• Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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• v.34 no.4
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• pp.91-112
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• 2009

The bullwhip effect means the phenomenon of increasing demand variation as moving UP to the upstream in the supply chain. Therefore, it is recognized that the bullwhip effect is problematic for effective supply chain operations. In this paper, we exactly quantifies the bullwhip effect for the case of stochastic lead time and seasonal demand in two-echelon supply chain where retailer employs a base-stock policy considering SARMA demand processes and stochastic lead time. We also investigate the behavior of the proposed measurement for the bullwhip effect with autoregressive and moving average coefficient, stochastic lead time, and seasonal factor.

• Journal of Industrial Convergence
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• v.20 no.11
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• pp.157-164
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• 2022

This study attempted to understand the mediating effect of learning time in the effect of academic burnout on self-esteem of middle school students. To this end, a survey of 1,045 middle school students in Gyeongsangnam-do was conducted on academic burnout, learning time, and self-esteem. It was analyzed in four ways through questionnaire responses. First, as a result of analyzing the differences according to the collective characteristics of academic burnout, learning time, and self-esteem, there was no difference between groups, and self-esteem was significantly different by gender and grade. Second, as a result of correlation analysis, academic burnout and learning time showed a negative correlation with self-esteem, and learning time and self-esteem showed a positive correlation. Third, as a result of regression analysis, all learning times were partially mediated in the effect of academic burnout on self-esteem. This not only directly affects the self-esteem of middle school students, but also indirectly through learning time. Fourth, in the analysis by gender, it was confirmed that male students had no statistically significant effect on self-esteem, but female students had a significant statistical effect on self-esteem, so only female students had a partial mediating effect. As a result of the analysis by grade, the effect of learning time on self-esteem was significant in the 1st and 2nd graders of middle school, but the effect of learning time on self-esteem was not significant in the 3rd graders of middle school. Through the survey of this study, it was suggested that education and counseling should be conducted in the middle school period, which is a rapid growth period, considering that academic burnout has a different effect on learning time and self-esteem by grade as well as gender approach.

• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.42 no.6
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• pp.377-385
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• 2016

The previous Adaptive Control of Thought-Rational (ACT-R) cognitive architecture model has a limitation in that it cannot accurately predict human visual search strategy, because time effect, one of important human cognitive features, is not considered. Thus, the present study proposes ACT-R cognitive modeling that contains the impact of time using a revised utility system in the ACT-R model. Then, the validation of the model is performed by comparing results of the model with eye-tracking experimental data and SEEV-T (SEEV-Time; SEEV model which considers time effect) model in "Where's Wally" game. The results demonstrate that the model data fit fairly well with the eye-tracking data ($R^2=0.91$) and SEEV-T model ($R^2=0.93$). Therefore, the modeling method which considers time effect using a revised utility system should be used in predicting the human visual search paradigm when the available time is limited.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• v.19 no.4
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• pp.287-301
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• 2020

Fragility as one of the most effective methods to evaluate seismic performance, which is greatly affected by damage index. Taking a multi span continuous rigid frame offshore bridge as an example. Based on fragility and reliability theory, considering coupling effect of time-varying durability damage of materials and time-varying attenuation effect of damage index to analyze seismic performance of offshore bridges. Results show that IDA curve considering time-varying damage index is obviously below that without considering; area enclosed by IDA of 1# pier and X-axis under No.1 earthquake considering this effect is 96% of that without considering. Area enclosed by damage index of 1# pier and X-axis under serious damage with considering time-varying damage index is 90% of that without considering in service period. Time-varying damage index has a greater impact on short pier when ground motion intensity is small, while it has a great impact on high pier when the intensity is large. The area enclosed by fragility of bridge system and X-axis under complete destruction considering time-varying damage index is 165% of that without considering when reach designed service life. Therefore, time-varying attenuation effect of damage index has a great impact on seismic performance of bridge in service period.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2006.11a
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• pp.9-11
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• 2006

This paper suggests a revision method for historical fault data using Proportional Aging Reduction(PAR) to consider maintenance effect in time-varying failure rate. In order to product time-varying failure rate, the historical fault data are necessary. However, the maintenance record could be left out in historical data by spot operator's mistake. In this case, the failure rate is produced less than the average failure rate for increasing equipments' life-time by maintenance effect. Hence, it is necessary for new time-varying failure rate to extract maintenance effect from the existing fault data. In this paper, the revision method to reduce equipments' life-time, adversely using PAR among three techniques to consider maintenance effect.

