• 제목/요약/키워드: True Proportion

검색결과 63건 처리시간 0.025초

조건부 확률과 조건문의 확률 (Conditional Probabilities and Probabilities of Conditionals)

  • 최원배
    • 논리연구
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.59-84
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    • 2005
  • 조건문의 확률은 조건부 확률과 같을 수 없음을 보이는 루이스의 '사소함 결과'(the triviality results)는 널리 알려져 있다. 하지만 이 증명의 정확한 구조와 그 의미를 파악하기란 그다지 쉽지 않다. 이 논문에서는 먼저 루이스 증명의 한 형태가 제시되고 왜 조건문의 확률은 조건부 확률과 같을 수 없는지에 대해 한 가지 설명이 제공된다. 이와 아울러 이런 결과가 갖는 철학적 함축이 무엇인지가 논의된다. A일 경우 C일 조건부 확률은 A가 성립할 경우 C가 성립할 가능성이 어느 정도인지에 관한 것으로, 이 점은 조건부 확률의 정의인 등식 Pr(C|A)= Pr(A & C) / Pr(A)에 잘 반영되어 있다. 조건부 확률이 갖는 이런 독특한 성질과 조건부 확률과 언제나 같은 확률을 갖는 명제를 찾으려는 노력이 허사로 끝나게 마련이라는 점은 서로 밀접한 연관이 있어 보인다. 만약 이 점이 옳다면, 우리는 조건문은 그냥 주장과는 아주 다른 조건부 주장을 표현한다고 보아야 하며, 조건부 주장은 진리조건을 갖지 않는, 사이비 주장이라는 점을 받아들여야 할지도 모르겠다.

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정보보안 침해 위험신호의 조직학습 실패에 관한 시스템 다이나믹스적 연구 (A Study on Risk Signal of Information Security and Organizational Learning Failure)

  • 박성진
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.179-187
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    • 2003
  • 이 논문에서는 정보보안 분야의 각종의 위험신호(risk signal)에 대해 조직이 왜 적절한 대응을 하지 못하는 가를 조직의 구조적 측면에서 그 원인을 분석하고자 하였다. 위기는 갑자기 오지 않으며, 많은 경우 위기는 위기와 관련한 위험신호(risk signal)를 제기하면서 진전된다. 이러한 위험신호에 대해 적절하게 대응하는 경우, 위험은 새로운 기회를 만들어내게 되지만 그러하지 않은 경우 위험은 경제적, 비경제적인 측면에서 재난적인 결과를 초래할 가능성을 갖는다. 이 논문에서는 인과지도(causal diagram)을 이용하여 시스템적인 관점에서 환류하는 인과 고리의 관점에서 현상을 분석하는 시스템 다이나믹스적인 분석을 시도하였다. 분석결과, 조직의 성장과 업적 위주의 분위기가 일종의 압력이 되어, 안전에 대한 불감을 강화하게 되며, 이는 각종의 위험신호들에 내재된 위험성에 대해 과소평가하는 압력으로 작용하게 되는 점을 분석하였다. 이는 나아가서 기술적 기반에 대해 적절한 투자가 이루어지 못하게 하고, 정보보안과 관련한 학습을 적절하게 하지 못하도록 한 것으로 나타난다. 이 논문은 탐색적으로 정보보안 분야에서의 위험신호와 조직학습과의 관계를 분석한 탐색적 연구로서의 성격을 가진다.

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Building Linked Big Data for Stroke in Korea: Linkage of Stroke Registry and National Health Insurance Claims Data

