• Title/Summary/Keyword: Support Decision Making

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Uncertainty Characteristics in Future Prediction of Agrometeorological Indicators using a Climatic Water Budget Approach (기후학적 물수지를 적용한 기후변화에 따른 농업기상지표 변동예측의 불확실성)

  • Nam, Won-Ho;Hong, Eun-Mi;Choi, Jin-Yong;Cho, Jaepil;Hayes, Michael J.
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.57 no.2
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2015
  • The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), coordinated by the World Climate Research Programme in support of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) AR5, is the most recent, provides projections of future climate change using various global climate models under four major greenhouse gas emission scenarios. There is a wide selection of climate models available to provide projections of future climate change. These provide for a wide range of possible outcomes when trying to inform managers about possible climate changes. Hence, future agrometeorological indicators estimation will be much impacted by which global climate model and climate change scenarios are used. Decision makers are increasingly expected to use climate information, but the uncertainties associated with global climate models pose substantial hurdles for agricultural resources planning. Although it is the most reasonable that quantifying of the future uncertainty using climate change scenarios, preliminary analysis using reasonable factors for selecting a subset for decision making are needed. In order to narrow the projections to a handful of models that could be used in a climate change impact study, we could provide effective information for selecting climate model and scenarios for climate change impact assessment using maximum/minimum temperature, precipitation, reference evapotranspiration, and moisture index of nine Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenarios.

A Study on the Process Improvement for Interoperability between National R&D Performance Evaluation and Budget Planning (국가 R&D 성과평가 및 예산 연계를 위한 프로세스 개선방안에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Joon;Kim, Jae-Soo;Kook, Youn-Gyou
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.44-67
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    • 2010
  • Because of the difficulties on budget estimation of National R&D projects, it is expected that the errors of decision making can be reduced if the information on project performance and its evaluation result is provided to the decision stakeholders in a timely manner, as a reference. In reality, however, the result of project evaluation is not utilized in its own purpose. One reason is that the information on evaluation result and budget is not shared at the right time. The other is that the interconnection between systems to support those information is not realized yet. Therefore, the current status of National R&D projects is analyzed in terms of before and after the reign of current government. In particular, this paper is focused on the improvement through the procedural and systematic approaches and attempted to suggest the enhanced process for the seamless interconnection between National R&D performance evaluation and budget information.

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A BIM-based model for constructability assessment of conceptual design

  • Fadoul, Abdelaziz;Tizani, Walid;Koch, Christian
    • Advances in Computational Design
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.367-384
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    • 2018
  • The consideration of constructability issues at the design stage can lead to improved construction performance with smooth project delivery and savings in time and money. Empirical studies demonstrate the value obtained by integrating construction knowledge with the building design process, and its benefits for owners, contractors and designers. However, it is still a challenge to implement the concept into current design practice. There is a need for a decision support tool to aid designers in reviewing their design constructability, deploying current technological tools, such as BIM. Such tools are beneficial at the conceptual design stage when there is a room to improve the design significantly with less incurred cost. This research investigates how current process- and object-oriented models can be used to assess design constructability. It proposes a BIM-based model using embedded information within the design environment to conduct the assessment. The modelling framework is demonstrated in four key parts; namely, the conceptual design model, the constructability assessment model, the assessment process model and the decision-making phase. Each is associated with a set of components and functions that contribute towards the targeted constructability assessment outcomes. The proposed framework is the first to combine a numerical assessment system and a rule-based system, allowing for both quantitative and qualitative approaches. The modelling framework and its implementation through a prototype are described in this paper. It is believed that this framework is the first to enable users to transfer their construction knowledge and experience directly into a design platform linked to BIM models. The assessment criteria can be customised by the users who can reflect their own constructability preferences into various specialised profiles that can be added to the constructability assessment model. It also allows for the integration of the assessment process with the design phase, facilitating the optimisation of constructability performance from the early design stage.

