• Title/Summary/Keyword: Target rainfall

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Parameter estimation of Z-R relationship focusing on the target rainfall (목표 강우량에 대한 강우추정 관계식의 매개변수 추정)

  • Kang, Minseok;Na, Wooyoung;Kim, Gildo;Yoo, Chulsang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.180-180
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구의 목표는 돌발홍수 예 경보시스템(Flash Flood Warning System, FFWS)의 효용성 극대화를 위한 레이더 자료의 품질향상 기법을 개발하는 것이다. 지금까지 사용되어온 레이더 자료의 품질향상 기법들은 모두 자료의 평균값에 맞추어져 개발되었다. 그러나 돌발홍수 예 경보시스템에서 사용되는 강우강도 임계값은 평균값과 큰 차이가 난다. 따라서 레이더 자료를 이용하여 추정하는 큰 강우강도의 신뢰도는 떨어지게 된다. 이에 본 연구에서는 돌발홍수 예 경보시스템에 사용되는 목표 강우량에 대한 강우추정 관계식의 매개변수 추정 기법을 개발하고자 한다. 이를 위해 비슬산 레이더 반사도 자료와 비슬산 레이더 관측반경 내 위치한 AWS 지점의 강우자료를 이용하였다. 먼저, 강수입자분포(Drop Size Distribution, DSD)를 지수분포로 가정하여 유도한 레이더 강우추정 관계식을 재검토하였다. 다음으로 관측된 비슬산 레이더 반사도 자료를 10dBZ 단위로 구분하여 레이더 반사도 구간별로 레이더 반사도 자료와 강우자료 쌍에 대한 DSD 매개변수를 산정하였다. DSD 매개변수를 산정하기 위해 비슬산 레이더 반사도 자료와 AWS 지점의 강우자료를 지수분포로 가정하여 유도한 강우추정 관계식에 적용하였다. 다음으로 목표 강우량에 대한 강우추정 관계식의 매개변수 추정을 위해 레이더 반사도 구간별로 DSD 매개변수의 대푯값을 결정하였다. 마지막으로 지수분포로 가정하여 유도한 레이더 강우추정 관계식에 레이더 반사도 구간별 DSD 매개변수의 대푯값을 적용함으로써 목표 강우량에 대한 강우추정 관계식의 매개변수를 추정하였다.

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Setting the Current Air Quality Concentration Using the National Atmosphere Measurement Network

  • CHO, Dong-Myung;LEE, Ju-Yeon;KWON, Lee-Seung;KIM, Su-Hye;KWON, Woo-Taeg
    • Journal of Wellbeing Management and Applied Psychology
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.23-33
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: In the course of the domestic environmental impact assessment, the current status survey was improperly conducted, and the issue of false and inaccurate environmental impact assessment reports has been raised several times recently through media reports. Research design, data and methodology: There is a continuous demand for improvement measures for the current status measurement method, such as having difficulties in securing a normal measurement date in consideration of equipment operation and rainfall days in the field. Results: In addition, in order to grasp the general air quality status of the evaluation target area, it is necessary to check the various current status concentrations by season and time series per year. However, there is a problem that is currently being carried out based on limited results such as measurement for 1 day or 3 days. Conclusions: Therefore, in this study, based on the national atmospheric measurement network, an inverse distance weighted (IDW) interpolation method was applied to calculate the current state concentration. This study suggested a method to use it in preparing the air quality item in the environmental impact assessment report.

Analysis of Behavioral Properties for Hydrologic Response Function according to the Interaction between Stream Network and Hillslope (하천망과 구릉지사면 사이의 상호작용에 따른 수문학적 응답함수의 거동특성 분석)

  • Yoon, Yeo Jin;Kim, Joo Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.661-669
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is quantitative analysis of the effects of the interactions between stream network and hillslope to hydrologic response functions. To this end general formulation of hydrologic response function is performed based on width function and grid framework. Target basins are Ipyeong and Tanbu basins. From the results of width function estimation even similar sized and closely located basins could have very different hydrologic response function. It is found out that the interactions between stream network and hillslope are essential factors of rainfall-runoff processes because their difference can make the hydrologic response function with positive skewness. The change of velocities of stream network and hillslope might influence the magnitude of peak but time to peak tends to more sensitively respond to velocities of stream network. Lag time of basin would be the result of complex interaction between drainage structures and dynamic properties of river basin.

