• Title/Summary/Keyword: The Technology Valuation

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Demand Forecasting with Discrete Choice Model Based on Technological Forecasting

  • 김원준;이정동;김태유
    • Proceedings of the Technology Innovation Conference
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    • 2003.02a
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    • pp.173-190
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    • 2003
  • Demand forecasting is essential in establishing national and corporate strategy as well as the management of their resource. We forecast demand for multi-generation product using discrete choice model combining diffusion model The discrete choice model generally captures consumers'valuation of the product's qualify in the framework of a cross-sectional analysis. We incorporate diffusion effects into a discrete choice model in order to capture the dynamics of demand for multi-generation products. As an empirical application, we forecast demand for worldwide DRAM (dynamic random access memory) and each of its generations from 1999 to 2005. In so doing, we use the method of 'Technological Forecasting'for DRAM Density and Price of the generations based on the Moore's law and learning by doing, respectively. Since we perform our analysis at the market level, we adopt the inversion routine in using the discrete choice model and find that our model performs well in explaining the current market situation, and also in forecasting new product diffusion in multi-generation product markets.

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Economic Valuation of the Municipal Water: Residential and Non-residential Uses (전국 생활용수의 경제적 가치 평가: 가정용수 대 비가정용수)

  • Ku, Se-Ju;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.11
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    • pp.957-965
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    • 2010
  • The municipal water is directly related to the people's quality of life. To examine and implement reasonable water policies including management of the water demand and economically sound investment decisions, it is essential to estimate the conceptually correct and empirically valid economic value of water. This study attempts to estimate the consumer surplus and economic value of municipal water which is supplied to 16 cities in Korea using demand curve approach. The results indicate that the consumer surplus and economic value of municipal water in 2009 are estimated as KRW 1,180.7 per $m^3$ and KRW 1,812.8 per $m^3$, respectively. The economic values of municipal water in 16 cities range from KRW 1,082.7 per $m^3$ to KRW 3,268.6 per $m^3$. Moreover, the economic value of non-residential water is higher than that of residential water in all cities, and the economic value of water is higher than the present price of water. This study is expected to provide policy-makers with useful information to assess a policy and to evaluate the price of water.

Barriers Causing the Value Gap between Expected and Realized Value in IS Investment: SCM/ERP/CRM (정보시스템 투자 전후 가치 격차 유발 장애요인: 탐색적 사례연구)

  • Cho, Nam-Jae;Park, Ki-Ho
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2003
  • Many organizations experience that the value they gained from IT (information technology) investment is lower than they expected prior to the actual implementation of a system - the value gap between expected value and realized value from IT. Research on the barriers to the expectation and realization is of high importance both in practice and in IS research. This study analyzed such barriers observed in three companies that have adopted such IT systems as Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP), Supply Chain Management (SCM), and Customer Relationship Management (CRM) systems each. From analyses of the three companies we specifically identified eight types of barriers: barriers related to industry, organization, knowledge, resource, usage, competence, product, and safety. Common barriers among the three cases were classified into six types, e.g. lack of strategic mind-set, improper organizational structure, lack of human resource, etc. We expect that the results help managers in IS investment to minimize the valuation gap and maximize realized values.

Design of Evaluation Method for Business Models Considering Spectrum Sharing using Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) Method (AHP를 이용한 주파수 공유 비즈니스 모델 평가방법 설계)

  • Kim, Taehan;Park, Hyun Min
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.15 no.12
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    • pp.525-533
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    • 2015
  • The evolution of spectrum sharing technology enables the creation of many business scenarios and business models such as TV white space service. Business models considering spectrum sharing should guarantee economic feasibility for service providers and increasing benefit for service users. In addition, new business models should contribute to economic activation in the wireless telecommunication service industry. It is therefore necessary to design quantitative evaluation methods for selection of the best business models. The methods should reflect the various points of view of valuation. Our research addresses evaluation method for business models considering spectrum sharing. We define evaluation indicators to reflect the distinct characteristics of spectrum sharing. Also, we adopt analytic hierarchy process(AHP) to derive the weights of each indicator to evaluate business models considering spectrum sharing.

A NOTE ON w-GD DOMAINS

  • Zhou, Dechuan
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.57 no.6
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    • pp.1351-1365
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    • 2020
  • Let S and T be w-linked extension domains of a domain R with S ⊆ T. In this paper, we define what satisfying the wR-GD property for S ⊆ T means and what being wR- or w-GD domains for T means. Then some sufficient conditions are given for the wR-GD property and wR-GD domains. For example, if T is wR-integral over S and S is integrally closed, then the wR-GD property holds. It is also given that S is a wR-GD domain if and only if S ⊆ T satisfies the wR-GD property for each wR-linked valuation overring T of S, if and only if S ⊆ (S[u])w satisfies the wR-GD property for each element u in the quotient field of S, if and only if S𝔪 is a GD domain for each maximal wR-ideal 𝔪 of S. Then we focus on discussing the relationship among GD domains, w-GD domains, wR-GD domains, Prüfer domains, PνMDs and PwRMDs, and also provide some relevant counterexamples. As an application, we give a new characterization of PwRMDs. We show that S is a PwRMD if and only if S is a wR-GD domain and every wR-linked overring of S that satisfies the wR-GD property is wR-flat over S. Furthermore, examples are provided to show these two conditions are necessary for PwRMDs.

