point showed 1.64% for Q95% flow and 0.47% for Q355 flow higher. Operational efficiency, compared to the existing reservoir optimal operation curve, was measured at around 1%, confirming the potential of using the MODSIM network model for water supply evaluation and the need for water supply facilities.

Estimation of Evapotranspiration with SEBAL Model in Miho River Basin (SEBAL Model을 이용한 미호천 유역의 증발산량 추정)

  • Na, Sang-Il;Park, Jong-Hwa
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1125-1130
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    • 2009
  • 우리나라 연간 총수자원 1240억$m^3$ 가운데 42%에 해당하는 517억$m^3$는 증발산을 통해서 하늘로 올라가고 나머지 58%인 723억$m^3$는 하천으로 흘러간다(국토해양부, 2008). 이와 같이 증발산량은 지구 표면에서 대기로의 수증기 이동 현상으로 강수와 더불어 대기의 물 순환 및 수분 이동의 파악에 매우 중요한 지표로 사용되고 있다. 현재 기상청에서는 세계기상기구의 관측 기준에 따라 증발산량을 측정하고, 점추정 자료를 내삽법을 이용하여 유역면적 전체에 적용시키고 있다. 그러나 자연상태에서 증발산에 영향을 주는 요인이 매우 다양하기 때문에 점추정 자료를 통해 유역면적 전체에 대한 증발산량을 추정하는 방법은 많은 오차를 가져올 수 있다(유진웅, 2003). 이를 극복하기 위한 방법으로 RS 기법에 의한 증발산량 추정 방법과 함께 위성으로부터 획득할 수 있는 지표 및 대기 정보를 이용하여 광범위한 지역 내에서 공간적으로 불균일한 수분 분포를 추정하기 위하여 많은 알고리즘이 제안되었다. 본 연구에서는 위성영상을 이용하여 증발산량을 추정하는 모형가운데 SEBAL(Surface Energy Balance Algorithm for Land) Model을 상용소프트웨어에서 구현하고 충청북도에 위치한 미호천 유역에 대해 모형을 적용하여 증발산량을 추정하였다. 위성자료로는 2006년 9월 22일의 Landsat 5 TM 영상을 사용하였으며, DEM은 USGS DEM, 기상자료로는 청주시 기상연보를 활용하였다.

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IMPROVEMENT OF FRESHENING PROCESS BY MEANS OF UNDERDRAINAGE CONDUIT (저층배수를 이용한 담수호화 촉진에 관한 연구)

  • 서영제;김진규
    • Water for future
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.111-119
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    • 1992
  • This paper is concerned with the actual comparison analysis for the freshening process in the two selected experimental reservoirs. At the deep freshening reservoir, the salinity and depth of the freshwater layer were estimated by simulation technique using the quantitative equation for the two-layered flow structures. First of all, it is shown that the effects of underdrainage conduit in the lower layer were reported more effective for the control of upper layer salinity comparing with the case of no underdrainage conduit. Further the results of computation were later compared with the real observed values and the relating parameters of the salt-balance equation are conformed even though approximately. Finally it was represented that the salinity of upper layer is easily diluted not only by the tidal gate but also by the underdrainge conduit in the lower layer of the freshening reservoir.

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Analysis of the Hydraulic Behaviour in the Nearshore Zone by a Numerical Model (수치모형에 의한 연안해역 해수운동의 분석)

  • Lee, Hee-Young;Jeoung, Sun-Kil
    • Water for future
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.73-83
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    • 1994
  • The unproper development of the nearshore zone can enhance the diffusion of pollutant in the nearshore zone resulting in unbalanced sediment budget of beach which causes alteration of beach topography. Therefore, it is required to predict the effects of the envirnmental change quantitatively. In this paper, the depth-averaged and time-averaged energy balance equation is selected to acount for the wave transformation such as refraction, shoaling effect, the surf zone energy disipation, wave breaking index and bore, due to wave breaking in the shore region.(Numerical solutions are obtained by a finite difference method, ADI and Upwind. For the calculation of the wave-induced current, the unsteady nonlinear depth-averaged and time-averaged governing equation is derived based on the continuity and momentum equation for imcompressible fluid.) Numerical solutions are obtained by finite difference method considering influences of factors such as lateral mixing coefficient, bed shear stress, wave direction angle, wave steepness, wave period and bottom slope. The model is applied to the computation of wave transformation, wave-induced current and variation of mean water leel on a uniformly sloping beach.

