• Title/Summary/Keyword: Uncertainty estimation

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Modeling of Emissions from Open Biomass Burning in Asia Using the BlueSky Framework

  • Choi, Ki-Chul;Woo, Jung-Hun;Kim, Hyeon Kook;Choi, Jieun;Eum, Jeong-Hee;Baek, Bok H.
    • Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2013
  • Open biomass burning (excluding biofuels) is an important contributor to air pollution in the Asian region. Estimation of emissions from fires, however, has been problematic, primarily because of uncertainty in the size and location of sources and in their temporal and spatial variability. Hence, more comprehensive tools to estimate wildfire emissions and that can characterize their temporal and spatial variability are needed. Furthermore, an emission processing system that can generate speciated, gridded, and temporally allocated emissions is needed to support air-quality modeling studies over Asia. For these reasons, a biomass-burning emissions modeling system based on satellite imagery was developed to better account for the spatial and temporal distributions of emissions. The BlueSky Framework, which was developed by the USDA Forest Service and US EPA, was used to develop the Asian biomass-burning emissions modeling system. The sub-models used for this study were the Fuel Characteristic Classification System (FCCS), CONSUME, and the Emissions Production Model (EPM). Our domain covers not only Asia but also Siberia and part of central Asia to assess the large boreal fires in the region. The MODIS fire products and vegetation map were used in this study. Using the developed modeling system, biomass-burning emissions were estimated during April and July 2008, and the results were compared with previous studies. Our results show good to fair agreement with those of GFEDv3 for most regions, ranging from 9.7 % in East Asia to 52% in Siberia. The SMOKE modeling system was combined with this system to generate three-dimensional model-ready emissions employing the fire-plume rise algorithm. This study suggests a practicable and maintainable methodology for supporting Asian air-quality modeling studies and to help understand the impact of air-pollutant emissions on Asian air quality.

Flexural Vibration of Stiffened Plates in Contact with Water (보강판(補剛板)의 접수진동(接水振動))

  • K.C.,Kim;K.P.,Rhee;H.Y.,Lee
    • Bulletin of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.11-16
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    • 1980
  • For vibration analysis of stiffened plates the orthotropic plate analogy is commonly accepted. As to stiffened plates in contact with water, however, there is still much uncertainty in estimation of the added mass because of the lack of direct methods. The authors, considering that for added mass of plates there are many reliable data derived theoretically or experimentally available, suggest a method to estimate the added mass of a stiffened plate by combining the mass increase factor, $\beta$, of an equivalent orthotropic plate and the correction factor, $\kappa$, for the effects of stiffeners. The latter is to be derived from systematic experimental investigations. Then, the natural frequency in water, f', can be calculated from that in air, f, by the equation $f'=f/\sqrt{1+\kappa\beta}$. To investigate practical applicability of this method, a systematic experiment was carried out with five uniaxially stiffened plates. Each of them had a plate of same size, $600mm{\times}600mm{\times}3.2mm$, but stiffeners of different size in the web-depth, 41.6mm, 51.2mm or 66.8mm and of different spacing 75mm, 100mm, or 150mm. Natural frequencies were measured under simply supported-edge conditions in both air and water, and corresponding $\kappa$ values derived. In spite of wide variations of web-depth and spcae of stiffeners, the experimental results show that the diversity of $\kappa$ values is not remarkable; mean values of $\kappa$ are 1.31 with standard deviation of 0.025 for the first modes and 1.27 with that 0.077 for the second modes. Hence, the authors concluded that the above $\kappa$ values can be used generally for the cases of uniaxially stiffened plates both sides of which contact with water, and that $\kappa$ values of general use for the cases of cross-stiffened plates may also be obtainable from similar experiments.

