• Title/Summary/Keyword: Tree Scenario

Search Result 100, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

The Quantitative Risk Analysis in Rail Transport of Propylene (프로필렌의 철도 수송에 따른 정량적 위험성 평가)

  • Lee, Jae-Hean;Song, Dong-Woo;Lee, Su-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
    • /
    • v.14 no.5
    • /
    • pp.38-44
    • /
    • 2010
  • This treatise analyzed the risk of propylene transported by railroad through quantitative analysis. As a result of survey on propylene transportation route, Iksan station, Suncheon station and Jeonju station were selected as object regions those were expected to have high accident risks. This treatise deduced the scenario of accident and the occurrence rate in accordance with the type of accident possibly to be happening during propylene transportation through ETA( Event Tree Analysis), and expressed the level of personal, social risks after calculating the level of demage influencing over surroundings based on the evaluation for the expected accident damage through PHAST 6.53.

Consequence Analysis of Gas Explosion in LPG Vessel Retail Store Which is Located around Apartment Complex (LPG 판매소에서 가스 폭발이 주위 아파트에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Lee Su-Kyung;Bae Young-Bum;Oh Jeong-Gyu
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
    • /
    • v.10 no.3 s.32
    • /
    • pp.48-53
    • /
    • 2006
  • In case of fire and explosion which resulted from LP gas release of LPG vessel retail store, the populated area such as apartment complex is supposed to be damaged either partially or totally. To estimate the damage of LP gas explosion, we conducted quantitative risk analysis procedure as has been recommended by AIChE/CCPS. For incident scenario selection, event tree analysis was proposed. TNT equivalent method, SAFER Trace v.8.0 and probit model were also used for consequence analysis. The various methods and analyses which were performed in this study are presented with the effect zones in the layout.

  • PDF

New Animal Phylogeny (새로운 동물계통)

  • Kim, Chang-Bae;Kim, Won
    • Animal Systematics, Evolution and Diversity
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.263-275
    • /
    • 2001
  • Animal phyla in the traditional animal phylogeny were organized into an order of increasing body plan complexity, which was based on the similarities in early embryonic stages. Molecular phylogeny mainly by 18S rRNA data provides recently re-evaluation of the traditional evolutionary scenario. The current molecular-based view of animal relationships strongly suggest the burst of two groups regraded as intermediate grades of body complexity in the traditional concept and displacement of them into higher positions in the tree. The new animal tree provides a framework within new picture of bilaterian ancestor could be drawn, and comparative developmental and genomic data to be interpreted.

  • PDF

Availability Analysis of Safety Devices installed for Preventing Accidental Event in the LPG Refuelling Station (LPG충전소 안전장치의 사고방지 효과에 대한 정량적 분석)

  • Lee Jin-Han;Yu Kwang-Soo;Park Kyo-Shik
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
    • /
    • v.10 no.1 s.30
    • /
    • pp.26-31
    • /
    • 2006
  • For the purpose of evaluating the availability of manifold safety devices installed in the LPG(Liquefied Petroleum Gas) refuelling stations, the quantitative analysis of the frequency on BLEVE(Boiling Liquid Expanding Vapor Explosion) scenario was performed. The amount of frequency reduction was the way of assessing safety devices availability. In this analysis, we could find out what sorts of safety devices are essential to satisfy acceptable social risk criteria and are prioritized to install in the future.

  • PDF

A Study on Risk Assessment for Fire Onboard a Naval Vessel (해군함정 화재 위험도 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon, Gae-Ryong;Kim, Dong-Jin
    • Fire Science and Engineering
    • /
    • v.22 no.5
    • /
    • pp.35-42
    • /
    • 2008
  • With the huge navy projects such KDX-III, LPX, bigger and more complicated vessel constructions are being underway in navy. In this paper, considering these trends, we performed a risk analysis on the navy vessel for the fatality of soldiers on board and presented the risk level with FN curve. Assuming a fire occurs in one of the soldier bedrooms, we established event tree to visualize the possible development scenarios and calculated the fatality for each scenario. The critical condition to survive inside the bedroom was obtained through CFAST program.

Fuzzy Reliability Analysis Models for Maintenance of Bridge Structure Systems (교량구조시스템의 유지관리를 위한 퍼지 신뢰성해석 모델)

  • 김종길;손용우;이증빈;이채규;안영기
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
    • /
    • 2003.10a
    • /
    • pp.103-114
    • /
    • 2003
  • This paper aims to propose a method that helps maintenance engineers to evaluate the damage states of bridge structure systems by using a Fuzzy Fault Tree Analysis. It may be stated that Fuzzy Fault Tree Analysis may be very useful for the systematic and rational fuzzy reliability assessment for real bridge structure systems problems because the approach is able to effectively deal with all the related bridge structural element damages in terms of the linguistic variables that incorporate systematically experts experiences and subjective judgement. This paper considers these uncertainties by providing a fuzzy reliability-based framework and shows that the identification of the optimum maintenance scenario is a straightforward process. This is achieved by using a computer program for LIFETIME. This program can consider the effects of various types of actions on the fuzzy reliability index profile of a deteriorating structures. Only the effect of maintenance interventions is considered in this study. However. any environmental or mechanical action affecting the fuzzy reliability index profile can be considered in LIFETIME. Numerical examples of deteriorating bridges are presented to illustrate the capability of the proposed approach. Further development and implementation of this approach are recommended for future research.