• International Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration
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• v.6
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• pp.113-123
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• 1998

The present study is to investigate the effect of experimental parameters on the heat transfer characteristics of a spherical capsule storage system using paraffins. N-Tetradecane and mixture of n-Tetradecane 40% and n-Hexadecane 60% were used as paraffins. Water with inorganic material was also tested for the comparison. The experimental parameters were varied for the Reynolds number from 8 to 16 and for the inlet temperature from -7 to 2$^{\circ}C$. Measured local temperatures of spherical capsules in the storage tank were utilized to calculate charging and discharging times, dimensionless thermal storage amount, and the average heat transfer coefficients in the tank. Local charging and discharging times in the storage tank were significantly different. The effect of inlet temperature on charging time was larger than that on discharging time, but the effect of Reynolds number on charging time was smaller than that on discharging time. Charging time of paraffins was faster by 11~72% than that of water with inorganic material, but little difference of discharging time was found among them. The effect of Reynolds number on the dimensionless thermal storage was less during charging process and more during discharging process than the effect of inlet temperature. The effect of the inlet temperature and the Reynolds number on the average heat transfer coefficient of the storage tank was stronger during discharging process than during charging process. The average heat transfer coefficients of the spherical capsule system using paraffins were larger by 40% than those using water.

• The Korea Journal of Herbology
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• v.23 no.4
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• pp.191-196
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• 2008

Objectives: This research was investigated to find out the effect of the anticoagulant Perillae folium extract. Methods: To examine an active effect of anticoagulation in Perillae folium extract, the study measured Prothrombin time(PT) and activated partial thromboplastin time(APTT) of human plasma in vitro and measured bleeding time and arterio-venous shunt model in rats in vivo. Results: Bleeding time of Perillae folium extract in vivo had a significant increase 1.6 times and thrombus weight of Perillae folium extract had a significant reduction of thrombus weight as 68%. Perillae folium extract had an effect of anticoagulation by operating on extrinsic pathway factor II, V, VII, X and intrinsic pathway factor VIII, IX, X, VI, VII in the coagulation system. Conclusions: Considering the above mentioned results, it is judged that a Perillae folium extract has a control effect of thrombus creation.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.20 no.5
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• pp.787-796
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• 2009

A random coefficient model is applied when times of the repeated measurements are not fixed in experiments with respect to the subjects. The procedures of the inference of a random coefficient model are same as those of a mixed model. Diet experimental data was used for applying the random coefficient model. Various random coefficient models are investigated for the experimental data, and are compared each other. Finally, optimal random coefficient model would be selected. It resulted from the analysis that for the fixed effect factor, the baseline, treatment, height, and time effect were very significant. The treatment effect of the diet foods and exercises were more effective in losing weight than the effect of the diet foods only. The fixed cubic time effect was very significant. The variance components corresponding to the subject effect, linear time effect, quadratic time effect, and cubic time effect of the random coefficients are all positive. When quartic time effect was added as random coefficients the model did not converge. Thus random coefficients up to the cubic terms was considered as the optimal model.

• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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• 2002.11a
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• pp.197-201
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• 2002

The healthy worker effect is an important issue in occupational epidemiology. We proposed a new statistical method to test the relationship between exposure and time to death in the presence of the healthy worker effect. In this study, we considered the healthy worker hire effect to operate as a confounder and the healthy worker survival effect to operate as a confounder and an intermediate variable. The basic idea of the proposed method reflects the length bias-sampling caused by changing one's employment status. Simulation studies were also carried out to compare the proposed method with the Cox proportional hazards models. According to our simulation studies, both the proposed test and the test based on the Cox model having the change of the employment status as a time-dependent covariate seem to be satisfactory at an upper 5% significance level. The Cox models, however, are inadequate with the change, if any, of the employment status as time-independent covariate. The proposed test is superior in power to the test based on the Cox model including the time-dependent employment status.

• Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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• v.6 no.1
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• pp.10-21
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• 1979

In preventing the infection of Clonorchis sinensis, there is one way in which life cycle of Clonorchis sinensis is cut off by eradicating the first intermediate host viz Parafossarulus manchuoricus, with molluscicides or insecticides. This survey was carried out in order to evaluating the molluscicidal effect of several insecticides upon P. manchauricus. In this survey, diazinon, heptachlor, E.P.N., E.M., and malathion was applied as molluscidies. Those insecticides had been generaly used in farming area. The results are summarized as follows. 1) In molluscicidal effect, E.M. showed the higher molluscicidal effect than any other insecticides in all experiment parts, and the order of insecticides upon molluscicidal effect was that of E.M., E.P.N., heptachlor and malathion. 2) $LD_{50}$ values are varied according to the exposure time in insecticide solution, and the longer the exposure time is, the lower the values of $LD_{50}$ is. 3) To take the exposure time in low concentration of insecticide solution for the long time would obtain the more molluscicidal effect. 4) The mortality rate increases in proportion as the concentration of insecticides increases.