• 제목/요약/키워드: Time-Varying Failure Rate

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배전기기 고장률 추출에 관한 연구 (A Study on Failure Rate Extraction of Power Distribution System Equipment)

  • 문종필;김재철;이희태;추철민;안재민
    • 한국조명전기설비학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국조명전기설비학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.366-368
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, the Time-varying Failure Rate (TFR) of power distribution system equipment is extracted from the recorded failure data of Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO). For TFR extraction, it is used that the fault data accumulated by KEPCO during 10 years. The TFR is approximated to bathtub curve using the exponential (random failure) and Weibull (aging failure) distribution function. In addition, Kaplan-Meier estimation is applied to TFR extraction because of incomplete failure data of KEPCO. Finally, Probability plot and regression analysis is applied. It is presented that the extracted TFR is more effective and useful than Mean Failure Rate (MFR) through the comparison between TFR and MFR.

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기상요인에 따른 가공변압기의 고장영향 분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Failure Effect Analysis of Overhead Transformer Considering Weather)

  • 오도은;장승민
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제66권5호
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    • pp.857-862
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    • 2017
  • The management of the electric power facilities became important in accordance with the industrial development and electric power facilities were influenced by weather. Even if the same kind of electric power facilities is estimated for extracting the time-varying failure rate, the failure rate could be different depending on external effect such as climate. This research will show the data mining modeling of the weather-related outage and influence of weather on the electric power facility with recent data.

경제성에 기반한 배전계통 설비투자 우선순위 결정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Decision Strategy of Investment Priority Focused on Economics in Distribution Network)

  • 박창호
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
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    • 제23권9호
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    • pp.31-39
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    • 2009
  • 본 논문에서는 경제성 평가를 기반으로 하는 배전 설비투자 우선순위를 결정하기 위하여 배전계통 구성, 설비 및 부하정보를 이용하여 배전계통을 모델링 하고, 현 계통의 신뢰도를 개선하기 위한 방향으로 설비투자 대안들을 설계한 다음, 이 대안들을 대상으로 신뢰도 및 경제성을 평가하는 모델을 제시하였다. 이러한 투자대안들의 신뢰도 영향과 경제성을 분석하기 위하여 한전의 주요 배전설비(15종)의 신도율(시변고장율)과 설비투자시 영향을 받는 고객들의 정전비용을 적용하여 경제적 효과를 산출하였으며, 이러한 투자 방법론의 유효성을 검증하기 위하여 한전의 배전사업소 실제 투자안을 대상으로 하여 경제성 평가를 수행한 결과와 비교분석하였다.

통신 서비스 가용도의 추계적 모델 (Stochastic Model for Telecommunication Service Availability)

  • 함영만;이강원
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제37권1B호
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    • pp.50-58
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구의 주된 목적은 사용자 관점에서 본 통신 시스템 서비스 가용도의 이론적 모델 개발이다. 이를 위하여 호(Call) 도착은 non-homogeneous 포아손 과정의 가정, 그리고 시스템 상태는 CTMC 모델의 가정을 토대로 서비스 가용도의 추계적 모델을 개발하였다. 제시한 모델은 시간에 따라 변하는 호 도착률을 포함하여 사용자 관점에서 본 서비스 신뢰도 모형의 사용자 모델을 효율적으로 나타냈다. 아울러 시스템 자원의 고장 없이도 사용자가 서비스를 받지 못하는 시스템 상태인 운영 고장 상태를 모델에 포함하여 제공자 입장이 아니라 사용자 관점에서 모델을 구축하였다.

