• 제목/요약/키워드: Unsupervised prediction

검색결과 44건 처리시간 0.026초

대표적인 클러스터링 알고리즘을 사용한 비감독형 결함 예측 모델 (Unsupervised Learning Model for Fault Prediction Using Representative Clustering Algorithms)

  • 홍의석;박미경
    • 정보처리학회논문지:소프트웨어 및 데이터공학
    • /
    • 제3권2호
    • /
    • pp.57-64
    • /
    • 2014
  • 입력 모듈의 결함경향성을 결정하는 결함 예측 모델 연구들은 대부분 훈련 데이터 집합을 사용하는 감독형 모델에 관련된 것들이었다. 하지만 과거 데이터 집합이 없거나 데이터 집합이 있더라도 현재 프로젝트와 성격이 다른 경우는 비감독형 모델이 필요하며, 이들에 관한 연구들은 모델 구축의 어려움 때문에 극소수 존재한다. 본 논문에서는 기존 비감독형 모델 연구들에서 사용하지 않은 대표적인 클러스터링 알고리즘인 EM, DBSCAN을 사용한 비감독형 모델들을 제작하여, 기존 연구들에서 사용한 K-means 모델과 성능을 비교하였다. 그 결과 오류율 면에서 EM이 K-means보다 약간 나은 성능을 보였으며, DBSCAN은 두 모델에 떨어지는 성능을 보였다.

비감독형 학습 기법을 사용한 심각도 기반 결함 예측 (Severity-based Fault Prediction using Unsupervised Learning)

  • 홍의석
    • 한국인터넷방송통신학회논문지
    • /
    • 제18권3호
    • /
    • pp.151-157
    • /
    • 2018
  • 소프트웨어 결함 예측에 관한 기존의 연구들은 대부분 모델의 입력 모듈이 결함을 가지고 있는지 여부를 판단하는 이진 감독형 분류 모델들에 관한 것들이었다. 하지만 이진 분류 모델은 결함의 복잡한 특성들을 고려하지 않고 단순히 입력 모듈의 결함 유무만을 판단한다는 문제점이 있고, 감독형 모델은 대부분의 개발 집단이 보유하고 있지 않은 훈련 데이터 집합을 필요로 한다는 한계점이 있다. 본 논문은 이러한 두 가지 문제점을 해결하기 위해 비감독형 알고리즘을 사용한 심각도 기반 삼진 분류 모델을 제안하였으며, 평가 실험 결과 제안 모델이 감독형 모델들에 필적하는 예측 성능을 보였다.

Interpretation of Data Mining Prediction Model Using Decision Tree

  • Kang, Hyuncheol;Han, Sang-Tae;Choi, Jong-Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • 제7권3호
    • /
    • pp.937-943
    • /
    • 2000
  • Data mining usually deal with undesigned massive data containing many variables for which their characteristics and association rules are unknown, therefore it is actually not easy to interpret the results of analysis. In this paper, it is shown that decision tree can be very useful in interpreting data mining prediction model using two real examples.

  • PDF

비지도학습 데이터의 정확성 측정을 위한 클러스터별 분류 평가 예측 모델에 대한 연구 (A Study on Classification Evaluation Prediction Model by Cluster for Accuracy Measurement of Unsupervised Learning Data)

  • 정세훈;김종찬;김치용;유강수;심춘보
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
    • /
    • 제21권7호
    • /
    • pp.779-786
    • /
    • 2018
  • In this paper, we are applied a nerve network to allow for the reflection of data learning methods in their overall forms by using cluster data rather than data learning by the stages and then selected a nerve network model and analyzed its variables through learning by the cluster. The CkLR algorithm was proposed to analyze the reaction variables of clustering outcomes through an approach to the initialization of K-means clustering and build a model to assess the prediction rate of clustering and the accuracy rate of prediction in case of new data inputs. The performance evaluation results show that the accuracy rate of test data by the class was over 92%, which was the mean accuracy rate of the entire test data, thus confirming the advantages of a specialized structure found in the proposed learning nerve network by the class.

생성 모형을 사용한 순항 항공기 향후 속도 예측 및 추론 (En-route Ground Speed Prediction and Posterior Inference Using Generative Model)

  • 백현진;이금진
    • 한국항공운항학회지
    • /
    • 제27권4호
    • /
    • pp.27-36
    • /
    • 2019
  • An accurate trajectory prediction is a key to the safe and efficient operations of aircraft. One way to improve trajectory prediction accuracy is to develop a model for aircraft ground speed prediction. This paper proposes a generative model for posterior aircraft ground speed prediction. The proposed method fits the Gaussian Mixture Model(GMM) to historical data of aircraft speed, and then the model is used to generates probabilistic speed profile of the aircraft. The performances of the proposed method are demonstrated with real traffic data in Incheon Flight Information Region(FIR).