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Water Supply Change Outlook for Geum River Basin Considering RCP Climate Change Scenario (RCP 기후변화 시나리오를 고려한 금강유역의 미래 용수공급 변화전망)

  • No, Sun-Hee;Jung, Kwan Sue;Park, Jin Hyeog;Ryoo, Kyong Sik
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.505-517
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    • 2013
  • In this study, water supply for Geum River Basin was calculated by regulating the future water supply of Dam with the future expected discharges. HadGEM2-AO, which is the climate change prediction model that KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration) recently introduced was used for this study. The data of weather stations within the Geum River basin was extracted with the new Greenhouse Gas RCP scenario. The runoff of Geum river basin was simulated using the ArcSWAT for the 1988~2010 period. After validating the model, the similarity of results between simulation and observation at the Yongdam Dam and Daecheong Dam was 92.25% and 95.40%, respectively, which shows a good agreement with observed data. As the result of analysis for the discharges, the discharges would increase 47.76% under the RCP4.5 scenario and 36.52% under the RCP8.5 scenario. Water balance analysis was conducted by the KModSim for predicting the water supply under the runoff variation. We analyzed the volume of water intake with national standard of water supply 95% by Dam Operation Manual. By the analysis under RCP4.5 scenario, $9.41m^3/s$, $24.82m^3/s$ of additional water supply is available on Yongdam Dam and Daecheong Dam. By the analysis under the RCP8.5 scenario, $6.48m^3/s$, $21.08m^3/s$ of additional water supply is available on Yongdam Dam and Daecheong Dam.

DAWAST Model Considering the Phreatic Evaporation in the Frozen Region (동결기 자유수면 지하수의 모관상승량을 고려한 DAWAST 모형)

  • 김태철;박철동
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.78-84
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    • 2001
  • The daily streamflow in the Yaluhe watershed located in the north-eastern part of China was simulated by DAWAST model and the water balance parameters of the model were calibrated by simplex method. Model verification tests were carried out. The range of root mean square error was 0.34∼1.50mm, that of percent error in volume was -16.9∼-62.0% and that of correlation coefficient was 0.727∼0.920. DAWAST model was revised to consider the phreatic evaporation from the ground water in the frozen soil by adjusting soil moisture content in the unsaturated layer at the end of the melting season. The results of estimation of the daily streamflow by the revised model were statistically improved, that is, the range of root mean square error was 0.31∼1.49mm, that of percent error in volume was -11.7∼-12.1%, and that of correlation coefficient was 0.810∼0.932. The accuracy of DAWAST model was improved and the applicability of DAWAST model was expanded to the frozen region.

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Spatial Estimation of Satellite-based Evapotranspiration by Energy Balance (에너지 수지에 의한 인공위성 데이터 기반 공간 증발산량 산정)

  • Hwang, Kyo-Taek;Choi, Min-Ha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.1585-1590
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    • 2010
  • 토양으로부터 발생하는 증발과 식물에서 일어나는 증산을 모두 포함하는 증발산은 일반적으로 연구된 물리식과 경험식 등을 이용하여 산정하고 lysimeter 실측 자료를 이용하여 지역 특성에 맞게 검증하는 방법을쓰고 있다. 하지만 이와 같은 방법은 어느 한 점에만 국한되어 적용되기 때문에 공간적인 제약이 있으며 외부환경의 영향을 크게 받는 증발산의 특성상 이를 일반화하는 데에도 어려움이 따른다. 따라서 이러한 점들을 보완하고 해결하기 위해 원격탐사 (Remote Sensing)를 이용하여 넓은 지역에 분포되어 있는 증발산량을 공간적으로 산정하고자 한다. 증발산량은 크게 물수지, 에너지수지 방법을 이용하여 구할 수 있으며, 본 연구에서는 에너지수지 방법을 기반으로 한 원격 이미지 처리 모형을 이용하여 에너지 수지식의 각 항을 이루는 순복사 에너지, 토양열 플럭스, 현열 플럭스와 함께 증발산을 나타내는 잠열 플럭스를 통합적으로 처리하여 산정, 이를 지도로 나타내고 기본적인 통계분석을 실시하였다. 작성된 지도는 유역 내 토지 피복, 식생 분포, 고도 등 외부 인자들의 변화에 따라 증발산량이 공간적으로 어떻게 변화하는지를 알아볼 때 유용하게 쓰일 것이며, 다른 증발산 지도와의 비교를 통해 연구지역에서의 시간 변동성을 파악하는 데에도 도움이 될 것이다.

