• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.1-12
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• 2017

Traffic accidents are caused by a combination of human factors, vehicle factors, and environmental factors. In the case of traffic accidents where rental cars are involved, the possibility and the severity of traffic accidents are expected to be different from those of other traffic accidents due to the unfamiliar environment of the driver. In this study, we developed a model to forecast the severity of rental car accidents by using Naive Bayes classifier for Busan, Gangneung, and Jeju city. In addition, we compared the prediction accuracy performance of two models where one model uses the variables of which statistical significance were verified in a prior study and another model uses the entire available variables. As a result of the comparison, it is shown that the prediction accuracy is higher when using the variables with statistical significance.

• Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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• v.26 no.4
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• pp.134-140
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• 2000

The increase in traffic is a worldwide phenomenon. In Korea, it has been increased by 20% per annual in recent 1990’s and approximately 10 millions cars had been registered until 1997. This traffic could easily affect and contribute the local outdoor air quality(QAQ) concerned. The QAQ in highway in one of the examples and the subject in this study. The seoul tollgate located at the north-end of Keypngbu Highway was selected for the study. In case of highway tollgate, the local air pollution could be directly affected by the traffic to approach, wait and start the tollgate. Nitrogen dioxide (NO$_2$) concentration exceeded the EAQS(Environmental Air Quality Standards), but overall indoor air quality was a little better than the outdoor air quality. The measured TSP concentration was much higher than that of the EAQS. To apply a management to a air quality problem of Seoul tollgate, it was predicted air quality with traffic volume and weather condition. It was calculated NO$_2$ emission with traffic volume and predicted in and out of booth by CALINE3 at the Seoul tollgate. To make a comparison between measured and predicted concentration, the prediction was good. It was shown that NO$_2$ concentration was high in the morning at the from Seoul direction and in the evening at the to Seoul direction. it was thought that NO$_2$ concentration variation was reflected according to the traffic volume.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2018.10a
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• pp.362-364
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• 2018

Predicting network traffic volume has become a popular topic recently due to its support in many situations such as detecting abnormal network activities and provisioning network services. Especially, predicting the volume of the next upcoming traffic from the series of observed recent traffic volume is an interesting and challenging problem. In past, various techniques are researched by using time series forecasting methods such as moving averaging and exponential smoothing. In this paper, we propose a long short-term memory neural network (LSTM) based network traffic volume prediction method. The proposed method employs the changing rate of observed traffic volume, the corresponding time window index, and a seasonality factor indicating the changing trend as input features, and predicts the upcoming network traffic. The experiment results with real datasets proves that our proposed method works better than other time series forecasting methods in predicting upcoming network traffic.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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• 2004.05a
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• pp.527-534
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• 2004

This study is a paper relating to between road traffic noise(RTN) and sound power level(PWL). At present to prediction of RTN is used to many experimental models and prediction methods. RTN is computed PWL using existing experimental models and prediction methods. Then, computed PWL is compared with it of measurement value, in them, it is selected model most similar to measurement value. And then, this results will watch for make Noise Map, as application field applied to computed results.

• Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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• v.12 no.3
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• pp.236-242
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• 2002

This paper presents some advanced and supplemental methods to enhance the accuracy In case of calculating geometric divergence attenuation, attenuation by multiple screening structures, ground attenuation at unflat surfaces of sound during propagation outdoors by the methods specified in ISO 9613-2. Moreover, a calculation method for considering short-term wind effect, specified in ASJ Model-1998, is also introduced. To verity the accuracy of adopted methods, we have carried out highway traffic noise prediction and measurement at tile twelve locations appearing representative road shapes and structures, such as flat, retained cut, elevated, barrier-constructed roads. From the results, we have confirmed the predicted results show good correspondence with the measured at direct, diffracted and reflected sound fields within 30 m from the center of near side lane.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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• v.24 no.3
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• pp.48-54
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• 2016

