• 한국항만학회지
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.1-8
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• 1998

If a system has a large boundary and complexity, forecast's accuracy will be very low when consider the system's substance as black box. Thus, it is necessary that analysis by structure model. To examine competition in Northeast Asia Ports, it has assumed that the form of structure model, For which the System Dynamics method is adapted in this paper. Northeast Asia Ports Model includes five ports - Pusan, Kobe, Yokohama, Kaoshiung, Keelung, - which are adjacent to each other by geographically and has a competition relation. The Northeast Asia Ports Model has several sub-systems which consists of each unit port models. And, each unit port model found by quantitive, qualititive factors and their feedback loops. All effects which components of one port have influence to components of the rest ports must be surveyed in order to construct Northeast Asia Ports Model, but it may be impossible currently. In this paper Northeast Asia Ports Model was simplified by HFP-Hierarchical Fuzzy Process Method-adapted to integration of level variables of unit port model. Container cargo volumes in Northeast Ports Model is distributed by results of HFP method. And distributed container cargo volumes effected to unit port model. Developed model can estimate change of container cargo volumes in competitive relation by alternation of simple parameter, and reflects dynamics characteristics which are included in model.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제1권1호
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• pp.103-131
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• 2000

If a system such as a port has a large boundary and complexity, and the system's substance is considered as a black box, forecast accuracy will be very low. Futhermore various components in a port exert significant influence on each other. To copy with these problem the form of structure models were introduced by using SD method. The Competitive Ports Model had several sub-systems consisting of each Unit Port models, and each Unit Port model was made by quantitative, qualitative factors and their feedback loops. The fact that all components of one port have influence on the components of the other ports should be taken into account to construct Competitive Port Models. However, with the current approach that is impossible, and in this paper therefore, models were simplified by HFP adapted to integrate level variables of unit port models. Although many studies on modelling of port competitive situation have been conducted, both theoretical frame and methodology are still very weak. In this study, a new algorithm called ESD(Extensional System Dynamics) for the evaluation of port competition was presented, and applied to simulate port systems in northeast asia.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국시스템다이내믹스학회 1999년도 창립학술대회발표논문집
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• pp.105-132
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• 1999

If a system such as a port has a large boundary and complexity, and the system's substance is considered as a black box, forecast accuracy will be very low. Furthermore various components in a port exert significant influence on each other. To copy with these problem the form of structure models were introduced by using SD method. The Competitive Ports Model had several sub-systems consisting of each Unit Port models, and each Unit Port model was made by quantitative, qualitative factors and their feedback loops. The fact that all components of one port have influence on the components of the other ports should be taken into account to construct Competitive Port Models. However, with the current approach that is impossible, and in this paper, therefore, models were simplified by HFP adapted to integrate level variables of unit port models. Although many studies on modelling of port competitive situation have been conducted, both theoretical frame and methodology are still very weak. In this study, a new algorithm called ESD(Extensional System Dynamics) for the evaluation of port competition was presented, and applied to simulate port systems in northeast Asia.

• 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국항해항만학회 1998년도 추계학술대회논문집:21세기에 대비한 지능형 통합항만관리
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• pp.263-269
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• 1998

The forecasting of container cargo volumes should be estimated correctly because it has a key roles on the establishment of port development planning, and the decision of port operating system. Container cargo volumes have a dynamic characteristics which was changed by effect of competitive ports. Accordingly forecasting was needed overall approach about competitive port's development, alternation and information. But, until now, traffic forecasting was not executed according to competitive situation, and that was accomplished at the point of unit port. Generally, considering the competition situation, simulation method was desirable at forecasting because system's scale was increased, and the influence power was intensified. In this paper, considering this situation, the objectives can be outlined as follows. 1) Structural model constructs by System dynamics method. 2) Structural simulation model develops according to modelling of competitive situation by expended SD method which included HEP(Hierarchical Fuzzy Process) And actually, effectiveness was verified according to proposed model to major port in northeast asia.