  • Kim, Tae Jung;Lee, Ji Sung;Kim, Ji-Woo;Oh, Mi Sun;Mo, Heejung;Lee, Chan-Hyuk;Jeong, Han-Young;Jung, Keun-Hwa;Lim, Jae-Sung;Ko, Sang-Bae;Yu, Kyung-Ho;Lee, Byung-Chul;Yoon, Byung-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Medical Science
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    • 제33권53호
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    • pp.343.1-343.8
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    • 2018
  • Background: Linkage of public healthcare data is useful in stroke research because patients may visit different sectors of the health system before, during, and after stroke. Therefore, we aimed to establish high-quality big data on stroke in Korea by linking acute stroke registry and national health claim databases. Methods: Acute stroke patients (n = 65,311) with claim data suitable for linkage were included in the Clinical Research Center for Stroke (CRCS) registry during 2006-2014. We linked the CRCS registry with national health claim databases in the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service (HIRA). Linkage was performed using 6 common variables: birth date, gender, provider identification, receiving year and number, and statement serial number in the benefit claim statement. For matched records, linkage accuracy was evaluated using differences between hospital visiting date in the CRCS registry and the commencement date for health insurance care in HIRA. Results: Of 65,311 CRCS cases, 64,634 were matched to HIRA cases (match rate, 99.0%). The proportion of true matches was 94.4% (n = 61,017) in the matched data. Among true matches (mean age 66.4 years; men 58.4%), the median National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score was 3 (interquartile range 1-7). When comparing baseline characteristics between true matches and false matches, no substantial difference was observed for any variable. Conclusion: We could establish big data on stroke by linking CRCS registry and HIRA records, using claims data without personal identifiers. We plan to conduct national stroke research and improve stroke care using the linked big database.

정부개입이 의료제도에 미치는 영향 -1970-1990년을 중심으로- (The Effects of Government Intervention on Health Care System -1970-1990 in Korea-)

  • 이은표;문옥륜
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.77-110
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    • 1994
  • This study is an empiriacl analysis of effects of government intervention on the health care delivery system in Korea. The purposes of this study are to find out the effects of government intervention on the per capita national health expenditure(per capita NHE), crude mortality rate(CMR), and institutional efficiency. Here, the institutional efficiency is defined as a formula shown below: log$\frac{100-curde mortality rate }{per capita NHE}$$\times$100. The formula indicates that the instiutional efficiency increases if the CMR and/or per capita NHE goes down. In the meantime the government intervention is measured by six independent variables: I) the degree of social developments, ii) the numberr of physicians per 100, 000 population, iii) the proportion of specialists among the total physicians, iv) the proportion of public expenditure among the NHE, v) the proportion of public beds to the total number of beds, vi) the proportion of physicians working at the public sector to the total number of physicians. In the above six independent variables iv), v) and vi) are the ones that reflect the degree of government intervention. In actual calculation, the two independent variables v) and vi) are integrated into a new variable based on one to one correspondence. The materials used are the time-series data from 1970 through 1990 in Korea. A path analysis and the time-series regression analysis were adopted to estimate and examine the causal relationship between variables involved. And decomposition of the effect of causal relationship is made to find net effect, direct and indirect effect. The major findings are as follows; 1. The effect of public expenditure, number of physicians per 100, 000 population, the proportion of specialists among the total physicians and social development shows a positive relationship with per capita NHE. Only if the government intervention would be counted, the effects of the number of physicians and the proportion of specialists succeed in containing per capita NHE. 2. In additionn to the above four variables, one additional variable, per capita NHE, was also responsible for the reduction of CMR. The factor of social development found to be the most potent predictor of the CMR reduction. However, the CMR reduction due to government intervention was negligible. 3. Meanwhile, the above four variables were found to was have negative effects on the institutional efficiency. The reverse is true when the government intervention is counted. For example, the number of physicians and the proportion of specialists have played a positive role in raising institutional efficiency via goverment intervention. This comes from the factual effect that the increment of institutional efficiency via the reduction of per capita NHE is bigger than via the reduction of CMR.

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A Conditional Indirect Survey Method

  • 이기성;홍기학;손창권;남기성
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.35-45
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    • 2002
  • For improving the quality of survey dat a of sensitive character, we suggest a conditional in direct survey method. In th at method, only the respondents who answer directly to the less sensitive question respond indirectly to the more sensitive one by using the one sample unrelated question randomized response technique with the known $\pi_y$, the true proportion of unrelated group Y. We extend it to two sample method when $\pi_y$ is unknown. We also consider the case that people who possess less sensitive character answer untruthfully. Finally we compare our method with the methods of Greenberg et al. and Carr et al..

