• Title/Summary/Keyword: Variance estimation

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Factor Analysis and LISREL Model Development for Landscape Estimation on The Road Cutting Slope Area (도로절토사면(절개면)의 경관평가를 위한 요인분석 및 LISREL 모형구축)

  • 지길용;박일동;임성빈;금기정
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2003
  • In South Korea, about 74% of total area is mountainous terrain It is therefore inevitable to make tunnel or cutting slope for road construction. According to a related survey, approximately 2,400 sites of cutting slopes were found from 24 different routes of roadway which is overall 900 km long, implying 2.7 slopes per 1km of roadway on average. Even though safety matter such as the slope failure prevention would be the most important consideration for the construction of cutting slopeslandscape of sloped face is nowadays becoming another important factor due to the growing demand for the driver-friendly road environment Various construction methods which attain this goal should therefore be considered in the design stage of the roadway. The objective of this study is to identify important factors in landscape of sloped-cut roadway using factor analysis. For this, 10 main treatment methods of sloped-cut fact were analyzed. This study employed the LISREL(structural analysis of common variance) model in order to capture the qualitative characteristics of the slope-cut road and examine the relationship between the suey error and the variable(s). As a result, more reasonable landscape evaluation model for the road design and construction was proposed.

Development of the RP and SP Combined using Error Component Method (Error Component 방법을 이용한 RP.SP 결합모형 개발)

  • 김강수;조혜진
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.119-130
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    • 2003
  • SP data have been widely used in assessing new transport policies and transport related plans. However, one of criticisms of using SP is that respondents may show different reaction between hypothetical experiments and real life. In order to overcome the problem, combination of SP and RP data has been suggested and the combined methods have been being developed. The purpose of this paper is to suggest a new SP and RP combined method using error component method and to verify the method. The error component method decomposes IID extreme value error into non-IID error component(s) and an IID error component. The method estimates both of component parameters and utility parameters in order to obtain relative variance of SP data and RP data. The artificial SP and RP data was created by using simulation and used for the analysis, and the estimation results of the error component method were compared with those of existing SP and RP combined methods. The results show that regardless of data size, the parameters of the error component method models are similar to those assumed parameters much more than those of the existing SP and RP combined models, indicating usefulness of the error component method. Also the values of time for error component method are more similar to those assumed values than those of the existing combined models. Therefore, we can conclude that the error component method is useful in combining SP and RP data and more efficient than the existing methods.

Estimation of Genetic Parameters for Economic Traits and Body Conformations in Korean Native Ogol Fowl (한국재래오골계(韓國在來烏骨鷄)의 경제형질(經濟形質)과 체형(體刑)에 대한 유전모수(遺傳母數)의 추정(推定))

  • Han, Sung Wook;Sang, Byoung Chan;Kim, Hong Ki
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.26-33
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    • 1990
  • This study was conducted to estimate heritabilities and genetic correlations of economic traits and body conformations in Korean Native Ogol fowl. The data analyzed were the record of 450 pullets bred from 150 dams and 20 sires of the fowl obtained from June 18, 1987 to February 6, 1989. The results of this study were summarized as follows ; The estimates of heritability for body weight, egg weight and shank length from combined variance components were relatively high, ranging from 0.415 to 0.558, while those for age at first egg, egg production and breast width were moderate, ranging from 0.301 to 0.334. For genetic correlations, body weights were negatively correlated with egg production, ranging from -0.552 to -0.309, while positive correlations were found between body weight and egg weight, ranging from 0.285 to 0.380. Also, egg production was negatively correlated with egg weight, ranging from -0.383 to -0.381. The shank length showed very high positive correlations with the body weights and age at 1st egg, ranging from 0.328 to 0.843. Hence the improvement in shank length will increase the body weight as well as the age at 1st egg.

