• Title/Summary/Keyword: System Dynamics Model

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System Dynamics Model for Analyzing and Forecasting the National Energy-Economy-Environment(3E) Changes under Levying of Carbon Tax (탄소세 부과에 따른 국내 에너지-경제-환경(3E) 변화 분석 및 예측을 위한 시스템다이내믹스 모델 개발)

  • Song, Jae-Ho;Jeong, Suk-Jae;Kim, Kyung-Sup;Park, Jin-Won
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.149-170
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, an energy-economy-environment dynamic simulation model was developed to using system dynamics methodology. It describes current energy-economy-environment systems and forecasts changes caused by levying of carbon tax. The model is composed of three modules: an energy module, an economic module and an environmental module. Variables are interrelated in each module, and three modules are linked by several linkage variables. Setting up the linkage variables is an important factor for the composition of the model. The simulation result shows a change of the national GDP, usage of energy, and $CO_2$ emissions under levying and reinvestment of carbon tax considering various scenarios for the charging cost.

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A System Dynamics Model for Growth Prediction of Low Birth Weight Infants (시스템다이내믹스를 이용한 저출생체중아의 성장예측모형)

  • Yi, Young-Hee
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.5-31
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a system dynamics model for growth prediction of low birth weight infants(LBWIs) based on nutrition. This growth prediction model consists of 9 modules; body weight, height, carbohydrate, protein, lipid, micronutrient, water, activity and energy module. The results of the model simulation match well with the percentiles of weights and heights of the Korean infants, also with the growth records of 55 LBWIs, under 37 weeks of gestational age, whose weights are appropriate for their gestational age. This model can be used to understand the current growth mode of LBWIs, predict the future growth of LBWIs, and be utilized as a tool for controlling the nutrient intake for the optimal growth of LBWIs in actual practice.

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A Dynamic Analysis of The Deployment of Korean Renewable Energy Market (신.재생에너지 시장 확장의 동태적 분석)

  • Yu, Jae-Kook;Kwak, Sang-Man
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.95-116
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the structure of renewable energy market in order to deploy more renewable energy in Korea on the basis of information asymmetry between suppliers and demanders. To attain this purpose we develop the model to analyze and simulate the renewable market using system dynamics. This model is developed not to forecast the accurate size of market but to learn more structure of market using our limited data, mental model and knowledge of market.

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A System Dynamics Model for Quantitative Analysis of Patent Systems (특허 시스템의 정량 분석을 위한 시스템 다이내믹스 모형)

  • Yoon, Min-Ho
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.33-56
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, a system dynamics model for explaining the application, grant and maintenance of patents is provided. Existing literatures regarding the patent application system are mostly econometric approaches that consider only economic variables such as GDP and R&D. The model in this paper includes patent variables such as disputes as well as economic variables. Moreover, we show that the model can be used in not only a quantitative prediction but also policy experiment. The results of the policy experiment shows that strengthening protection of patents tend to increase the propensity to patent more than R&D investment.

Agent Based Modeling 기법을 활용한 시스템다이내믹스 모델링

  • Jeon, So-Yeon;Lee, Hye-Jun;Gwak, Sang-Man
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.19-40
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    • 2006
  • A system dynamics model is developed to investigate the applicability of the agent based modeling concept in the system dynamics model. The assumed problem is to forecast the size and structure of the organization with the developing market environment. The agent based modeling concept is applied to the organization part, and the other parts of the model such as market, facilities, etc. are developed with the traditional system dynamics technique. The simulation results show the agent based modeling part can be combined with the traditional system dynamics modeling with more precisions. However, the complexity increases and the simulation times are longer than those of the traditional method.

