• Title/Summary/Keyword: Unit Impulse Response

Search Result 73, Processing Time 0.02 seconds

An Empirical Study on Causality among Trading Volume of Busan, Kawangyang and Incheon port (부산항, 광양항, 인천항의 물동량간 인과관계 분석)

  • Choi, Bong-Ho;Kim, Sang-Choon
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.61-82
    • /
    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the causuality among export and import trading volume of port of Busan, Kwangyang, Incheon and to induce policy implications. In order to test whether time series data is stationary and the model is fitness or not, we put in operation unit root test, cointegration test. And We apply Granger causality and impulse response and variance decomposition based on VECM. The results indicate that the trading volume of port of Busan is not largely influenced by that of port of Kawangyang and Incheon, but the trading volume of port of Kawangyang and Incheon is largely influenced by other ports including port of Busan. The result suggest that government has to focus on policy that the port of Kawangyang and Incheon can raise its own competitiveness in the world market.

A Dynamic Analysis of Import Price of Roundwood (원목수입가격(原木輸入價格)의 동태적(動態的) 분석(分析))

  • Han, Sang-Yoel;Kim, Tae-Kyun;Cho, Jae-Hwan;Choi, Kwan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
    • /
    • v.88 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-10
    • /
    • 1999
  • The dynamic relationships among import prices of roundwood are analyzed using the time series approach. A vector autoregression(VAR) model is estimated for six import prices(New Zealand, Chile, Russia, U.S.A., PNG, and Malaysia). Then Granger's causality test, variance decomposition analysis, and impulse response function analysis are also conducted. The major results are summarized as follows : (1) The prices of New Zealand and Russia are caused by only own lagged prices. (2) The prices of Chile and PNG are effected by New Zealand, the price of PNG is effected by New Zealand and Russia, and the price of U.S.A. is effected by those of Chile and PNG, respectively. (3) An exogenous shock in New Zealand will affect the prices of New Zealand, PNG, U.S.A., Chile, Russia. (4) An exogenous shock in Chile may also affect the prices of Chile, U.S.A., Russia.

  • PDF

A Nuclide Transfer Model for Barriers of the Seabed Repository Using Response Function (응답함수를 이용한 해저처분장의 방벽에 대한 핵종전달 모델)

  • Lee, Youn-Myoung;Kang, Chul-Hyung;Hahn, Pil-Soo
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.28 no.2
    • /
    • pp.175-184
    • /
    • 1996
  • A nuclide transfer by utilizing mass transfer coefficient and barrier response function defined for each barrier is proposed, by which the final nuclide transfer rate into the sea water can be evaluated. When simple and immediate quantification of the nuclide release is necessary in the conservative aspect, using this kind of approach may be advantageous since each layered barrier can be treated separately from other media in series in the repository system, making it possible to apply separate solutions in succession to other various media. Although one disadvantage is that while flux continuity can be maintained at the interface by using the exit nuclide flux from the first medium as the source flux for the next one, there may be no guarantee for concentration continuity, this problem could be eliminated assuming that there is no boundary resistance to mass transfer across the interface. Mass transfer coefficient can be determined by the assumption that the nuclide concentration gradient at the interface between adjacent barriers remains constant and barrier response function is obtained from an analytical expression for nuclide flow rate out of each barrier in response to a unit impulse into the barrier multiplied by mass transfer coefficient. Total time-dependent nuclide transfer rate from the barrier can then be obtained by convoluting the response function for the barrier with a previously calculated set of time-varying input of nuclide flow rate for the previous barrier.

  • PDF

A Study on Determinants of Asset Price : Focused on USA (자산가격의 결정요인에 대한 실증분석 : 미국사례를 중심으로)

