• Title/Summary/Keyword: Variance Gamma

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A Study of Option Pricing Using Variance Gamma Process (Variance Gamma 과정을 이용한 옵션 가격의 결정 연구)

  • Lee, Hyun-Eui;Song, Seong-Joo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.55-66
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    • 2012
  • Option pricing models using L$\acute{e}$evy processes are suggested as an alternative to the Black-Scholes model since empirical studies showed that the Black-Sholes model could not reflect the movement of underlying assets. In this paper, we investigate whether the Variance Gamma model can reflect the movement of underlying assets in the Korean stock market better than the Black-Scholes model. For this purpose, we estimate parameters and perform likelihood ratio tests using KOSPI 200 data based on the density for the log return and the option pricing formula proposed in Madan et al. (1998). We also calculate some statistics to compare the models and examine if the volatility smile is corrected through regression analysis. The results show that the option price estimated under the Variance Gamma process is closer to the market price than the Black-Scholes price; however, the Variance Gamma model still cannot solve the volatility smile phenomenon.

A Variable Modulus Algorithm using Sigmoid Nonlinearity with Variable Variance (가변 분산을 갖는 시그모이드 비선형성을 이용한 가변 모듈러스 알고리즘)

  • Kim Chul-Min;Choi Ik-Hyun;Oh Kil-Nam
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.649-653
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    • 2005
  • To estimate for an error signal with sigmoid nonlinearity what reduced constellation applies closed eye pattern in the initial equalization, there can be improves problems of previous soft decision-directed algorithm that increasing estimate complexity and decreasing of convergence speed when substitute high-order constellation. The characteristic of sigmoid function is adjusted by a mean and a variance parameter, so it depends on adjustment of variance that what reduced constellation $values(\gamma)$ can have ranges between + $\gamma$ and - $\gamma$. In this paper, we proposed Variable Modulus Algorithm (VMA) that can be improving a performance of steady-state by adjustment of variance when equalization works normally and each cluster of constellation decrease.

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Option Pricing with Bounded Expected Loss under Variance-Gamma Processes

  • Song, Seong-Joo;Song, Jong-Woo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.575-589
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    • 2010
  • Exponential L$\acute{e}$evy models have become popular in modeling price processes recently in mathematical finance. Although it is a relatively simple extension of the geometric Brownian motion, it makes the market incomplete so that the option price is not uniquely determined. As a trial to find an appropriate price for an option, we suppose a situation where a hedger wants to initially invest as little as possible, but wants to have the expected squared loss at the end not exceeding a certain constant. For this, we assume that the underlying price process follows a variance-gamma model and it converges to a geometric Brownian motion as its quadratic variation converges to a constant. In the limit, we use the mean-variance approach to find the asymptotic minimum investment with the expected squared loss bounded. Some numerical results are also provided.

Comparison of methods of approximating option prices with Variance gamma processes (Variance gamma 확률과정에서 근사적 옵션가격 결정방법의 비교)

  • Lee, Jaejoong;Song, Seongjoo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.181-192
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    • 2016
  • We consider several methods to approximate option prices with correction terms to the Black-Scholes option price. These methods are able to compute option prices from various risk-neutral distributions using relatively small data and simple computation. In this paper, we compare the performance of Edgeworth expansion, A-type and C-type Gram-Charlier expansions, a method of using Normal inverse gaussian distribution, and an asymptotic method of using nonlinear regression through simulation experiments and real KOSPI200 option data. We assume the variance gamma model in the simulation experiment, which has a closed-form solution for the option price among the pure jump $L{\acute{e}}vy$ processes. As a result, we found that methods to approximate an option price directly from the approximate price formula are better than methods to approximate option prices through the approximate risk-neutral density function. The method to approximate option prices by nonlinear regression showed relatively better performance among those compared.

Rao-Wald Test for Variance Ratios of a General Linear Model

  • Li, Seung-Chun;Huh, Moon-Yul
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.11-24
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    • 1999
  • In this paper we propose a method to test $\textit{H}$:$\rho_i$=$\gamma_i$ for 1$\leq$$\textit{i}$$\leq$$\ell$ against $\textit{K}$:$\rho_i$$\neq$$\gamma_i$ for some iin k-variance component random or mixed linear model where $\rho$i denotes the ratio of the i-th variance component to the error variance and $\ell$$\leq$K. The test which we call Rao-Wald test is exact and does not depend upon nuisance parameters. From a numerical study of the power performance of the test of the interaction effect for the case of a two-way random model Rao-Wald test was seen to be quite comparable to the locally best invariant (LBI) test when the nuisance parameters of the LBI test are assumed known. When the nuisance parameters of the LBI test are replaced by maximum likelihood estimators Rao-Wald test outperformed the LBI test.