A Frequency Allocation Method for Cognitive Radio Using the Fuzzy Set Theory (퍼지 집합 이론을 활용한 무선인지 주파수 할당 알고리즘)

  • Lee, Moon-Ho;Lee, Jong-Chan
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.33 no.9B
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    • pp.745-750
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    • 2008
  • In a cognitive radio based system, quality of service (QoS) for the secondary user must be maintained as much as possible even while that of the primary user is protected all he time. In particular, switching wireless links for the secondary user during the transmission of multimedia data causes delay and information loss, and QoS degradations occur inevitably. The efficient resource management scheme is necessary to support the seamless multimedia service to the secondary user. This paper proposes a novel frequency selection method based on Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM), in which uncertain parameters such as received signal strength, cell load, data rate, and available bandwidth are considered during the decision process for the frequency selection with the fuzzy set theory. Through simulation, we show that our proposed frequency selection method provides a better performance than the conventional methods which consider the received signal strength only.

Integrated Command System for Firefight Satety in Special Disaster Area (특수재난현장 진압대원의 안전을 위한 통합 지휘시스템에 관한 연구)

  • Roh, Tae-Ho
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.98-108
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    • 2015
  • An integrated command system is critical for the safety of firefighters and effective work in the headquarters of a special disaster areas such as natural disaster or large man-made hazard. The integrated command system requires environmental information such as temperature, humidity, and $CO_2$ levels, as well as personal physical information such as pulse and air respirator levels. An Analog to Digital Converter (ADC) chip converts sensed information into digital signals, and a Micro Controller Unit (MCU) transmits the digital signals to a transmission board using serial communication through a Serial Peripheral Interface (SPI). The digital signals are saved in a transmission board and transmitted to the integrated command system by a Radio Frequency (RF) unit. The location of fire-fighters in a building are determined using a gyro sensor and an inertial sensor. The collected information is applied to the integrated command system for firefighter safety and to ensure that they can effectively carry out their duties. Tthis study theoretically and experimentally investigated the technologies of RF transmission, indoor position, and an integrated command system that supports decision making using the transmitted information.

Determination of the Optimal Location for Water Treatment Plants in the Decentralized Water Supply System (분산형 용수공급시스템 구축을 위한 정수처리시설 최적 위치 결정)

  • Chang, Dong-Eil;Ha, Keum-Ryul;Jun, Hwan-Don;Kim, Jeong-Hyun;Kang, Ki-Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2013
  • Major issues in water supply service have changed from expansion of service area to improvement of service quality, i.e., water quality and safety, and early response to emergency situation. This change in the service concept triggers the perceptions of limitation with the current centralized water supply system and of necessities of decentralized (distributed) water supply system (DWSS), which can make up the limitations. DWSS can reduce the possibility of water supply outage by establishing multiple barriers such as emergency water supply system, and secure better water quality by locating treatment facilities neighboring consumers. On the other hand, fluctuation of water demand will be increased due to the reduced supply area, which makes difficult to promptly respond the fluctuating demand. In order to supplement this, hybrid water supply system was proposed, which combined DWSS with conventional water supply system using distributing reservoir to secure the stability of water supply. The Optimal connection point of DWSS to existing water supply network in urban area was determined by simulating a supply network using EPANET. Optimal location of decentralized water treatment plant (or connection point) is a nodal point where changes in pressure at other nodal points can be minimized. At the same time, the optimal point should be selected to minimize hydraulic retention time in supply network (water age) to secure proper water quality. In order to locate the point where these two criteria are satisfied optimally, Distance measure method, one of multi-criteria decision making was employed to integrate the two results having different dimensions. This methodology can be used as an efficient decision-support criterion for the location of treatment plant in decentralized water supply system.

