• 제목/요약/키워드: Total uncertainty

검색결과 489건 처리시간 0.025초

터빈성능시험에서 측정변수의 불확도 파급에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Uncertainty Propagation of Measured Parameters on the Turbine Performance Test)

  • 김은종;조수용
    • 한국항공우주학회지
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    • 제31권8호
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 2003
  • 본 연구에서는 터빈 전효율의 불확도에 영향을 미치는 측정변수들의 불확도에 대한 영향을 실험의 결과로부터 분석하였다. 실험에 사용된 터빈은 축류형 3차원 단단터빈으로써 평균반경에서 반동도가 0.373이며 상온저압 상태에서 실험이 수행되었다. 입구전압력과 출구전압력에 의하여 발생되는 불확도는 전효율의 불확도에 전파되는 영향이 상당히 크게 나타나므로 상온저압시험에서는 높은 정밀도를 갖는 압력계를 사용하여야 한다. 측전변수의 불확도가 효율의 불확도에 차지하는 영향은 토오크에 의하여 발생되는 불확도가 가장 크게 나타났으며 회전수의 불확도가 가장 적었다. 토오크의 불확도 영향은 회전수의 증가에 따라 증가하는 경향이 있다. 전압력의 경우는 출그측에서의 불확도가 입구측에 비하여 영향력이 크게 나타났다.

축류형터빈 전효율에 파급된 불확도에 관한 실험적연구 (An Experimental Study on the Propagated Uncertainties on the Total-to-total Efficiency of an Axial Turbine)

  • 조수용;김은종
    • 한국추진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국추진공학회 2003년도 제20회 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.123-126
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    • 2003
  • 실험에서 측정변수에 발생되는 불확도가 터빈 전효율의 불확도에 미치는 영향을 실험을 통하여 분석하였다. 단단 축류형 3차원 터빈이 실험에 사용되었으며 평균반경에서 반동도가 0.373이며 상온 저압 상태에서 실험이 수행되었다. 입구/출구전압력에 의하여 발생되는 불확도는 터빈 전효율의 불확도로 전파되는 영향이 상당히 크게 나타나므로 상온저압시험에서는 높은 정밀도를 갖는 압력계가 필요하게 된다. 측정변수의 불확도가 전효율의 불확도에 차지하는 영향은 토오크에 의하여 발생되는 불확도가 가장 크게 나타났으며 회전수에 의한 불확도가 가장 적었다. 토오크의 불확도 영향은 회전수의 증가에 따라 증가하는 경향이 있다. 전압력의 경우는 출구측에서의 불확도가 입구측에 비하여 영향력이 크게 나타났다.

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기후변화 영향평가에서의 Uncertainty Delta Method를 활용한 정량적 불확실성 분석 (Quantitative uncertainty analysis for the climate change impact assessment using the uncertainty delta method)

  • 이재경
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제51권spc1호
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    • pp.1079-1089
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    • 2018
  • 기존 기후변화 영향평가에서 발생하는 불확실성에 대한 연구들은 전체과정에서 총 불확실성과 그 전파에 대한 것보다 각 단계별 불확실성에 초점을 맞추어 연구가 진행되었다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 first-order Taylor series expansion에 기반하여 전망의 분산을 이용하는 Uncertainty Delta Method (UDM)를 제안하였으며, 이 방법은 각 단계별 불확실성 정량화와 증감정도, 단계별 불확실성 비율, 총 불확실성의 전파 과정 제시가 가능하다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화 영향평가 과정의 단계별 불확실성 정량화와 전파과정 분석을 위해 미래 2030년부터 2059년까지를 대상으로 2개 배출 시나리오, 3개 GCM, 2개 상세화기법, 2개 수문모형을 사용하였다. 결과를 분석하면, UDM을 이용한 총 불확실성은 5.45(배출시나리오: 4.45, 상세화기법: 0.45, 상세화기법: 0.27, 수문모형: 0.28)이며, 배출 시나리오의 불확실성(4.45)이 가장 크게 나타났다. 불확실성은 각 단계를 거칠수록 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 어떠한 배출시나리오를 선정하느냐에 따라 미래 수자원전망이 매우 달라질 수 있음을 의미한다. 다음으로 Hawkins and Sutton (2009)가 제안한 Fractional Uncertainty Method (FUM)을 이용한 기후변화 영향평가 불확실성 분석에서 가장 불확실성이 큰 요인은 배출 시나리오(FUM 불확실성: 0.52)이며, 이 결과는 UDM 결과와 동일하게 나타났다. 따라서 이 연구에서 제안한 UDM은 기후변화 영향평가에서의 불확실성 이해와 적합한 분석 및 미래 기후변화 대비 보다 나은 수자원 전망이 가능하도록 기여할 것으로 판단된다.

