• Title/Summary/Keyword: Traffic model

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A Study on Development of Forecasting Model for Traffic Accident in Korea (한국의 교통사고예측모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • 이일병;임헌정
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.73-88
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    • 1990
  • This study aims to develop a traffic accident forecasting model using the data, which are based on the past accidents in Korea. The regression analysis was used in conjuction with the variables of the traffic accidents and social behaviours. The objectives of this study are as follows; 1. The number of behicles has given a strong affect to increase the traffic accidents in Korea since a factor of vehicles has shown 86% over of total accidents. 2. The forecasting model regarding the traffic accidents, deaths and injuries, which was formulated for this study, proved to be useful in light of the results of the regression diagnostics. 3. It is expected that the traffic accidents in Korea in 1991 may take place as follows on condition that the traffic environment would worsen ; 274,000 cases of accidents with 13,600 deaths and 367,000 injuries, in 1994, 451,000 cases with 24,900 deaths and 71,500 injuries respectively.

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Development of Traffic Accident Models in Seoul Considering Land Use Characteristics (토지이용특성을 고려한 서울시 교통사고 발생 모형 개발)

  • Lim, Samjin;Park, Juntae
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.30-49
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    • 2013
  • In this research we developed a new traffic accident forecasting model on the basis of land use. A new traffic accident forecasting model by type was developed based on market segmentation and further introduction of variables that may reflect characteristics of various regions using Classification and Regression Tree Method. From the results of analysis, activities variables such as the registered population, commuters as well as road size, traffic accidents causing facilities being the subjects of activities were derived as variables explaining traffic accidents.

The Development of a Model for Vehicle Type Classification with a Hybrid GLVQ Neural Network (복합형GLVQ 신경망을 이용한 차종분류 모형개발)

  • 조형기;오영태
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.49-76
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    • 1996
  • Until recently, the inductive loop detecters(ILD) have been used to collect a traffic information in a part of traffic manangment and control. The ILD is able to collect a various traffic data such as a occupancy time and non-occupancy time, traffic volume, etc. The occupancy time of these is very important information for traffic control algorithms, which is required a high accuracy. This accuracy may be improved by classifying a vehicle type with ILD. To classify a vehicle type based on a Analog Digital Converted data collect form ILD, this study used a typical and modifyed statistic method and General Learning Vector Quantization unsuperviser neural network model and a hybrid model of GLVQ and statistic method, As a result, the hybrid model of GLVQ neural network model is superior to the other methods.

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Traffic Emission Modelling Using LiDAR Derived Parameters and Integrated Geospatial Model

  • Azeez, Omer Saud;Pradhan, Biswajeet;Jena, Ratiranjan;Jung, Hyung-Sup;Ahmed, Ahmed Abdulkareem
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.137-149
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    • 2019
  • Traffic emissions are the main cause of environmental pollution in cities and respiratory problems amongst people. This study developed a model based on an integration of support vector regression (SVR) algorithm and geographic information system (GIS) to map traffic carbon monoxide (CO) concentrations and produce prediction maps from micro level to macro level at a particular time gap in a day in a very densely populated area (Utara-Selatan Expressway-NKVE, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia). The proposed model comprised two models: the first model was implemented to estimate traffic CO concentrations using the SVR model, and the second model was applied to create prediction maps at different times a day using the GIS approach. The parameters for analysis were collected from field survey and remote sensing data sources such as very-high-resolution aerial photos and light detection and ranging point clouds. The correlation coefficient was 0.97, the mean absolute error was 1.401 ppm and the root mean square error was 2.45 ppm. The proposed models can be effectively implemented as decision-making tools to find a suitable solution for mitigating traffic jams near tollgates, highways and road networks.

The Development of A Dynamic Traffic Assignment Technique using the Cell Transmission Theory (Cell Transmission 이론을 이용한 동적통행배정기법 개발에 관한 연구)

  • 김주영;이승재;손의영
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.71-84
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    • 1999
  • The purpose of this study is to construct a dynamic traffic analysis model using the existing traffic flow theory in order to develope a dynamic traffic assignment technique. In this study the dynamic traffic analysis model was constructed using Daganzo's CELL TRANSMISSION THEORY which was considered more suitable to dynamic traffic assignment than the other traffic flow theories. We developed newly the diverging split module, the cost update module and the link cost function and defined the maximum waiting time decision function that Daganzo haven't defined certainly at his Papers. The output that resulted from the simulation of the dynamic traffic analysis model with test network I and II was shown at some tables and figures, and the analysis of the bottleneck and the HOV lane theory showed realistic outputs. Especially, the result of traffic assignment using the model doesn't show equilibrium status every time slice but showed that the average travel cost of every path maintains similarly in every time slice. It is considered that this model can be used at the highway operation and the analysis of traffic characteristics at a diverging section and the analysis of the HOV lane effect.

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Development of Traffic Prediction and Optimal Traffic Control System for Highway based on Cell Transmission Model in Cloud Environment (Cell Transmission Model 시뮬레이션을 기반으로 한 클라우드 환경 아래에서의 고속도로 교통 예측 및 최적 제어 시스템 개발)

  • Tak, Se-hyun;Yeo, Hwasoo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.68-80
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    • 2016
  • This study proposes the traffic prediction and optimal traffic control system based on cell transmission model and genetic algorithm in cloud environment. The proposed prediction and control system consists of four parts. 1) Data preprocessing module detects and imputes the corrupted data and missing data points. 2) Data-driven traffic prediction module predicts the future traffic state using Multi-level K-Nearest Neighbor (MK-NN) Algorithm with stored historical data in SQL database. 3) Online traffic simulation module simulates the future traffic state in various situations including accident, road work, and extreme weather condition with predicted traffic data by MK-NN. 4) Optimal road control module produces the control strategy for large road network with cell transmission model and genetic algorithm. The results show that proposed system can effectively reduce the Vehicle Hours Traveled upto 60%.

