• 대한교통학회지
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• 제34권5호
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• pp.421-436
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• 2016

민간투자사업은 많은 프로젝트 개발 비용이 투입되며, 관리운영기간 동안의 미래 수입을 통하여 투자비를 회수하는 구조로 추진된다. 일반적으로 긴 관리운영기간은 민간사업자의 더 많은 수입을 가져가게 하고 짧은 관리운영기간은 민간사업자의 수입회수 기간이 짧아져 더 적은 수입을 가져가게 된다. 관리운영기간의 설정은 민간투자사업의 중요 요인임에도 불구하고 전통적으로 정부가 사전에 결정하거나 민간이 제안한 기간으로 결정되고 있다. 특히 교통분야 사업에서 관리운영기간의 설정은 정확한 교통량 예측이 전제되어야 하나, 교통량 예측은 실제 교통량과 차이가 발생하는 등 위험 및 불확실성이 뒤따른다. 따라서 정부 및 민간사업자는 관리운영기간 설정시 교통량 예측 위험을 고려할 필요가 있다. 본 연구는 도로사업에 있어 교통량 위험을 고려한 적정 관리운영기간을 설정하는 모형을 제시하였다. 이를 위해 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션 기법을 적용하였으며, 시뮬레이션 과정에서 교통량 위험은 확률 분포(single probability distribution)와 확률 과정(stochastic process)을 함께 고려하였다. 본 연구에서 제시한 방법론 및 시뮬레이션 모형을 바탕으로 모의 분석을 수행하였다. 모의 분석 결과 기대수익률 7%인 경우, 평균 관리운영기간은 21.2년으로 산정되었으며, 정부의 할인율 5.5%를 적용한 경우 관리운영기간은 평균 17.2년으로 산정되었다. 그 밖에 도출된 통계량은 다각적인 해석을 통해 민간투자사업 관련 의사결정자들이 관리운영기간을 설정함에 있어 직관에 의존하거나 동일한 운영기간을 적용하기보다는 객관적이고 합리적인 관리운영기간 설정하도록 도움을 줄 것으로 기대된다.

• 환경영향평가
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• 제12권3호
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• pp.137-150
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• 2003

This study aims to survey whether local governments have legislated laws and regulations on environment impact assessment system, to compare and analyze specific projects and their scale, assessment items, and procedures & discussion process, to identify issues and generate improvement plans, and to suggest a direction for future legislation to local governments that plan to legislate laws and regulations in the future. Major outcome of the study are as follows. First, terminologies used for environment impact assessment by local governments need to be unified. Also, laws and regulations need to be legislated soon. Second, in "urban development project" areas, a total of nine project areas including "quarrying of soil and stone, sand, gravel, and minerals" was essential common projects. A total of six project types were added or newly established compared to national systems. Among them, four project types were added within national-level project areas and two project types were not available under the national-level project areas and newly added due to the nature of local governments. Third, in terms of project scale, scale enhancement of "urban development project" was most common. Analysis showed that in case of clean natural environment such as Cheju Island, it is necessary to consider reinforcing project areas where development activities take place directly in forests or rivers such as "industrial base and complex development", "water resource development", and "development of tourism complex." Fourth, the discussion and review procedures of assessment reports were similar to those at government level. However, in case of Seoul city, it is required to write a "preparation plan" before drafting an assessment report. The city features partial introduction of scoping and screening, which allows to exempt discussion procedures if impact on environment is found to be minimal after drafting the assessment report. In case of national-level, it has a dual system that is split between Ministry of Construction and Transportation and Ministry of Environment. However, in case of environment impact assessment of local governments, it is a single system where city mayors and provincial governors are in charge of both project execution and environmental assessment. Therefore, the most important task is how to satisfy objectiveness and accountability.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제44권4호
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• pp.76-84
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• 2021

Military aircraft R&D projects require large-scale investment in cost and time, and involve a complex coordination process in decision-making. The R&D project manager should determine the development management priorities as accurately as possible and focus on R&D capabilities, thereby reducing the risks of the aircraft R&D project. To this end, this study aims to reduce R&D risk by prioritizing cost, schedule, and performance, which are basic management factors used in R&D project management in defense project management regulations. Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is applied using a questionnaire for managers in charge of aviation R&D under the Defense Acquisition Program Administration. As a primary result, the importance of the factors that the aircraft R&D project manager should consider was derived in the order of performance, cost, and schedule, and the priorities of performance and cost in the lower layer were also identified. In addition, in order to provide practical risk management measures to aircraft R&D project managers, the results of analyzing 28 cases of US National Transportation Safety Board accidents were compared and analyzed with the AHP analysis results, and management measures suitable for the situation were specified.