지능형 디지탈 보호계전 알고리즘 연구 (Study of an algorithm for intelligent digital protective relaying)

  • 신현익;이성환;강신준;김정한;김상철
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1996년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(국내학술편); 포항공과대학교, 포항; 24-26 Oct. 1996
    • /
    • pp.343-346
    • /
    • 1996
  • A new method for on-line induction motor fault detection is presented in this paper. This system utilizes unsupervised-learning clustering algorithm, the Dignet, proposed by Thomopoulos etc., to learn the spectral characteristics of a good motor operating on-line. After a sufficient training period, the Dignet signals one-phase ground fault, or a potential failure condition when a new cluster is formed and persists for some time. Since a fault condition is found by comparison to a prior condition of the machine, on-line failure prediction is possible with this system without requiring information on the motor of load characteristics.

  • PDF

The cluster-indexing collaborative filtering recommendation

  • Park, Tae-Hyup;Ingoo Han
    • 한국지능정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국지능정보시스템학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회
    • /
    • pp.400-409
    • /
    • 2003
  • Collaborative filtering (CF) recommendation is a knowledge sharing technology for distribution of opinions and facilitating contacts in network society between people with similar interests. The main concerns of the CF algorithm are about prediction accuracy, speed of response time, problem of data sparsity, and scalability. In general, the efforts of improving prediction algorithms and lessening response time are decoupled. We propose a three-step CF recommendation model which is composed of profiling, inferring, and predicting steps while considering prediction accuracy and computing speed simultaneously. This model combines a CF algorithm with two machine learning processes, SOM (Self-Organizing Map) and CBR (Case Based Reasoning) by changing an unsupervised clustering problem into a supervised user preference reasoning problem, which is a novel approach for the CF recommendation field. This paper demonstrates the utility of the CF recommendation based on SOM cluster-indexing CBR with validation against control algorithms through an open dataset of user preference.

  • PDF

Weighted Local Naive Bayes Link Prediction

  • Wu, JieHua;Zhang, GuoJi;Ren, YaZhou;Zhang, XiaYan;Yang, Qiao
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
    • /
    • 제13권4호
    • /
    • pp.914-927
    • /
    • 2017
  • Weighted network link prediction is a challenge issue in complex network analysis. Unsupervised methods based on local structure are widely used to handle the predictive task. However, the results are still far from satisfied as major literatures neglect two important points: common neighbors produce different influence on potential links; weighted values associated with links in local structure are also different. In this paper, we adapt an effective link prediction model-local naive Bayes model into a weighted scenario to address this issue. Correspondingly, we propose a weighted local naive Bayes (WLNB) probabilistic link prediction framework. The main contribution here is that a weighted cluster coefficient has been incorporated, allowing our model to inference the weighted contribution in the predicting stage. In addition, WLNB can extensively be applied to several classic similarity metrics. We evaluate WLNB on different kinds of real-world weighted datasets. Experimental results show that our proposed approach performs better (by AUC and Prec) than several alternative methods for link prediction in weighted complex networks.

앙상블 모델 기반의 기계 고장 예측 방법 (An Ensemble Model for Machine Failure Prediction)

  • 천강민;양재경
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
    • /
    • 제43권1호
    • /
    • pp.123-131
    • /
    • 2020
  • There have been a lot of studies in the past for the method of predicting the failure of a machine, and recently, a lot of researches and applications have been generated to diagnose the physical condition of the machine and the parts and to calculate the remaining life through various methods. Survival models are also used to predict plant failures based on past anomaly cycles. In particular, special machine that reflect the fluid flow and process characteristics of chemical plants are connected to hundreds or thousands of sensors, so there are not many factors that need to be considered, such as process and material data as well as application of derivative variables. In this paper, the data were preprocessed through time series anomaly detection based on unsupervised learning to predict the abnormalities of these special machine. Next, clustering results reflecting clustering-based data characteristics were applied to produce additional variables, and a learning data set was created based on the history of past facility abnormalities. Finally, the prediction methodology based on the supervised learning algorithm was applied, and the model update was confirmed to improve the accuracy of the prediction of facility failure. Through this, it is expected to improve the efficiency of facility operation by flexibly replacing the maintenance time and parts supply and demand by predicting abnormalities of machine and extracting key factors.

세미감독형 학습 기법을 사용한 소프트웨어 결함 예측 (Software Fault Prediction using Semi-supervised Learning Methods)

  • 홍의석
    • 한국인터넷방송통신학회논문지
    • /
    • 제19권3호
    • /
    • pp.127-133
    • /
    • 2019
  • 소프트웨어 결함 예측 연구들의 대부분은 라벨 데이터를 훈련 데이터로 사용하는 감독형 모델에 관한 연구들이다. 감독형 모델은 높은 예측 성능을 지니지만 대부분 개발 집단들은 충분한 라벨 데이터를 보유하고 있지 않다. 언라벨 데이터만 훈련에 사용하는 비감독형 모델은 모델 구축이 어렵고 성능이 떨어진다. 훈련 데이터로 라벨 데이터와 언라벨 데이터를 모두 사용하는 세미 감독형 모델은 이들의 문제점을 해결한다. Self-training은 세미 감독형 기법들 중 여러 가정과 제약조건들이 가장 적은 기법이다. 본 논문은 Self-training 알고리즘들을 이용해 여러 모델들을 구현하였으며, Accuracy와 AUC를 이용하여 그들을 평가한 결과 YATSI 모델이 가장 좋은 성능을 보였다.