• Title/Summary/Keyword: Water Balance 모형

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Quantifying Uncertainty for the Water Balance Analysis (물수지 분석을 위한 불확실성 정량화 방안)

  • Lee, Seung Uk;Kim, Young-Oh;Lee, Dong Ryul
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.277-281
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    • 2004
  • 수자원장기종합계획에서는 물의 과부족 또는 가용한 물을 정량적으로 평가하기 위해 물수지 분석을 실시한다. 물수지 분석은 미래 예측되는 용수수요량과 공급가능량을 비교하는 단순한 과정이지만, 분석 과정에 포함되어 있는 자료와 모형의 불확실성으로 인하여 물수지 분석을 실시한 각종 보고서마다 서로 다른 결과를 보여주고 있어 국민의 신뢰를 얻지 못한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 Monte Carlo simulation 기법 중 Latin Hypercube Sampling에 기반한 확률적 모사로 물수지의 불확실성을 표현하고, 이를 기존에서 제시한 단일 물부족량과 비교하여 불확실성의 범위와 특성을 분석하였다. 또한 민감도 분석을 수행함으로써 입력변수들 간의 상대적 중요도를 산정하여 수자원계획 수립시 투자 우선순위를 제시하였다.

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Development of a Simulation Model for Reservoir Sizing in a Region with Insufficient Hydrological Data (수문자료 빈곤지역에서의 저수지 규모 결정 모의 모형 개발)

  • 최진규
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2000
  • A simulation model for reservoir sizing was developed to be applied in a region with insufficient hydrological data. Reservoir storage balance equation was formulated on a monthly basis. Gajiyama equation was generalized to estimate monthly reservoir inflow more accurately. Monthly evaporation equation on a reservoir water surface was introduced , which was functioned with monthly mean temperature. Generalized Gajiyama equation was applied to estmate reservoir inflow of the Sayeon dam. Nash-Sutcliffe's model efficiency was 0.793. Using developed model for reservoir sizing, water supply capacity was analyzed with 118.000㎥/day on the Sayeon dam. This showed a reasonable result as compared with 110000㎥/day in other technical report. For general application of developed model, a virtual reservoir was considered and its dta of surface area and volume by elevation was prepared using DEM. Using the model, size of reservoir was determined and water supply capacity was anlayzed on a virtual reservoir.

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Bayesian analysis of adjustment function for wind-induced loss of precipitation (바람의 영향에 의한 관측 강우 손실에 대한 베이지안 모형 분석)

  • Park, Yeongwoo;Kim, Young Min;Kim, Yongku
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.483-492
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    • 2017
  • Precipitation is one of key components in hydrological modeling and water balance studies. A comprehensive, optimized and sustainable water balance monitoring requires the availability of accurate precipitation data. The amount of precipitation measured in a gauge is less than the actual precipitation reaching the ground. The objective of this study is to determine the wind-induced under-catch of solid precipitation and develop a continuous adjustment function for measurements of all types of winter precipitation (from rain to dry snow), which can be used for operational measurements based on data available at standard automatic weather stations. This study provides Bayesian analysis for the systematic structure of catch ratio in precipitation measurement.

Development of Estimating Method for Areal Evapotranspiration using Satellite Data (인공위성 자료를 활용한 광역증발산량의 산정방법 개발)

  • Shin, Sha-Chul;An, Tae-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.71-81
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    • 2007
  • One of the most important hydrologic components is evapotranspiration. It is a process by which water is evaporated from moist land surfaces and transpired into atmosphere by plants. There are many methods of estimating evapotranspiration rate and its potential such as the methods of soil-moisture sampling, lysimeter measurements, water balance, energy balance, groundwater fluctuations and evapotranspiration. But it is very difficult to estimate evapotranspiration in terms of regional discrete characteristics of topography and/or vegetation. The evapotranspiration is strongly affected by ground covering vegetation, and the degree of vegetation growth. In order to grasp vegetation condition over a vast study area, NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Indices) calculated from the data obtained from NOAA/AVHRR were utilized. Through multi-regression analysis, we developed a model equation to estimate the evapotranspiration using NDVIs and temperature data.

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Assessment of Outgoing Longwave Radiation using COMS : Cheongmi and Sulma Catchments (천리안 위성을 사용한 방출장파복사량 검증 : 청미천, 설마천)

  • Baek, Jong Jin;Sur, Chanyang;Choi, Minha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.465-476
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    • 2013
  • The outgoing longwave radiation (Rlu) for estimation of evapotranspiration is essential to understand energy balance of earth. However, the ground measurement based Rlu has a limitation that the observation can just stand for the exact site, not for an area. In this study, remote sensing technique is adopted to compensate the limitation of ground observation using the geostationary satellite. We calculated Rlu using Communication, Ocean and Meteorological Satellite (COMS). We validated Rlu from COMS with Cheongmicheon (CFK) and Sulmacheon (SMK) flux tower observations controlled by Hydrological Survey Center. The results showed that Rlu from COMS represented reasonable correlation with ground based measurement. Based on the results in this study, COMS will be able to be used for estimation of evapotranspiration.