황색종 담배중 전알카로이드와 환원당 분석에 대한 불확도 측정 (Uncertainty of Total Alkaloids and Reducing Sugar Determination in Flue-cured Tobacco)

  • 백순옥;장기철;이운철;한상빈
    • 한국연초학회지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.45-52
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    • 2001
  • This study was carried out to evaluate the uncertainty in the analysis of total alkaloids and reducing sugar content in flue-cured tobacco. The sources of uncertainty associated with the analysis of total alkaloids and reducing sugar were the weighing of sample, the preparation of extracting solution, the addition of extracting solution into the sample, the preparation of standard solution, the precision of calibration curve for standard solution, the reproducibility of analysis, and the determination of water content in tobacco, etc. For the calculating uncertainties, Type A of uncertainty was evaluated by the statistical analysis of a series of observation, and Type B by the information based on supplier’s catalogue and/or certificated of calibration. It was shown that the main source of uncertainty was caused by the calibration curve of standard solution, the reproducibility of analysis, the volume measurement of 1$m\ell$, and the purity of nicotine reference material in the preparation of standard solution. The uncertainty in the addition of extracting solution, the sample weighing, the volume measurement of 100$m\ell$, and the determination of water content of tobacco contributed relatively little to the overall uncertainty. The expanded uncertainty of total alkaloids and reducing sugar in flue-cured tobacco at 95% level of confidence was $\pm$0.12% and $\pm$0.54%, respectively.

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A Study on the Propagation of Measurement Uncertainties into the Result on a Turbine Performance Test

  • Cho, Soo-Yong;Park, Chanwoo
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.689-698
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    • 2004
  • Uncertainties generated from the individual measured variables have an influence on the uncertainty of the experimental result through a data reduction equation. In this study, a performance test of a single stage axial type turbine is conducted, and total-to-total efficiencies are measured at the various off-design points In the low pressure and cold state. Based on an experimental apparatus, a data reduction equation for turbine efficiency is formulated and six measured variables are selected. Codes are written to calculate the efficiency, the uncertainty of the efficiency, and the sensitivity of the efficiency uncertainty by each of the measured quantities. The influence of each measured variable on the experimental result is figured out. Results show that the largest uncertainty magnification factor (UMF) value is obtained by the inlet total pressure among the six measured variables, and its value is always greater than one. The UMF values of the inlet total temperature, the torque, and the RPM are always one. The uncertainty percentage contribution (UPC) of the RPM shows th, lowest influence on the uncertainty of the turbine efficiency, but the UPC of the torque has the largest influence to the result among the measured variables. These results are applied to find the correct direction for meeting an uncertainty requirement of the experimental result in the planning or development Phase of experiment, and also to offer ideas for preparing a measurement system in the planning phase.

자궁내막증을 가진 여성의 증상 스트레스, 불확실성, 삶의 질 관계 연구 (Correlations among Total Symptom Distress, Uncertainty and Quality of Life among Women With Endometriosis)

  • 최소영;전은미;안숙희;서영승
    • 여성건강간호학회지
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.316-323
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    • 2005
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to explore the relationships among women's total symptom distress, uncertainty and quality of life in women with endometriosis. Method: A total of 121 women who had been diagnosed with endometriosis was given a questionnaire. Data was collected from August 2004 to January 2005. The data was analyzed by frequency, mean, t-test, ANOVA, Pearson correlation coefficient, and multiple linear regression analysis using SPSS WIN 10.0 software. Result: The mean score of TSD was 3.23. 'Menstrual cramping' showed the highest score. The mean score of uncertainty, and quality of life of the subject was 56.6, and 38.3 respectively. TSD was significantly related with coffee intake and uncertainty was significantly related with marital status, economic status, alcohol intake, diagnosis after period, and family history. Quality of life was significantly related with age, and dysmenorrhea. There were significant relationships between total symptom distress and uncertainty, and quality of life. There were significant relationship between uncertainty and quality of life. Conclusion: Endometriosis symptoms showed a significant relationship with uncertainty and quality of life. This study will help to manage women with endometriosis.

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교호작용 효과를 고려한 수자원 전망의 불확실성 분해 (Uncertainty decomposition in water resources projection considering interaction effects)

  • 온일상;김용대;김영오
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제51권spc1호
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    • pp.1067-1078
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    • 2018
  • 기후변화로 인한 수자원 전망은 배출 시나리오, 전지구적 순환모형, 상세화 기법, 수문 모형 등 여러 전망 단계를 거쳐 이루어지며, 각 단계는 수자원 전망의 총 불확실성의 원천이 된다. 몇몇 연구를 통해 개별 전망 단계의 총 불확실성에 대한 상대적인 기여를 계량화하는 방법이 제안되었으며며, 이러한 분석을 불확실성 분해라고 한다. 불확실성 분해 분석은 큰 불확실성을 발생시키는 단계를 진단하고, 이를 반영한 불확실성 저감 계획을 수립할 수 있게 한다. 전망 단계 간의 교호작용은 불확실성 분해 시 고려되어야 하는 중요한 문제 중 하나이다. 본 연구는 교호작용 효과로 인한 불확실성을 계량화하고 이를 불확실성 분해에 반영하는 새로운 방법을 제안한다. 제안한 방법은 전망 단계별 불확실성을 주효과와 교호작용 효과를 모두 고려하여 계량화함과 동시에 총 불확실성에서 개별 전망 단계가 차지하는 상대적인 비중을 제시할 수 있다는 장점이 있다. 제안한 방법을 충주댐 유량 전망의 불확실성 분석에 적용하였다. 충주댐 유역의 불확실성 분석 결과 여름과 겨울 두 계절 모두에서 교호작용 효과의 불확실성은 주효과의 불확실성에 비해 그 크기가 작은 것으로 나타났다. 교호작용 효과를 고려하여 불확실성을 분해한 결과 배출 시나리오, 전지구적 순환모형, 상세화 기법, 수문 모형의 네 단계 중 여름철은 전지구적 순환모형의 불확실성이, 겨울철은 상세화 기법의 불확실성이 가장 큰 것으로 분석되었다.