Efficient Hangul Word Processor (HWP) Malware Detection Using Semi-Supervised Learning with Augmented Data Utility Valuation (효율적인 HWP 악성코드 탐지를 위한 데이터 유용성 검증 및 확보 기반 준지도학습 기법)

  • JinHyuk Son;Gihyuk Ko;Ho-Mook Cho;Young-Kuk Kim
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.71-82
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    • 2024
  • With the advancement of information and communication technology (ICT), the use of electronic document types such as PDF, MS Office, and HWP files has increased. Such trend has led the cyber attackers increasingly try to spread malicious documents through e-mails and messengers. To counter such attacks, AI-based methodologies have been actively employed in order to detect malicious document files. The main challenge in detecting malicious HWP(Hangul Word Processor) files is the lack of quality dataset due to its usage is limited in Korea, compared to PDF and MS-Office files that are highly being utilized worldwide. To address this limitation, data augmentation have been proposed to diversify training data by transforming existing dataset, but as the usefulness of the augmented data is not evaluated, augmented data could end up harming model's performance. In this paper, we propose an effective semi-supervised learning technique in detecting malicious HWP document files, which improves overall AI model performance via quantifying the utility of augmented data and filtering out useless training data.

Valuation of Irrigation Water: A Chance-Constrained Programming Approach (확률제약 계획모형법을 이용한 농업용수의 경제적 가치 평가)

  • Kwon, Oh-Sang;Lee, Tae-Ho;Heo, Jeong-Hoi
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.281-295
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    • 2009
  • This study estimates the value of irrigation water in Korea using an economic programming model that is constructed with all the resource endowment constraints, technology restrictions and policy variables. The variability and uncertainty of water resource endowment are incorporated into the model through the chance-constrained technique. Solving the profit maximization problems with gradually reduced water endowments, we derive a series of shadow values of irrigation water. It has been found that uncertainty in water supply raises the damage from water loss, and the marginal damage increases in water loss.

Assessment Framework for Multicriteria Comparison Indicators in Various Electricity Supply Systems (다양한 전력생산 시스템에서 다중기준 비교지표의 평가 체계)

  • Kim Seong-Ho;Kim Tae-Woon
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.15 no.1 s.45
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    • pp.74-81
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    • 2006
  • In this study, on the basis of an analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method and through a questionnaire on subjective preference and importance, various power supply systems were comprehensively compared with multiple decision criteria such as environmental, social, healthy, and economic viewpoints and then overall priority was assessed. When a decision-making problem is modelled by a hierarchy structure, the AHP method is regarded as a useful tool for extracting subjective opinions via the aforementioned questionnaire. Here, the overall preferences were obtained by linearly aggregating weighting vector and preference matrix. The energy systems such as nuclear, coal, and LNG power plants were selected because they took share over 90% of domestic electricity supply in Korea. Furthermore, wind power and photovoltaic solar systems were included as representative renewable energy systems in Korea. According to the results of this demonstration study, the following comprehensive comparison indicators were yielded: 1) weighting factors for 4 types of main criteria as well as for 11 types of sub-criteria; 2) preference valuation for 7 types of energy systems under consideration; 3) overall score for each energy systems.

Digital Asset Analysis Methodology against Cyber Threat to Instrumentation and Control System in Nuclear Power Plants (원자력발전소의 디지털계측제어시스템의 사이버보안을 위한 디지털 자산분석 방법)

  • Koo, In-Soo;Kim, Kwan-Woong;Hong, Seok-Boong;Park, Geun-Ok;Park, Jae-Yoon
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.6 no.6
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    • pp.839-847
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    • 2011
  • Instrumentation & Control(I&C) System in NPP(Nuclear Power Plant) plays a important role as the brain of human being, it performs protecting, controling and monitoring safety operation of NPP. Recently, the I&C system is digitalized as digital technology such as PLC, DSP, FPGA. The different aspect of digital system which use digital communication to analog system is that it has potential vulnerability to cyber threat in nature. Possibility that digital I&C system is defected by cyber attack is increasing day by day. The result of cyber attack can be adverse effect to safety function in NPP. Therefore, I&C system required cyber security counter-measures that protect themselves from cyber threat efficiently and also cyber security design should be taken into consideration at concept stage in I&C system development process. In this study, we proposed the digital asset analysis method for cyber security assessment of I&C system design in NPP and we performed digital asset analysis of I&C system by using the proposed method.

Remote Estimation Models for Deriving Chlorophyll-a Concentration using Optical Properties in Turbid Inland Waters : Application and Valuation (분광특성을 이용한 담수역 클로로필-a 원격 추정 모형의 적용과 평가)

  • Lee, Hyuk;Kang, Taegu;Nam, Gibeom;Ha, Rim;Cho, Kyunghwa
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.272-285
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    • 2015
  • Accurate assessment of chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentrations in inland waters using remote sensing is challenging due to the optical complexity of case 2 waters. and the inherent optical properties (IOPs) of natural waters are the most significant factors affecting light propagation within water columns, and thus play indispensable roles on estimation of Chl-a concentrations. Despite its importance, no IOPs retrieval model was specifically developed for inland water bodies, although significant efforts were made on oceanic inversion models. So we have applied and validated a recently developed Red-NIR three-band model and an IOPs Inversion Model for estimating Chl-a concentration and deriving inland water IOPs in Lake Uiam. Three band and IOPs based Chl-a estimation model accuracy was assessed with samples collected in different seasons. The results indicate that this models can be used to accurately retrieve Chl-a concentration and absorption coefficients. For all datasets the determination coefficients of the 3-band models versus Chl-a concentration ranged 0.65 and 0.88 and IOPs based model versus Chl-a concentration varied from 0.73 to 0.83 respectively. and Comparison between 3-band and IOPs based models showed significant performance with decrease of root mean square error from 18% to 33.6%. The results of this study provides the potential of effective methods for remote monitoring and water quality management in turbid inland water bodies using hyper-spectral remote sensing.