Markov Model을 이용한 배전계통 기기의 유지보수 최적주기 결정 (Determination of optimal maintenance interval at power distribution system equipment using a Markov Model)

  • 박근표;문종필;윤용태;이상성;김재철
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2005년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전력기술부문
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    • pp.249-251
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    • 2005
  • 전력 산업구조개편으로 인하여 전력회사의 민영화가 진행됨에 따라 전력회사에서는 한정된 예산으로 배전계통을 운영함으로써 유지보수를 위한 충분한 여유가 없어지게 될 것이다. 이러한 환경에서 한정된 비용으로 계통의 신뢰도를 일정 수준 이상으로 유지해야만 하는 문제에 직면하게 되며, 이는 매우 어려운 일이다. 이를 위해서는 최소의 비용으로 최대의 유지보수 효과를 낼 수 있는 방법을 개발해야 하며, 최적의 유지보수 주기를 찾는 것이 중요한 문제라 할 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 이런 문제론 해결하기 위해, 유지보수 기기 선정 및 유지보수 주기를 결정하는데 있어 검증된 기법인 Reliability Centered Maintenance (RCM) 기법을 이용하였다. 배전계통 기기의 유지보수에 있어서 Four-state Markov 모델을 이용하여 기기의 유지보수에 드는 비용과 기기의 고장에 의한 정전비용 사이의 trade-off를 고려하여 총 비용이 최소가 되는 최적의 유지보수 주기를 찾고자 한다. 이를 위하여 기존의 모델에서 평균고장률(mean failure rate)을 사용한 것과는 달리 시변 고장률(time-varying failure rate)을 적용하였으며, 또한 유지보수에 따른 고장률의 감소도 고려함으로써 최적의 유지보수 주기를 결정할 수 있었다.

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유빙 및 평탄빙의 충돌에 의한 빙하중과 선체구조응답 해석기법 (Analysis Method of Ice Load and Ship Structural Response due to Collision of Ice Bergy Bit and Level Ice)

  • 노인식;이재만;오영택;김성찬
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제53권2호
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    • pp.85-91
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    • 2016
  • The most important factor in the structural design of ships and offshore structures operating in arctic region is ice load, which results from ice-structure interaction during the ice collision process. The mechanical properties of ice related to strength and failure, however, show very complicated aspect varying with temperature, volume fraction of brine, grain size, strain rate and etc. So it is nearly impossible to establish a perfect material model of ice satisfying all the mechanical characteristics completely. Therefore, in general, ice collision analysis was carried out by relatively simple material models considering only specific aspects of mechanical characteristics of ice and it would be the most significant cause of inevitable errors in the analysis. Especially, it is well-known that the most distinctive mechanical property of ice is high dependency on strain rate. Ice shows brittle attribute in higher strain rate while it becomes ductile in lower strain rate range. In this study, the simulation method of ice collision to ship hull using the nonlinear dynamic FE analysis was dealt with. To consider the strain rate effects of ice during ice-structural interaction, strain rate dependent constitutive model in which yield stress and hardening behaviors vary with strain rate was adopted. To reduce the huge amount of computing time, the modeling range of ice and ship structure were restricted to the confined region of interest. Under the various scenario of ice-ship hull collision, the structural behavior of hull panels and failure modes of ice were examined by nonlinear FE analysis technique.

운용환경을 고려한 항공오일시험장비의 최적정비주기 설정 (Optimal Maintenance Cycle for Aviation Oil Testing Equipment under the Consideration of Operational Environment)

  • 김인석;정원
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.224-230
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: Military maintenance involves corrective and preventive actions carried out to keep a system in or restore it to a predetermined condition. This research develops an optimal maintenance cycle for aviation oil testing equipment with acceptable reliability level and minimum maintenance cost. Methods: The optimal maintenance policy in this research aims to satisfy the desired reliability level at the lowest cost. We assume that the failure process of equipment follows the power law non-homogeneous Poisson process model and the maintenance system is a minimal repair policy. Estimation and other statistical procedures (trend test and goodness of fit test) are given for this model. Results: With time varying failure rate, we developed reliability-based maintenance cost optimization model. This model will reduce the ownership cost through adopting a proactive reliability focused maintenance system. Conclusion: Based on the analysis, it is recommended to increase the current maintenance cycle by three times which is 0.5 year to 1.5 years. Because of the system's built-in self-checking features, it is not expected to have any problems of preventative maintenance cycle.