INTRODUCTION OF THE G-7 PROJECT: Integrated System of Water Quality Management (G-7 과제에 대한 소개 : 수질관리를 위한 통합 시스템)

  • Kim, Kye-Hyun;Kim, Eui-Hong;Lee, Hong-Keun;Lee, In-Seon;Ryu, Joong-Hi
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.1 no.2 s.2
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    • pp.143-152
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    • 1993
  • A long-term water quality study has been initiated by the Korean Ministry of Environment(MOE) - The G-7 Project--in cooperation with two national research institutes, an University research tn and a consulting firm. This study includes the development of computer software for total water quality management system, so called ISWQM (Integrated System of Water Quality Management). ISWQM includes four major components: a GIS database; two artificial intelligence (AI) based expert systems to estimate pollutant loadings and to provide cost-effective wastewater treatment system for small and medium size urban areas; and computer programs to integrate the database and expert systems. ISWQM is to provide user-friendly Decision Support System (DSS) for water quality planners. A GIS was used to create spatial database which stores all the necessary data to n DSS. GIS was also used to integrate the four components of ISWQM from data creation to decision making through Graphic User Interface (GUI). The results from the first phase of this study showed that GIS would provide an effective tool to build DSS using expert system.

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Patient Management Through Simulation Modeling in the Medical Center (시뮬레이션 기법을 이용한 검진센터의 환자관리방안)

  • Lim, Ji-Hye;Kang, Sung-Hong;Kim, Won-Joong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.287-295
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    • 2012
  • This study aims to develop the methods for effective patient flow in the medical center through simulation modeling. To achieve this, we developed three simulation scenarios based on max/min processing time and addition of X-ray by 15 patient tracks from real hospital data. The simulation software used in this study is Flexsim HC 2.7. According to the scenario 1 on 15 patient tracks' LOS by max processing time, there is a great difference between average length of stay(LOS) and max LOS. And average LOS increases greatly depending on the number of patients by the hours. There is no need to add extra X-ray because the addition of X-ray has not much influence in average LOS. It is possible to make good decisions on patient flow management and medical equipment purchasing through simulation modeling. The concrete simulation scenario as a tool for decision support will contribute to efficiency in hospital management.

A Study on the Framework of Decision Making on the Facility Investment of Production Automation Using CYCLONE Techniques (사이클론 기법 기반 생산자동화의 설비투자 의사결정 Framework에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Hyeon-ki;Lee, Dong-soo;Bae, Jeong-hoon;Shin, Sung-chul;Kim, Soo-young;Lee, Jae-chul;Jeong, Bo-yong
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.53 no.5
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    • pp.420-427
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    • 2016
  • The marine equipment companies expanding facility investment in accordance with the booming economy are suffering from the reduced demand and the growth of chinese businesses. In this regard, the risk of overinvestment and the importance of prudent equipment investment must be reconsidered. Thus, in this study we performed a productivity and economical efficiency analysis in order to evaluate the investment value on production facilities in a company under the present conditions. The freezer of a fishing vessel manufactured by N company is selected as the subject of our study, while the assembly and welding cooling plates are configured as the scope of automation. Analysis on productivity and economical efficiency was conducted through CYCLONE (Cyclic Operation Network) simulation and economic analysis methods after analyzing the production process of freezer. The proposed analytical technique can be used to support the investment decision in production automation equipment of fishing vessels freezer.

Design Improvements of Investment Analysis System for SOC (SOC투자평가시스템의 체계 및 설계개선)

  • Lee, Jinsun;Nam, Doohee
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.131-136
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    • 2015
  • The feasibility study is an evaluation and analysis of the potential of a proposed project. It is based on extensive investigation and research to support the process of decision making. A systematic approach to determining the optimum use of scarce resources, involving comparison of two or more alternatives in achieving a specific objective under the given assumptions and constraints. Economic analysis takes into account the opportunity costs of resources employed and attempts to measure in monetary terms the private and social costs and benefits of a project to the community or economy. Cost-benefit analysis (CBA), sometimes called benefit-cost analysis (BCA), is a systematic approach to estimating the strengths and weaknesses of alternatives that satisfy transactions, activities or functional requirements for a business. It is a technique that is used to determine options that provide the best approach for the adoption and practice in terms of benefits in labor, time and cost savings etc. The CBA is also defined as a systematic process for calculating and comparing benefits and costs of a project, decision or government policy and projects.