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Computing the Ruin Probability of Lévy Insurance Risk Processes in non-Cramér Models

  • Park, Hyun-Suk
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.483-491
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    • 2010
  • This study provides the explicit computation of the ruin probability of a Le¢vy process on finite time horizon in Theorem 1 with the help of a fluctuation identity. This paper also gives the numerical results of the ruin probability in Variance Gamma(VG) and Normal Inverse Gaussian(NIG) models as illustrations. Besides, the paths of VG and NIG processes are simulated using the same parameter values as in Madan et al. (1998).

Valuation of European and American Option Prices Under the Levy Processes with a Markov Chain Approximation

  • Han, Gyu-Sik
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.37-42
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    • 2013
  • This paper suggests a numerical method for valuation of European and American options under the two L$\acute{e}$vy Processes, Normal Inverse Gaussian Model and the Variance Gamma model. The method is based on approximation of underlying asset price using a finite-state, time-homogeneous Markov chain. We examine the effectiveness of the proposed method with simulation results, which are compared with those from the existing numerical method, the lattice-based method.

Variance Mismatched Quantization of a Generalized Gamma Source (일반화된 감마 신호원의 분산 불일치된 양치화)

  • 구기일
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.25 no.10A
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    • pp.1566-1575
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    • 2000
  • This paper studies mismatched scalar quantization of a generalized gamma source by a quantizer that is optimally (in the mean square error sense) designed for another generalized gamma source. Specifically, it considers variance-mismatched quantization which occurs when the variance of the source to be quantized differs from tat of the designed-for source. The main result is the two distortion formulas derived from Bennett's integral. The first formula is an approximation expression that uses the outermost threshold of an optimum scalar quantizer, and the second formula, in turn, uses an approximation formula for this outermost threshold. Numerical results are obtained for Laplacian sources, which are example of a generalized gamma source, and comparisons are made between actual mismatched distortions and the two formulas. These numerical results show that the two formulas become more accurate, as the number of quantization points gets larger and the ratio of the source variance to that of the designed-for source gets bigger. For example, the formulas are within 2~4% of the actual distortion for approximately 64 quantization points or more. In conclusion, the proposed approximation formulas are considered to have contribution as closed formulas and for their accuracy.

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Bayesian Inference on Variance Components Using Gibbs Sampling with Various Priors

  • Lee, C.;Wang, C.D.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.14 no.8
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    • pp.1051-1056
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    • 2001
  • Data for teat number for Landrace (L), Yorkshire (Y), crossbred of Landrace and Yorkshire (LY), and crossbred of Landrace, Yorkshire and Chinese indigenous Min Pig (LYM) were analyzed using Gibbs sampling. In Bayesian inference, flat priors and some informative priors were used to examine their influence on posterior estimates. The posterior mean estimates of heritabilities with flat priors were $0.661{\pm}0.035$ for L, $0.540{\pm}0.072$ for Y, $0.789{\pm}0.074$ for LY, and $0.577{\pm}0.058$ for LYM, and they did not differ (p>0.05) from their corresponding estimates of REML. When inverse Gamma densities for variance components were used as priors with the shape parameter of 4, the posterior estimates were still corresponding (p>0.05) to REML estimates and mean estimates using Gibbs sampling with flat priors. However, when the inverse Gamma densities with the shape parameter of 10 were utilized, some posterior estimates differed (p<0.10) from REML estimates and/or from other Gibbs mean estimates. The use of moderate degree of belief was influential to the posterior estimates, especially for Y and for LY where data sizes were small. When the data size is small, REML estimates of variance components have unknown distributions. On the other hand, Bayesian approach gives exact posterior densities of variance components. However, when the data size is small and prior knowledge is lacked, researchers should be careful with even moderate priors.

Design of bivariate step-stress partially accelerated degradation test plan using copula and gamma process

  • Srivastava, P.W.;Manisha, Manisha;Agarwal, M.L.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.21-49
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    • 2016
  • Many mechanical, electrical and electronic products have more than one performance characteristics (PCs). For example the performance degradation of rubidium discharge lamps can be characterized by the rubidium consumption or the decreasing intensity the lamp. The product may degrade due to all the PCs which may be independent or dependent. This paper deals with the design of optimal bivariate step-stress partially accelerated degradation test (PADT) with degradation paths modelled by gamma process. The dependency between PCs has been modelled through Frank copula function. In partial step-stress loading, the unit is tested at usual stress for some time, and then the stress is accelerated. This helps in preventing over-stressing of the test specimens. Failure occurs when the performance characteristic crosses the critical value the first time. Under the constraint of total experimental cost, the optimal test duration and the optimal number of inspections at each intermediate stress level are obtained using variance optimality criterion.