• 제목/요약/키워드: Trade Model

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국제상사조정제도에 관한 UNCITRAL 모델법 개정 동향 (The Revision Trend of UNCITRAL Model Law on International Commercial Mediation)

  • 오현석;김성룡
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제45권1호
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    • pp.31-45
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    • 2020
  • As FTAs are introduced, greater trade between the countries results in more disputes between parties to the agreement. Disputes in international trade have previously been settled mainly through international arbitration. However, with the recent rise in negative aspects of the arbitration system, the international community has begun to seek ways to utilize mediation for replacing the arbitration system. Mediation is a dispute settlement system that helps the parties settle their disputes on their own through negotiations. The UNCITRAL, which seeks to unify and develop international trade law, amended the Model Mediation Law in 2018 and adopted the 'United Nations Convention on International Settlement Agreements Resulting from Mediation' in August 2019 to enable the adoption of the international settlement agreement. This study analyzes the main contents of the 2018 Model Mediation Law and predicts the potential for the development of international commercial mediation as a dispute settlement procedure for future international trade.

Research on Spatial Dependence and Influencing Factors of Korean Intra-Industry Trade of Agricultural Products: From South Korea's Agricultural Trade Data

  • Lv, Hong-Qu;Huang, Chen-Yang
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.116-133
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - Intra-industry trade of agricultural products can eliminate the disadvantage of Korea's traditional agriculture and improve its lack of comparative advantage. The main purpose of this paper is to measure the level and index of intra-industry trade of Korean agricultural products and to explore the spatial dependence and spillover effect associated with this type of trade. The main factors influencing intra-agricultural trade are analyzed from two perspectives: the population and the classification of agricultural products. Design/methodology - First, the level of intra-industry trade of Korean agricultural products is measured. Second, to obtain a more accurate estimate of the influence of various factors, and based on two types of weight matrices, a spatial econometric model is constructed from two aspects: population and classification of agricultural products. The status and the factors influencing intra-industry trade are also studied. Findings - It is concluded that there is a positive spatial correlation between Korea's intra-industry trade in agricultural products and that of its trading partners. The spatial spillover effect of this type of trade is verified by using the spatial autoregressive model (SAR). Labor-intensive agricultural products are found to have a positive spillover effect on intra-industry trade, while land-intensive products do not have a significant effect. Originality/value - In this paper, the two types of agricultural products are meticulously distinguished, and the spatial effect of the intra-industry trade of agricultural products as well as the influence of various factors are analyzed. In addition, the accuracy of the estimation of the coefficients of the factors by using the spatial econometric model is higher than that of the ordinary panel data model.

Assessing the Competitiveness and Complementarity of the Agricultural Products Trade between Korea and CPTPP Countries

  • Meng-wen Chen;Suk-jae Park;Quan-zheng Zhu
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.147-160
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - This paper aims to investigate the competitiveness and complementarity of the agricultural products trade between Korea and Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) countries. The study evaluates the opportunities and challenges that Korea's agricultural sector faces after joining the CPTPP, and suggests strategies to deepen cooperation and expand Korea's agricultural products trade. Design/methodology - To achieve these objectives, we analyze the trade competition and cooperation relationship between Korea and CPTPP countries in the agricultural products trade. This study uses data from Chapters HS1-24 in UN Comtrade from 2012 to 2022, and applies the indices of revealed comparative advantage, export similarity, and trade complementarity to examine the trade dynamics. Furthermore, we use an Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model to predict the agricultural products trade complementarity index between Korea and CPTPP countries from 2022 to 2031. Findings - The findings of our analysis reveal that Korea's agricultural products trade competitiveness is weak compared to that of CPTPP countries, and Korea's agricultural products are at a competitive disadvantage. On the whole, the similarity index of agricultural products trade exports between Korea and CPTPP countries is low, the structure of agricultural products export is quite different, and trade competition is relatively moderate. The trade complementarity index between Korea and CPTPP countries is generally high, with strong complementarity and a large space for cooperation and development. The ARIMA model shows that in the next ten years, although the agricultural products trade complementarity index fluctuates, but is generally high, there will still be a complementarity advantage in the future. Originality/value - This study is the first attempt to investigate the competitiveness and complementarity of the agricultural products trade between Korea and CPTPP countries. We also introduce an ARIMA model to forecast and analyze the future agricultural products trade complementarity index. Our study provides new perspectives and solutions for the future development of Korea's agricultural products trade after joining the CPTPP.

