• 제목/요약/키워드: Top Event

검색결과 174건 처리시간 0.02초

구름 물리학을 토대로한 지점 호우모형 개발 (The Development of Point Heavy Rainfall Model Based on the Cloud Physics)

  • 이재형;선우중
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 1992
  • 구름 물리학을 응용한 강수모형이 Geogakakos와 Bras(1984)에 의하여 개발된 바 있다. 본 연구는 그들이 제시한 강수모형을 호우모형으로 수정한 것이다. 수정의 근간은 수운적 크기분포(HSD)가 강우 생성류에 미치는 영향과 강우강도에 종속이다는 점을 반영한 것이다. 이 HSD식을 운정과 운저의 유출 수분질량 및 지상에 내린 강우량, 구름층내의 저류량식에 적용하였다. 전주 측후소의 실측 기상자료를 입력자료로 하여 본 수정모형의 매개변수를 조정하였다. 그 결과 매시간 계산 강우량이 기존모형은 큰 편차를 보였으나 본 연구를 통해 제시한 수정모형은 실측 호우에 잘 부합되었다.

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BACKUP AND ULTIMATE HEAT SINKS IN CANDU REACTORS FOR PROLONGED SBO ACCIDENTS

  • Nitheanandan, T.;Brown, M.J.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제45권5호
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    • pp.589-596
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    • 2013
  • In a pressurized heavy water reactor, following loss of the primary coolant, severe core damage would begin with the depletion of the liquid moderator, exposing the top row of internally-voided fuel channels to steam cooling conditions on the inside and outside. The uncovered fuel channels would heat up, deform and disassemble into core debris. Large inventories of water passively reduce the rate of progression of the accident, prolonging the time for complete loss of engineered heat sinks. The efficacy of available backup and ultimate heat sinks, available in a CANDU 6 reactor, in mitigating the consequences of a prolonged station blackout scenario was analysed using the MAAP4-CANDU code. The analysis indicated that the steam generator secondary side water inventory is the most effective heat sink during the accident. Additional heat sinks such as the primary coolant, moderator, calandria vault water and end shield water are also able to remove decay heat; however, a gradually increasing mismatch between heat generation and heat removal occurs over the course of the postulated event. This mismatch is equivalent to an additional water inventory estimated to be 350,000 kg at the time of calandria vessel failure. In the Enhanced CANDU 6 reactor ~2,040,000 kg of water in the reserve water tank is available for prolonged emergencies requiring heat sinks.

Fault Tree Analysis(FTA)에 의한 Toluene저장 Tank의 폭발해석 (The Evaluation of Explosion For Toluene Storage Tank by Computer-Aided Fault Tree Analysis)

  • 정재희;이영섭
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.5-16
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    • 1988
  • This study is conducted to evaluate the explosion of tolune storage tank in the petrochemical plant by Fault Tree Analysis. The conclusions are as follows; 1) Fault Tree diagram and the required computer program for evaluation of explosion accident is developed. 2) The probability of the top event, explosion accident, is $1.5\;{\times}\;10^{-8}$ per year, so there is almost no possibility of explosion during the life cycle of tank. However, the probability of Gate 6 and Gate 7 is 8.8 per month, therefore, attention should be paid to them for accident prevention. 3) The number of minimal cut sets is 67 sets which are not calculated the probability of each set, because of the lack of computer capacity. All the minimal cut sets should be examined case by case. However, it is necessary to be paid attention to COM1, 126, 131, and COM4 in minimal cut sets, because the number of appearance is so high. 4) The number path sets is 70 sets which are not calculated the probability of each set, because of the lack of computer capacity. It is very useful to prepare safety checklist by using this minimal path sets. Also, the events which appear many times, 123, COM5, 139, 127 and 128, are very high in reliability.

