• Title/Summary/Keyword: System Risk Analysis

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Safety Assessment of LNG Transferring System subjected to gas leakage using FMEA and FTA

  • Lee, Jang-Hyun;Hwang, Seyun;Kim, Sungchan
    • Journal of Advanced Research in Ocean Engineering
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.125-135
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    • 2017
  • The paper considers the practical application of the FMEA(Failure Mode and Effect Analysis) method to assess the operational reliability of the LNG(Liquefied Natural Gas) transfer system, which is a potential problem for the connection between the LNG FPSO and LNG carrier. Hazard Identification (HAZID) and Hazard operability (HAZOP) are applied to identify the risks and hazards during the operation of LNG transfer system. The approach is performed for the FMEA to assess the reliability based on the detection of defects typical to LNG transfer system. FTA and FMEA associated with a probabilistic risk database to the operation scenarios are applied to assess the risk. After providing an outline of the safety assessment procedure for the operational problems of system, safety assessment example is presented, providing details on the fault tree of operational accident, safety assessment, and risk measures.

Time-dependent seismic risk analysis of high-speed railway bridges considering material durability effects

  • Yan Liang;Ying-Ying Wei;Ming-Na Tong;Yu-Kun Cui
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.275-288
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    • 2023
  • Based on the crucial role of high-speed railway bridges (HSRBs) in the safety of high-speed railway operations, it is an important approach to mitigate earthquake hazards by proceeding with seismic risk assessments in their whole life. Bridge seismic risk assessment, which usually evaluates the seismic performance of bridges from a probabilistic perspective, provides technical support for bridge risk management. The seismic performance of bridges is greatly affected by the degradation of material properties, therefore, material damage plays a nonnegligible role in the seismic risk assessment of the bridge. The effect of material damage is not considered in most current studies on seismic risk analysis of bridges, nevertheless. To fill the gap in this area, in this paper, a nonlinear dynamic time-history analysis has been carried out by establishing OpenSees finite element model, and a seismic vulnerability analysis is carried out based on the incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) method. On this basis, combined with the site risk analysis, the time-dependent seismic risk analysis of an offshore three-span HSRB in the whole life cycle has been conducted. The results showed that the seismic risk probabilities of both components and system of the bridge increase with the service time, and their seismic risk probabilities increase significantly in the last service period due to the degradation of the material strength, which demonstrates that the impact of durability damage should be considered when evaluating the seismic performance of bridges in the design and service period.

Effects of Chemical Accident Risk Warning System in High Risk Workplaces of Major Industrial Accidents (중대산업사고 고위험 사업장에서의 화학사고위험경보제의 효과)

  • Woo Sub Shim;Ji Ung Choi
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.765-774
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    • 2023
  • The Ministry of Employment and Labor implemented the process safety management(PSM) system from 1996 to prevent major industrial accidents caused by chemical substances, but the number of accidents did not drastically decrease. Even in workplaces with excellent PSM ratings, large-scale chemical accidents still occur due to non-compliance with safety work procedures and insufficient safety measures during maintenance and other work. Accordingly, the chemical accident risk warning system was introduced in 2014 to supplement the PSM system and prevent accidents that may occur during regular or unexpected maintenance and repair work. In the meantime, changes in the safety management system have been checked since the introduction of the chemical accident risk warning system at chemical handling workplaces, and based on the results, a plan for upgrading this system has been proposed. The effect of the CARW system was found to directly prevent accidents through wired and on-site consulting and post-management at the workplace and indirectly contribute to the establishment of a safety and health management system at the workplace, such as improving safety culture awareness.