무역원활화가 양국 간 무역에 미치는 영향 -중국과 일대일로 회원국을 중심으로- (The Impact of Trade Facilitation on Bilateral Trade Flows-Focusing on China and the other Belt and Road member countries)

  • 관해명;박하일
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제45권4호
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    • pp.25-43
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    • 2020
  • This study mainly measures the level of trade facilitation in member countries along the "the Belt and Road" and discusses the impact of trade facilitation on bilateral trade. Based on the research results of domestic and foreign scholars, this study made a new systematic measuring system which covering 4 indicators and 15 subordinate indicators, to obtain the trade facilitation index. Based on the extended gravity model, this paper conducts a panel data, for more than 50 major trading members along the "the Belt and Road" during 2010~2017 as an example to empirically study the relationship between the trade facilitation level of major trading members and the volume of China's import and export trade. The results show that the level of trade facilitation among member countries is not high and the trade facilitation variable has positive value, indicating that the trade facilitation variable has positive effect on increasing bilateral trade. If the trade facilitation increases by 1% respectively, the bilateral trade level will increase by 0.98% separately. Finally, according to the regression results of four aspects of the trade facilitation index system, e-business development plays the most significant role in promoting trade facilitation.

중국 일대일로 정책이 탄자니아 무역패턴에 미치는 영향 (The Impacts of China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) on the Trade Patterns of Tanzania)

  • 오스카 말레라;이태희
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제46권3호
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2021
  • The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is designed to intensify bilateral trade between China and the BRI countries through the improvement of transportation connections. However, little research has empirically investigated the impacts of this policies on the trade patterns. This paper attempts to evaluate the impacts of BRI on the trade patterns of Tanzania. Our study extends the original gravity model of bilateral trade by adding GDP per capita, population and proximity as the explanatory variables. According to our research, we observed that the BRI significantly impacted the Tanzania's trade patterns, as it led to the increase of bilateral trade flow between Tanzania and China more importantly between Tanzania and its adjacent countries. It indicates that the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has boosted Tanzania's trade exclusively, hence the Tanzania's export sector earns greater trading potential with the adjacent countries.

남미시장 교역 활성화를 위한 중재 활용방안에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Utilization of Arbitration for Promoting Trade in the South American Market)

  • 안태건;김성룡
    • 한국중재학회지:중재연구
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.91-114
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to promote trade between Korea and South American countries. Korea's trade with South America has decreased recently. This study analyzed the effects of arbitration on trade between Korea and South America. To this end, we conducted an analysis of the gravity model of trade between Korea and South America. The gravity model is a research method that is widely used to analyze the pattern of international trade. The dependent variables of the gravity model were trade in Korea and South America. The independent variables were GDP, population, and distance between Korea and South America. In addition, dummy variables were the FTA and whether to join the New York Convention or Washington Convention. Joining either Convention indicated the establishment of an international arbitration system. As a result, an arbitration system appeared to be effective in increasing trade. Depending on the results it shows the importance of utilizing the system of arbitration in South America. So this study analyzed the current status of arbitration in South America. To companies doing business in South America it provided the implications for an arbitration system there. Also it proposed a method for increasing trade for the Korean government and institutions.