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VIPEX를 이용한 가상 원자력시설의 핵심구역 파악 분석 (Vital Area Identification Analysis of A Hypothetical Nuclear Facility Using VIPEX)

  • 이윤환;정우식;이진홍
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.87-95
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    • 2011
  • The urgent VAI(Vital Area Identification) method development is required since 'The Act of Physical Protection and Radiological Emergency' that is established in 2003 requires an evaluation of physical threats in nuclear facilities and an establishment of physical protection in Korea. The KAERI(Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute) has developed the VAI methodology and VAI software called as VIPEX(Vital area Identification Package EXpert) for identifying the vital areas. This study is to demonstrate the applicability of KAERI's VAI methodology to a hypothetical facility, and to identify the importance of information of cable and piping runs when identifying the vital areas. It is necessarily needed to consider cable and piping runs to determine the accurate and realistic TEPS(Top Event Prevention Set). If the information of cable and piping runs of a nuclear power plant is not considered when determining the TEPSs, it is absolutely impossible to acquire the complete TEPSs, and the results could be distorted by missing it. The VIPEX and FTREX(Fault Tree Reliability Evaluation eXpert) properly calculate MCSs and TEPSs using the fault tree model, and provide the most cost-effective method to save the VAI and physical protection costs.

여자 창던지기 시 기록 차이에 따른 투사요인의 운동학적 분석 (Kinematical Analysis of Projection Factors to Record Difference dur ing Women's Javelin Throwing)

  • 박재명;윤석훈
    • 한국운동역학회지
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.457-467
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    • 2010
  • This study intends to analyze the projection factors' difference on each record of women's javelin throwing. For this purpose, the research analyzed the best record and the lowest one of athletes in top 1~7 ranks respectively, who participated in 2009 Daegu Pre-Championship Meeting. For analyze kinematic factors, we analyzed their game photos mainly shot by 3 cameras installed in side places. The used analysis program was Kwon3D 3.1. Analysis variables were the projection velocity, angle, height, trunk lean angle, and supporting leg's knee angle. The results concluded as follows: Different record showed statistically significant differences(p<.05) in terms of horizontal velocity and resultant velocity. There were no statistically significant differences in the variables of projection angle, its height, trunk lean angle and knee angle of support leg. But for the analyzed results to each individual characteristics, the horizontal velocity, projection height, knee angle of support leg and trunk lean angle of release event appeared to have influence on record.

'R16 코리아' 대회의 문화콘텐츠적 가치 (Significance of the R16 Korea Contest as Culture Contents)

  • 김기국;이우재
    • 비교문화연구
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    • 제39권
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    • pp.97-125
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    • 2015
  • Significance of the R16 Korea Contest as Culture Contents. Known for relentless practice and intense moves, widespread presence on the Internet, strong ethnic elements highlighting Korean physical attributes and collective culture, b-boying occupies a special place in Korea today. News of four consecutive wins in major b-boy contests around the world have changed the common public conception that b-boys are simply a group of problem boys and students in hip-hop clothes intent on showing off their dance moves. B-boying is no longer perceived as a dance that is performed in the shadowy underground but as a dynamic and beautiful art form of physical expression that is part of today's popular culture. This paper examines the significance of R-16 Korea as culture contents and its main event, the World B-boy Masters Championship. It introduces how the contest has developed since 2007 to reach popular influence and gain international recognition. The paper also compares R-16 Korea to the world's four major b-boy contests, Battle Of The Year, UK B-boy Championship, Free Style Session, and Red Bull BC One to see if any distinctions could be found among them and to evaluate the significance of R-16 Korea as cultural content in its rise to one of the world's top 5 major b-boy contests. Finally, this study makes suggestions for b-boying to become more established as part of Korea's culture contents.

Big Data Analysis of the Women Who Score Goal Sports Entertainment Program: Focusing on Text Mining and Semantic Network Analysis.

  • Hyun-Myung, Kim;Kyung-Won, Byun
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.222-230
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to provide basic data on sports entertainment programs by collecting data on unstructured data generated by Naver and Google for SBS entertainment program 'Women Who Score Goal', which began regular broadcast in June 2021, and analyzing public perceptions through data mining, semantic matrix, and CONCOR analysis. Data collection was conducted using Textom, and 27,911 cases of data accumulated for 16 months from June 16, 2021 to October 15, 2022. For the collected data, 80 key keywords related to 'Kick a Goal' were derived through simple frequency and TF-IDF analysis through data mining. Semantic network analysis was conducted to analyze the relationship between the top 80 keywords analyzed through this process. The centrality was derived through the UCINET 6.0 program using NetDraw of UCINET 6.0, understanding the characteristics of the network, and visualizing the connection relationship between keywords to express it clearly. CONCOR analysis was conducted to derive a cluster of words with similar characteristics based on the semantic network. As a result of the analysis, it was analyzed as a 'program' cluster related to the broadcast content of 'Kick a Goal' and a 'Soccer' cluster, a sports event of 'Kick a Goal'. In addition to the scenes about the game of the cast, it was analyzed as an 'Everyday Life' cluster about training and daily life, and a cluster about 'Broadcast Manipulation' that disappointed viewers with manipulation of the game content.