• 한국항만학회지
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• 제14권3호
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• pp.313-319
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• 2000

In this paper, we proposed the model of wireless communication for ACTS using DSRC and the DSRC system for T/C. The proposed wireless communication model is how to join with DSRC and other wireless communication in port. The DSRC system for T/C is the first application to the unit of port Facilities Automation on stacking area. The DSRC system is communicated between OBE and RSE using 5.8Hz ISM band frequency. The previous works of DSRC applications are gate automation. In these cases, the road trackers are difficult to obtain information of the port in the stacking area. So we used the DSRC for the wireless communication for the port Facilities Automation. Using DSRC, the load trackers obtain more information in the port and contacts to ITS on back-roads of port. The proposed communication system is serviced to reelection of port statistics.

• 한국항해학회지
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• 제23권1호
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• pp.75-84
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• 1999

Although many studies on modelling of port competitive situation have been conducted, both theoretical frame and methodology are still very weak. In this study, therefore, a new algorithm called ESD (Extensional System Dynamics) for the evaluation of port competition was presented, and applied to simulate port systems in northeast asia. The detailed objectives of this paper are to develop Unit fort Model by using SD(System Dynamics) method; to develop Competitive Port Model by ESD method; to perform sensitivity analysis by altering parameters, and to propose port development strategies. For these the algorithm for the evaluation of part's competition was developed in two steps. Firstly, SD method was adopted to develop the Unit Port models, and secondly HFP(Hierarchical Fuzzy Process) method was introduced to expand previous SD method. The proposed models were then developed and applied to the five ports - Pusan, Kobe, Yokohama, Kaoshiung, Keelung - with real data on each ports, and several findings were derived. Firstly, the extraction of factors for Unit Port was accomplished by consultation of experts such as research worker, professor, research fellows related to harbor, and expert group, and finally, five factor groups - location, facility, service, cargo volumes, and port charge - were obtained. Secondly, system's structure consisting of feedback loop was found easily by location of representative and detailed factors on keyword network of STGB map. Using these keyword network, feedback loop was found. Thirdly, for the target year of 2003, the simulation for Pusan port revealed that liner's number would be increased from 829 ships to 1,450 ships and container cargo volumes increased from 4.56 million TEU to 7.74 million TEU. It also revealed that because of increased liners and container cargo volumes, length of berth should be expanded from 2,162m to 4,729m. This berth expansion was resulted in the decrease of congested ship's number from 97 to 11. It was also found that port's charge had a fluctuation. Results of simulation for Kobe, Yokohama, Kaoshiung, Keelung in northeast asia were also acquired. Finally, the inter port competition models developed by ESB method were used to simulate container cargo volumes for Pusan port. The results revealed that under competitive situation container cargo volume was smaller than non-competitive situation, which means Pusan port is lack of competitive power to other ports. Developed models in this study were then applied to estimate change of container cargo volumes in competitive relation by altering several parameters. And, the results were found to be very helpful for port mangers who are in charge of planning of port development.

• 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국항해항만학회 2022년도 추계학술대회
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• pp.383-384
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• 2022

Gas Combustion Unit (GCU) onboard liquefied natural gas carriers handles boil-off to stabilize tank pressure. There are many factors for LNG cargo operators to take into consideration to determine whether to use GCU or not. Gas consumption of main engine and re-liquefied gas through the Partial Re-Liquefaction System (PRS) are good examples of these factors. Human gas operators have decided the operation so far. In this paper, some deep learning neural network models were developed to provide human gas operators with a decision support system. The models consider various factors specially into GCU operation. A deep learning model with Sigmoid activation functions in input layer and hidden layers made the best performance among eight different deep learning models.