인공 고관절 수술 환자에서 지지간호중재가 고관절 기능, 불안 및 불확실성에 미치는 효과 (Effects of Supportive Nursing Care Program on Hip Function, Anxiety and Uncertainty for Patients with Total Hip Arthroplasty)

  • 김선화;이혜진
    • 임상간호연구
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.419-431
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: This study was to evaluate the effect of supportive nursing care program for patients with total hip arthroplasty. Methods: Forty-two patients with total hip arthroplasty were enrolled in this study from September, 20, 2011 to January, 3, 2012. The participants were assigned to one of two groups: Twenty-six subjects in the experimental group were provided with supportive nursing care program which comprised of 6 nurse visits pre and post operation and 4 follow-up phone calls after discharge. Another 26 subjects received conventional nursing care program as a control group. Hip function, anxiety, and uncertainty were evaluated before the intervention, and 5 weeks after completion of the intervention. The analysis included descriptive statistics, Chi-square test, and t-test by SPSS 18.0. Results: Hip function was significantly increased in the experimental group (t=-3.31, p<.002). Anxiety and uncertainty group was significantly lower in the experimental group (t=7.12, p<.001 and t=4.66, p<.001). Conclusion: The results of this study indicate that the supportive care intervention for patients receiving total hip arthroplasty could be utilized as a nursing intervention to improve hip function and to reduce anxiety and uncertainty of patients receiving total hip arthroplasty.

류마티스 관절염 환자의 불확실성에 대한 적응에 영향을 미치는 요인 탐색 (An Exploratory Study of Factors affecting on Adaptation to Uncertainty in Rheumatoid Arthritis Patients)

  • 유경희
    • 근관절건강학회지
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.230-249
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    • 2001
  • This study was conducted to investigate the affecting factors on the adaptation to uncertainty in patients having rheumatoid arthritis. Subjects of the study constituted 222 patients who visited outpatient of rheumatic center in Seoul. Self report questionnaires were used to measure the variables affecting the adaptation to uncertainty. The variables affecting the adaptation to uncertainty were uncertainty, mastery, appraisal of danger, appraisal of opportunity, emotion focused coping, problem focused coping, pain, depression and activity of daily life(ADL). Reliability coefficients of these instruments were found Cronbach's $Alpha\;=\;.70{\sim}.94$. In data analysis, SPSSWIN 10.0 program was utilized for descriptive statistics, Pearson's correlation, and multiple regression analysis. The results were as follows. 1) The range of total pain scores was from 0 to 147 and the mean score of the pain in rheumatoid arthritis patients was 72.64. 2) The range of total depression scores was from 20 to 72 and the mean score of the depression in rheumatoid arthritis patients was 39.86. 3) The range of total ADL scores was from 22 to 80 and the mean score of the ADL in rheumatoid arthritis patients was 72.56. 4) Among the independent variables, significant factors to explain the adaptation to pain in patients were danger appraisal of uncertainty(p<.05) and emotion focused coping(p<.05). 5) Among the independent variables, significant factors to explain the adaptation to depression in patients were danger appraisal of uncertainty(p<.001), opportunity appraisal of uncertainty(p<.001) and mastery(p<.005). 6) Among the independent variables, significant factors to explain the adaptation to ADL in patients were mastery(p<.001) and danger appraisal of uncertainty(p<.05).

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고체재료의 유전율 측정용 Cell의 불확도 분석과 보상 (Uncertainty Analysis and Compensation of the Cell for Permittivity Measurement of Solid Materials)

  • 김한준;유광민;강전홍;한상옥
    • 한국전기전자재료학회논문지
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.53-56
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    • 2008
  • The commercial parallel plate electrodes system with guard-ring electrode have been widely used for measurement of dielectric constants of solid materials. And the specification of the electrodes system is about 1 % of measurement uncertainty. This measurement uncertainty is only estimated the error come from mechanical measurements such as the area of the electrodes and the gap between the electrodes except the error come from the air gap between the electrodes and dielectric specimen. Because it is impossible to measure the air gap. This study analyze the total measurement uncertainties of the commercial dielectric constant test cell using 3 kinds of Standard Reference Materials. As a results, the total measurement uncertainty is much bigger than 1 % and the most of the uncertainty can be reduced by compensation of the error values evaluated in this study.