• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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• pp.48-48
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• 2023

The intensified droughts under climate change are expected to threaten stable water resource availability. Droughts exceeding the magnitude of historical variability could occur increasingly frequently under future climate conditions. It is crucial to understand how drought will evolve over time because the assumption of hydrological stationarity of the past decades would be inappropriate for future water resources management. However, the timing of the emergence of unprecedented drought conditions under climate change has rarely been examined. Here, using multimodel hydrological simulations, we investigate the changes in the frequency of hydrological drought (defined as abnormally low river discharge) under high and low greenhouse gas concentration scenarios and with existing water resources management and estimate the timing of the first emergence of unprecedented regional drought conditions that persist for over several consecutive years. This new metric enables a new quantification of the urgency of adaptation and mitigation with regard to drought under climate change. The times are detected for several sub-continental-scale regions, and three regions, namely, southwestern South America, Mediterranean Europe, and northern Africa, exhibit particularly robust and earlier critical times under the high-emission scenario. These three regions are expected to confront unprecedented conditions within the next 30 years with a high likelihood, regardless of the emission scenarios. In addition, the results obtained herein demonstrate the benefits of the lower-emission pathway in reducing the likelihood of emergence. The Paris Agreement goals are shown to be effective in reducing the likelihood to the unlikely level in most regions. Nevertheless, appropriate and prior adaptation measures are considered indispensable to when facing unprecedented drought conditions. The results of this study underscore the importance of improving drought preparedness within the considered time horizons.

• Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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• 제63권12호
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• pp.477-482
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• 2020

The childhood obesity pandemic has emerged as an important public health problem in many countries. Obese children are likely to become obese adults, and adult obesity is associated with an increased risk of morbidity. Therefore, controlling the childhood obesity epidemic has become a top public health priority worldwide. The current coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic may significantly impede this important mission and constitute an unprecedented tragedy in the global battle against childhood obesity. This manuscript presents evidence that the COVID-19 pandemic will aggravate the childhood obesity epidemic and lead to significant weight gain in school children by creating an unprecedented obesogenic environment. Within the last few months, many countries took uncompromising measures in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, including school closures and quarantine. While these steps are often necessary to ensure infection control, they may have a significant negative effect on children's mental and physical health. Physical, nutritional, and psychosocial factors that promote obesity in children during this special situation complementarily contribute to an unprecedented obesogenic environment. Large-scale quarantine and home confinement will impose new and unfamiliar stressors on children, thereby worsening the childhood obesity epidemic. Most importantly, adverse childhood events resulting from a predicted increase in domestic violence within the next few months will significantly contribute to this concern. The scenario presented in this review is of paramount public health importance and must be considered during future pandemic planning. Involved stakeholders, including governments, schools, and families, must make all possible efforts to minimize the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on childhood obesity.

• 한국해양학회지:바다
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• 제21권2호
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• pp.49-57
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• 2016

기후변화를 일으키는 외부강제력이 전지구적으로 동일하게 주어지더라도 그에 따른 기후변화와 되먹임 효과는 지역마다 다르게 나타난다. 따라서 기후변화에 나타난 내부변동성 및 다른 잡음 효과로부터 지구온난화 신호를 구별하기 위한 기후변화 탐지는 전구평균뿐만 아니라 지역규모에서도 이뤄져 왔다. 본 논문은 지구온난화로 인해 미래에 전례 없는 기후가 나타나는 시기를 추정하고 그 지역적 차이를 분석함이 목적이며 이를 위해, 기후모형 자료를 이용한 기존 연구와는 달리, 관측 자료를 이용하여 내부변동성을 추정하고 미래 온도변화를 전망하였다. 전례 없는 기후 시기는 미래에 예측된 지표 온도가 과거 관측 기록에 나타난 온도 범위를 벗어나 전례 없이 따뜻한 기후가 이후로도 지속되는 시점으로 정의하였다. 1880년부터 2014년까지 관측된 지표온도 아노말리의 연평균 시계열을 이용하여 온난화 선형추세를 계산하였고, 이 추세로부터 벗어난 최대 변이 값을 내부변동성의 크기로 간주하였다. 관측 자료로 구한 온난화 선형추세와 내부변동성의 크기가 미래에도 유지된다고 전제하고 계산한 결과에 따르면, 육지에서 전례없는 기후는, 아프리카는 서쪽에서, 유라시아는 인도와 아라비아 반도 남부 등 저위도에서, 북아메리카는 캐나다 중서부와 그린란드 등 고위도에서, 남아메리카는 아마존을 포함하는 저위도에서, 남극대륙은 로스해 주변지역에서 향후 200년 이내에 비교적 빨리 나타나며, 우리나라를 포함한 동아시아 일부 지역에서도 200년 이내로 빨리 나타난다. 반면에 북유럽을 포함하는 고위도 유라시아 지역과 미국과 멕시코를 포함하는 북아메리카 중남부에서는 400년 이후에 나타난다. 해양에서는 전례 없는 기후가 인도양, 중위도 북대서양과 남대서양, 남극해 일부 해역과 남극 로스해, 북극해 일부 해역에서 200년 이내로 비교적 빨리 나타나는 반면, 내부변동성이 큰 동적도태평양, 중위도 북태평양 등의 일부 해역에서는 수천 년이 지나야 오는 곳도 있다. 즉, 전례 없는 기후시기는 육지에서는 대륙마다 서로 다른 양상을 보이고 해양에서는 온난화 추세가 큰 고위도 해역을 제외하면 내부변동성의 영향을 많이 받는다. 결론적으로 지구온난화로 인한 전례 없는 기후는 특정 시기에 공통적으로 나타나는 것이 아니라 지역에 따라 시기적으로 상당한 차이가 있다. 따라서 기후변화 대응책을 마련할 때 온난화 추세뿐만 아니라 내부변동성의 크기도 함께 고려할 필요가 있다.