  • Park, Hyoung-Kyoo;Jeong, Dong-Bin
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
    • /
    • v.9 no.5
    • /
    • pp.63-72
    • /
    • 2018
  • Purpose - This work analyzes, in detail, the specification of vector error correction model (VECM) and thus examines the relationships and impact among seven economic variables for USA - balance on current account (BCA), index of stock (STOCK), gross domestic product (GDP), housing price indices (HOUSING), a measure of the money supply that includes total currency as well as large time deposits, institutional money market funds, short-term repurchase agreements and other larger liquid assets (M3), real rate of interest (IR_REAL) and household credits (LOAN). In particular, we search for the main explanatory variables that have an effect on stock and real estate market, respectively and investigate the causal and dynamic associations between them. Research design, data, and methodology - We perform the time series vector error correction model to infer the dynamic relationships among seven variables above. This work employs the conventional augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips-Perron (PP) unit root techniques to test for stationarity among seven variables under consideration, and Johansen cointegration test to specify the order or the number of cointegration relationship. Granger causality test is exploited to inspect for causal relationship and, at the same time, impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis are checked for both short-run and long-run association among the seven variables by EViews 9.0. The underlying model was analyzed by using 108 realizations from Q1 1990 to Q4 2016 for USA. Results - The results show that all the seven variables for USA have one unit root and they are cointegrated with at most five and three cointegrating equation for USA. The vector error correction model expresses a long-run relationship among variables. Both IR_REAL and M3 may influence real estate market, and GDP does stock market in USA. On the other hand, GDP, IR_REAL, M3, STOCK and LOAN may be considered as causal factors to affect real estate market. Conclusions - The findings indicate that both stock market and real estate market can be modelled as vector error correction specification for USA. In addition, we can detect causal relationships among variables and compare dynamic differences between countries in terms of stock market and real estate market.

A Linear Analysis of the Relationship between Rainfall and Base Flow for Physical Characteristics (물리적(物理的) 특성(特性)들을 위한 강우(降雨)와 기저유출(基底流出)의 선형해석(線形解析))

  • Kim, Jae Han
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.3 no.4
    • /
    • pp.47-57
    • /
    • 1983
  • The parameter of impulse response of groundwater proposed by Kraijenhoff, that is, the reservoir coefficient j is determined on the basis of the least squares criteria. The degree (${\alpha}$) which expresses how much each sequential storm contributes to groundwater flow through the saturated soil is obtained by the optimization techniques which minimize deviations between observed and derived runoff hydrograph, and the convolution summation for the linear theory is used. A numerical example for this study is carried out for a storm event of Goose Creek basin near Leesburg, Virginia. As the results, the groundwater unit hydrograph and baseflow were able to be obtained. The used optimization technique is suited to the purpose of this study in case of the constraints. It is judged that the results allow the determination of baseflow.

  • PDF

Using a Dynamic Approach to Analyze the Relationship between Forest Household Income and Income Inequality (동태적 접근을 통한 임가의 소득과 소득불평등 간의 관계 분석)

  • Kim, Eui-Gyeong;Kim, Dae-Hyun;Kim, Dong-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
    • /
    • v.109 no.1
    • /
    • pp.99-108
    • /
    • 2020
  • Although the relationship between income and income inequality has previously been discussed, the present study applies a dynamic approach to analyze the specific relationship between forest household income and income inequality. For this analysis, a unit root test and a cointegration test were conducted to characterize the nature of income time-series data. After converting unstable time-series data into stable time-series data, a VAR model was estimated. Based on this model, an impulse-response was generated and variance-decomposition analysis was performed. These analyses showed that the effect of forest household income was relatively larger than that of the Gini coefficient, and that the impact of forest household income not only caused income to increase but also caused the Gini coefficient to decrease. In addition, the impact of the Gini coefficient had an impact on reducing forest household income and further increasing income inequality. We conclude that, with the aim of alleviating the inequality of forest household income, an income growth policy would be more effective than an income distribution policy.

Super-Resolution Algorithm by Motion Estimation with Sub-Pixel Accuracy using 6-Tap FIR Filter (6-Tap FIR 필터를 이용한 부화소 단위 움직임 추정을 통한 초해상도 기법)

  • Kwon, Soon-Chan;Yoo, Ji-Sang
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
    • /
    • v.37 no.6A
    • /
    • pp.464-472
    • /
    • 2012
  • In this paper, we propose a new super-resolution algorithm that uses successive frames by applying the block matching motion estimation algorithm. Usually, single frame super-resolution algorithms are based on probability or discrete wavelet transform (DWT) approach to extract high-frequency components of the input image, but only limited information is available for these algorithms. To solve this problem, various multiple-frame based super-resolution algorithms are proposed. The accuracy of registration between frames is a very important factor for the good performance of an algorithm. We therefore propose an algorithm using 6-Tap FIR filter to increase the accuracy of the image registration with sub-pixel unit. Proposed algorithm shows better performance than other conventional interpolation based algorithms such as nearest neighborhood, bi-linear and bi-cubic methods and results in about the same image quality as DWT based super-resolution algorithm.

