• 제목/요약/키워드: Trend forecast

검색결과 225건 처리시간 0.029초

Justification of eco-friendly organic ginseng products and the product R&D

  • Shin, W.
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제19권spc호
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    • pp.35-38
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    • 2011
  • In order to cope with change of Korean and global consumption trend, it is forecast that GAP cultivated ginseng & its processed products, Organic cultivated ginseng & its processed products, Sanyangsam & its processed products as well as existing white ginseng (products), red ginseng (products), Taekuksam (products), black ginseng (products) will enter into market and customer demands will create new consumption. Eventually, it is considered that the time has come for considering and carrying out together for raw material cultivation and production, research and development of processed products and export and distribution of domestic and overseas market.

수요관리도 (Demand Control Chart)

  • 백시현;홍민선
    • 한국산업정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국산업정보학회 2006년도 춘계 국제학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.235-240
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    • 2006
  • The existing inventory managements bear a relation to forecasting or assumptions. So these methods become more complicated and more expensive systems as time goes. This paper developed a practical inventory system which is called DCC(demand control chart). DCC does not 'forecast' but 'control' the trend of demand without assumptions. According to the trend of sales, DCC adjusts an order quantity considering the capacity of shelf in a store. Specially, DCC is a useful method under FRID system. Besides, this paper introduces EPFR(Every Period Full Replenishment) policy for reducing stocks.

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Forecasting of Stream Qualities in Gumho River by Exponential Smoothing at Gumho2 Measurement Point using Monthly Time Series Data

  • Song, Phil-Jun;Lee, Bo-Ra;Kim, Jin-Yong;Kim, Jong-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.609-617
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    • 2007
  • The goal of this study is to forecast the trend of stream quality and to suggest some policy alternatives in Gumbo river. It used the five different monthly time series data such as BOD, COD, T-N and EC of the nine of Gumbo River measurement points from Jan. 1998 to Dec. 2006. Water pollution is serious at Gumbo2 and Palgeo stream measurement points. BOD, COD, T-N and EC data are analyzed with the exponential smoothing model and the trend is forecasted until Dec. 2009.

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롤프린트(Roll-print) 방식을 이용한 디스플레이의 특허동향(한국, 일본) (Patent Trend Report for Display using Roll-print manufacturing method(KR, JP))

  • 정인성;박지훈
    • 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전기전자재료학회 2007년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.35-35
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    • 2007
  • The roll printing technique is the updated technology which will substitute a existing lithography technique for a field of the display such as LCD, PDP, OLED and FED etc. Currently, the patent trend analysis about research and development of the different enterprises are demanded, because it is forecast that the dominion of display market will be exchanged by research and development result of roll-printing technique. In this presentation, it is analyzed on patent trends applied the roll printing technique for a field of the display such as LCD, PDP, OLED and FED etc in Korea and Japan by the various methods.

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세계 중형 항공기 시장 동향과 전망 (The Trend and forecast of Regional Aircraft market)

  • 장태진
    • 항공우주산업기술동향
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2009
  • 지역 내에서 주로 운항되는 중형항공기 시장은 2001년 이후 전반적인 세계경기 회복기조 속에서 꾸준한 성장을 이어왔으나, 2007년 말 경부터 이어진 세계적인 불경기는 현재 그 미래를 혼란스럽게 하고 있다. 현재까지 리저널 항공기 산업은 항공기의 대형화와 리저널 젯의 확산이 주요 시장 동향으로 나타나고 있었다. 그러나, 유가 급등이나 세계 경제 침체와 같은 상황적 변화는 세계 항공사에 경제적인 타격을 가져왔으며 특히, 1990년대 ERJ-145의 성공으로 중형항공기의 주류를 이루었던 터보젯 기에 대한 회의적인 시각과 함께, 잊혀져가던 터보프롭 중형기가 새로이 주목받기도 하는 등 이는 다시 항공기 제작사 및 이들의 개발 계획에 큰 영향을 끼쳤다. 이에 따라 비록 현재 진행 중인 신규 항공기 개발 계획은 여전히 터보젯 기종이 주를 이루고 있으나, 여러 시장 전망 자료에서는 향후 시장에서 터보프롭기의 비중을 늘리고 있는 현실이다. 본 고에서는 여러 시장 전망 자료를 바탕으로 향후 중형항공기 시장의 변화 방향에 대하여 논하였다.