• International journal of advanced smart convergence
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.199-207
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• 2023

Trend Impact Analysis is a prominent hybrid method has been used in future studies with a modified surprise- free forecast. It considers experts' perceptions about how future events may change the surprise-free forecast. It is an advanced forecasting tool used in futures studies for identifying, understanding and analyzing the consequences of unprecedented events on future trends. In this paper, we propose an advanced mechanism to generate more justifiable estimates to the probability of occurrence of an unprecedented event as a function of time with different degrees of severity using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). The key idea of the paper is to enhance the generic process of reasoning with fuzzy logic and neural network by adding the additional step of attributes simulation, as unprecedented events do not occur all of a sudden but rather their occurrence is affected by change in the values of a set of attributes. An ANFIS approach is used to identify the occurrence and severity of an event, depending on the values of its trigger attributes.

• 국제초고층학회논문집
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• 제6권1호
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• pp.21-31
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• 2017

Jeddah Tower will be the first man-made structure to reach a kilometer in height upon its completion in 2019. From conception, it was clear that an all-concrete superstructure would present many advantages for a building of such unprecedented height and slenderness. An all-concrete structure, however, did present many challenges that needed to be addressed in the system arrangement and through comprehensive analysis and design, among them vertical shortening effects due to the time-dependent creep and shrinkage of concrete. This paper outlines and presents the engineering solutions developed by the authors regarding this complex concrete material phenomenon, while addressing the construction and regional challenges associated with realizing a concrete tower of this unprecedented scale.

• 한국우주과학회:학술대회논문집(한국우주과학회보)
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• 한국우주과학회 2009년도 한국우주과학회보 제18권2호
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• pp.26.1-26.1
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• 2009

Many solar, interplanetary and geomagnetic activity parameters have 11-year cycle on the average in sync with solar sunspot number. The galactic cosmic ray (GCR) intensity measured by ground Neutron Monitor (NM) is one of those parameters showing the unprecedented activity levels in the current solar minimum (2008-2009) of solar cycles 23/24. We defined abnormality as the ratio of deviation from long term mean over mean amplitude of solar cycle change. The abnormality distribution map was drawn using all the data of NM stations available online. The implications of those unprecedented levels of GCR intensities of different cutoff rigidities will be discussed.

• Journal of Ginseng Research
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• 제46권2호
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• pp.183-187
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• 2022

The current Covid-19 pandemic has changed the entire world and bought so many unprecedented challenges to the scientific community. More than 5 million people died due to the SARS-COV-2 outbreak. For many thousands of years, ginseng, the traditional herb has been used for various infectious diseases by traditional healers. Ginseng showed promising antiviral effects by modulating both natural and acquired immunity. Ginseng might be used as a potential therapeutic agent to prevent SARS-CoV-2 infection along with the vaccine. In this current review, we offer an alternative approach for SARS-COV-2 prevention during this unprecedented pandemic.

• Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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• 제23권1호
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• pp.23-24
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• 2002

• Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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• 제26권11호
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• pp.1861-1864
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• 2005

• Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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• 제33권8호
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• pp.2773-2776
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• 2012