A Dynamic Causality Analysis of Oliver Flounder Producer Price by Region using the Panel VAR Model (패널 VAR 모형을 이용한 지역별 양식넙치 산지가격의 동태적 인과관계 분석)

  • Jeon, Yong-Han;Nam, Jong-Oh
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
    • /
    • v.52 no.1
    • /
    • pp.47-63
    • /
    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to identify the leading price between Jeju and Wando's oliver flounder producer price and to analyze the dynamic effect of the regional producer price using the panel VAR model. In the process of analysis, it was confirmed that there are unit roots in the monthly data of Jeju and Wando's oliver flounder producer price. So, in order to avoid spurious regression, the rate change of producer price which carries out log difference was used in the analysis. As a result of the analysis, first, the panel Granger causality test showed that the influence of the change rate of producer price in oliver flounder in Jeju was slightly larger than that in Wando, but it was found that each region all leads the change rate of the producer price in oliver flounder. Second, the panel VAR estimation showed that the rate change of producer price in Jeju and Wando a month ago had a statistically significant effect on the change rate of producer price of each region. Third, the impulse response analysis indicated that other regions are affected a little more than the same region in case of the occurrence of the impact on the error terms of the change rate of produce price in Jeju and Wando oliver flounder. Fourth, the variance decomposition analysis showed that the change rate of producer price in the two regions was higher explained by Jeju compared to Wando. In conclusion, it is expected that the above results can not only be useful as basic data for the stabilization of oliver flounder producer price and the establishment of policies for easing volatility but can also help the oliver flounder industry operate its business.

Market sentiment and its effect on real estate return: evidence from China Shenzhen

  • LI, ZHUO
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.27 no.9
    • /
    • pp.243-251
    • /
    • 2022
  • In this paper, we propose a phenomenon that analyze the impact of market sentiment on China's real estate market through the perspective of behavioral economics. Previously, real estate market analyzation basically focus on some fundamental principles which include market price, monetary policies and income, etc. However, little research has explored market sentiment and its influence. By using principal components analysis (PCA), this study first creates buyer's sentiment and seller's sentiment to measure the heat of China's real estate market. Different from using traditional estimation method, the vector autoregressive model (VAR) is used to analyze how both sentiments affect real estate return. The overall results show that from unit root test and impulse response analyzation, the impact of seller's sentiment is positive to real estate market while buyer's sentiment is negative. At the same time, the higher seller's sentiment will have different influence on the housing market compared with the higher buyer's sentiment.

Design of e-Learning System for Spectral Analysis of High-Order Pulse (고차원펄스 스펙트럼 분석을 위한 이러닝 시스템의 설계)

  • Oh, Yong-Sun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.11 no.8
    • /
    • pp.475-487
    • /
    • 2011
  • In this paper, we present a systematic method to derive spectrum of high-order pulse and a novel design of e-Learning system that deals with deriving the spectrum using concept-based branching method. Spectrum of high-order pulse can be derived using conventional methods including 'Consecutive Differentiations' or 'Convolutions', however, their complexity of calculation should be too high to be used as the order of the pulse increase. We develop a recursive algorithm according to the order of pulse, and then derive the formula of spectrum connected to the order with a newly designed look-up table. Moving along, we design an e-Learning content for studying the procedure of deriving high-order pulse spectrum described above. In this authoring, we use the concept-based object branching method including conventional page or title-type branching in sequential playing. We design all four Content-pages divided into 'Modeling', 'Impulse Response and Transfer Function', 'Parameters' and 'Look-up Table' by these conceptual objects. And modules and sub-modules are constructed hierarchically as conceptual elements from the Content-pages. Students can easily approach to the core concepts of the analysis because of the effects of our new teaching method. We offer step-by-step processes of the e-Learning content through unit-based branching scheme for difficult modules and sub-modules in our system. In addition we can offer repetitive learning processes for necessary block of given learning objects. Moreover, this method of constructing content will be considered as an advanced effectiveness of content itself.