Drought Forecasting with Regionalization of Climate Variables and Generalized Linear Model

  • Yejin Kong;Taesam Lee;Joo-Heon Lee;Sejeong Lee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.249-249
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    • 2023
  • Spring drought forecasting in South Korea is essential due to the sknewness of rainfall which could lead to water shortage especially in spring when managed without prediction. Therefore, drought forecasting over South Korea was performed in the current study by thoroughly searching appropriate predictors from the lagged global climate variable, mean sea level pressure(MSLP), specifically in winter season for forecasting time lag. The target predictand defined as accumulated spring precipitation(ASP) was driven by the median of 93 weather stations in South Korea. Then, it was found that a number of points of the MSLP data were significantly cross-correlated with the ASP, and the points with high correlation were regionally grouped. The grouped variables with three regions: the Arctic Ocean (R1), South Pacific (R2), and South Africa (R3) were determined. The generalized linear model(GLM) was further applied for skewed marginal distribution in drought prediction. It was shown that the applied GLM presents reasonable performance in forecasting ASP. The results concluded that the presented regionalization of the climate variable, MSLP can be a good alternative in forecasting spring drought.

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Development of Strategies to Improve Water Quality of the Yeongsan River in Connection with Adaptation to Climate Change (기후변화의 적응과 연계한 영산강 수질개선대책 개발)

  • Yong Woon Lee;Won Mo Yang;Gwang Duck Song;Yong Uk Ryu;Hak Young Lee
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.56 no.3
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    • pp.187-195
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    • 2023
  • Almost all of the water from agricultural dams located to the upper of the Yeongsan river is supplied as irrigation water for farmland and thus is not discharged to the main stream of the river. Also, most of the irrigation water does not return to the river after use, adding to the lack of flow in the main stream. As a result, the water quality and aquatic health of the river have become the poorest among the four major rivers in Korea. Therefore, in this study, several strategies for water quality improvement of the river were developed considering pollution reduction and flow rate increase, and their effect analysis was performed using a water quality model. The results of this study showed that the target water quality of the Yeongsan river could be achieved if flow increase strategies (FISs) are intensively pursued in parallel with pollution reduction. The reason is because the water quality of the river has been steadily improved through pollution reduction but this method is now nearing the limit. In addition, rainfall-related FISs such as dam construction and water distribution adjustment may be less effective or lost if a megadrought continues due to climate change and then rainfall does not occur for a long time. Therefore, in the future, if the application conditions for the FISs are similar, the seawater desalination facility, which is independent of rainfall, should be considered as the priority installation target among the FISs. The reason is that seawater desalination facilities can replace the water supply function of dams, which are difficult to newly build in Korea, and can be useful as a climate change adaptation facility by preventing water-related disasters in the event of a long-term megadrought.

Assessing the Action Plans in the Control Area(Soyang Reservoir) of Non-point Source Pollution (비점오염원 관리지역(소양호) 목표수질 달성도 평가)

