• 제목/요약/키워드: Walk-Forward Analysis

검색결과 14건 처리시간 0.022초

Effects of therapeutic horse-riding program on the walking ability of students with intellectual disabilities

  • Kang, Ok-Deuk
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • 제63권2호
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    • pp.440-452
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study was to determine if an 8-week therapeutic riding (TR) program was effective in improving the walking ability of students with intellectual disabilities. Thirteen students diagnosed with intellectual disabilities participated in the TR program. TR sessions were conducted twice a week (30 min per session), with a total of 16 rides taking place over an 8-week period. A gait measurement analyzer was used to measure progress based on a turn test (6-m walking and turning test), walk test (10-m walking), and timed up and go (TUG) test. Measurements were made three times: before horse-riding (P0), after 4 weeks (8 rides) of horse-riding (P1), and after 8 weeks (16 rides) of horse-riding (P2). Data analysis was conducted using SPSS software (ver. 22.0). Descriptive statistics were generated on the general characteristics of the subjects, and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test was used to verify the normality of the data. Because of the lack of normality, the data were analyzed using a nonparametric method and the significance level was set to 0.05. Measurements of the duration of the forward gait cycle (s) in the turn test and the forward gait speed (m/s) in the walk test indicated improved walking ability after the TR program (p < 0.001); the stride length (% height) also increased significantly (p < 0.05). The walk test revealed a significant effect of the program on the duration of the forward gait cycle (p < 0.05), while there were significant improvements on the left and right of the elaborated strides (p < 0.001). No significant improvement in TUG test performance was observed after the TR program. In this study, an 8-week TR program had positive results on gait. Therefore, further research is merited, where TR programs are likely to improve the walking ability of individuals with intellectual disabilities.

WaveNet과 Work Forward Validation을 활용한 시계열 데이터 분석 (Time Series Data Analysis using WaveNet and Walk Forward Validation)

  • 윤협상
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2021
  • 복잡하고 비선형적인 특징을 갖는 시계열 데이터를 예측하기 위해 딥러닝 기법이 널리 사용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 최근에 개발된 WaveNet을 개선하고 워크포워드 검증 기법을 적용하여 전력 소비량 데이터를 24시간 이전에 예측하고자 한다. 원래 WaveNet은 오디오 데이터 예측에 사용하고자 고안되었으며, 장기간의 데이터를 효과적으로 예측하기 위해 1차원 팽창인과 합성곱(1D dilated causal convolution)을 사용한다. 먼저, WaveNet이 부호화된 정수 값이 아니라 실수 값을 출력하여 전력 데이터를 예측하기 적합하도록 개선하였다. 다음으로 학습 과정에 적용된 하이퍼파라미터(입력 기간, 배치 크기, WaveNet 블록 개수, 팽창 비율, 학습률 변경)를 조정하여 적절한 성능을 나타내도록 하였다. 마지막으로 성능 평가를 통해 전통적인 홀드아웃 검증 기법보다 본 연구에서 사용한 워크포워드 검증 기법이 전력 소비량 데이터 예측에 우수함 성능을 나타냄을 확인하였다.

역순 워크 포워드 검증을 이용한 암호화폐 가격 예측 (An Accurate Cryptocurrency Price Forecasting using Reverse Walk-Forward Validation)

  • 안현;장백철
    • 인터넷정보학회논문지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 2022
  • 암호화폐 시장의 규모는 날이 갈수록 커져가고 있으며, 대표적인 암호화폐인 비트코인의 경우 시가총액이 500조를 넘어섰다. 이에 따라 암호화폐의 가격을 예측하려는 연구도 많이 이루어졌으며, 이들은 대부분 주식가격을 예측하는 방법론과 유사성을 띄는 연구들이다. 하지만 선행연구를 비춰 봤을 때 주식가격예측과 달리 암호화폐 가격 예측은 머신러닝의 정확도가 우위에 있는 사례가 많다는 점, 개념적으로 주식과 달리 암호화폐는 소유로 인한 수동적 소득이 없다는 점, 통계적으로 시가총액 대비 하루 거래량의 비율을 살펴봤을 때 암호화폐가 주식 대비 최소 3배이상 높다는 점이 도출되었다. 이를 통해 암호화폐 가격 예측 연구에는 주식 가격 예측과 다른 방법론이 적용되어야 함을 본 논문에서 주장하였다. 우리는 기존에 주가 딥러닝 예측에 사용되던 워크 포워드 검증를 응용한 역순 워크 포워드 검증을 제안하였다. 역순 워크 포워드 검증은 워크 포워드 검증과 달리 검증 데이터셋을 테스트 데이터셋에 시계열상으로 바로 앞에 부분으로 고정시켜놓고, 훈련데이터를 훈련 데이터셋에 시계열상으로 바로 앞 부분부터 서서히 훈련 데이터셋의 크기를 늘려가면서 검증에 대한 정확도를 측정한다. 측정된 모든 검증 정확도 중 가장 높은 정확도를 보이는 훈련 데이터셋의 크기에 맞춰서 훈련 데이터를 절삭시킨 뒤 검증 데이터와 합쳐서 실험 데이터에 대한 정확도를 측정하였다. 분석모델로는 로지스틱 회귀분석과 SVM을 사용했으며, 우리가 제안한 역순 워크 포워드 검증의 신뢰성을 위해서 분석 모델 내부적으로도 L1, L2, rbf, poly등의 다양한 알고리즘과 정규화 파라미터를 적용하였다. 그 결과 모든 분석모델에서 기존 연구보다 향상된 정확도를 보임이 확인되었으며, 평균적으로도 1.23%p의 정확도 상승을 보였다. 선행연구를 통해 암호화폐 가격 예측의 정확도가 대부분 50%~60%사이에서 머무르는 걸 감안할 때 이는 상당한 정확도 개선이다.