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System Dynamics Modeling for the Generic Structure of Economic Growth and the Sustainable Endogenous Growth Theory (경제성장에 대한 본원적 구조와 지속가능 내생적 성장이론에 대한 시스템 다이내믹스 모델링)

  • Jeon, Dae-Uk;Kim, Ji-Soo
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.5-32
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    • 2009
  • This paper revisited the key advances on System Dynamics modeling about traditional macro-economic models and economic growth structures, and then tries to elaborate a new model based on the endogenous growth theory that incorporates new growth factors, relevant to knowledge/technology as well as the Environment, into traditional growth models. Accordingly, the new model augments the acceleration and multiplier loops and the balancing ones representing market clearing mechanism with a simple numerical example. The authors thus provides macroeconomic System Dynamics analysts with a milestone to model macro-economic structures reflecting on traditional and cutting-edge theories on sustainable economic growth and general equilibrium modeling.

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Conflict Resolution and Group Decision-Making - Exploring the Dynamics of Conflict Resolution at tile Group Level -

  • Lopez, Luis
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.37-52
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    • 2005
  • Conflict resolution in decision-making groups is studied using a System Dynamics model. The model is developed using a grounded-theory approach. Some preliminary results are shown. The results seem to be in line with much empirical research done in the management literature about conflict and conflict resolution at the group level of analysis. Ideas for further research are discussed.

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Establishment of the Measurement Model about the Adequate Urban Development Density using System Dynamics (시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 도시개발밀도의 적정성 평가 모델 구축 연구)

  • 전유신;문태훈
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.71-94
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this dissertation is to build a development density control model and estimate optimum developmental density level for a sustainable urban growth management. To develop the model, system dynamics modeling approach was used. The model was developed to analyze how urban growth, transition, and decay occur depending on the interaction among population, houses, industry structure, land and urban infrastructure such as road, water supply, and sewage treatment facilities. The model was applied to Anyang city to estimate optimum density level. Extensive computer simulation was conducted to find out the maximum numbers of population, industry structure, houses, and cars that can be adequately sustained with the current Anyang city's infrastructure capacity. The computer simulation result shows that the city is overpopulated by some 90,000 people. It nab analyzed that 20% increase of existing capacity of urban infrastructure is necessary to support current population of Anyang city. To reduce the population to the adequate level whereby the current urban infrastructure can sustain, the current city regulation on floor area ratio needs be strengthened at least 20% to 35%.

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An Integrated Ecological-Economic System Dynamics Model Analysis on the Ecosystem Restoration Policy (II): Extensions and Relaxations of the Model of King Crabs in the Imjin River, Korea (생태계 복원사업의 생태.경제 통합체계 동태분석(II) -임진강 참게 복원사업의 확장모형-)

  • Jeong, Hoi-Seong;Jeon, Dae-Uk
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.97-120
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    • 2006
  • This paper deals with the extension of and discussion on the System Dynamics model (Jeong & Jeon, 2005) of river crabs in Korea. The previous model has been elaborated to empirically search for the optimal restoration and harvest rates of crabs in the Imjin River, on the basis of theoretical models of population dynamics in the field of bio-mathematics and environmental economics. In this paper, the authors tries to couple a series of new feedback loops related to density restrictions and cannibalistic behaviors with a stage-structured model of the crab ecosystem, and also to endogenize the parameter of baby crabs' survival that is caused by water quality improvement and income increase. Through these extensions and relaxations, the authors are able to argue about the strategic decision of the optimal rates additional considerations as well as the properties of the integrated system that was not covered in the previous paper.

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The Dynamics of Agricultural Commodities and Their Responses to Disruptions of Considerable Magnitude

  • Conrad Stephen H.
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.17-32
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    • 2005
  • An agricultural commodity production cycle model consisting of corn, beef, and dairy sectors was constructed for the purpose of exploring the propagating effects of large-scale disruptive events. In an initial proof-of-concept exercise, we considered an agricultural disruption scenario in which foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) is introduced into the U.S., causing a large-scale outbreak of the disease in both beef and dairy cattle. The magnitude of disruption to the beef and dairy sectors are presented under the existing W response policy and then improvements under two alternative policies are shown.

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