  • PDF

Estimation of Accident Probability for Dynamic Risk Assessment (동적 위험 분석을 위한 사고확률 추정 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Byeong-Cheol Park;Chae-Og Lim;In-Hyuk Nam;Sung-Chul Shin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
    • /
    • v.26 no.2_2
    • /
    • pp.315-325
    • /
    • 2023
  • Recently, various dynamic risk analysis methods have been suggested for estimating the risk index by predicting the possibility of accidents and damage. It is necessary to maintain and support the safety system for responding to accidents by continuously updating the probability of accidents and the results of accidents, which are quantitative standards of ship risk. In this study, when a LNG leakage that may occur in the LN G Fuel Gas Supply System (FGSS) room during LN G bunkering operation, a reliability physical model was prepared by the change in monitoring data as physical parameters to estimate the accident probability. The scenario in which LNG leakage occur were configured with FT (Fault Tree), and the coefficient of the covariate model and Weibull distribution was estimated based on the monitoring data. The possibility of an LNG leakage, which is the top event of FT, was confirmed by changes in time and monitoring data. A method for estimating the LNG leakage based on the reliability physical analysis is proposed, which supports fast decision-making by identifying the potential LNG leakage at the accident.

The Relationship Between Tree Radial Growth and Topographic and Climatic Factors in Red Pine and Oak in Central Regions of Korea (중부지방 소나무와 참나무류의 반경생장량과 지형, 기후 인자의 관계)

  • Byun, Jae-Gyun;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Nor, Dae-Kyun;Kim, Sung-Ho;Choi, Jung-Kee;Lee, Young-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
    • /
    • v.99 no.6
    • /
    • pp.908-913
    • /
    • 2010
  • This study analyzed the impact of climatic and topographic factors on tree radial growth of Pinus densiflora and Quercus spp. in central regions of Korea. To find the relationship between annual tree radial growth and climatic factors, we took the core samples from individual trees and measured the tree radial width. On the assumption that the tree radial growth is related to the tree age, we estimated the radial growth by the tree age as an independent variable. Also, we estimated the standard growth, defined as the radial growth of trees aged 30. As results, we found the spatial auto-correlation in the radial growth of the red pine. Moreover, we also found the relationships between climatic and topographic and the standard growth using the GAM (Generalized Additive Model). Increase of temperature has negative impacts on the radial growth of Pinus densiflora, while it has positive impacts on the radial growth of Quercus spp.. On the other hands, increase of precipitation has negative impacts on the radial growth of both species. Lastly, we predicted the spatial distribution changes of Pinus densiflora and Quercus spp. using the temperature increase scenario and the Geographic Information System (GIS) based forest type map. We could predict that Pinus densiflora is more vulnerable than Quercus spp. to climate change so that the habitats of Pinus densiflora will be gradually changed to the habitats of Quercus spp. in eastern coastal and southern regions of Korea after 60 years.

Development of the Spatial Indexing Method for the Effective Visualization of BIM data based on GIS (GIS 기반 BIM 데이터의 효과적 가시화를 위한 공간인덱싱 기법 개발)

  • Kim, Ji-Eun;Kang, Tae-Wook;Hong, Chang-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.15 no.8
    • /
    • pp.5333-5341
    • /
    • 2014
  • Recently, with the increasing interest in facility management based on indoor spatial information, various studies have been attempted to manage facility conversion between BIM and GIS. Visualization of the geometry data for a large-scale is one of the major issues to the maintenance system. Therefore, this study designed the spatial indexing algorithm through an IFC schema-based scenario for the effective visualization of BIM data based on GIS. A part of the algorithm was developed implementing the OcTree structure and this research has a test for the developed output with IFC sample data. Ultimately, we propose the spatial indexing method for the effective visualization of BIM data based on GIS.

Analysing the Relationship Between Tree-Ring Growth of Pinus densiflora and Climatic Factors Based on National Forest Inventory Data (국가산림자원조사 자료를 활용한 소나무 연륜생장과 기후인자와의 관계분석)

  • Lim, Jong-Hwan;Park, Go Eun;Moon, Na Hyun;Moon, Ga Hyun;Shin, Man Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
    • /
    • v.106 no.2
    • /
    • pp.249-257
    • /
    • 2017
  • This study was conducted to analyze the relationship between tree-ring growth of Pinus densiflora and climate factors based on national forest inventory(NFI) data. Annual tree-ring growth data of P. densiflora collected by the $5^{th}$ NFI were first organized to analyze yearly growth patterns of the species. Yearly growing degree days and standard precipitation index based on daily mean temperature and precipitation data from 1951 to 2010 were calculated. Using the information, yearly temperature effect index(TEI) and precipitation effect index(PEI) were estimated to analyze the effect of climate conditions on the tree-ring growth of the species. A tree-ring growth estimation equation appropriate for P. densiflora was then developed by using the TEI and PEI as independent variables. The tree-ring growth estimation equation was finally applied to the climate change scenarios of RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 for predicting the changes in tree-ring growth of P. densiflora from 2011 to 2100. The results indicate that tree-ring growth of P. densiflora is predicted to be decreased over time when the tree-ring growth estimation equation is applied to the climate change scenarios of RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. It is predicted that the decrease of tree-ring growth over time is relatively small when RCP 4.5 is applied. On the other hand, the steep decrease of tree-ring growth was found in the application of RCP 8.5, especially after the year of 2050. The results of this study are expected to provide valuable information necessary for estimating local growth characteristics of P. densiflora and for predicting changes in tree-ring growth patterns caused by climates change.