• Title/Summary/Keyword: Time series Data

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A model of predicting performance of Olympic female weightlifters using time series analysis

  • Won, Jin-hee;Cho, In-ho
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.216-222
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study was to predict the performance of female weightlifters using time series analysis. Based on this purpose, a time series analysis was used to calculate the performance prediction model for women(58kg) among the domestic women weightlifters who participated in the Olympics. As a result of creating time series data based on 10 years of record and then evaluating the sequential charts of each athlete group, the female athletes' records did not show any seasonality or difference. In addition, after examining the independence of the data through the creation of a time series model, it was shown that the models produced conformed to the criteria for compliance and that there was no difference in the data, but there was a trend. Accordingly, Holt linear trend analysis of the exponential smoothing model was applied. As a result of deriving the prediction model of the athletes through this process, it was found that the women (58kg) who participated in the Olympics continued to improve within the range of 166.11kg to 184.1kg.

Development of 3D Visualization Technology for Meteorological Data Using IDL (IDL을 이용한 기상자료 3 차원 가시화 기술개발 연구)

  • Joh Min-su;Yun Ja-Young;Seo In-Bum
    • 한국가시화정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2002.11a
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    • pp.77-80
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    • 2002
  • The recent 3D visualization such as volume rendering, iso-surface rendering or stream line visualization gives more understanding about structures or distribution of data in a space and, moreover, the real-time rendering of a scene enables the animation of time-series data. Because the meteorological data is frequently formed as multi-variables, 3-dimensional and time-series data, the spatial analysis, time-series analysis, vector display, and animation techniques can do important roles to get more understanding about data. In this research, our aim is to develop the 3-dimensional visualization techniques for meteorological data in the PC environment by using IDL. The visualization technology from :his research will be used as basic technology not only for the deeper understanding and the more exact prediction about meteorological environments but also for the scientific and spatial data visualization research in any field from which three-dimensional data comes out such as oceanography, earth science, or aeronautical engineering.

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Correlation Analyses of the Temperature Time Series Data from the Heat Box for Energy Modeling in the Automobile Drying Process (자동차 건조 공정 에너지 예측 모형을 위한 공조기 온도 시계열 데이터의 상관관계 분석)

  • Lee, Chang-Yong;Song, Gensoo;Kim, Jinho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we investigate the statistical correlation of the time series for temperature measured at the heat box in the automobile drying process. We show, in terms of the sample variance, that a significant non-linear correlation exists in the time series that consist of absolute temperature changes. To investigate further the non-linear correlation, we utilize the volatility, an important concept in the financial market, and induce volatility time series from absolute temperature changes. We analyze the time series of volatilities in terms of the de-trended fluctuation analysis (DFA), a method especially suitable for testing the long-range correlation of non-stationary data, from the correlation perspective. We uncover that the volatility exhibits a long-range correlation regardless of the window size. We also analyze the cross correlation between two (inlet and outlet) volatility time series to characterize any correlation between the two, and disclose the dependence of the correlation strength on the time lag. These results can contribute as important factors to the modeling of forecasting and management of the heat box's temperature.

Classification of Time-Series Data Based on Several Lag Windows

  • Kim, Hee-Young;Park, Man-Sik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.377-390
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    • 2010
  • In the case of time-series analysis, it is often more convenient to rely on the frequency domain than the time domain. Spectral density is the core of the frequency-domain analysis that describes autocorrelation structures in a time-series process. Possible ways to estimate spectral density are to compute a periodogram or to average the periodogram over some frequencies with (un)equal weights. This can be an attractive tool to measure the similarity between time-series processes. We employ the metrics based on a smoothed periodogram proposed by Park and Kim (2008) for the classification of different classes of time-series processes. We consider several lag windows with unequal weights instead of a modified Daniel's window used in Park and Kim (2008). We evaluate the performance under various simulation scenarios. Simulation results reveal that the metrics used in this study split the time series into the preassigned clusters better than do the raw-periodogram based ones proposed by Caiado et al. 2006. Our metrics are applied to an economic time-series dataset.

Analysis of Intrinsic Patterns of Time Series Based on Chaos Theory: Focusing on Roulette and KOSPI200 Index Future (카오스 이론 기반 시계열의 내재적 패턴분석: 룰렛과 KOSPI200 지수선물 데이터 대상)

  • Lee, HeeChul;Kim, HongGon;Kim, Hee-Woong
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.119-133
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    • 2021
  • As a large amount of data is produced in each industry, a number of time series pattern prediction studies are being conducted to make quick business decisions. However, there is a limit to predicting specific patterns in nonlinear time series data due to the uncertainty inherent in the data, and there are difficulties in making strategic decisions in corporate management. In addition, in recent decades, various studies have been conducted on data such as demand/supply and financial markets that are suitable for industrial purposes to predict time series data of irregular random walk models, but predict specific rules and achieve sustainable corporate objectives There are difficulties. In this study, the prediction results were compared and analyzed using the Chaos analysis method for roulette data and financial market data, and meaningful results were derived. And, this study confirmed that chaos analysis is useful for finding a new method in analyzing time series data. By comparing and analyzing the characteristics of roulette games with the time series of Korean stock index future, it was derived that predictive power can be improved if the trend is confirmed, and it is meaningful in determining whether nonlinear time series data with high uncertainty have a specific pattern.