Automatic Blood Pressure Control Using PI Controller with $H_{\infty}$ Loop-Shaping

  • Han, Jeong-Yup;Lee, Sang-Kyung;Park, Hong-Bae
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2004년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.326-329
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we show a new form of blood pressure controller combined PI control with $H_{\infty}$ loop-shaping. Hypertensive patients or post-operative patients need to maintain normally blood pressure. Exact regulation of blood pressure is needed for maintaining variable blood pressure of preventing complications. The regulation of blood pressure is achieved by injecting drugs, and usually sodium nitroprusside is used as those kinds of drugs. It is necessary to control the infusion rate sodium-nitroprusside carefully to achieve the desired blood pressure. It has been known that regulation of blood pressure by automatic controller is more effective than regulation of blood pressure by human operators. The control of blood pressure has many constraints and uncertainties. Most of biological system has the time-varying variables and the side effects such as increased risk of sepsis and organ failure. To solve such a problem, we design a new robust PI controller using $H_{\infty}$ loop-shaping to decrease noise effects that come out from human body and errors for time delay. The system with designed controller shows more stable control of mean blood pressure and more robust performance for uncertainties. Validation methods for the control performance are confirmed to computer simulations.

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제한된 투자 예산으로 정전비용 최소화를 위한 배전계통 유지보수 계획의 투자 방안 (The Investment Scheme of the Maintenance Planning with Limited Investment Budget in the Distribution Systems for Minimizing the Interruption Cost)

  • 황원일;김규호;김홍래;송경빈
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
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    • 제24권8호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2010
  • 전력계통의 신뢰도와 배전계통의 유지보수는 매우 밀접한 관계가 있다. 본 논문에서는 정전비용의 최소화를 목적함수로 배전계통의 유지보수 계획을 수립하는 방안을 제시한다. 시변고장률을 이용하여 배전계통 내 특정설비의 고장으로 인한 정전비용을 수식화하고 공급구역의 정전비용을 목적함수로 최적화를 수행하며 경제성 분석을 통하여 투자비용 제약을 적용하여 유지보수를 위한 투자설비 우선순위를 결정한다. 제안한 방안을 검증할 모델계통은 국내의 도심지역 변전소를 통해 만들었으며, 제안된 방안의 신뢰도의 이득을 평가함으로서 그 타당성을 검증하였다.

Adverse effect of IL-6 on the in vitro maturation of porcine oocytes

  • Yi, Young-Joo;Adikari, Adikari Arachchige Dilki Indrachapa;Moon, Seung-Tae;Heo, Jung-Min;Lee, Sang-Myeong
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제48권3호
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    • pp.607-615
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    • 2021
  • Cytokines are protein mediators that possess the ability to assist cell-to-cell communication in immune system-related activities. In general, pathogen endotoxins activate the release of inflammatory mediators, and with time, there is an increase in the cytokine levels in the body. Interleukin (IL)-6 mediates the acute-phase inflammatory response, and elevated IL-6 levels have been reported in peritoneal fluids of women with pelvic inflammation and endometriosis, thereby associating it with oocyte quality and infertility. To overcome subfertility or infertility in humans and animals, the present study was done to examine the effect of recombinant IL-6 on porcine oocytes matured in vitro and subsequently to determine the fertilization rate and embryo development. Porcine oocytes were incubated with varying concentrations of IL-6 (0 - 2 ㎍·mL-1) for 44 h followed by in vitro fertilization and culturing of the oocytes. The oocytes or embryos were fixed with 3.7% paraformaldehyde (PFA) and stained with fluorescence dyes, and the meiotic spindle, chromosome organization, fertilization status and embryo development were subsequently assessed under a fluorescence microscope. We observed induction of an abnormal meiotic spindle alignment in the oocytes incubated with IL-6 compared to the control oocytes incubated without IL-6. Moreover, significantly decreased fertilization rates and embryo development were observed for oocytes incubated with IL-6 (p < 0.05). Thus, an increased IL-6 level during oocyte maturation could be associated with fertilization failure due to an aberrant chromosomal alignment and a disruption of the cortical granules. Taken together, our results indicate that successful assisted reproduction can be achieved by controlling the levels of inflammatory cytokines.