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Comparison of Three Selection Indexes for Selecting Varieties from Performance Trials of Corn, Zea mays L. (옥수수의 생산력 검정시험에 대한 3가지 선발지수의 효과비교)

  • Choe, Bong-Ho;Cochran, Dale E.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.34-42
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    • 1977
  • Three kinds of selection indexes were calculated and compared for effectiveness in selecting best performing hybrids from yield trial of corn. The following four characters were used in calculating indexes; yield, moisture content, and root and stalk lodging. 1. Among three indexes calculated, William's base index was more simple in calculation and more efficient in selection of a hybrid than other indexes. 2. Pesek and Baker's estimated index was considered less effective in this test, because of low estimation of genetic variance and covariances of characters from the limited materials and years of experiment. 3. Index calculated according to the Purdue University method (1976) was least effective, even though calculation was simple and easy. The less effectiveness of the index was due to the fact that equal importance of characters were given to each character without considering the differences in economic weight of each character. 4. Equations for expressing moisture content and root and stalk lodging in terms of market price were formulated and they were as follow : 1) Moisture content : $(Y-15.5){\times}$0.0065{\times}bushels/acre$, where Y was the average moisture content of a hybrid at the time harvest. The $0.0065 was the expenses required for removing one per cent of moisture from a bushel of shelled corn in 1976. 2) Root and stalk lodging:$Percent\;lodging{\times}price/Bu.{\div}50{\div}average$ yield of all entries in the test.

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A Study on Optimal Output Neuron Allocation of LVQ Neural Network using Variance Estimation (분산추정에 의한 LVQ 신경회로망의 최적 출력뉴런 분할에 관한 연구)

  • 정준원;조성원
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 1996.10a
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    • pp.239-242
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    • 1996
  • 본 논문에서는 BP(Back Propagation)에 비해서 빠른 학습시간과 다른 경쟁학습 신경회로망 알고리즘에 비해서 비교적 우수한 성능으로 패턴인식 등에 많이 이용되고 있는 LVQ(Learning Vector Quantization) 알고리즘의 성능을 향상시키기 위한 방법을 논의하고자 한다. 일반적으로 LVQ는 음(negative)의 학습을 하기 때문에 초기 가중치가 제대로 설정되지 않으면 발산할 수 있다는 단점이 있으며, 경쟁학습 계열의 신경망이기 때문에 출력 층의 뉴런 수에 따라 성능에 큰 영향을 받는다고 알려져 있다.[1]. 지도학습 형태를 지닌 LVQ의 경우에 학습패턴이 n개의 클래스를 가지고, 각 클래스 별로 학습패턴의 수가 같은 경우에 일반적으로 전체 출력뉴런에 대해서 (출력뉴런수/n)개의 뉴런을 각 클래스의 목표(desired) 클러스터로 할당하여 학습을 수행하는데, 본 논문에서는 각 클래스에 동일한 수의 출력뉴런을 할당하지 않고, 학습데이터에서 각 클래스의 분산을 추정하여 각 클래스의 분산을 추정분산에 비례하게 목표 출력뉴런을 할당하고, 초기 가중치도 추정분산에 비례하게 각 클래스의 초기 임의 위치 입력백터를 사용하여 학습을 수행하는 방법을 제안한다. 본 논문에서 제안하는 방법은 분류하고자 하는 데이터에 대해서 필요한 최적의 출력뉴런 수를 찾는 것이 아니라 이미 결정되어 있는 출력뉴런 수에 대해서 각 클래스에 할당할 출력 뉴런 수를 데이터의 추정분산에 의해서 결정하는 것으로, 추정분산이 크면 상대적으로 많은 출력 뉴런을 할당하고 작으면 상대적으로 적은 출력뉴런을 할당하고 초기 가중치도 마찬가지 방법으로 결정하며, 이렇게 하면 정해진 출력뉴런 개수 안에서 각 클래스 별로 분류의 어려움에 따라서 출력뉴런을 할당하기 때문에 미학습 뉴런이 줄어들게 되어 성능의 향상을 기대할 수 있으며, 실험적으로 제안된 방법이 더 나은 성능을 보임을 확인했다.initially they expected a more practical program about planting than programs that teach community design. Many people are active in their own towns to create better environments and communities. The network system "Alpha Green-Net" is functional to support graduates of the course. In the future these educational programs for citizens will becomes very important. Other cities are starting to have their own progrms, but they are still very short term. "Alpha Green-Net" is in the process of growing. Many members are very keen to develop their own abilities. In the future these NPOs should become independent. To help these NPOs become independent and active the educational programs should consider and teach about how to do this more in the future.단하였는데 그 결과, 좌측 촉각엽에서 제4형의 신경연접이 퇴행성 변화를 나타내었다. 그러므로 촉각의 지각신경세포는 뇌의 같은 족 촉각엽에 뻗어와 제4형 신경연접을 형성한다고 결론되었다.$/ 값이 210 $\mu\textrm{g}$/$m\ell$로서 효과적인 저해 활성을 나타내었다 따라서, 본 연구에서 빈