• 한국항해항만학회지
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• 제45권5호
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• pp.231-237
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• 2021

Enhancing the performance of maritime wireless communication has been highlighted by the issue of cell planning in the sea area because of lack of an appropriate Propagation Loss Model (PLM). To resolve the cell planning issue in vast sea areas, it was essential to develop the (PLM) matching the intended sea area. However, there were considerable gaps between the prediction of legacy PLMs and field measurement in propagation loss and there was a need to develop the adjusted PLM (A-PLM). Therefore, cell planning was performed on this adjusted model, including modification of the base station's location, altitude, and antenna azimuth to meet the quality objectives. Furthermore, in order to verify the availability of the cell planning, Communication Service Quality Monitoring System (CS-QMS) was developed in the LTE-Maritime project to collect LTE signal quality information from the onboard equipment at regular intervals and to ensure that the service quality was high enough to satisfy the goals in each designated grid. As a result of verification, the success rate of RSRP was 95.7% for the intensive management zone (IMZ) and 96.4% for the interested zone (IZ), respectively.

• 한국항해항만학회지
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• 제29권5호
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• pp.431-437
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• 2005

화물발생 예측을 위해 주로 이용된 방법은 교통존을 중심으로 한 공간단위의 접근기법이다. 또한 연구사례에 따라 물동량 전수화 방법에 차이가 있고 모형에 포함된 변수가 다른 경우가 많아 일관된 화물발생 예측에 어려움이 있다. 본 연구에서 시도한 물동량 단위 예측기법은 개별 사업체를 대상으로 유출${\cdot}$입하는 화물 물동량과 종업원수, 매출액, 연면적, 부지면적 등 사업체의 특성을 이용하여 사업체 단위로 화물발생을 예측하는 것으로 공간단위 접근기법보다 간편하고 다른 지역에 적용이 가능한 장점이 있다. 연구의 대상은 수도권에 소재한 사업체이며 매출액을 설명변수로 선정하여 회귀식을 추정하고 모형의 적합성을 검증하였다. 회귀모형의 형태는 지수형으로 매출액이 증가함에 따라 화물발생의 규모도 커지는 특징을 갖는다. 본 연구는 교통 존 단위가 아닌 사업체 단위로 화물발생을 예측하는 보다 미시적인 연구방법을 개발함에 의의가 있다.

• 한국항만경제학회지
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• 제25권2호
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• pp.115-128
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• 2009

본 연구는 2001년 1월부터 2007년 10월까지의 기간에 환율과 국내경기가 국내 컨테이너항만(부산항, 인천항, 광양항, 평택항)을 통한 대중국 수출에 어떠한 영향을 미치는가를 밝히는 데 연구의 목적을 둔다. 본 연구의 분석결과는 변수에 대한 단위근검정을 실시한 결과 수준변수는 1%수준에서 단위근을 갖는다는 귀무가설을 기각하는 데 실패하고 있는 반면에, 1차차분하여 다시 단위근검정을 실시한 결과 단위근이 존재한다는 귀무가설의 1%수준에서 모두 기각에 성공하였다. 또한 공적분 검정을 실시한 결과 모형이 안정적임을 알 수 있었다. 국내 컨테이너항만(부산항, 인천항, 광양항, 평택항)의 수출에 대한 예측오차의 분산 분해결과는, 광양항은 89%, 인천항 83%, 광양항 86%, 평택항 84%가 설명됨으로써 이러한 변수들이 국내 컨테이너항만의 수출을 설명하는 주요 변수 중의 하나인 것을 보여주고 있다. 충격반응은 부산항의 경우 환율은 2단계에서 부(-)의 효과를 보이고, 3단계에서 정(+)의 효과로 전환되고 극심한 변화를 보인다. 국내경기는 2단계에서 7단계까지 극심한 변화를 보이나 그 이후 정(+)의 효과가 지속되면서 안정화된 추세를 보이고 있다. 인천항, 광양항, 평택항도 부산항의 경우와 비슷한 양상을 보이며 7단계이후 안정화 추세로 전환되는 것으로 보인다.