-A Study on a Mathematical Model for Water Quality Prediction for Rivers- (하천(河川)의 수질예측(水質豫測)을 위한 수치모형(數値模型)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Kim, Sung-Soon;Lee, Yang-Kyoo;Kim, Gap-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.73-86
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    • 1995
  • The propriety of the numerical model application was examined on Paldang resevoir and its inflow tributaries located in the center of the Korean peninsula and the long term water quality forecast of the oxygen profile was carried out in this syduy. The input data of the model was the capacity of the reservoir, catchment area, percolation, diffusion rate, vertical mixing rate, dissolution rate from the bottom of the reservoir, outflow of the resevoir, water quality measurement and meteorology data of the drainage basin, and the output result was the annual estimation value of the dissolved oxygen concentration and the biochemical oxygen demand. The modeling method is based on the measured or calculated boundary condition dividing the water area into several blocks from the macorscopic aspect and considering the mass balance in these blocks. As the result of the water quality forecast, it was expected that the water quality in Northern Han River and Paldang reservoir would maintain the recent level, but that the water quality in the Southern Han River and its inflow tributary would worsen below the grade 4 of the life environmental standard from around 2000 owing to the decrease of DO concentration and the increase of BOD concentration.

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Estimation of Groundwater Recharge Considering Water Balance and Groundwater Head Variation in Watershed (유역물수지와 지하수위변동을 고려한 지하수 함양량의 추정)

  • Chung, Il-Moon;Kim, Nam-Won;Lee, Jeong-Woo;Won, Yoo-Seung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.693-697
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    • 2007
  • 지하수 함양량을 산정하기 위해서 유역물수지 모형 또는 지하수위 변동곡선법등이 활용되어 왔으며, 각각의 장단점에 대한 많은 논의가 있었다. 지역내의 지하수 관리계획을 위해서는 유역물수지 모형이 적합한 반면, 실제(actual) 함양량의 정확성 문제가 있으며, 지하수위 변동곡선법은 실제 지하수의 증감을 통해 실제 함양변화를 잘 표현하는 반면, 그 영향권이 관측공에 의해 제한된다는 단점이 있다. 이와 같은 두 방법의 장점을 살리고 단점을 보완하기 위해 본 연구에서는 유역유출모의와 지하수위 변동을 동시에 고려하여 지하수 함양량을 추정하는 방안을 제시하였다. 수문학적 과정으로 함양을 분석하기 위해 준분포형 수문모형인 SWAT과 완전분포형 지하수 유동해석 모형인 MODFLOW의 결합모형을 이용한 유역단위 유출해석을 수행한다. 실제로 하천변에 위치한 관측공에서의 지하수위는 하천유출시계열과 유사한 양상을 보이며, 상류 경사지에 위치한 관측공의 지하수위는 토양수의 지체와 감수현상을 나타내므로 이같이 시간적으로 상이한 지체 양상을 반영하기 위해 모형내의 비포화대를 통과하는 함양의 거동을 기존의 단일 저수지 모형에서 다단 저수지 모형으로 개선하고 지체함수와 관련된 매개변수를 보정함으로써 모의 함양 시계열과 관측 지하수위 시계열간의 상관성 분석을 수행할 수 있다. 아울러 모의 및 관측 지하수위 분포의 비교를 통해 공간적인 지하수 분포에 대한 검증을 수행함으로써 함양량 산정 절차가 완성된다. 이같은 일련의 절차는 기존의 유역물수지 모형과 지하수위 변동법을 동시에 고려한 새로운 방식의 지하수 함양량 산정기법으로 제시할 수 있을 것이다.성빈맥(1예), 저심박출증(3예), 재수술이 필요했던 출혈(2예), 흉골 지연봉합(2예), 급성 신부전(2예), 폐렴(1예), 대동맥내 풍선펌프로 인한 혈전색전증(1예),수술 후 섬망(2예) 등이 있었다. 생존한 10명의 환자들 중 1명을 제외한 나머지 9명의 환자에서 $38{\pm}40$개월간의 추적관찰이 되었는데, 추적 관찰 기간 중에 3명이 사망하였고 생존한 6명의 환자는 모두 양호한 상태(NYHA 기능등급, $I{\sim}II$)를 보였으며, 그 중 3명에서는 혈역학적으로 큰 의미가 없는 잔여단락이 있었다. 결론: 급성 심근경색증 후 심실중격 결손은 수술위험도가 높은 질환이지만, 수술 전 대동맥내 풍선펌프를 삽입하고 조기에 심실중격 결손부의 infarct exclusion 술식과 함께 관상동맥우회술을 시행함으로써 만족할 만한 수술 및 중기 결과를 얻을 수 있었다.출물 투여로 저하되었으나 NC군보다는 높게 나타났다. 간 중 중성지질 함량은 참나물 에탄올 추출물 투여 용량에 따른 유의차가 없었으나, 총콜레스테롤 함량은 고용량 병합투여한 HC-PBH군만 유의하게 저하되었다. 혈청 및 간 중의 지질 함량 변화는 정상식이를 급여한 NC군과 NC-PB군 간에는 유의차가 없었다. 따라서 고콜레스테롤식이를 급여하면서 참나물 에탄올 추출물을 병합투여 시에만 지질대사 개선 효과가 있는 것으로 여겨지며, 고용량 병합투여 시 효능이 더 큰 것으로 나타났다. 고콜레스테롤식이로 인한 산화적 스트레스가 고콜레스테롤혈증을 유발하였으며, 이는 참나물 에탄올 추출물에 함유된 항산화물질을 포함한 여러 생리활성물질