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Assessment of the Effect of Digital Dlevation Model(DEM) Resolution on Simulation Results of the Physical Deterministic Lumped Parameters Hydrological Model (수치표고모형(DEM)의 해상도가 물리 결정 일괄 매개변수 수문모형의 모의 결과에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Man-Kyu;Park, Jong-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.151-165
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    • 2008
  • Ground slope and aspect are important parameters for physical deterministic water balance models like BROOK90 or hydrological models which attempt to calculate evapotranspiration, snowmelt, and net radiation. This study constructs a Digital Elevation Model(DEM) and examines how DEM resolution can change the average ground slope and aspect of a river basin and attempts to evaluate the effects on simulation results of BROOK90, a physical deterministic water balance model. The study area is Byungcheon river basin in Korea. DEM has been constructed using a 1:25,000 digital map with the methods of TIN and Topo To Raster. The total of 20 DEMs with 10m~100m resolution have been constructed, with a 10m interval. It was found that the higher the DEM resolution, the steeper the average ground slope value of the Byungcheon river basin. In turn, the direct solar radiation of a hilly area in the model increased the evapotranspiration and reduced the stream runoff in the Byungcheon river basin. On the other hand, a lower DEM resolution tends to move the average aspect from southeast to south in the Byungcheon river basin. Accordingly, it was found that stream runoff was reduced and evapotranspiration increased.

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Water Balance Analysis for Securing Flexible River Flow at Geumho River Basin (탄력적 하천수량 확보를 위한 금호강유역의 물수지 분석)

  • Jeon, Kyeong Soo;Hwang, Ju Ha;Kim, Hyung San;Maeng, Seung Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.588-588
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    • 2015
  • 최근 기후변화로 인해 6 ~ 7년 주기로 가뭄의 정도가 점차 증가하고 있으며, 과잉취수로 인해 하천 상류 수원이 부족하여 지속적으로 하천 건천화가 발생되고 있는 실정이다. 물부족 지역의 경우 지하수와 같은 고갈되기 쉬운 물을 사용하므로 발생빈도가 높으며, 진행속도가 다른 자연재해와 달리 느리므로 시 공간적으로 정확하게 판단하기 어려워 해결이 장기화 되고 있다. 우리나라 물수급 지역이 급격하게 증감함에 따라 수량 확보와 탄력전인 하천수량 관리 기술이 사회적으로 중요시되고 있다. 이를 위한 수자원계획 도구로 여러 가지 방법이 제시되었다. 이러한 방법들 중 국내 실정에 맞도록 개선된 수자원평가계획모형인 K-WEAP(Korea-Water Evaluation And Planning System) 을 이용하여 물수지 분석하였다. 본 연구는 낙동강수계 금호강유역을 대상으로 중권역 내 행정구역별로 생활, 공업, 농업용수의 수요처와 공급량을 산정하고 이에 따른 네트워크를 구성하여 분석하였다. 각 하천의 자연유출량은 EPA(Environmental Protection Agency) 에서 개발한 강우-유출 모형인 SWMM(Storm Water Management Model) 에 의하여 산정된 결과를 적용하였다. 행정구역을 고려한 물수급 분석을 통해 물수급 전망이 세분화되어 있으나 실제 발생하는 물수급 평가의 어려움은 여전히 존재한다. 생공용수는 공급시설을 고려하여 물수급 분석을 수행하고, 농업용수는 월별로 수요량과 공급량을 검토하는 물수급 분석을 통해 국가수자원공급 계획을 반영한 광역, 기초자치단체의 수자원 확보 방안에 필요한 기초자료로 활용될 것이라 사료된다.

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Flood Effects Analysis of Reservoir Basin through the Linkage of HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS Models (HEC-HMS와 HEC-RAS모형의 연계에 의한 댐 유역의 홍수영향 분석)

  • Lee, Weon-Hee;Kim , Sun-Joo;Kim , Phil-Shik
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2004
  • For the effective operation of irrigation reservoirs, a general and systematic policy is suggested to make balance of the conflicting purposes between water conservation and flood control. In this study, the flood effective analysis system was developed through the integration of long-term water budget analysis model, GIS-based HEC-HMS model and HEC-RAS model. The system structure consists of long-term water budget model using modified TANK theory, flood runoff and flood effects analysis model using HEC-GeoHMS, HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS models. The flood effects analysis system simulated the flood runoff from the upstream, downstream flood and long-term runoff of the watershed using the observed data collected from 1998 to 2002 of Seongju dam. The simulated results were reasonably good compared with the observed data. The optimal management method of the reservoir during the whole season is suggested in this study, and the flood analysis system can be a useful tool to evaluate a reservoir operation quantitatively for the mitigation of flood damages of reservoir basin.