  • Choi, Jaewan;Kang, Min-Ji;Ryu, Jichul;Kim, Dong-Il;Lim, Kyung-Jae;Shin, Dong-Seok
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.839-852
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    • 2014
  • The Ministry of Environment (MOE) has made more effort in managing point source pollution rather than in nonpoint source pollution in order to improve water quality of the four major rivers. However, it would be difficult to meet water quality targets solely by managing the point source pollution. As a result of the comprehensive measures established in 2004 under the leadership of the Prime Minister's Office, a variety of policies such as the designation of control areas to manage nonpoint source pollution are now in place. Various action plans to manage nonpoint source pollution have been implemented in the Soyang-dam watershed as one of the control areas designed in 2007. However, there are no tools to comprehensively assess the effectiveness of the action plans. Therefore, this study would assess the action plans (especially, BMPs) designed to manage Soyang-dam watershed with the WinHSPF and the CE-QUAL-W2. To this end, we simulated the rainfall-runoff and the water quality (SS) of the watershed and the reservoir after conducting model calibration and the model validation. As the results of the calibration for the WinHSPF, the determination coefficient ($R^2$) for the flow (Q, $m^3/s$) was 0.87 and the $R^2$ for the SS was 0.78. As the results of the validation, the former was 0.78 and the latter was 0.67. The results seem to be acceptable. Similarly, the calibration results of the CE-QUAL-W2 showed that the RMSE for the water level was 1.08 and the RMSE for the SS was 1.11. The validation results(RMSE) of the water level was 1.86 and the SS was 1.86. Based on the daily simulation results, the water quality target (turbidity 50 NTU) was not exceeded for 2009~2011, as results of maximum turbidity in '09, '10, and '11 were 3.1, 2.5, 5.6 NTU, respectively. The maximum turbidity in the years with the maximum, the minimum, and the average of yearly precipitation (1982~2011) were 15.5, 7.8, and 9.0, respectively, and therefore the water quality target was satisfied. It was discharged high turbidity at Inbuk, Gaa, Naerin, Gwidun, Woogak, Jeongja watershed resulting of the maximum turbidity by sub-basins in 3years(2009~2011). The results indicated that the water quality target for the nonpoint source pollution management should be changed and management area should be adjusted and reduced.

Development of Hydraulic Analysis and Assessment Models for the Restoration of Ecological Connectivity in Floodplains Isolated by Levees (하천 제방에 의하여 차단된 홍수터에서 생태적 연결성 회복을 위한 수리분석 및 평가모형 개발)

  • Chegal, Sun Dong;Cho, Gil Je;Kim, Chang Wan
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.307-314
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    • 2016
  • River restoration has recently been performed not only for the improvement of the artificial parts in the past but also for the restoration of abandoned river reaches which were blocked and isolated. For the restoration of abandoned river reaches, it is important to recover the hydraulic and ecological connectivity in the isolated space by longitudinal structures like levees. But because the assessment tools to determine whether the river restoration is performed properly are so rare at present, we aim to provide a tool for assessing ecological connectivity in a target river in this study. In the first step, one-dimensional numerical model for rainfall-runoff and channel routing was developed and then applied to the watershed of the Cheongmi Stream. In this step, a numerical model was developed to assess the restoration of connectivity. The model consists of two parts: one part is to convert the results of one-dimensional channel routing into two-dimensional spatial distribution. The other is to calculate the habitat suitability index according to time steps by using two-dimensional hydraulic features. The model was applied to a restoration area of the Cheongmi Stream. The advantage of this study is that two-dimensional hydraulic analysis can be easily obtained from one-dimensional hydraulic analysis without a complex and time-consuming two-dimensional analysis. HHS (Hydraulic Habitat Suitablility) by sections of target reaches and target species can be easily obtained using the results of this study.

Studies on the Consumptive Use of Irrigated Water in Upland (田作物 水分消費量 調査 硏究)

  • Kim, Shi-Won;Lee, Kyong-Hi;Doh, Duk-Hyun
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 1984
  • The study results of the mosture consumption character and irrigation effect of tomato, red pepper and chinese cabbage, in case the soil moisture is kept with different moisture content by the soil properties(loam, sandy loam, sand), are summarized as follows: 1. The available rainfall under bare soil condition had an order of sand>sandy loam> loam and their average was 64.2%. 2. Total moisture consumption under bare soil condition had an order of loam>sandy loam>sand and their average was 4.2mm. 3. The amount of irrigated water to keep certain soil moisture under bare soil condition showed minimum in sand and maximum in loam. It is considered because the capillary phenomenon was more developed in loam. 4. Total moisture consumption of tomatoes under premature cultivation showed 925mm in maximum and had on order of loam>sandy loam>sand. In the aspect of re-irrigation point, it had an order of PF 1.5> PF 1.7>PF 2.1. In case the twenty years's drought frequency was taken into account, the target amount of irrigation water meeded for premature cultivation was 916mm and its average daily moisture consumption was 10.8mm. 5. Total moisture consumption of red pepper under open cultivation showed 1145mm in maximum and had an order of loam>Sandy loam>sand. In the aspect of re-irrigation frequency was taken into consideration the target amount of irrigation water was 1,174.8mm and its average daily moisture consumption was 8.0mm. 6. Total moisture consumption of autumn chinese cabbages was 349mm in maximum and had an order of loam>sandy loam>sand. In the aspect of re-irrigation point, it had an order of PF 1.5>PF 2.1>PF 2.7. In case the twenty year's drought frequency was taken into account, the target amount of irrigation water needed for chinese cabbage cultivation was 259.5mm and its average daily moisture consumption was 6.5mm. 7. It is effective to keep the soil moisture of tomato from PF 1.5 to PF 2.1 in loam and the soil moisture control was effective in sandy loam than red pepper and chinese cabbage. In sand, the production was severaly decreased and the re-irrigation point of PF 1.5 was effective.