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An investigation and forecast on CO2 emission of China: Case studies of Beijing and Tianjin

  • Wen, Lei;Ma, Zeyang;Li, Yue;Li, Qiao
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.407-416
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    • 2017
  • $CO_2$ emission is increasingly focused by public. Beijing and Tianjin are conceived to be a new economic point of growth in China. However, both of them are suffering serious environmental stress. In order to seek for the effect of socioeconomic factors on the $CO_2$ emission of this region, a novel methodology -symbolic regression- is adopted to investigate the relationship between $CO_2$ emission and influential factors of Beijing and Tianjin. Based on this method, $CO_2$ emission models of Beijing and Tianjin are built respectively. The models results manifested that Beijing and Tianjin own different $CO_2$ emission indicators. The RMSE of models in Beijing and Tianjin are 255.39 and 603.99, respectively. Further analysis on indicators and forecast trend shows that $CO_2$ emission of Beijing expresses an inverted-U shaped curve, whilst Tianjin owns a monotonically increasing trend. From analytical results, it could be argued that the diversity rooted in different development orientation and the mixture of different natural and industrial environment. This research further expands the investigation on $CO_2$ emission of Beijing and Tianjin region, and can be used for reference in the study of carbon emissions in similar regions. Based on the investigation, several policy suggestions are presented.

Cervical Cancer Mortality Trends in China, 1991-2013, and Predictions for the Future

  • Du, Pei-Ling;Wu, Ku-Sheng;Fang, Jia-Ying;Zeng, Yang;Xu, Zhen-Xi;Tang, Wen-Rui;Xu, Xiao-Ling;Lin, Kun
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권15호
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    • pp.6391-6396
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    • 2015
  • Background: To analyze cervical cancer mortality trends in China from 1991-2013 and forecast the mortality distribution in future five years (2014-2018), and provide clues for prevention and treatment. Materials and Methods: Mortality data for cervical cancer in China from 1991 to 2013 were used to describe the epidemiological characteristics and distribution, including the trend of the standardized mortality rate, urban-rural differences, and age variation. Trend-surface analysis was used to analyze the geographical distribution of mortality. Curve estimation, time series, gray modeling, and joinpoint regression were performed to predict and forecast mortality trends. Results: In recent years, the mortality rate of cervical cancer has increased, and there is also a steady increase in the incidence from 2003 to 2013 in China. Mortality rates in rural areas are higher than in urban areas. The mortality dramatically increases in the 40+ yr age group, reaching a peak in the >85 yr age group. In addition, geographical analysis showed that the cervical cancer mortality increased from the southwest to west-central and from the southeast to northeast of the country. Conclusions: The incidence rate and the mortality rate are increasing from 1991 to 2013, and the predictions show this will continue in the future. Thus, implementation of prevention and management programs for cervical cancer are necessary in China, especially for rural areas, young women in urban areas, and high risk regions (the west-central).

모바일 인터넷 표준 GUI 개발을 위한 사용성 평가 기술 연구 -감성만족도 향상을 위한 디자인 평가 기술 개발을 중심으로- (The Study of Usability Evaluation Method for the Mobile Internet GUI -Based on design evaluation method development for improvement of Emotional satisfaction-)