Safety Analysis and Design Model for a Complex System like ATM(Air Traffic Management) System (ATM(Air Traffic Management) 시스템과 같은 복잡 시스템의 안전 분석 및 설계 모델)

  • Park, Joong-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.27-31
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    • 2007
  • A complex system like ATM(Air Traffic Management) has safety problem emerging from complex interactions between systems. In complex systems, malfunctions of components are not the only causes of critical accidents. To resolve this problem many researchers have proposed new safety analysis models for complex systems. This research is a way of improving safety analysis model focusing on systems engineering design model for ATM.

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Correction of Measured Traffic Volume on Expressways Using Optimization Model (최적화 모형을 이용한 고속도로 측정교통량 보정)

  • Kim, Dong ho;Park, Dong joo;Kim, Do gyeong;Shin, Seung jin
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2018
  • This study developed the optimization method to correct the measured traffic volume of the expressway that minimizes the measurement error and satisfies the traffic balancing with TCS. For this purpose, the model constructed in this study was compared and verified with the true traffic volume. Verification result of the model, it was found that the measurement error is reduced when the measured traffic volume is corrected for the traffic volume balance. As a result of applying it to 40 links of the Kyoungbu expressway, the measured traffic volume was corrected by -8.1%~9.6% and the measurement error was decreased as much as the corrected traffic volume. This research is meaningful in improving the accuracy of the measured traffic volume of the expressway, while the scale and role of the expressway are increasing.

Evaluation of a Traffic Noise Predictive Model for an Active Noise Cancellation (ANC) System (능동형 소음저감 기법을 위한 도로교통소음 예측 모형 평가 연구)

  • An, Deok Soon;Mun, Sung Ho;An, Oh Seong;Kim, Do Wan
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2015
  • PURPOSES : The purpose of this thesis is to evaluate the effectiveness of an active noise cancellation (ANC) system in reducing the traffic noise level against frequencies from the predictive model developed by previous research. The predictive model is based on ISO 9613-2 standards using the Noble close proximity (NCPX) method and the pass-by method. This means that the use of these standards is a powerful tool for analyzing the traffic noise level because of the strengths of these methods. Traffic noise analysis was performed based on digital signal processing (DSP) for detecting traffic noise with the pass-by method at the test site. METHODS : There are several analysis methods, which are generally divided into three different types, available to evaluate traffic noise predictive models. The first method uses the classification standard of 12 vehicle types. The second method is based on a standard of four vehicle types. The third method is founded on 5 types of vehicles, which are different from the types used by the second method. This means that the second method not only consolidates 12 vehicle types into only four types, but also that the results of the noise analysis of the total traffic volume are reflected in a comparison analysis of the three types of methods. The constant percent bandwidth (CPB) analysis was used to identify the properties of different frequencies in the frequency analysis. A-weighting was applied to the DSP and to the transformation process from analog to digital signal. The root mean squared error (RMSE) was applied to compare and evaluate the predictive model results of the three analysis methods. RESULTS : The result derived from the third method, based on the classification standard of 5 vehicle types, shows the smallest values of RMSE and max and min error. However, it does not have the reduction properties of a predictive model. To evaluate the predictive model of an ANC system, a reduction analysis of the total sound pressure level (TSPL), dB(A), was conducted. As a result, the analysis based on the third method has the smallest value of RMSE and max error. The effect of traffic noise reduction was the greatest value of the types of analysis in this research. CONCLUSIONS : From the results of the error analysis, the application method for categorizing vehicle types related to the 12-vehicle classification based on previous research is appropriate to the ANC system. However, the performance of a predictive model on an ANC system is up to a value of traffic noise reduction. By the same token, the most appropriate method that influences the maximum reduction effect is found in the third method of traffic analysis. This method has a value of traffic noise reduction of 31.28 dB(A). In conclusion, research for detecting the friction noise between a tire and the road surface for the 12 vehicle types needs to be conducted to authentically demonstrate an ANC system in the Republic of Korea.

A Study on Assessment of Vessel Traffic Safety Management by Marine Traffic Flow Simulation (해상교통류 시뮬레이션에 의한 해상교통안전관리평가에 관한 연구)

  • Park Young- Soo;Jong Jae-Yong;Inoue Kinzo
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.43-55
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    • 2002
  • Vessel traffic safety management means the managerial technical measures for improving the marine traffic safety in general terms. The main flow of vessel traffic safety management is that: 1) Traffic Survey, 2) Replay by Marine Traffic Flow Simulation, 3) Quantitative Assessment, 4) Policy Alternatives, 5) Prediction·Verification. In the management of vessel traffic safety, it is most important to establish assessment models that can numerically estimate the current safety level and quantitatively predict the correlation between the measures to be taken and the improvement of safety and the reduction of ship handling difficulties imposed on mariners. In this paper, the replay model for traffic flow simulation was made using marine traffic survey data, and the present traffic situation became replay in the computer. An attempt was made to rate the current safety of ports and waterways by applying the Environmental Stress model. And, as a countermeasure for traffic management, by taking of, the promotion of total traffic congestion in early morning rush hour, the correlation between traffic control rate and the reduction in ship handling difficulties imposed on mariners was predicted quantitatively.

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