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Determination of Flood Reduction Alternatives for responding to climate change in Gyeongan Watershed (기후변화 대응을 위한 경안천 유역의 홍수저감 대안 선정)

  • Han, Daegun;Choi, Changhyun;Kim, Duckhwan;Jung, Jaewon;Kim, Jungwook;Kim, Soo Jun
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.154-165
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    • 2016
  • Recently, the frequency of extreme rainfall event has increased due to climate change and impermeable area also has increased due to rapid urbanization. Therefore, we ought to prepare countermeasures for flood reduction to reduce the damage. To consider climate change, the frequency based rainfall was calculated according to the aimed period(reference : 1971~2010, Target period I : 2011~2040, Target period II : 2041~2070, Target period III : 2071~2100) and the flood discharge was also calculated by climate change using HEC-HMS model. Also, the flood elevation was calculated by each alternative through HEC-RAS model, setting 5 sizes of drainage pumps and reservoirs respectively. The flood map was constructed using topographical data and flood elevation, and the economic analysis was conducted for reduction of flood damage using Multi dimension - Flood Damage Analysis, MD-FDA. As a result of the analysis on the flood control effect, a head of drainage pump was reduced by 0.06m up to 0.44m while it was reduced by 0.01m up to 1.86m in the case of a detention pond. The flooded area shrunk by up to 32.64% from 0.3% and inundation depth also dropped. As a result of a comparison of the Benefit/Cost index estimated by the economic analysis, detention pond E in period I and pump D in period II and III were deemed appropriate as an alternative for climate change. The results are expected to be used as good practices when implementing the flood control works considering climate change.

Prediction of Urban Flood Extent by LSTM Model and Logistic Regression (LSTM 모형과 로지스틱 회귀를 통한 도시 침수 범위의 예측)

  • Kim, Hyun Il;Han, Kun Yeun;Lee, Jae Yeong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.273-283
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    • 2020
  • Because of climate change, the occurrence of localized and heavy rainfall is increasing. It is important to predict floods in urban areas that have suffered inundation in the past. For flood prediction, not only numerical analysis models but also machine learning-based models can be applied. The LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) neural network used in this study is appropriate for sequence data, but it demands a lot of data. However, rainfall that causes flooding does not appear every year in a single urban basin, meaning it is difficult to collect enough data for deep learning. Therefore, in addition to the rainfall observed in the study area, the observed rainfall in another urban basin was applied in the predictive model. The LSTM neural network was used for predicting the total overflow, and the result of the SWMM (Storm Water Management Model) was applied as target data. The prediction of the inundation map was performed by using logistic regression; the independent variable was the total overflow and the dependent variable was the presence or absence of flooding in each grid. The dependent variable of logistic regression was collected through the simulation results of a two-dimensional flood model. The input data of the two-dimensional flood model were the overflow at each manhole calculated by the SWMM. According to the LSTM neural network parameters, the prediction results of total overflow were compared. Four predictive models were used in this study depending on the parameter of the LSTM. The average RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) for verification and testing was 1.4279 ㎥/s, 1.0079 ㎥/s for the four LSTM models. The minimum RMSE of the verification and testing was calculated as 1.1655 ㎥/s and 0.8797 ㎥/s. It was confirmed that the total overflow can be predicted similarly to the SWMM simulation results. The prediction of inundation extent was performed by linking the logistic regression with the results of the LSTM neural network, and the maximum area fitness was 97.33 % when more than 0.5 m depth was considered. The methodology presented in this study would be helpful in improving urban flood response based on deep learning methodology.