  • 김종덕;정봉금
    • 디자인학연구
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.253-264
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구의 최종 목표는 모바일 인터넷 서비스의 사용편의성을 높이는 데 있어 그래픽디자인 평가 방법론을 개발하고, 인터페이스 디자인에서의 사용자 니즈(needs)를 예측할 수 있는 측정모델을 개발하며, 평가기반을 시스템화 하는데 있다. 이를 위해 GUI 디자인 평가 방법론의 핵심 내용을 시스템화하여 프로토타입(Prototype) 설계 및 평가과정을 직접 지원하는 UI 설계지원 시스템으로 구현하였다. Small Screen이라는 제한된 display 환경에서는 사용자가 인지의 과부하 없이 단시간에 임무를 완성하도록 조작정보의 흐름을 즉각적이고 함축적인 방법으로 알려줄 수 있는 사용자 중심의 시각언어-이미지를 이용하여야 하며, 또한 UI 설계에 반영함에 있어서는 객관성을 높여야만 한다. 이에 모바일 인터넷의 사용편의성을 체계적으로 평가할 수 있는 디자인 평가 방법론은 매우 중요하며, 특히 사용자의 디자인 니즈 및 트렌드(Trend)를 예측할 수 있는 그래픽디자인 평가모델은 사용자의 감성적인 측면을 인터페이스 디자인에 반영할 수 있다는 특성으로 해서 그 의의가 매우 크다고 할 것이다. 이러한 디자인 평가라는 결과를 토대로 모바일 인터넷 표준 GUI가 설계되었으며, 차후 유비쿼터스(Ubiquitous) 환경의 GUI 개발에도 활용이 될 수 있는 기초가 되었으면 한다.

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A Study on Fashion Collections Colors in Korea, China, and Japan: Focused on Comparison with Trend Colors by Carlin

  • Hong, Hyungmin;Lee, Misuk
    • 패션비즈니스
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.86-99
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze women apparel's colors in the Seoul, Beijing, and Tokyo collections and examine the color characteristics of three collections through comparison with trend colors suggested by Carlin, a color forecasting group. A literature review and an empirical study were used for methodology. The literature review examined the status and characteristics of the three collections, a fashion color forecast, and F/W 2014-15 trend colors by Carlin based on previous researches and literature data on fashion color. The empirical study extracted and analyzed 2014-15 F/W women's ready-to-wear collections in Seoul, Tokyo, and Beijing and compared the result with trend colors by Carlin. First, the colors of women's apparel were analyzed in the Seoul, Beijing, and Tokyo collections. All three collections commonly used achromatic colors and the percentage of Bk, Gy, Wh, R, and B colors was high. All three collections used achromatic colors frequently for the main color and sub colors. For accent colors, while the application of achromatic colors was high in the Seoul collection, the application of chromatic colors was high in the Tokyo and Beijing collections. Second, women's apparel colors in the Seoul, Beijing, and Tokyo collections were compared with trend colors suggested by Carlin. All three collections highly reflected Bk, Wh, and R (Carlin's forecasting color of 'Splendor') and B (forecasting color of 'Boreal'). However, the reflection of metallic colors suggested as a keyword of 'Brave New World' and Pk color of 'Sensitive' and 'Boreal' were a bit low.

패션 주기 이론 구성을 위한 팬츠 스타일 트렌드 분석 -1967~2012년을 대상으로- (The Analysis of Pant Style Trend to Establish a Fashion Cycle Theory: Focus on 1967 to 2012)

  • 김선숙
    • 한국의류학회지
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    • 제37권6호
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    • pp.786-798
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    • 2013
  • This study establishes a fashion theory frame to forecast future fashion cycles of pants through analyzing past fashion cycles of pants through a diachronic method. Pants pictures from 1967-2012, post-industrialized period of Korea were analyzed. Representative pant styles, fashion cycles of pants and the relation of pant styles, length and width were identified. The total of 1006 pictures in fashion magazine published over 46 years were selected and analyzed using PASW 18.0 (statistical program). The results are as follows. For 46 years, representative pant styles were skinny, regular and bell-bottom. The first cycle period was from 1969 to 1992 and lasted 24 years. The second cycle period was from 1993 to 2003 and lasted 11 years. The third cycle is ongoing as of 2004. Fashion cycles have shown a general trend to be shortened. The relation between pant styles, length and width revealed related results; in addition, pant length and width changed significantly in a similar orientation. Fashion marketers can develop successful products using fashion cycle theory from these results.