Stock assessment by ecosystem risk analysis of large purse seine fishery in the southern sea of Korea (한국 남해안 대형선망어업의 생태계 위험도 분석에 의한 자원평가 연구)

  • Seo, Young-Il;Zhang, Chang-Ik;Lee, Jae-Bong;Cha, Hyung-Kee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.369-389
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    • 2011
  • Changes in ecosystem risks were evaluated using the ecosystem-based fisheries assessment (EBFA) approach of Zhang et al. (2009, 2010) and the comprehensive ecosystem-based fisheries management (EBFM) plan was made for the southern sea of Korea in this study. The risk assessment of the southern sea ecosystem was conducted by establishing ecosystem management objectives and by estimating risk scores (RS) for indicators. To conduct this analysis a number of indicators and their reference points for assessing these risk scores were developed in this study. The number of indicators in the risk analysis was 28 for the quantitative tier 1 analysis and 30 for the qualitative tier 2 analysis. The objective risk index (ORI), species risk index (SRI) and fisheries risk index (FRI) were calculated from the risk scores. Comparing the past (1988) and the current (2008) status of fisheries resources, management implications were discussed. The fishery risk index (FRI) of large purse seine fishery in the southern sea of Korea decreased substantially from 0.972 in 1988 to 0.883 in 2008, and improvement in the management of fisheries operated in the southern sea of Korea.

A GIS-based Traffic Accident Analysis on Highways using Alignment Related Risk Indices (고속도로 선형조건과 GIS 기반 교통사고 위험도지수 분석 (호남.영동.중부고속도로를 중심으로))

  • 강승림;박창호
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.21-40
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    • 2003
  • A traffic accident analysis method was developed and tested based on the highway alignment risk indices using geographic information systems(GIS). Impacts of the highway alignment on traffic accidents have been identified by examining accidents occurred on different alignment conditions and by investigating traffic accident risk indices(TARI). Evaluative criteria are suggested using geometric design elements as an independent variable. Traffic accident rates were forecasted more realistically and objectively by considering the interaction between highway alignment factors and the design consistency. And traffic accident risk indices and risk ratings were suggested based on model estimation results and accident data. Finally, forecasting traffic accident rates, evaluating the level of risk and then visualizing information graphically were combined into one system called risk assessment system by means of GIS. This risk assessment system is expected to play a major role in designing four-lane highways and developing remedies for highway sections susceptible to traffic accidents.

Earthquake risk assessment of underground railway station by fragility analysis based on numerical simulation

  • Kwon, Sun Yong;Yoo, Mintaek;Hong, Seongwon
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.143-152
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    • 2020
  • Korean society experienced successive earthquakes exceeding 5.0 magnitude in the past three years resulting in an increasing concern about earthquake stability of urban infrastructures. This study focuses on the significant aspects of earthquake risk assessment for the cut-and-cover underground railway station based on two-dimensional dynamic numerical analysis. Presented are features from a case study performed for the railway station in Seoul, South Korea. The PLAXIS2D was employed for numerical simulation and input of the earthquake ground motion was chosen from Pohang earthquake records (M5.4). The paper shows key aspects of earthquake risk for soil-structure system varying important parameters including embedded depth, supported ground information, and applied seismicity level, and then draws several meaningful conclusions from the analysis results such as seismic risk assessment.

An Effective Analysis and Management of Technical Risk to Turn-key based Plant Construction Contracts using Systems Engineering (시스템엔지니어링을 이용한 턴키방식 플랜트 건설계약의 기술적 위험요인 효과적 분석 및 관리)

  • Hong, Dae Geun;Byun, Hee Chul;Suh, Suk-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.59-69
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    • 2014
  • In the bidding stage of turn-key based plant construction contracts, owners provide design and performance basis for contractors instead of giving design drawing. To win the bid for a plant construction, the contractors should be obliged to satisfy and ensure owners'requirements such as design and performance basis in a plant construction project, In other words, owners imposes technical risk of the design to the contractors by specifying responsibility for the analysis and verification of the plant construction. Thus, it is very important that contracters make accurate and realistic basic design plan in a short period of time. To deal with such a situation, we propose a systems engineering approach for the analysis and management of the technical risk. Specifically, we first: 1) Analyzes technical risk related with the plant design information for the bidders, followed by 2) Developing stakeholder requirements for the basic engineering design, and 3) System requirements for dealing with technical risk. Also, in this paper, we proposed converting method from MOE(Measure of Effectiveness) to MOP(Measure of Performance) in the risk analysis. To show the effectiveness of the proposed method, we carried out a case study.