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Relation between Risk and Return in the Korean Stock Market and Foreign Exchange Market (주가와 환율의 위험-수익 관계에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Jae-Gon;Lee, Phil-Sang
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.199-226
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    • 2009
  • We examine the intertemporal relation between risk and return in the Korean stock market and foreign exchange market based on the two factor ICAPM framework. The standard GARCH model and the GJR(1993) model are employed to estimate conditional variances of the stock returns and foreign exchange rates. The covariance between the rates of stock returns and changes in the exchange rates are estimated by the constant conditional correlation model of Bollerslev(1990) and the dynamic conditional correlation model of Engle(2002). The multivariate GARCH in mean model and quasi-maximum likelihood estimation method, consequently, are applied to investigate riskreturn relation jointly. We find that the estimated coefficient of relative risk aversion is negative and statistically significant in the post-financial crisis sample period in the Korean stock market. We also show that the expected stock returns are negatively related to the dynamic covariance with foreign exchange rates. Both estimated parameters of conditional variance and covariance in the foreign exchange market, however, are not statistically significant. The GJR model is better than the standard GARCH model to estimate the conditional variances. In addition, the dynamic conditional correlation model has higher explanatory power than the constant correlation model. The empirical results of this study suggest following two points to investors and risk managers in hedging and diversifying strategies for their portfolios in the Korean stock market: first, the variability of foreign exchange rates should be considered, and second, time-varying correlation between stock returns and changes in foreign exchange rates supposed to be considered.

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A Derivation of Rainfall Intensity-Duration-Frequency Relationship for the Design of Urban Drainage System in Korea (우리나라 도시배수시스템 설계를 위한 확률강우강도식의 유도)

  • Lee, Jae-Jun;Lee, Jeong-Sik
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.403-415
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    • 1999
  • This study is to derive the rainfall intensity formula based on the representative probability distribution in Korea. The 11 probability distributions which has been widely used in hydrologic frequency analysis are applied to the annual maximum rainfall. The parameters of each probability distribution are estimated by method of moments, maximum likelihood method and method of probability weighted moments. Four tests such as $x^2$-test, Kolmogorv-Smirnov test, difference test and modified difference test are used to determine the goodness of fit of the distributions. The homogeneous tests (Mann-Whitney U test, Kruskal-Wallis one-way analysis of variance of nonparametric test) are applied to find the stations with rainfall homogeneity. The results of homogeneous tests show that there is no representative appropriate distribution for the whole duration in Korea. The whole region could be divided into five zones for 12-durations. The representative probability distribution of each divided zone for 12-durations was determined. The GEV distribution for I,II,V zones and the 3-parameter Weibull distribution for III,IV zones were determined as the representative probability distribution. The rainfall were obtained from representative probability distribution for the selected return periods. Rainfall intensity formula was determined by linearization technique for the rainfall.