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Development of Hierarchical Bayesian Spatial Regional Frequency Analysis Model Considering Geographical Characteristics (지형특성을 활용한 계층적 Bayesian Spatial 지역빈도해석)

  • Kim, Jin-Young;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Lim, Jeong-Yeul
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.5
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    • pp.469-482
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    • 2014
  • This study developed a Bayesian spatial regional frequency analysis, which aimed to analyze spatial patterns of design rainfall by incorporating geographical information (e.g. latitude, longitude and altitude) and climate characteristics (e.g. annual maximum series) within a Bayesian framework. There are disadvantages to considering geographical characteristics and to increasing uncertainties associated with areal rainfall estimation on the existing regional frequency analysis. In this sense, this study estimated the parameters of Gumbel distribution which is a function of geographical and climate characteristics, and the estimated parameters were spatially interpolated to derive design rainfall over the entire Han-river watershed. The proposed Bayesian spatial regional frequency analysis model showed similar results compared to L-moment based regional frequency analysis, and even better performance in terms of quantifying uncertainty of design rainfall and considering geographical information as a predictor.

A Real-time Particle Filtering Framework for Robust Camera Tracking in An AR Environment (증강현실 환경에서의 강건한 카메라 추적을 위한 실시간 입자 필터링 기법)

  • Lee, Seok-Han
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.597-606
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    • 2010
  • This paper describes a real-time camera tracking framework specifically designed to track a monocular camera in an AR workspace. Typically, the Kalman filter is often employed for the camera tracking. In general, however, tracking performances of conventional methods are seriously affected by unpredictable situations such as ambiguity in feature detection, occlusion of features and rapid camera shake. In this paper, a recursive Bayesian sampling framework which is also known as the particle filter is adopted for the camera pose estimation. In our system, the camera state is estimated on the basis of the Gaussian distribution without employing additional uncertainty model and sample weight computation. In addition, the camera state is directly computed based on new sample particles which are distributed according to the true posterior of system state. In order to verify the proposed system, we conduct several experiments for unstable situations in the desktop AR environments.

Localization Performance Improvement for Mobile Robot using Multiple Sensors in Slope Road (경사도로에서 다중 센서를 이용한 이동로봇의 위치추정 성능 개선)

  • Kim, Ji-Yong;Lee, Ji-Hong;Byun, Jae-Min;Kim, Sung-Hun
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SC
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2010
  • This paper presents localization algorithm for mobile robot in outdoor environment. Outdoor environment includes the uncertainty on the ground. Magnetic sensor or IMU(Inertial Measurement Unit) has been used to estimate robot's heading angle. Two sensor is unavailable because mobile robot is electric car affected by magnetic field. Heading angle estimation algorithm for mobile robot is implemented using gyro sensor module consisting of 1-axis gyro sensors. Localization algorithm applied Extended Kalman filter that utilized GPS and encoder, gyro sensor module. Experiment results show that proposed localization algorithm improve considerably localization performance of mobile robots.

Frequency Domain Acoustic Echo Suppression Based on Boundary Condition (주파수 영역에서 구간조건을 이용한 음향학적 반향 제거)

  • Lee, Kyu-Ho;Chang, Joon-Hyuk
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.162-166
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we propose a novel approach of an acoustic echo cancellation (AEC) algorithm which is differently adopted in the relevant period condition by the suppression parameter of a parametric wiener filter (PWF). The PWF uses the suppression parameter to compensate uncertainty of acoustic echo signal estimation. The existing PWF method using the fixed suppression parameter derives the distortion of the near-end signal at the double-talk. To solve this problem, the boundary condition is devised using decision of the double-talk detection (DTD) algorithm and voice activity detector (VAD). The boundary condition makes it possible to treat differently depending on the case of the single-talk and double-talk. According to the experimental results, the proposed approach is found to be effective for acoustic echo cancellation using the boundary condition.

