• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2007.05a
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• pp.1910-1914
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• 2007

This paper employs a relatively new technique of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to forecast water demand of Daegu city. The ANN model used in this study is a single hidden layer hierarchy model. About seventeen sets of historical water demand records and the values of their socioeconomic impact factors are used to train the model. Also other regression and time serious models are investigated for comparison purpose. The results present the ANN model can better perform the issue of urban water demand forecasting, and obtain the correlation coefficient of $R^2$ with a value of 0.987 and the relative difference less than 4.4% for this study.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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• v.23 no.3
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• pp.286-293
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• 2020

Since Dr. Lipke announces earned schedule management(ESM) in 2002, it has been used in project management to make up for the insufficient schedule management function of earned value management technique. However, it is difficult to accurately forecast the schedule of delayed defense research and development(R&D) projects with the ESM technique. Therefore, this paper proposes a new schedule forecasting method considering the progress of delayed work in ESM technique. This concept can also be adopted to the traditional project progress management (PPM) technique. We verify the effectiveness of the proposed concept through several defense R&D projects and prove that it is possible to supplement the schedule forecasting of the ESM and PPM technique.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2005.05b
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• pp.16-18
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• 2005

Becoming more and more diversified and complicated, power quality management has focused on the electricity-failure duration(including the numbers), the appropriate rate of voltage(average voltage during 30 minutes), the stability rate of frequency etc. as a basic goal value. And recently the focus is moving into the instantaneous minute interruption factors such as voltage & current harmonics, surge occurring frequency, instantaneous voltage variation, voltage unbalance, instantaneous electricity failure, flicker etc. by the development of electricity & electronics and communication equipments, which had not been so big problems before. This paper will address the flow of analysis technology and forecast the desirable direction of power quality analysis technology in the future.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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• 2015.11a
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• pp.192-193
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• 2015

Construction Cycle Trend Survey, which survey total value of orders and realized amounts monthly, is a valuable statistics that used to quick grasp or forecast the trend of domestic construction business. In recent periodical survey quality diagnoses, few professional users named a problem that Construction Cycle Trend Survey could not get together with the current state of the construction industry. This study examined weather Construction Cycle Trend Survey reflects the economic sentiment of construction business or not. Paired t test was performed between Construction Cycle Trend Survey and Construction Business Survey Index (CBSI), and significant differences were verified.

• Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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• v.30 no.2
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• pp.247-252
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• 2006

Almost ship monitoring systems are event driven alarm system which warn only when the measurement value is over or under set point. These kinds of system cannot warn until signal is growing to abnormal state that the signal is over or under the set point. therefore cannot play a role for preventive maintenance system. This paper proposes fault diagnosis method which is able to diagnose and forecast the fault from present operating condition by analyzing monitored signals with present ship monitoring system without any additional sensors. By analyzing the data with high correlation coefficient(CC), correlation level of interactive data can be defined. Knowledge base of abnormal detection can be built by referring level of CC(Fault Detection CC. FDCC) to detect abnormal data among monitored data from monitoring system and knowledge base of diagnosis built by referring CC among interactive data for related machine each other to diagnose fault part.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 1993.07a
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• pp.29-32
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• 1993

A technique computing short-term load foadcasting is essential for monitoring and controlling power system operation. This paper shows the use of general exponential smoothing to develop an adaptive forecasting system based on observed value of hourly demand. Forecasts of hourly load with lead times of one to twenty-four hours are computed at hourly intervals throughout the week. Standard error for lead times of one to twenty-four hour range from three to four percent average load. Studies are planned to investigate the use of weather influence to increase forecast accuracy.

• Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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• v.29 no.2
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• pp.175-186
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• 2004

The study was designed to forecast and derive future core technologies using Delphi method in Korea agriculture. The technologies will make agriculture for core and strategic industry that has high value-added in 21 century. Questions were given to specialists by each technology in order to survey importance, realization time, level of R＆D in Korea and foremost country, leading group of R＆D, effective policy, etc. for each technology. The target of the survey for Delphi is confined specialists in the area of Bioystems Engineering. 55 core technologies were derived and 31 specialists answered the survey.

• 한국정보통신설비학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2009.08a
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• pp.231-234
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• 2009

In this paper the situation requiring emergency rescue team from the endangered person, using the structure of the signal with a transmitter that provides the service. Given real-time map information based on a directional antenna to the transmitter of the received value, and moving the location of the forecast to move the tracker to the location of the transponder, the algorithm offers. Location tracking algorithm implemented in the simulator to actually do the verification report which will show whether the performance of the show.

• International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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• v.14 no.4
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• pp.305-312
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• 2014

This paper discusses real-time peak shaving algorithms for a large-scale battery energy storage system (BESS). Although several transmission and distribution functions could be implemented for diverse purposes in BESS applications, this paper focuses on a real-time peak shaving algorithm for an energy time shift, considering wind power generation. In a high wind penetration environment, the effective load levels obtained by subtracting the wind generation from the load time series at each long-term cycle time unit are needed for efficient peak shaving. However, errors can exist in the forecast load and wind generation levels, and the real-time peak shaving operation might require a method for wind generation that includes comparatively large forecasting errors. To effectively deal with the errors of wind generation forecasting, this paper proposes a real-time peak shaving algorithm for threshold value-based peak shaving that considers fuzzy wind power generation.

• Korean Journal of Rural Living Science
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• v.6 no.1
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• pp.11-24
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• 1995

The new textile materials may be defined as textile materials different from already existing ones in the physical and chemical structure, manufacturing process, or end-use property. The present time what is called the post-industrial society is characterized by rapid change and new technology. Also, textile materials have been changed rapidly and diversely in the post-industrial society than in any other periods. The study aimed to analyze the trend of new tektite materials development in Korea and to forecast the development trend in the future. To investigate the trend of new textile materials, various written materials and informations were collected from the manufacturers, textile related periodicals, and research journals, and they were analyzed. The period of analysis was from January 1992 to May 1995. The results of this research are as followings : (1) Mixed textile materiasl such as bicomponent fiber, blended yam and blended fabric were increased. (2) High technology has an important effect upon new textile material development. (3) functional textile materials were increased (4) The high value-added products were increased. (5) The naturalized textile materials were increased.