Analysis of Polarization Properties of Optical Isolator for Fiber Laser

  • Kim, Tae-Gon;Cheon, Min-Woo;Park, Yong-Pil;Cho, Kyung-Jae;Kang, Sung-Hak
    • Transactions on Electrical and Electronic Materials
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    • 제12권6호
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    • pp.241-244
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    • 2011
  • An isolator transmits light in the forward direction and blocks light from passing in the reverse direction. It is regarded an essential optical component in medical, industrial, and research lasers for blocking reflection beams that cause optical damage and noise. It is also used as a communicative light intensifier to expand the lifespan of devices and enhance transmission quality. This study analyzed the characteristics of the core components in the construction of a polarization-independent isolator, namely, the walk-off polarizer and the Faraday rotator. Measurement of the extinction ratio of the resultant walk-off polarizer revealed that the ratio between the vertical and horizontal rays was 1,050:1 with a laser output of 0.032 W and 1,010:1 with a laser output of 2.68 W, thus presenting ratios similar to 1,000:1. In addition, the walk-off polarizer and Faraday rotator constructed in this study were used to compare output changes according to changes in power of input light and to check the penetration ratio. Results from the study presented variations in output value according to changes in power of input light. However, the average penetration ratio remained relatively consistent (~81.4%).

보행 시작과 멈추는 거리가 보행 변인에 미치는 영향 (The Effects of Start and Finish Distance on the Gait Variables during Walking)

  • 임비오;안승현;이상우;도인영
    • 한국운동역학회지
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2007
  • It is essential for gait analysis to know the distance information. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effects of start and finish distance on the gait variable during walking. Six adolescent participated in this study. Start condition was given by six conditions.: walking forward from (1) one step, (2) three steps, (3) five steps, (4) ten steps, (5) one step after standing walk, and (6) three steps after standing walk, before contacting the force plate. Stop condition was given by four conditions. : stop after (1) one step, (2) two steps, (3) three steps, and (4) ten steps, passing force plate. Repeated measured one-way ANOVA was utilized for data analysis, and the significant level was set at .05. The largest change from the difference of gait velocity exists between the variables of ground reaction force. There were no significant differences in spatio-temporal and posture(angle) variables, as well as ground reaction force variables with walking over the three steps. There were significant differences in gait velocity, knee angle at heel contact, vertical impulse and ankle angle at toe off in short distance.

OWAS 기법을 활용한 건설업 근로자의 작업 자세 분석 (Analysis of Working Posture for Construction Workers Using OWAS Method)

  • 엄란이;이예진
    • 한국의류산업학회지
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    • 제20권6호
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    • pp.704-712
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    • 2018
  • This study analyzed working postures using the Ovako Working Posture Analysis System (OWAS) to improve work clothes for construction workers. A video taken at a construction work site was stopped at regular intervals and the postures of relevant body parts proposed by OWAS was recorded. Additionally, based on analysis of the working postures code, the level of work action for each postures was classified from stage I to IV. General workers frequently straightened or bent forward at the waist, and used their legs to stand, bend, or walk. Wood workers moved extensively from the waist, keeping their legs relatively straight and their arms held below their shoulders, repeatedly tapping with a hammer weighing less than 10.0kg. Rebar bending workers mainly bent forward at the waist, with both legs bent or standing with one leg bent. Rebar transport and fixing workers walked with the waist straight, and occasionally one or both hands held above the shoulders. Their work also involved holding a hook, which weigh less than 10.0kg, in their hands, and the difficult task of lifting and placing long rebars, which weigh from 10.0 to 20.0kg or more. Concrete pouring workers bent or twisted their back to the side. Therefore, this study suggests that design goals should be different when developing workwear for each type of worker.

