• 한국의상디자인학회지
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• 제15권4호
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• pp.83-99
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• 2013

This research is a follow-up study about analysis on the many different customer groups and their various culture trend, which intends to realize diverse values depending on the sense. The purpose of this study was to develop direction forecast for the future fashion industry through consideration about the characteristics of contemporary fashion industry by the change of different customer's culture trend. And also try to find solution to survival strategy of fashion fields able to evolve with customer. Change of the customer's cultural trend draws a shift in policy in the 21st fashion industry as follows : 1) mash-up 2) complexation through decentering and blurring 3) invisible and immaterial value oriented 4) expansion of minor small market. Moreover, this shows sociocultural meaning as follows. First is spread of flexible and horizontal relationship through collaborative consumption and collaboration. Second is concentration on floating and indeterminate chance through dismantling of various different fashion categories. Third is formation of the permanent difference by selection and focus. Last is expansion of understanding about cultural-ecology. Customer cultural trend is 'meme' of cultural gene in fashion field, so it intends to co-evolute with customer by continuous change.

• 경영과학
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• 제28권3호
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• pp.143-159
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• 2011

Recently, the level of uncertainty in R&D investment for an enterprise has increased due to technological development and industrial changes. Accordingly it is necessary for an enterprise to forecast the future or foresight the future technologies. But, the fact that the methodology used in predicting future technology is suitable for large project makes enterprise difficult to forecast the future technologies or trends. Thus, this study seeks for available methodology for future technology foresight from enterprise standpoint. The methodology proposed in this research is based on the scenario model, especially focused on the customer needs and future society change.

• 한국추진공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국추진공학회 2009년도 제33회 추계학술대회논문집
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• pp.557-560
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• 2009

현재 운용중인 UAV(Unmanned Aerial Vehicle) 추진기관의 현황 및 추진기관 종류에 따른 장, 단점을 분석하였으며, 차세대 UAV 추진기관의 개발 전망 및 UAV 추진기관에 적용될 가스터빈 엔진의 특성 및 요구조건을 제시하였다.

• 한국시뮬레이션학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국시뮬레이션학회 1998년도 The Korea Society for Simulation 98 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.101-105
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• 1998

A large system predictor, which can perform prediction of sales trend in a huge number of distribution centers, is presented using neural predictive model. There are 20,000 number of distribution centers, and each distribution center need to forecast future demand in order to establish a reasonable inventory policy. Therefore, the number of forecasting models corresponds to the number of distribution centers, which is not possible to estimate that kind of huge number of accurate models in ERP (Enterprise Resource Planning)module. Multilayer neural net as universal approximation is employed for fitting the prediction model. In order to improve prediction accuracy, a sequential simulation procedure is performed to get appropriate network structure and also to improve forecasting accuracy. The proposed simulation procedure includes neural structure identification and virtual predictive model generation. The predictive model generation consists of generating virtual signals and estimating predictive model. The virtual predictive model plays a key role in tuning the real model by absorbing the real model errors. The complement approach, based on real and virtual model, could forecast the future demands of various distribution centers.

• 스마트미디어저널
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• 제5권3호
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• pp.88-92
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• 2016

본 논문에서는 컴퓨터 기술 발전에 있어서 발전 방향을 예측하는 방법을 제안한다. 현재 국내 컴퓨터 기술 연구에 있어서 연구 방법은 시대적 핫이슈에 따라 연구 주제가 결정되는 연구방법을 취하고 있는데 이러한 연구 방법은 단편적 연구 성과밖에 얻을 수 없다. 본 연구는 컴퓨터 기술 연구자들이 연구 주제를 결정할 때 사화적 영향력이 큰 연구 주제를 선정하기 위해서는 컴퓨터 기술 발전의 줄기를 따라가는 연구가 필요하다고 보고, 컴퓨터 기술 발전의 줄기를 잡는 방법을 제안한다. 방법으로는 프로그래밍 언어의 발전 역사 속에 내재된 궤적을 찾아 그 궤적의 연장선에 근거한 발전 방향성을 제시한다.