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A Method for Identifying Splice Sites and Translation Start Sites in Human Genomic Sequences

  • Kim, Ki-Bong;Park, Kie-Jung;Kong, Eun-Bae
    • BMB Reports
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    • 제35권5호
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    • pp.513-517
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    • 2002
  • We describe a new method for identifying the sequences that signal the start of translation, and the boundaries between exons and introns (donor and acceptor sites) in human mRNA. According to the mandatory keyword, ORGANISM, and feature key, CDS, a large set of standard data for each signal site was extracted from the ASCII flat file, gbpri.seq, in the GenBank release 108.0. This was used to generate the scoring matrices, which summarize the sequence information for each signal site. The scoring matrices take into account the independent nucleotide frequencies between adjacent bases in each position within the signal site regions, and the relative weight on each nucleotide in proportion to their probabilities in the known signal sites. Using a scoring scheme that is based on the nucleotide scoring matrices, the method has great sensitivity and specificity when used to locate signals in uncharacterized human genomic DNA. These matrices are especially effective at distinguishing true and false sites.

벨 에포크의 오토 바그너와 구스타프 말러의 상관성에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Interrelationship between Otto Wagner and Gustav Mahler in Belle Epoque)

  • 이홍규;박정란;동정근
    • 한국실내디자인학회논문집
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2005
  • There have been a little attempts to draw analogy between architecture and music. There are many objective and subjective factors for this to be true. If, however, the two arts are out of much the same social conditions, they show a degree of conformity in design and general organization. Our study shows the interrelationship between Otto Wagner and Gustav Mahler in Belle Epoque. In order to clarify the interrelationship between architecture and music, this study examines works of Otto Wagner on the basis of the characteristic of Gustav Mahler. This comparison between Otto Wagner and Gustav Mahler follows : in Belle Epoque, they have the same tendency to 1) the disintegration of historicism, 2) the style of description, 3) the reversion, 4) the giganticness, 5) the change of materials and 6) the proportion.

A Comparative Study on the Similarities of the Korean and the Chinese Southwestern Clothing Style

  • Shim, Hwa-Jin
    • 패션비즈니스
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    • 제6권6호
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    • pp.89-104
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    • 2002
  • In this thesis I have tried to compare the lines, colors and shapes of the Chinese ethnic minorities of the Moi and the Baek who live in the southwestern region of China and that of Korea. From a functional point most of the clothing in this region were separated between a top and a bottom and used colors in the collar, sleeves and lines to emphasize the decorative and pragmatic use of the clothes. The Chinese southwestern dress style had no limits on the use of color or shapes between class and rank. This was also true of the colors and shapes that were used. On the other hand the Koreans, although having the same structure, used different colors and shapes in proportion to the Joe-go-ri and Baji combination and the Jeo-go-ri and Chima combination.

Power Analysis for Tests Adjusted for Measurement Error

  • 허순영
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국데이터정보과학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2003
  • In man cases, the measurement error variances may be functions of the unknown true values or related covariate. In some cases, the measurement error variances increase in proportion to the value of predictor. This paper develops estimators of the parameters of a linear measurement error variance function under stratified multistage random sampling design and additional conditions. Also, this paper evaluates and compares the power of an asymptotically unbiased test with that of an asymptotically biased test. The proposed method are applied to blood sample measurements from the U.S. Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey(NHANES III)

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Change-point Estimation based on Log Scores

  • Kim, Jaehee;Seo, Hyunjoo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.75-86
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    • 2002
  • We consider the problem of estimating the change-point in mean change model with one change-point. Gombay and Huskova(1998) derived a class of change-point estimators with the score function of rank. A change-point estimator with the log score function of rank is suggested and is shown to be involved in the class of Gombay and Huskova(1988). The simulation results show that the proposed estimator has smaller rose, larger proportion of matching the true change-point than the other estimators considered in the experiment when the change-point occurs in the middle of the sample.