RELIABILITY ANALYSIS OF DIGITAL SYSTEMS IN A PROBABILISTIC RISK ANALYSIS FOR NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS

  • Authen, Stefan;Holmberg, Jan-Erik
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.471-482
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    • 2012
  • To assess the risk of nuclear power plant operation and to determine the risk impact of digital systems, there is a need to quantitatively assess the reliability of the digital systems in a justifiable manner. The Probabilistic Risk Analysis (PRA) is a tool which can reveal shortcomings of the NPP design in general and PRA analysts have not had sufficient guiding principles in modelling particular digital components malfunctions. Currently digital I&C systems are mostly analyzed simply and conventionally in PRA, based on failure mode and effects analysis and fault tree modelling. More dynamic approaches are still in the trial stage and can be difficult to apply in full scale PRA-models. As basic events CPU failures, application software failures and common cause failures (CCF) between identical components are modelled.The primary goal is to model dependencies. However, it is not clear which failure modes or system parts CCF:s should be postulated for. A clear distinction can be made between the treatment of protection and control systems. There is a general consensus that protection systems shall be included in PRA, while control systems can be treated in a limited manner. OECD/NEA CSNI Working Group on Risk Assessment (WGRisk) has set up a task group, called DIGREL, to develop taxonomy of failure modes of digital components for the purposes of PRA. The taxonomy is aimed to be the basis of future modelling and quantification efforts. It will also help to define a structure for data collection and to review PRA studies.

A Study on the Modeling Mechanism for Security Risk Analysis in Information Systems (정보시스템에 대한 보안위험분석을 위한 모델링 기법 연구)

  • Kim Injung;Lee Younggyo;Chung Yoonjung;Won Dongho
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartC
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    • v.12C no.7 s.103
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    • pp.989-998
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    • 2005
  • Information systems are today becoming larger and mostly broadband-networked. This exposes them at a higher risk of intrusions and hacking than ever before. Of the technologies developed to meet information system security needs, risk analysis is currently one of the most actively researched areas. Meanwhile, due to the extreme diversity of assets and complexity of network structure, there is a limit to the level of accuracy which can be achieved by an analysis tool in the assessment of risk run by an information system. Also, the results of a risk assessment are most oftennot up-to-date due to the changing nature of security threats. By the time an evaluation and associated set of solutions are ready, the nature and level of vulnerabilities and threats have evolved and increased, making them obsolete. Accordingly, what is needed is a risk analysis tool capable of assessing threats and propagation of damage, at the same time as security solutions are being identified. To do that, the information system must be simplified, and intrusion data must be diagrammed using a modeling technique this paper, we propose a modeling technique information systems to enable security risk analysis, using SPICE and Petri-net, and conduct simulations of risk analysis on a number of case studies.

Design and Implementation of Big Data Analytics Framework for Disaster Risk Assessment (빅데이터 기반 재난 재해 위험도 분석 프레임워크 설계 및 구현)

  • Chai, Su-seong;Jang, Sun Yeon;Suh, Dongjun
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.771-777
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    • 2018
  • This study proposes a big data based risk analysis framework to analyze more comprehensive disaster risk and vulnerability. We introduce a distributed and parallel framework that allows large volumes of data to be processed in a short time by using open-source disaster risk assessment tool. A performance analysis of the proposed system presents that it achieves a more faster processing time than that of the existing system and it will be possible to respond promptly to precise prediction and contribute to providing guideline to disaster countermeasures. Proposed system is able to support accurate risk prediction and mitigate severe damage, therefore will be crucial to giving decision makers or experts to prepare for emergency or disaster situation, and minimizing large scale damage to a region.