• 한국인구학
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.87-117
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• 1985

In Principle, the distriction should be understood between projections and forecasts. When the author or user of a projection is willing to describe it as indicating the most likely population at a give date, then he has made a forecast Population change since 1 960 has been reviewed briefly in order to forecast the population of Korea in the year 2,000 which is a leading factor in long term national development plan for which Korea Institute for Population and Health (KIPH) has been participated since 1983. The author of this paper introduced the population forecast prepared for the long term national development plan and an attempt of comparisons with other forecasts such as D.P. Smith's, T. Frejka's, Economic Planning Board's (EPB), UN's and S.B. Lee's was made. Those six forecasts of Korean future population in year 2,000 varried from 48.5 million to 50.0 million due to the base population and assumption of fertility and mortality however the range of total population size is not large enough. Taking four forecasts such as KIPH, EPB, UN, and Lee based on 1980 population census results and latest data of fertility and mortality, KIPH and UN forecast are close in total population size even though there was a slight difference in fertility and mortality assumptions. The smallest size of total population was shown by S.B. Lee (see Table 13) although the difference between KIPH and Lee was approximately one million which is two percent of total population in year 2,000. As a summary of conclusion the author pointed out that one can take anyone of forecasts prepared by different body because size and proportion wise of the Korean population until early I 990s can not be different much and new population projections must be provided by using 1985 population census data and other latest fertility and mortality information coflected by Korea Institute for Population and Health and Economic Planning Board in forth comming year.

• 한국정보통신학회논문지
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• 제19권5호
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• pp.1110-1116
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• 2015

본 논문에서는 정보보안에 대한 글로벌 연구 트렌드에 대한 분석을 다룬다. 정보를 이용하는 모든 분야에서 보안을 필요로 하기 때문에, 새롭게 생성되거나 급격하게 발전하는 분야를 발굴하는 것이 정보보안의 방향을 설정하는 것이 될 수 있다. 이에 본 연구의 목적은 정보보안과 관련한 기술들을 파악하고, 이들을 트렌드 관점에서 해석함으로써 향후를 전망해보고자 한다. 현재의 수준은 거시적 관점에서의 분석을 위한 초기 연구로써, 기술들 사이의 연도별 공기정보를 이용하여 2001년부터 2014년까지의 연관성을 측정하고, 상위 연관 기술 자체의 트렌드와 상호 비교하여 그 의미를 분석하였다. 결론적으로는 안드로이드 플랫폼, 빅데이터, 사물인터넷, 모바일 분야, 클라우드 컴퓨팅이 정보보안에 유망한 기술 분야라 할 수 있다.

• 경영과정보연구
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• 제2권
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• pp.23-46
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• 1998

In this paper, comparative and analysis of multimedia author tools for to proper compatible multimedia author tools on multimedia author tools function and usage, and which breach of contract each author tools specific property prepare to forecast future multimedia expansion trend on information technology expansion. Multimedia essential element is hardware(storage, digital video, CD), software, sound, hypertext and hypermedia etc. Analysis criteria of multimedia author tools is programming environment, which are card, script, icon, time method.

• 한국전자거래학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전자거래학회 2001년도 e-Biz World Conference
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• pp.499-520
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• 2001

◈ B2B e-commerce is set to grow significantly in the next 5 years ◈ There is a growing trend towards leveraging the information asset to win new business in the Maintenance, Repair and Overhaul (MRO) market ◈ After-market service is forecast to be a significant element of the B2B market ◈ Existing standards do not fully address the product support requirement ◈ PLCS standards will allow support information to be aligned with the changing product over its entire life cycle ◈ Adoption of PLCS standard will lead to reduced operating costs and increased product availability.(omitted)

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제15권3호
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• pp.37-59
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• 2014

This paper is to study dynamics of populations of religions. As human population is a crucial source of social dynamics, the religious population is a driving force that changes political and cultural landscape of society. Although many christian scholars have reported important causal factors in changing population of christian world, there are few studies on the dynamics of religious population in system dynamics. This paper interprets these dynamic mechanisms in terms of feedback loops and constructs a basic system dynamic model to forecast future trend of religious population in Korean society.