Satisficing Trade-Off 방법을 이용한 유한요소 모델 개선 (Finite Element Model Updating Using Satisficing Trade-Off Method)

  • Kim, Gyeong-Ho;Park, Youn-sik
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2002년도 추계학술대회논문초록집
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    • pp.334.2-334
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    • 2002
  • In conventional model updating using single-objective optimization techniques, imcompatible physical data are compared with each other using weighting factors. There are no general rules fur selecting the weighting factors since they are not directly related with the dynamic behavior of an updated model. So one of the most difficult tasks, in mr)del updating study, is 'balancing among the correlations', i.e. 'trade-off'. (omitted)

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Non-Tariff Trade Policy in the Context of Deep Trade Integration: An Ex-Post Gravity Model Application to the EU-South Korea Agreement

  • Grubler, Julia;Reiter, Oliver
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.33-71
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    • 2021
  • Many different approaches and databases have been developed for the evaluation of non-tariff measures (NTMs) and free trade agreements (FTAs). This paper is devoted to the EU-South Korea agreement, which is the first 'second-generation' FTA of the EU, addressing a wide array of non-tariff policies. We review the evolution of NTM types applicable to the EU-South Korea trade relationship and the role of NTMs in ex-ante and ex-post analyses of the agreement. Subsequently a structural gravity model is employed to assess the value added of information on different aspects of FTAs and types of NTMs by evaluating their ability to predict the trade effects of the EU-South Korea FTA. Our results show that, when accounting for information on the components common in modern deep trade agreements, no additional trade effect is attributable to the EU-South Korea FTA. The evolution of NTMs differs considerably across indicators used, but trade predictions are hardly affected. Most specifications point towards a negative effect of bilateral differences in the number of technical barriers to trade (TBT) applied and sanitary and phytosanitary measures (SPS) against which trading partners issued complaints at the WTO.

Does National Distance Affect Different Industries in Different Ways? A Test of the Ghemawat CAGE Model

  • Kim, Hak Cho;Kwon, Jong-Wook;Zhou, Zhibin;Heo, Ji Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제23권7호
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    • pp.13-33
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - This study empirically investigated whether national distances (Cultural, Administrative, Geographic and Economic distance) have different effects on industries in different ways. Design/methodology - The empirical model utilized industry level export trade data to examine the differentiated effects of each national distance. By using direct measurement and covering 75 countries, this paper analyzes the effect of distances in different industries. More specifically, this study classified the industries into a more-sensitive/less-sensitive scale. Findings - The empirical results showed the complicated impacts of national distances on trade. Trade in industries that are more sensitive to cultural and administrative distances was not decreased as greatly as trade in industries that are less sensitive to cultural and administrative distances. Also, industries that are more sensitive to geographic distance showed a stronger negative impact on trade than less sensitive industries. Lastly, economic distance decreased trade for industries that are more sensitive to economic distance, while economic distance did not significantly increase trade for industries that are less sensitive to economic distance. Originality/value - As the first study to empirically find out whether national distance has different effects on industries, this study updated the measurements of national distance.

Determinants of Trade Flows and Trade Structure between Korea and ASEAN

  • Truong, Hoan Quang;Dong, Chung Van;Nguyen, Hoang Huy
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.55-88
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    • 2019
  • Our paper contributes to existing literature by empirically investigate the trade structure and trade performance between Korea and ASEAN. Overall, trade activities between Korea and almost major ASEAN economies have significantly focused on capital goods, medium and high technology goods, while the remaining ASEAN countries' exports over Korea have been mainly primary and low technology goods. There has been a higher complementarity in between Korea's exports and ASEAN's imports compared with between ASEAN's exports and Korea's imports. Estimation results show that ASEAN's GDP and income have larger impacts than those of Korea on aggregate trade flows as well as sectoral level between two sides. Additionally, geographical conditions are critical factors impeding Korea-ASEAN trade. Meanwhile, other factors in the estimation model have mixed impacts on components of Korea-ASEAN trade structure. Finally, there is a significant room for Korea's trade expansion with ASEAN, particularly new and less developed members in future.