뇌졸중 환자의 마비쪽에 따른 골반의 기울임과 보행의 상관관계 분석 (Correlation Analysis of Pelvic Tilt and Gait according to the Paralytic Side of Stroke Patients)

  • Yong Seon, Lee;Jong-Hyuk, Yun
    • 한국운동역학회지
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2022
  • Objective: This study investigated the effect of pelvic tiltng according to the paralytic side on gait in stroke patients during a 10 m functional movement timed up and go (TUG) test. Method: In this study, gait parameters were measured using a gait analyzer for 20 stroke patients and their gait was analyzed during a 10 m TUG test. For statistical analysis, an independent sample t-test were performed for age, height, and weight among general characteristics of subjects and homogeneity was tested by performing a chi-square test for gender, paralysis side, period of onset, and K-MMSE score. In order to understand the relationship between each variable, Pearson correlation analysis was performed on the variables. Results: First, the right-hand paralyzed group showed correlations in cadence and gait velocity in the up and down tilt of the pelvis, and the left-hand paralyzed group showed correlations in cadence and step length in the anterior and posterior tilt of the pelvis. Second, the tilt of the pelvis was correlated with the Sit to stand, walk forward, walk backwards, turn around at the end point, sit on a chair and the total TUG time in the right hemiplegic group compared to the left hemiplegic group. Conclusion: In this study, a significant correlation was confirmed as a result of gait analysis of right-handed stroke patients divided into a right paraplegic group and a left paraplegic group. In the future, it is suggested that treatment for improving gait of stroke patients should be treated differently for the right and left paralyzed side.

Semantic Network Analysis of Physiotherapy Research: Based on Studies Published in the Journal of IAPTR

  • Go, Junhyeok;Yeum, Dongmoon;Kim, Nyeonjun;Choi, Myungil
    • 국제물리치료학회지
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.1926-1933
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    • 2019
  • Background: Physical therapy has been widely studied in various fields, however, the academic trends and characteristics has not been systematically analyzed. Semantic network analysis is used as an approach for this study. Objective: To explore academic trends and knowledge system in the physiotherapy research in the Journal of International Academy Physical Therapy (J of IAPTR) Study design : Literature review Method: Semantic network analysis was conducted using the titles of 272 articles published in the Journal of IAPTR from 2010 to 2019. Results: Frequency analysis revealed following most frequently used key words; Stroke (27 times), Balance (21 times), Elder (13 times), Forward head posture (FHP, 11 times), Muscle activity (9 times). The relationship between the presented keywords is divided into six subgroups (FHP and pain, walk and quality, elder and balance, stroke and apoptosis, muscle strength and function) according to their correlation and frequency to be used together. Conclusion: The study is considered to be of help to researchers who want to identify research trends in physiotherapy.

낙상경험 여성노인의 하지 분절 각도와 근전도 차이 (Differences in Angle of the Lower Extremities and Electromyography of Elderly Women Experienced a Fall)

  • 전경규;박광동;박세환;강영석;김대근
    • 한국운동역학회지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.245-255
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구는 낙상을 경험한 여성노인 20명을 각각 10명씩 연령으로 집단을 구분하고 보행 시 하지관절의 협응 능력을 분석하여 운동과학적인 기초자료를 제시하고, 불안정적인 측면의 요소에 효과적으로 대처할 수 있도록 하기 위한 것이다. 이를 위해 보행 시 하지관절의 균형에 대한 기전과 차이를 동작분석과 근전도를 이용하여 비교 분석하여 다음과 같은 결론을 얻었다. 첫째, 보행 시 고관절의 움직임에서 연령증가로 인해 충분하지 못한 지지역할로 보행자세가 저하되어 안정적 이지 못한 패턴을 보였다. 둘째, 무릎관절의 움직임에서 좌우측의 보행패턴이 상이하게 이루어지는 경향을 나타내었다. 셋째, 발목관절의 움직임에서 연령증가와 함께 활보패턴이 비정상적인 경향을 나타내었다. 또한 보행 시 하지 주요근육의 활성정도에 대해 대퇴직근과 대퇴이두근은 무릎의 굴곡을 막기 위해 근수축 활성이 증가되어 전진하는 전기적 특성을 보였고, 전경골근과 내측비복근은 이동 시 높은 전기적 수요를 나타내어 저측굴곡의 비율을 줄여 보행하는 특성을 나타내었다.

T형상 압전 엑추에이터의 설계 및 구동특성 연구 (Study on Design and Driving Characteristics of T-Shaped Piezoelectric Actuators)

  • 김태훈;박민호;정성수;전호익;천성규;박태곤
    • 한국전기전자재료학회논문지
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.30-34
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    • 2019
  • A newly proposed T-shape piezoelectric actuator, composed of piezoelectric benders, was designed and studied. This actuator has four legs, and can walk in both forward and backward directions. The piezoelectric actuator has a simple structure and can be easily fabricated. It consists of a piezoelectric bender and a joint. The piezoelectric bender is composed of carbon and ceramic materials. Therefore, there is an advantage in that it can be fabricated on a very small scale. Elliptical displacements of the piezoelectric actuators were analyzed by finite element analysis. Elliptical motion at the tip occurred at two voltages having a 90-degree phase difference. Based on the finite element analysis results, prototype actuators with maximum displacements were fabricated, and the characteristics of their movements were characterized.