• 공학교육연구
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.55-64
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• 2022

In this paper, the characteristics of peer-evaluation and self-evaluation of team activity participation in project-based learning and their usability were investigated. The characteristics of peer-evaluation and self-evaluation are as follows. First, in peer-evaluation and self-evaluation of project-based learning, the correlation between the two evaluation scores was very high. When students' scores from their peers correlate very well with the scores they give themselves, it means that they apply the same criteria to their peers and to themselves when evaluating team activity. Second, there was no difference in peer-evaluation and self-evaluation scores between groups with different written test scores. The fact that peer-evaluation and self-evaluation scores do not change according to academic ability shows that the two evaluation areas are independent. Third, the self-evaluation score in project-based learning is statistically significantly higher than the score received from peers. This raises doubts about the fairness of self-evaluation. Therefore, in this paper, it is suggested that self-evaluation of team activities in project-based learning is carried out together with peer-evaluation, but only peer-evaluation is reflected in credits.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 9th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.543-550
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• 2022

The U.S. Department of Energy conducts the Solar Decathlon competition as a student-based achievement that encourages sustainable design with energy efficiency and solar energy technologies. In the 2020 competition, the University of Nevada, Las Vegas (UNLV) team designed, fabricated, and constructed a net-zero modular house that applies innovative and highly efficient building technologies. This paper focused on the lessons learned during the early phases of this ongoing modular project. The research methodology included obtaining feedback from key project participants using a well-structured questionnaire. The results showed that the major items/challenges in the project's planning phase included selecting the modular size, planning the construction system, planning the materials and procurement, estimating costs and duration, selecting a fabricator, collaboration and communication, safety, and planning module transportation. These findings will help modular practitioners and future Solar Decathlon competition participants better understand how and what factors they should consider most during the early phases through the lessons learned.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.31-42
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• 2006

본 연구는 도로안전개선사업의 공간적범위 (지점단위/구간단위)에 따른 도로안전시설물의 효과도 비교를 목적으로 한다. 분석자료는 전라북도 지역 국도를 대상으로 사고잦은지점개선사업과 국도17호선 구간안전개선사업 시행도로에 대한 사전 사후 사고자료와 도로 교통특성자료를 이용하였다 경험적베이즈기법(Empirical Bayes ; EB)을 이용한 시설물별 효과도 산정모형을 구축하고, 비교를 위해서는 승산비 (Odds Ratio)를 이용하여 상대효과도 산정기법을 제시하였다. 분석결과 구간사업에서 설치한 안전시설물이 지점단위 개선사업보다 상대적으로 $7.09%{\sim}77.27%$ 안전성을 개선시키는 것으로 나타났다. 사업의 공간적 범위에 상관없이 구간특성을 가지는 시설물인 중앙분리대와 가드레일은 상대효과도가 크지 않게 나타났으나, 대표적인 지점설치 시설물인 갈매기표지나 미끄럼방지포장 등은 구간사업에서 그 상대효과도가 매우 크게 나타나 향후 시설물 설치시 구간측면에서 고려가 필요함을 알 수 있었다. 이와 같은 연구결과를 토대로 보았을 때 향후 안전시설물 설치와 같은 도로안전개선사업은 구간단위 사업이 확대되어야 할 것으로 보인다.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2006년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.1029-1036
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• 2006

South and North Koreas are putting forth efforts to overcome the distrust and animosity of the past 50 years to open an era of harmony and cooperation where the two halves can work together for mutual benefits. As part of those efforts, both parties are working now to reconnect the railways between the North and the South that remained broken for the past 60 years. In addition, the restoration of Trans-Korean railway paves the way for the "Silk Road Railway" which links European continent to Asian regions and Pacific Rim. The restoration project acts as a conduit for cooperation within in the Northeast Asian continent, hence, an important tool for facilitating peace and prosperity within the Northeast Asian region. Notably, the Railway project is regarded as the cardinal future-oriented peace building project for cultivating constructive, cooperative relations (Trans-Korean Railway and Trans-Asian Railway works) by stimulating human resources and commodity flows through railroad transportations. Northeast Asian region takes on a similar instance to the unification of European continent through its astounding development in railroad transportation, i.e., the international re-construction of Railroad lines will act as a catalyst to link Eurasian areas into one regional community for cooperation and peace. At present, the government is creating a momentum to bind trans-Eurasian railroad works and an initiative for "Northeast Asia Railroad networks and consultative organization". The South Korean administration paves the way to develop railroad network within South-North Korean, Russia and Eurasian region. It also fosters railroad cooperation with China for people and goods transports. To achieve such objectives, the project requires wide publicity and cross-border cooperation from concerned countries. The blueprint would have to be drafted up for Northeast Asian railroad train demonstration runs, Northeast Asian transportation agreements, with a bid to promote constitute Northeast Asian Railroad Consultation body. Moreover, the government would also have to prepare both, a draft of the linkage and the mandated standardized proposal.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 9th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.967-974
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• 2022