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Development of Two-dimensional Finite Volume Model Applicable to Mixed Meshes (혼합격자의 적용이 가능한 2차원 유한체적모형의 개발)

  • Kim, Byung-Hyun;Han, Kun-Yeon;Son, Ah-Long
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.109-123
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    • 2011
  • In this study, 2D finite volume model, which can apply to the mixed meshes that is effective to treat the complicated topography such as a natural river, is developed. To do so, an algorithm for finding the neighbouring cell of a computational cell is introduced, and fluxes are computed using the HLLC approximate Riemann solver at each interface between a computational cell and it's neighbouring cells. Moreover, in order to numerically treat the bed slope which has important effect on the balance between flux gradients and sourte terms, different formula to compute the bed slope for rectangular and triangular mesh are applied. The developed model is applied to analyze dam-break in an experimental channel with $90^{\circ}$ bend and Malpasset dam-break in France. The two cases consist of mixed meshes and the suggested method is validated for the experimental channel and natural channel by comparison with the experimental data, field data and computed results.

The Estimation of Groundwater Recharge with Spatial-Temporal Variability at the Musimcheon Catchment (시공간적 변동성을 고려한 무심천 유역의 지하수 함양량 추정)

  • Kim Nam-Won;Chung Il-Moon;Won Yoo-Seung;Lee Jeong-Woo;Lee Byung-Ju
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.9-19
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    • 2006
  • The accurate estimation of groundwater recharge is important for the proper management of groundwater systems. The widely used techniques of groundwater recharge estimation include water table fluctuation method, baseflow separation method, and annual water balance method. However, these methods can not represent the temporal-spatial variability of recharge resulting from climatic condition, land use, soil storage and hydrogeological heterogeneity because the methods are all based on the lumped concept and local scale problems. Therefore, the objective of this paper is to present an effective method for estimating groundwater recharge with spatial-temporal variability using the SWAT model which can represent the heterogeneity of the watershed. The SWAT model can simulate daily surface runoff, evapotranspiration, soil storage, recharge, and groundwater flow within the watershed. The model was applied to the Musimcheon watershed located in the upstream of Mihocheon watershed. Hydrological components were determined during the period from 2001 to 2004, and the validity of the results was tested by comparing the estimated runoff with the observed runoff at the outlet of the catchment. The results of temporal and spatial variations of groundwater recharge were presented here. This study suggests that variations in recharge can be significantly affected by subbasin slope as well as land use.

A Study on Water Demand Forecasting Methods Applicable to Developing Country (개발도상국에 적용 가능한 물수요 예측 방법 연구)

  • Sung-Uk Kim;Kye-Won Jun;Wan-Seop Pi;Jong-Ho Choi
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2023
  • Many developing countries face challenges in estimating long-term discharge due to the lack of hydrological data for water supply planning, making it difficult to establish a rational water supply plan for decision-making on water distribution. The study area, the Bandung region in Indonesia, is experiencing rapid urbanization and population concentration, leading to a severe shortage of freshwater. The absence of water reservoir prediction methods has resulted in a water supply rate of approximately 20%. In this study, we aimed to propose an approach for predicting water reservoirs in developing countries by analyzing water safety and potential water supply using the MODSIM (Modified SIMYLD) network model. To assess the suitability of the MODSIM model, we applied the unit hydrograph method to calculate long-term discharge based on 19 years of discharge data (2002-2020) from the Pataruman observation station. The analysis confirmed alignment with the existing monthly optimal operation curve. The analysis of power plant capacity revealed a difference of approximately 0.30% to 0.50%, and the water intake safety at the Pataruman point showed 1.64% for Q95% flow and 0.47% for Q355 flow higher. Operational efficiency, compared to the existing reservoir optimal operation curve, was measured at around 1%, confirming the potential of using the MODSIM network model for water supply evaluation and the need for water supply facilities.