• Title/Summary/Keyword: Trend growth

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Long-Term Maximum Power Demand Forecasting in Consideration of Dry Bulb Temperature (건구온파를 오인한 장기최대전력수요예측에 관한 연구)

  • 고희석;정재길
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.34 no.10
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    • pp.389-398
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    • 1985
  • Recently maximum power demand of our country has become to be under the great in fluence of electric cooling and air conditioning demand which are sensitive to weather conditions. This paper presents the technique and algorithm to forecast the long-term maximum power demand considering the characteristics of electric power and weather variable. By introducing a weather load model for forecasting long-term maximum power demand with the recent statistic data of power demand, annual maximum power demand is separated into two parts such as the base load component, affected little by weather, and the weather sensitive load component by means of multi-regression analysis method. And we derive the growth trend regression equations of above two components and their individual coefficients, the maximum power demand of each forecasting year can be forecasted with the sum of above two components. In this case we use the coincident dry bulb temperature as the weather variable at the occurence of one-day maximum power demand. As the growth trend regression equation we choose an exponential trend curve for the base load component, and real quadratic curve for the weather sensitive load component. The validity of the forecasting technique and algorithm proposed in this paper is proved by the case study for the present Korean power system.

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A Study on International Production Sharing and Inbound Globalization - Focusing on the Participation of Small and Medium firms in the GVC based on the Current FDI Trend- (생산의 국제적 분업과 내향적 국제화에 대한 연구 -FDI의 추이 분석을 통한 중소기업 GVC 편입을 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Jong-Il;Lee, Sung-Ah
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.27
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    • pp.101-129
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    • 2008
  • This study introduced the inclusion of Global Value Chain (GVC) as a strategy for the globalization of domestic industries. In addition, this study intended to highlight direct foreign investment as an important opportunity for enhancing the competitiveness of the domestic small and medium firms. That is, globalization could be realized not only through simple capital inflow, but also through domestic industry's participation in the overseas production network. The analysis of the trend and pattern of direct foreign investment revealed that the FDI inflows heavily dependent on the USA and Japan have been diversified steadily over time. In spite of recent decline trend of overall FDI amount, inflows from European countries in machinery and chemical industries have been rising. These rising and diversifying trends in these industries are promising since FDI inflows have the potential of playing an important role in achieving productivity growth of domestic industries, particularly in the area of comparatively fragile industries such as machinery and chemicals. In the same logic, it is crucial for future growth of Korea that the small and medium firms find their competitive edges through strengthening production networks with foreign multi-national companies. Thus, it is suggested that the policy of globalization of small and medium firms should be based on the firm understanding of GVC and FDI pattern of industries.

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A Comparative Study on the Trend of Technological Convergence (기술융합의 세계적 추세와 한국의 현황 비교분석)

  • Lee, June Young;Kim, Dohyun;Ahn, Sejung;Kwon, Oh-Jin;Moon, Yeong-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.222-232
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    • 2013
  • In recent years, 'technological fusion or convergence' has drawn a lot of attention of innovation researchers and governmental policy makers as the driving force of technological innovation and industrial growth. There are, however, few studies on the analysis of longitudinal trends of technological convergence and its comparison between global and national level. In this study, with the citation data of about 18 million articles, we analyzed 1) the growth of representative convergence research areas, 2) the convergence of citing patterns between research fields, and 3) the changing trend of diversity index of all research fields. We conclude that technological convergence in korea shows the relatively strong orientation to the combination of neighboring fields than that of heterogenous fields in comparison to global trend. In particular, the relatively weak activity of cognitive science and the low level of mutual exchange between arts/humanities/social sciences and natural/engineering sciences in Korea are emphasized.

A Study on the Characteristics of the Costumer's Cultural Trend (21세기 소비자 문화 트렌드 특성 연구)

  • Yang, Hee-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Fashion and Costume Design Association
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.199-214
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    • 2012
  • $21^{st}$ century customer is voluntary actor, who has hegemony of communication based on digital surrounding. They are co-creator dismantling boundary between production and spending, and digital homonarrance of digital storyteller acting on the emotion. What is more, they prove the utility of 5 sense, value, experience, and story in market. 20th century Me generation is changing into We generation, who overcomes a sense of alienation and aim at smart life style for harmonious symbiosis with earth environments. Customer cultural trends are as follow as that 1) personalization of taste and experience, 2) spreading and sharing about personal use and experience, 3) consumption centered the value, 4) retreat and healthcare, 5) counter trend comes into the reaction about the forceful major trend. Contemporary customer changes essence of the life on the ground of emotion, symbol, image, and value not a commodity, function, and logos, and demands into change about direction of business to mostly enterprises. Customer's need and desire are on the increase as various emotion and value. Therefore, change of customer cultural trend is barometers for the growth and development of new fashion industry in $21^{st}$ century.