This paper proposes a prediction model of air traffic controller's take-off clearance under mixed mode runway operations. The proposed model has its purpose on the better prediction of the air traffic controller's clearance on take-offs of departure aircraft by considering various factors. For this purpose, support vector machine classification algorithm is used for the proposed model. The proposed model is applied to real air traffic operations to demonstrate its performances.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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• v.34 no.5
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• pp.144-152
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• 2019

According to the National Police Agency, point-to-point speed enforcement system is being installed and operated in 97 sections across the country. It is more effective than other enforcement systems in terms of stabilizing the traffic flow and inhibiting the kangaroo effect. But it is only 5.1% of the total enforcement systems. The National Police Agency is also aware that its operation ratio is very low and it is necessary to expand point-to-point speed enforcement system. Hence, this study aims to provide the expansion basis of the point-to-point speed enforcement operation through analysis of the quantitative effects and development the accident prediction model. Firstly, this study analyzed the effectiveness of point-to-point speed enforcement system. Naive before-after study and comparison group method(C-G Method) were used as methodologies of analyzing the effectiveness. The result of using the naive before-after study was significant. Total accidents, EPDOs and casualty crashes decreased by 42.15%, 70.64% and 45.30% respectively. And average speed and the ratio of exceeding speed limit decreased by 6.92% and 20.50%p respectively. Moreover, using the C-G method total accidents, EPDOs and casualty crashes decreased by 31.35%, 66.62% and 10.04% respectively. And average speed and the ratio of exceeding speed limit decreased by 3.49% and 56.65%p respectively. Secondly, this study developed a prediction model for the probability of casualty crash. It was dependant on factors of traffic volume, ratio of exceeding speed limit, ratio of heavy vehicle, ratio of curve section, and presence of point-to-point speed enforcement. Finally, this study selected the most danger sections to the major highway and evaluated proper installation sections to the recent installation section by applying the accident prediction model. The results of this study are expected to be useful in establishing the installation standards for the point-to-point speed enforcement system.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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• 2007.05a
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• pp.882-886
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• 2007

People living in the large cities are exposed to high level noise due to road-traffic, railway-traffic and aircraft. Nowadays, some researches are ongoing to reduce the noise by using noise map. However it has to be decided which prediction model is the most suitable in Korea. In this study, it has been focused on railway noise prediction models which are employed in a commercial software(Sound Plan) and developed by Korea Railroad Research Institute, and comparative study of the prediction models has been made.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.5 no.2
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• pp.73-80
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• 1987

Various procedures for evaluation of traffic noise annoyance have been proposed. However, most of the studies of this type are restricted for improving traffic flow. In this paper, a method to predict the road traffic noise is proposed in terms of equivalent continuous A-Weighted sound pressure level (Leq), based on a probability model. First, distribution of the road traffic noise level are investigated. second, the weibull distribution parameters are estimated by using the quantification theory. Finally, a prediction model of the road traffic noise is proposed based on the weibull distribution model The predicted values of the Leq are closely matched the measured data.

• The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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• v.6 no.10
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• pp.2779-2789
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• 1999

In this paper, we propose a new neural Buffered Leaky Bucket algorithm for preventing the degradation of network performance caused by congestion and dealing with the traffic congestion in ATM networks. We networks. We justify the validity of the suggested method through performance comparison in aspects of cell loss rate and mean transfer delay under a variety of traffic conditions requiring the different QoS(Quality of Service). also, the cell scheduling algorithms such as DWRR and DWEDF used for multiplexing the incoming traffics are induced to get the delay time of the traffics fairly. The network congestion information from cell scheduler is used to control the predicted traffic loss rate of Neural Leaky Bucket, and token generation rate is changed by the predicted values. The prediction of traffic loss rate by neural networks can effectively reduce the cell loss rate and the cell transfer delay of next incoming cells and be applied to other traffic control systems. Computer simulation results performed for traffic prediction show that QoSs of the various kinds of traffics are increased.