Simultaneous Estimation of Landmark Location and Robot Pose Using Particle Filter Method (파티클 필터 방법을 이용한 특징점과 로봇 위치의 동시 추정)

  • Kim, Tae-Gyun;Ko, Nak-Yong;Noh, Sung-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.353-360
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    • 2012
  • This paper describes a SLAM method which estimates landmark locations and robot pose simultaneously. The particle filter can deal with nonlinearity of robot motion as well as the non Gaussian property of robot motion uncertainty and sensor error. The state to be estimated includes the locations of landmarks in addition to the robot pose. In the experiment, four beacons which transmit ultrasonic signal are used as landmarks. The robot receives the ultrasonic signals from the beacons and detects the distance to them. The method uses rang scanning sensor to build geometric feature of the environment. Since robot location and heading are estimated by the particle filter, the scanned range data can be converted to the geometric map. The performance of the method is compared with that of the deadreckoning and trilateration.

The estimation of lifetime income replacement rates (생존기간을 고려한 생애소득대체율의 추정)

  • Shin, Seunghee;Son, Hyunsub;Lee, Hangsuck
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1315-1331
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    • 2014
  • Replacement rates which shows the ratio of retirement income relative to preretirement income is used for a valuable evaluation measures while discussing social security benefit levels or the adequacy of retirement income. However, replacement rates has been only used for an index for evaluating benefit level at the time of retirement or specific retirement period in advanced research projects. This article analyzes how much the uncertainty of survival has an influence on retirement income, and shows replacement rates in conformity with the period of survival as an index. The researchers named this index lifetime income replacement rates. Analysis based on this index shows both life replacement income rates of 38.3% in men's case and of 41.1% in women's case while enrolled for 20years in three pension plans - national pension, retirement pension and individual annuity.

An Adaptive Complementary Sliding-mode Control Strategy of Single-phase Voltage Source Inverters

  • Hou, Bo;Liu, Junwei;Dong, Fengbin;Mu, Anle
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.168-180
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    • 2018
  • In order to achieve the high quality output voltage of single-phase voltage source inverters, in this paper an Adaptive Complementary Sliding Mode Control (ACSMC) is proposed. Firstly, the dynamics model of the single-phase inverter with lumped uncertainty including parameter variations and external disturbances is derived. Then, the conventional Sliding Mode Control (SMC) and Complementary Sliding Mode Control (CSMC) are introduced separately. However, when system parameters vary or external disturbance occurs, the controlling performance such as tracking error, response speed et al. always could not satisfy the requirements based on the SMC and CSMC methods. Consequently, an ACSMC is developed. The ACSMC is composed of a CSMC term, a compensating control term and a filter parameters estimator. The compensating control term is applied to compensate for the system uncertainties, the filter parameters estimator is used for on-line LC parameter estimation by the proposed adaptive law. The adaptive law is derived using the Lyapunov theorem to guarantee the closed-loop stability. In order to decrease the control system cost, an inductor current estimator is developed. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed controller is validated through Matlab/Simulink and experiments on a prototype single-phase inverter test bed with a TMS320LF28335 DSP. The simulation and experimental results show that compared to the conventional SMC and CSMC, the proposed ACSMC control strategy achieves more excellent performance such as fast transient response, small steady-state error, and low total harmonic distortion no matter under load step change, nonlinear load with inductor parameter variation or external disturbance.

Preparation of a CRM for QA/QC in dioxin analysis and inter-laboratory study (다이옥신 정도 관리용 CRM 제조와 실험실간 비교평가)

  • Yu, Byeong-Woon;Moon, Young-Hoon;Kim, Min-Kwan;Kyoung, Jong-Dai;Chang, Yoon-Seok
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.153-162
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    • 2004
  • Dioxin CRM for QA/QC was prepared with fly ash collected from municipal waste incinerator. With that CRM inter-laboratory test was carried out. The collected fly ash was conducted several homogeneity steps including sievings and mixing. Homogeneity test and estimation of uncertainty was performed by one-way ANOVA based on ISO guide 35. Compared concentrations of fly ash of participants to CRM values, PCDDs value was lower than that of CRM in almost participants, and showed higher PCDFs concentration than that of CRM. Although there is a small difference in PCDD/Fs concentrations with congeners of extract, the result was close to mean value.