동적 위험 분석을 위한 사고확률 추정 방법에 관한 연구 (Estimation of Accident Probability for Dynamic Risk Assessment)

  • 박병철;임채옥;남인혁;신성철
    • 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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    • 제26권2_2호
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    • pp.315-325
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    • 2023
  • Recently, various dynamic risk analysis methods have been suggested for estimating the risk index by predicting the possibility of accidents and damage. It is necessary to maintain and support the safety system for responding to accidents by continuously updating the probability of accidents and the results of accidents, which are quantitative standards of ship risk. In this study, when a LNG leakage that may occur in the LN G Fuel Gas Supply System (FGSS) room during LN G bunkering operation, a reliability physical model was prepared by the change in monitoring data as physical parameters to estimate the accident probability. The scenario in which LNG leakage occur were configured with FT (Fault Tree), and the coefficient of the covariate model and Weibull distribution was estimated based on the monitoring data. The possibility of an LNG leakage, which is the top event of FT, was confirmed by changes in time and monitoring data. A method for estimating the LNG leakage based on the reliability physical analysis is proposed, which supports fast decision-making by identifying the potential LNG leakage at the accident.

Experimental Analysis of Bankruptcy Prediction with SHAP framework on Polish Companies

  • Tuguldur Enkhtuya;Dae-Ki Kang
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.53-58
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    • 2023
  • With the fast development of artificial intelligence day by day, users are demanding explanations about the results of algorithms and want to know what parameters influence the results. In this paper, we propose a model for bankruptcy prediction with interpretability using the SHAP framework. SHAP (SHAPley Additive exPlanations) is framework that gives a visualized result that can be used for explanation and interpretation of machine learning models. As a result, we can describe which features are important for the result of our deep learning model. SHAP framework Force plot result gives us top features which are mainly reflecting overall model score. Even though Fully Connected Neural Networks are a "black box" model, Shapley values help us to alleviate the "black box" problem. FCNNs perform well with complex dataset with more than 60 financial ratios. Combined with SHAP framework, we create an effective model with understandable interpretation. Bankruptcy is a rare event, then we avoid imbalanced dataset problem with the help of SMOTE. SMOTE is one of the oversampling technique that resulting synthetic samples are generated for the minority class. It uses K-nearest neighbors algorithm for line connecting method in order to producing examples. We expect our model results assist financial analysts who are interested in forecasting bankruptcy prediction of companies in detail.

슈퍼볼 애드미터와 광고 어필사이의 문화측면에서 연관성 연구 (A Study on the Relationships between Super Bowl Ad Meter and Advertising Appeals in Cultural Dimensions)

  • 김진설;이윤철
    • 국제지역연구
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.183-208
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    • 2016
  • 이 연구의 목적은 Ad 미터 점수가 높은 슈퍼볼 광고가 홉스테드 모델과 관련있는 광고 어필을 더 많이 가지는지를 테스트하는 것이다. 이 연구의 의의는 대표적인 미국적인 스포츠인 슈퍼볼 이벤트에서 미국 소비자의 광고에 대한 선호도를 문화적 측면에서 분석한데 있다. 이 연구는 2005년부터 2011년까지 7년간의 슈퍼볼 광고 중 상위 10위와 하위 10위 광고를 대상으로 한 내용 분석에 기초하였다. 상위 및 하위 하위 광고는 USA 투데이가 발표한 Ad 미터점수를 참고하였고 2명의 코더가 저자와 함께 총 139개 광고를 코딩하였다. 상위 10 그룹의 광고들이 홉스테드 모델 중 낮은 불확실성 회피 측면과 연관된 젊음, 길들여지지않음, 마법 같은 어필을 더 많이 보여주는 것으로 밝혀졌다. 반면, 높은 권력차이의 측면과 관련된 장식, 허영, 지위 같은 어필들이 주로 하위 10위권 그룹의 광고에서 많이 나타났다. 내용 분석에 기초한 이번 발견에 근거하여, 특정한 어필과 점수 수준의 관계가 슈퍼볼을 TV로 시청하는 사람들을 타켓으로 한 광고를 제작할 시 어떤 문화적인 측면에서 어필들을 채택해야하는지에 대한 제안점을 제공한다.