• Title/Summary/Keyword: Temporal and Spatial Distribution

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Base Location Prediction Algorithm of Serial Crimes based on the Spatio-Temporal Analysis (시공간 분석 기반 연쇄 범죄 거점 위치 예측 알고리즘)

  • Hong, Dong-Suk;Kim, Joung-Joon;Kang, Hong-Koo;Lee, Ki-Young;Seo, Jong-Soo;Han, Ki-Joon
    • Journal of Korea Spatial Information System Society
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.63-79
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    • 2008
  • With the recent development of advanced GIS and complex spatial analysis technologies, the more sophisticated technologies are being required to support the advanced knowledge for solving geographical or spatial problems in various decision support systems. In addition, necessity for research on scientific crime investigation and forensic science is increasing particularly at law enforcement agencies and investigation institutions for efficient investigation and the prevention of crimes. There are active researches on geographic profiling to predict the base location such as criminals' residence by analyzing the spatial patterns of serial crimes. However, as previous researches on geographic profiling use simply statistical methods for spatial pattern analysis and do not apply a variety of spatial and temporal analysis technologies on serial crimes, they have the low prediction accuracy. Therefore, this paper identifies the typology the spatio-temporal patterns of serial crimes according to spatial distribution of crime sites and temporal distribution on occurrence of crimes and proposes STA-BLP(Spatio-Temporal Analysis based Base Location Prediction) algorithm which predicts the base location of serial crimes more accurately based on the patterns. STA-BLP improves the prediction accuracy by considering of the anisotropic pattern of serial crimes committed by criminals who prefer specific directions on a crime trip and the learning effect of criminals through repeated movement along the same route. In addition, it can predict base location more accurately in the serial crimes from multiple bases with the local prediction for some crime sites included in a cluster and the global prediction for all crime sites. Through a variety of experiments, we proved the superiority of the STA-BLP by comparing it with previous algorithms in terms of prediction accuracy.

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Development of GRld-eased Soil MOsture Routing Model (GRISMORM) Applied to Bocheongchun Watershed (격자기반의 토양수분추적표형 개발 : 보청천 유역 사례연구)

  • 김성준;채효석
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 1999
  • A GRId-based Soil MOsture Routing Model(GRISMORM) which predicts temporal variation and spatial distribution of water balance on a daily time step for each grid element of the watershed was developed. The model was programmed by C-language which aims for high flexibility to any kind of GIS softwares. The model uses ASCII-formatted map data supported by the irregular gridded map of the GRASS(Geographic Resources Analysis Support System)-GIS and generates daily or monthly spatial distribution map of water balance components within the watershed. The model was applied to Ipyunggyo watershed(75.6$km^2$) ; the part of Bocheongchun watershed. Predicted streamflows resulting from two years(95 and 96) daily data were compared with those observed at the watershed outlet. The results of temporal variation and spatial distribution of soil moisture are also presented by using GRASS.

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Establishment and Operation of a Soil Moisture Monitoring System Considering Temporal and Spatial Features of Representation (시공간 대표성을 고려한 토양수분 모니터링 System의 구축 및 운영)

  • Kim, Ki-Hoon;Kim, Sang-Hyun;Kim, Hyung-Sub;Kim, Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2005
  • A soil moisture measuring method of a hillslope for Korean watershed is developed to configure spatial-temporal distribution of soil moisture. Intensive surveying of topography had been performed to make a digital elevation model(DEM). Flow distribution algorithms were applied and a distribution pattern of the measurement sensors was determined to maximize representative features of spatial variation of soil moisture. Inverse surveying provides appropriate information to install the waveguides in the field. Measurements were performed at the right side hillslope of Bumrunsa located at the Sulmachun watershed. A multiplex monitoring system has been established and spatial-temporal variation of soil moisture data has been measured for a rainfall-runoff event. Acquired soil moisture data show that physical hydrologic interpretations as well as the effectiveness of monitoring system. Lack of connectivity in vertical distribution of soil moisture suggests that preferential flow and macropore flux are important components in the hillslope hydrology.

Analysis of Characteristics of Air Pollution Over Asia with Satellite-derived $NO_2$ and HCHO using Statistical Methods (환경 위성관측자료의 통계분석을 통한 동아시아 대기오염특성 연구)

  • Baek, K.H.;Kim, Jae Hwan
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.495-503
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    • 2010
  • Satellite data have an intrinsic problem due to a number of various physical parameters, which can have a similar effect on measured radiance. Most evaluations of satellite performance have relied on comparisons with limited spatial and temporal resolution of ground-based measurements such as soundings and in-situ measurements. In order to overcome this problem, a new way of satellite data evaluation is suggested with statistical tools such as empirical orthogonal function(EOF), and singular value decomposition(SVD). The EOF analyses with OMI and OMI HCHO over northeast Asia show that the spatial pattern show high correlation with population density. This suggests that human activity is a major source of as well as HCHO over this region. However, this analysis is contradictory to the previous finding with GOME HCHO that biogenic activity is the main driving mechanism(Fu et al., 2007). To verify the source of HCHO over this region, we performed the EOF analyses with vegetation and HCHO distribution. The results showed no coherence in the spatial and temporal pattern between two factors. Rather, the additional SVD analysis between $NO_2$ and HCHO shows consistency in spatial and temporal coherence. This outcome suggests that the anthropogenic emission is the main source of HCHO over the region. We speculate that the previous study appears to be due to low temporal and spatial resolution of GOME measurements or uncertainty in model input data.