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Modeling of Visual Attention Probability for Stereoscopic Videos and 3D Effect Estimation Based on Visual Attention (3차원 동영상의 시각 주의 확률 모델 도출 및 시각 주의 기반 입체감 추정)

  • Kim, Boeun;Song, Wonseok;Kim, Taejeong
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.609-620
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    • 2015
  • Viewers of videos are likely to absorb more information from the part of the screen that attracts visual attention. This fact has led to the visual attention models that are being used in producing and evaluating videos. In this paper, we investigate the factors that are significant to visual attention and the mathematical form of the visual attention model. We then estimated the visual attention probability using the statistical design of experiments. The analysis of variance (ANOVA) verifies that the motion velocity, distance from the screen, and amount of defocus blur affect human visual attention significantly. Using the response surface modeling (RSM), we created a visual attention score model that concerns the three factors, from which we calculate the visual attention probabilities (VAPs) of image pixels. The VAPs are directly applied to existing gradient based 3D effect perception measurement. By giving weights according to our VAPs, our algorithm achieves more accurate measurement than the existing method. The performance of the proposed measurement is assessed by comparing them with subjective evaluation as well as with existing methods. The comparison verifies that the proposed measurement outperforms the existing ones.

Studies on the Estimation of the Genetic Parameters on all Traits in Korean Native Ogol Fowl I. Estimations of the Heritabilities and Genetic Correlations on Economic Traits (한국재내오골계의 제형질에 대한 유전모수추정에 관한 연구 I. 주요경제형질의 유전력 및 유전상관추정)

  • 한성욱;상병찬;김홍기
    • Korean Journal of Poultry Science
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.129-137
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    • 1989
  • This study was conducted to estimate heritabilities and genetic correlations on economic traits in Korean Native Ogol Fowl. The data analysis were the record of 450 pullets produced from 150 dams and 20 sires of Korean Native Ogol Fowl raised at Chungnam National University from June 18, 1987 to April 6, 1989. The results obtained are summarized as follows ; 1. The average body weights at 8 and 24 weeks,300 and 500 days of age were 514.54, 1490.96, 1753.47 and 2013.31g respectively, The age of first egg was 179.19 days, and the number of egg Produced to 300 and 500 days of age were 80.12 and 162.82 e89s, respectively. The egg weight at first egg, 300 and 500 days of a8e were 40.03 and 49.92 and 55.59g, respectively. 2 The heritability estimates based on the variance of sire, dam and combined components were 0.441-0.661, 0.120-0.490, 0.345-0.465 for body weight; 0.365, 0.207 and 0.282 for age at first egg; 0.354-0.362, 0.204-0.230 and 0.279-0.296 for number of egg production: 0.259-0.464, 0.512-0.633 and 0.386-0.540 for egg weight, respectively. 3. The genetic correlations coefficients of economic traits were as follows: the coefficients between body weight with age at first egg, number of egg Production and egg weight were 0.539-0.617, -0.520-0.157 and 0.180-0.754; between age at first egg with number of egg production and egg weight were -0.717 and 0.552-0.587; between number of egg production and egg weight was -0.383-0.381, respectively.

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Demand Estimation for Art Museum using Travel Cost Method : A Case of National Museum of Modern and Contemporary Art (여행비용접근법을 적용한 미술관 방문수요함수 추정 : 국립현대미술관을 사례로)

  • Eom, Young-Sook;Kim, Jin-Ok;Park, In-Sun
    • Review of Culture and Economy
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.29-50
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    • 2016
  • This paper is to apply an individual travel cost method(TCM) to estimate demand functions for cultural services enjoyed by visiting 3 branches of the National Museum of Modern and Contemporary Art located in the Seoul Metropolitan area. This paper extends the standard TCM by incorporating opportunity costs of leisure time and two different data generating process - 398 respondents from an on-site survey and 600 respondents from a general household survey. Negative binomial models reflecting the non-negative integer nature of visiting frequency with over-dispersed variance were best fitted for demand functions, in which residents of Seoul metropolitan area surveyed from on the site exhibited higher visitation demand for the national art museum. Price elasticity and income elasticity differed by respondents' residency. Price elasticity of long distance visitors (-0.21) was more inelastic from those of Seoul residents (-0.34 ~ -0.5). Moreover, regional residents outside of Seoul area seemed to consider that services from the national art museum is a normal good with income elasticity of 0.5, whereas the Seoul residents seemed to perceive it to be an inferior good with income elasticity of -0.05.