Multiple Model Prediction System Based on Optimal TS Fuzzy Model and Its Applications to Time Series Forecasting (최적 TS 퍼지 모델 기반 다중 모델 예측 시스템의 구현과 시계열 예측 응용)

  • Bang, Young-Keun;Lee, Chul-Heui
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.28 no.B
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    • pp.101-109
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    • 2008
  • In general, non-stationary or chaos time series forecasting is very difficult since there exists a drift and/or nonlinearities in them. To overcome this situation, we suggest a new prediction method based on multiple model TS fuzzy predictors combined with preprocessing of time series data, where, instead of time series data, the differences of them are applied to predictors as input. In preprocessing procedure, the candidates of optimal difference interval are determined by using con-elation analysis and corresponding difference data are generated. And then, for each of them, TS fuzzy predictor is constructed by using k-means clustering algorithm and least squares method. Finally, the best predictor which minimizes the performance index is selected and it works on hereafter for prediction. Computer simulation is performed to show the effectiveness and usefulness of our method.

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Uncertain Rule-based Fuzzy Technique: Nonsingleton Fuzzy Logic System for Corrupted Time Series Analysis

  • Kim, Dongwon;Park, Gwi-Tae
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.361-365
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we present the modeling of time series data which are corrupted by noise via nonsingleton fuzzy logic system. Nonsingleton fuzzy logic system (NFLS) is useful in cases where the available data are corrupted by noise. NFLS is a fuzzy system whose inputs are modeled as fuzzy number. The abilities of NFLS to approximate arbitrary functions, and to effectively deal with noise and uncertainty, are used to analyze corrupted time series data. In the simulation results, we compare the results of the NFLS approach with the results of using only a traditional fuzzy logic system.

Reverse Engineering of a Gene Regulatory Network from Time-Series Data Using Mutual Information

  • Barman, Shohag;Kwon, Yung-Keun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2014.11a
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    • pp.849-852
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    • 2014
  • Reverse engineering of gene regulatory network is a challenging task in computational biology. To detect a regulatory relationship among genes from time series data is called reverse engineering. Reverse engineering helps to discover the architecture of the underlying gene regulatory network. Besides, it insights into the disease process, biological process and drug discovery. There are many statistical approaches available for reverse engineering of gene regulatory network. In our paper, we propose pairwise mutual information for the reverse engineering of a gene regulatory network from time series data. Firstly, we create random boolean networks by the well-known $Erd{\ddot{o}}s-R{\acute{e}}nyi$ model. Secondly, we generate artificial time series data from that network. Then, we calculate pairwise mutual information for predicting the network. We implement of our system on java platform. To visualize the random boolean network graphically we use cytoscape plugins 2.8.0.

Neural Network-based Time Series Modeling of Optical Emission Spectroscopy Data for Fault Prediction in Reactive Ion Etching

  • Sang Jeen Hong
    • Journal of the Semiconductor & Display Technology
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.131-135
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    • 2023
  • Neural network-based time series models called time series neural networks (TSNNs) are trained by the error backpropagation algorithm and used to predict process shifts of parameters such as gas flow, RF power, and chamber pressure in reactive ion etching (RIE). The training data consists of process conditions, as well as principal components (PCs) of optical emission spectroscopy (OES) data collected in-situ. Data are generated during the etching of benzocyclobutene (BCB) in a SF6/O2 plasma. Combinations of baseline and faulty responses for each process parameter are simulated, and a moving average of TSNN predictions successfully identifies process shifts in the recipe parameters for various degrees of faults.

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Evolutionary Computation-based Hybird Clustring Technique for Manufacuring Time Series Data (제조 시계열 데이터를 위한 진화 연산 기반의 하이브리드 클러스터링 기법)

  • Oh, Sanghoun;Ahn, Chang Wook
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.23-30
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    • 2021
  • Although the manufacturing time series data clustering technique is an important grouping solution in the field of detecting and improving manufacturing large data-based equipment and process defects, it has a disadvantage of low accuracy when applying the existing static data target clustering technique to time series data. In this paper, an evolutionary computation-based time series cluster analysis approach is presented to improve the coherence of existing clustering techniques. To this end, first, the image shape resulting from the manufacturing process is converted into one-dimensional time series data using linear scanning, and the optimal sub-clusters for hierarchical cluster analysis and split cluster analysis are derived based on the Pearson distance metric as the target of the transformation data. Finally, by using a genetic algorithm, an optimal cluster combination with minimal similarity is derived for the two cluster analysis results. And the performance superiority of the proposed clustering is verified by comparing the performance with the existing clustering technique for the actual manufacturing process image.