Analysis on the evolution of water resources situation in Qiandao Lake Basin from 1960 to 2020

  • DU Junkai;Qiu Yaqin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.27-27
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    • 2023
  • To analyze the evolution of water resources in Qiandao Lake Basin under the condition of climate change, a WEP-L distributed hydrological model was established to simulate the water cycle process in the basin during 1960-2020. The Mann-Kendall non-parametric test method and Hurst index method were used to analyze the inter-annual variation and annual distribution characteristics of the total water resources in the basin. The multi-scale temporal and spatial distribution and evolution trend of water resources in Qiandao Lake Basin were evaluated. The results show that: (1) The WEP-L model has good simulation results in the Qiandao Lake basin, and the Nash coefficient rate is above 0.83 in the periodic period and above 0.85 in the verification period. (2) The water yield coefficient of the whole basin ranges from 0.436 to 0.630. The annual average total water resource is 12.25 billion m3, equivalent to 1176.4mm of water depth. The annual distribution process shows a unimodal structure, and the water depth of each sub-basin ranges from 742 mm to 1266 mm, and the spatial distribution is higher in the west and lower in the east. (3) The annual water resources series in the basin showed an insignificant upward trend, and the Hurst index was 0.86, indicating a continuous upward trend. From the perspective of monthly water resources, January and February increased significantly, the other months were not significant changes.

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Estimation of Winter Wheat Sown Area Using Temporal Characteristics of NDVI

  • Uchida, S.
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.231-233
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    • 2003
  • Agricultural land use generally shows specific temporal characteristics of NDVI obtained from satellite data. In terms of winter wheat, a higher value compared with other land use types in May and a considerably low value in June could be discriminative features of temporal change of NDVI. In this study, the author examined methods for estimating winter wheat sown area in sub-pixel level of coarse resolution satellite data using temporal characteristics of NDVI. Application of the methods to the major grain production area in China exhibited properly a spatial distribution pattern of winter wheat sown area.

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Changes in $SO_{2}$ Concentration from Major Cities and Provinces in Korea: A Case Study from 1998 to 2003

  • Nguyen Hang Thi;Kim Ki-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.21 no.E3
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    • pp.95-105
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    • 2005
  • The concentrations of sulfur dioxide ($SO_{2}$) were measured from seven major cities and nine provinces in Korea for the period covering 1998 to 2003. Its concentration data were analyzed to explore the possible influences of spatial and temporal factors on the $SO_{2}$ distribution characteristics. Examination of spatial trends of $SO_{2}$ distribution and behavior indicated several interesting features. Although its annual trends appeared to be affected by the changes in the surrounding environmental conditions (e.g., regulation on the use of S-containing fuels), the seasonal trends indicated a cyclic and systematic pattern that may be characterized as: a gradual decrease in concentrations across winter, spring, fall, and summer. The results showed the generally enhanced mean concentrations of $SO_{2}$ from Ulsan, Busan, and Daegu with 12.8, 10.1, and 8.80 ppb, respectively. On the other hand, notably reduced $SO_{2}$ concentrations were seen from Gwangju and Jeju sites with its mean values of 5.43 and 3.88 ppb, respectively. The overall results of our study indicate that a decrease in $SO_{2}$ concentration levels continued through time, while its spatial distribution appears to be affected most sensitively by such factor as city scale and industrial activities.

Spatial and Temporal Analysis of Thunderstorm Wind Gust (뇌우 동반 돌풍의 시공간분포 분석)

  • Lee, Sung Su;Kim, Jun Yeong
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2013
  • This study presents the analysis of temporal and spatial distribution of occurrences of wind gust over Korea from 2002 to 2009. The events during typhoons are excluded and the topographical effects on the wind speed are also corrected using KBC (2005). As the results, the frequency of the occurrences is as high as 286 and the higher occurrences appear mainly along the coastal area. This study also shows that the uncertainty of the appearance of wind gust during thunderstorm is much higher than in synoptic wind by comparing wind speed records for both events. This study also found that the spatial distribution of cumulative cloud quotient is closely correlated to that of occurrences of thunderstorm wind gust, which suggests the possible utilization of the cloud quotient as weighting factors in assessing wind gust risk.

TEMPORAL AND SPATIO-TEMPORAL DYNAMICS OF A MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF HARMFUL ALGAL INTERACTION

  • Mukhopadhyay, B.;Bhattacharyya, R.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.27 no.1_2
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    • pp.385-400
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    • 2009
  • The adverse effect of harmful plankton on the marine ecosystem is a topic of deep concern. To investigate the role of such phytoplankton, a mathematical model containing distinct dynamical equations for toxic and non-toxic phytoplankton is analyzed. Stability analysis of the resulting three equation model is carried out. A continuous time variation in toxin liberation process is incorporated into the model and a stability analysis of the resulting delay model is performed. The distributed delay model is then extended to include the spatial distribution of plankton and the delay-diffusion model is analyzed with spatial and spatiotemporal kernels. Conditions for diffusion-driven instability in both the cases are derived and compared to explore the significance of these kernels. Numerical studies are performed to justify analytical findings.

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A Study on the Flow Characteristics of an Intermittent Fuel Spray (간헐적인 연료분무의 유동특성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Won-Tae;Gang, Sin-Jae
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.21 no.9
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    • pp.1198-1206
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    • 1997
  • The flow characteristics of an intermittent fuel injection into a stationary ambient air were investigated using gasoline. The measurements were made by two-channel, air cooling type Phase Doppler Anemometer(PDA) system (DANTEC, 750 MW). And a pintle type injector of MPI (Multi-point Port Injection) system was utilized as a fuel injector. The PDA receiver optic was set up in a 60.deg. C forward scatter arrangement to obtain the optimum scattering signal of fuel droplets. The data were obtained by synchronizing PDA system with the fuel injection period, and the axial and radial velocity and turbulent components of fuel droplets were mainly measured for the analysis of temporal and spatial distribution depending upon the fuel injection pressures.