It is no news that Nigeria's infrastructure challenge is enormous. In the global ranking, Nigeria ranked low in quantity and quality of its infrastructural provision which has a great impact on the ease of business transaction. Low investments in transportation have brought about the current infrastructural deficit. Recently, the Nigerian government has made effort to address at least to some extent the infrastructural deficit through Public-Private Partnership, but this has not yielded the desired result. Moreover, the sustainability issues relating to railway projects such as, emissions, noise pollution, ecosystem, and other environmental issues calls for urgent attention. Hence, this necessitated consideration on sustainability appraisal for the Chinese rail project in Nigeria. This study reviews sustainability of railway projects built by the Chinese firm in Nigeria with particular emphasis on the environmental and social impact of these projects. The study further identified issues and challenges in project implementation with a particular focus on civil dialogue and community engagements. A detailed literature search was conducted on railway projects and infrastructure by systematically reviewing selected published articles.The analysis of the selected articles identified sustainability issues and potential for improvement of Chinese railway projects and how they contribute to or inhibit competitiveness in the Nigerian railway market. From the literature searched, some of the projects constructed by Chinese firm revealed that there is economic and social impact of railway projects delivered by the Chinese firm in terms of capacity development and knowledge transfer potentiality. For instance, in the just concluded Lagos-Ibadan railway projects, the study gathered that the project brought about 5000 jobs and local staff were trained by the Chinese company, this will boost man power and local content capability. Also, it will significantly improve Nigeria's infrastructure and boost its economic development. The study suggests that Nigerian government should ensure and provide an enabling environment that is conducive for investment on the continent. Peace, improved security, and decent governance are the best conditions for sustainable transportation growth.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제39권4호
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• pp.72-80
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• 2016

The market size of plant projects in overseas is so large that domestic EPC project contractors are actively seeking the overseas projects and then trying to meet completion plans since successful fulfillment of these projects can provide great opportunities for them to expand into new foreign markets. International EPC projects involve all of the uncertainties common to domestic projects as well as uncertainties specific to foreign projects including marine transportation, customs, regulations, nationality, culture and so on. When overseas project gets off-schedule, the resulting uncertainty may trigger unexpected exceptions and then critical effects to the project performance. It usually require much more time and costs to encounter these exceptions in foreign sites compared to domestic project sites. Therefore, an exception handling approach is required to manage exceptions effectively for successful project progress in foreign project sites. In this research, we proposed a methodology for prediction and evaluation of exceptions caused by risks in international EPC projects based on sensitivity analysis and Bayesian Networks. First, we identified project schedule risks and related exceptions, which may meet during the fulfillment of foreign EPC projects that is performed in a sequence of engineering, procurement, preparatory manufacture, foreign shipping, construction, inspection and modification activities, and affect project performance, using literature review and expert interviews. The impact of exceptions to the schedule delay were also identified. Second, we proposed a methodology to predict the occurrence of exceptions caused by project risks and evaluate them. Using sensitivity analysis, we can identify activities that critically affect schedule delay and need to focus by priority. Then, we use Bayesian Networks to predict and evaluate exceptions. Third, we applied the proposed methodology to an international EPC project example to validate the proposed approach. Finally, we concluded the research with the further research topics. We expect that the proposed approach can be extended to apply in exception management in project management.

• 한국도로학회논문집
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• 제15권3호
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• pp.169-176
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• 2013

PURPOSES : Lots of criticism such as over/duplication investment, inconsistency of the policies among local governments and national plans etc. has been aroused due to the policy of supply-driven construction for transportation facilities. Recently, according to the environmental-friendly transportation policy, the investment of railroad has been expanded gradually, however the duplication with existing road facility makes it difficult to construct railroad. Thus it is necessary to evaluate the interrelationship between new project and existing facilities in the planning stage. However the method and the criteria for analyzing the duplication and over-investment of projects are not established in the manual, thus the feasibility of these projects are carried out from the economic point of view. METHODS: First, It reviewed about interrelationship criteria(domestic, overseas) and proposed implications and this study directions. Next, It developed the methods of evaluating independency, competitiveness and complementarity. RESULTS : In this study, the methods of evaluating independency, competitiveness and complementarity etc. are suggested to analyze the interrelationship between transportation facilities. The case study was carried out to examine the applicability of the methods. CONCLUSIONS: The methods raise rationality of decision-making compared to existing one. In the future, these methods are introduced into the manual of pre-feasibility study and feasibility study, more efficient decision-making and investment are expected.