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Fatigue Crack Growth Behavior for Welded Joint of X80 Pipeline Steel

  • Kim, Young-Pyo;Kim, Cheol-Man;Kim, Woo-Sik;Shin, Kwang-Seon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2009
  • The fatigue crack growth behavior of high strength X80 pipeline steel was investigated with compact tension specimens that crack growth directions were aligned either parallel or normal to the rolling direction of the pipeline. Also, the fatigue crack growth rates for welded joint of X80 pipeline steel were investigated with compact tension specimens that crack growth directions were aligned either parallel or normal to the welding line. The experimental results indicated the fatigue crack growth behavior was markedly different in three zones, weld metal, heat affected zone and base metal of welded joints. There was a trend toward increment in the fatigue life of weld metal and heat affected zone as compared with the X80 pipeline steel.

Estimation of Coverage Growth Functions

  • Park, Joong-Yang;Lee, Gye-Min;Kim, Seo-Yeong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.667-674
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    • 2011
  • A recent trend in software reliability engineering accounts for the coverage growth behavior during testing. The coverage growth function (representing the coverage growth behavior) has become an essential component of software reliability models. Application of a coverage growth function requires the estimation of the coverage growth function. This paper considers the problem of estimating the coverage growth function. The existing maximum likelihood method is reviewed and corrected. A method of minimizing the sum of squares of the standardized prediction error is proposed for situations where the maximum likelihood method is not applicable.

Based on the Perspective of Sustainability, the Characteristics of Upcycle Fashion Design (지속가능성의 관점에 기초한 업사이클 패션 디자인의 특성)

  • Kwan, Jung-Suk
    • Fashion & Textile Research Journal
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 2012
  • "Sustainability" and buzzword as in many areas of products produced and studies in progress, in situations of domestic "green fashion" of the Progress and identify problems and advanced in value sustained growth that can be done fashion design, the future of the gauge view there is need. For the purpose of environmental protection and resource conservation of the eco-fashion trend, "recycling" of the low-growth, emphasizing the ethical responsibility to pursue by the aesthetics may be limited in terms of avoided. Environment, most notably an "issue" fashion emerged as a growing, destroying a temporary fashion trend as a "recycling" of the limitations and pro-technology and design of the added value of recombinant and advanced recycling design trends, attracting attention "upcycle" Case of the aesthetic value and spiritual value of the designer by giving understanding and a new aesthetic values to the area you want to raise the possibility of extension.

Technological Trend of Crystallization Research for Bioproduct Separation (Bioproduct 분리를 위한 결정화 연구 동향)

  • Kim, Woo-Sik;Lee, Eun-Kyu
    • KSBB Journal
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.164-176
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    • 2005
  • In bioengineering field, current academic trends and informations on crystallization technology for bioproduct separation were summarized. It is essential for utilizing the crystallization technology to understand the fundamental phenomena of crystallization of crystal nucleation, crystal growth, crystal agglomeration and population balance for the design of crystallizers. In general, the crystal nucleation that the crystalline solids occur from the solution is analyzed by Gibb's free energy change in the aspect of thermodynamics and in the present paper the crystal nucleation models based on the above thermodynamics are summarized by their key characteristics. The crystal growth and agglomeration, which have been studied over 50 years and are essential phenomena for separation technology, are reviewed from their basic concept to most leading edge trend of researches. In the material and population balances for the designs of crystallization separation process, the analysis of crystallizers is summarized. Thereon, the present review paper will academically contribute the understanding the crystallization phenomena and the design of the crystallization separation process.

A Review on the Change of Telecommunication Market in Perspective of Customer (소비자 관점의 통신시장 변화 고찰)

  • Hwang, Min-Woo;Jung, Sang-Ik
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.45-62
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    • 2008
  • This review examines the rapid growth of qualitative and quantitative of telecommunication industry for past couple of years from customer's viewpoint. Most of the telecommunication products were positioned in the market by the businesses and government's support, but the entity of telecommunication products were never interpreted from the user's viewpoint. Even though, various kinds of telecommunication services have been actively discussed by businesses, government, and IT professionals, it has not been sufficiently discussed by the marketing academia where they need to focus a lot on customer's utility. For the purpose of providing an insight of the telecommunication service marketing strategy, this study looked over old and new directions of growth, failure and evolution of services by focusing on two main pillar of communication business, which is high-speed internet and mobile phone service. Additionally, the research explains and mentions the limit and trend of the telecommunication service marketing, and the future research task that needs to be solved.

A study on the application of sports wheelchair materials based on emotional materials (감성 소재 기반의 스포츠 휠체어 소재 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Sung-il
    • Journal of the Korean Crystal Growth and Crystal Technology
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.43-54
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    • 2021
  • This work proposes a process to derive elements of emotional materials based on trend research in the application of materials in product development. It was intended to be applied to the development of a case model, a Korean sports wheelchair, and focused on the material portion of CMF-based research. Through research methodologies such as megatrends, competitor product and part-by-part analysis, and psychological color analysis, we studied optimization, verification, and DBization of materials, and drew the final application plan through FGI verification.