• 제목/요약/키워드: Supply and demand system

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건설분야 기술사 인력수급 전망 (Supply-Demand Forecast of Professional Engineer in construction field)

  • 이삼석;이영환;김선국
    • 한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건설관리학회 2006년도 정기학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.453-457
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    • 2006
  • 1963년 우수 기술인력의 확보를 위해 기술사제도를 도입한 후, 주택건설 200만호 건설 등 건설경기의 활성화로 인한 건설기술자의 수급불균형 등을 해결하기 위하여 학력 및 경력기술자를 건설기술자로 인정하는 제도를 1995년에 도입하였다. 이러한 인정기술자제도의 도입으로 건설기술자는 양적으로 크게 증가하여 2000년 이후 건설기술자의 심각한 공급초과가 발생하였고, 이에 따라 최고 기술자격인 기술사의 활용에 있어 심각한 폐해가 일어나고 있다. 정부는 최근 WTO협약에 의한 기술개방, 국가간 상호인증 등과 관련한 기술사의 전문성을 확보할 수 있는 법 ${\cdot}$ 제도적 기반을 마련하고 있다. 이러한 제도적 측면을 반영한, 정확한 기술사의 인력수급예측을 통하여 기술사 인력 수급의 문제점을 분석하고, 향후 기술사 인력의 수급을 조정하기 위해 제도적인 측면의 개선방안을 제시하고자 한다. 본 연구의 결과는 향후 선진수준의 기술사 인력수급체계 구축은 물론 효율적이고 일관된 기술사 양성 및 활용 체제 구축에 이용될 수 있을 것이다.

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한국경제의 총수요와 총공급에서의 베이지안 구조변화 분석 (A Bayesian Analysis of Structural Changes in Aggregate Demand and Supply of Korean Economy)

  • 전덕빈;박대근
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.475-483
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    • 1998
  • Structural changes in an economy system bring about serious problems in establishing economic policies. The boom of middle-east export, the oil shock, and the recent dollar crisis in Korean economy are such examples. Hence, it is necessary to identify and estimate those structural changes. This study focuses on an output and price and analyzes structural changes in aggregate demand and supply. The aggregate demand and supply structures are described by conventional dynamic simultaneous equations model, where each structural change is represented by dummy variables and estimated by the proposed Bayesian method. By applying this model to Korean output and price, structural changes in the aggregate demand and supply are analyzed.

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Optimal Ordering Policy in Dual-Sourcing Supply Chain Considering Supply Disruptions and Demand Information

  • Watanabe, Naoki;Kusukawa, Etsuko
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.129-158
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    • 2015
  • It is necessary for retailers to determine the optimal ordering policy of products considering supply disruptions due to a natural disaster and a production process failure as quality and machine breakdowns. Under the situation, a dualsourcing supply chain (DSSC) is one of effective SC for retailers to order products reliably. This paper proposes the optimal ordering policy of a product in a DSSC with a retailer and two manufacturers. Two manufacturers may face supply disruptions due to a natural disater and a production process failure after they received the retailer's order of products. Here, two scenarios of demand information of products are assumed: (i) the demand distribution is known (ii) mean and variance of the demand are known. Under above situations, two types of DSSC are discussed. Under a decentralized DSSC (DSC), a retailer determines the optimal ordering policy to maximize his/her total expected profit. Under the integrated DSSC (ISC), the optimal ordering policy is determined to maximize the whole system's total expected profit. Numerical analysis investigates how demand information and supply disruptions affect the optimal decisions under DSC and ISC. Besides, profitability of supply chain coordination adjusting the wholesale price is evaluated to encourage the optimal decision under ISC.

Supply Chain Coordination in 2-Stage-Ordering-Production System with Update of Demand Information

  • Kusukawa, Etsuko
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.304-318
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    • 2014
  • It is necessary for a retailer to improve responsiveness to uncertain customer demand in product sales. In order to solve this problem, this paper discusses an optimal operation for a 2-stage-ordering-production system consisting of a retailer and a manufacturer. First, based on the demand information estimated at first order time $t_1$, the retailer determines the optimal initial order quantity $Q^*_1$, the optimal advertising cost $a^*_1$ and the optimal retail price $p^*_1$ of a single product at $t_1$, and then the manufacturer produces $Q^*_1$. Next, the retailer updates the demand information at second order time $t_2$. If the retailer finds that $Q^*_1$ dissatisfies the demand indicated by the demand information updated at $t_2$, the retailer determines the optimal second order quantity $Q^*_2$ under $Q^*_1$ and adjusts optimally the advertising cost and the retail price to $a^*_2$ and $p^*_2$ at $t_2$. Here, decision-making approaches for two situations are made-a decentralized supply chain (DSC) whose objective is to maximize the retailer's profit and an integrated supply chain (ISC) whose objective is to maximize the whole system's profit. In the numerical analysis, the results of the optimal decisions under DSC are compared with those under ISC. In addition, supply chain coordination is discussed to adjust the unit wholesale price at each order time as Nash Bargaining solutions.

수도권 토지수요와 공급체계 분석 연구 (A Study on the Land Demand and Supply System in the Capital Region of Korea)

  • 안정근
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제7권6호
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    • pp.1277-1283
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    • 2006
  • 우리나라의 주민 소득수준 향상에 따른 토지수요는 수도권을 중심으로 꾸준히 증가할 것으로 예상되나 수도권에서의 가용토지는 한정되어 있고 토지공급 체계가 합리적이지 않아 토지수급에 문제가 제기되고 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 수도권에서의 인구변화를 기초로 주택수를 판단하여 토지수요를 예측하고 토지공급체계를 분석하여 토지 공급 개선방향을 제시하는데 목적이 있다. 연구결과 수도권에서는 2010년까지 신규 택지개발사업에 의한 주택수요량 127만호로 예측되며 이를 위해 $293km^2$ (8,855만평)의 토지수요가 있는 것으로 나타났으나 수도권에서의 토지의 용도전환이 엄격하게 제한되어 도시용 토지공급이 원활치 못한 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 수도권에서는 도시용지 공급의 중복규제 정비, 토지이용관련 규제합리화, 정부 부처간의 긴밀한 협조체제 구축, 개발용도지역과 보전용도지역의 경계조정, 농업진흥지역과 보전산지의 개념 재정립 등을 통하여 합리적인 토지공급체계 운용이 요구된다.

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시스템 시뮬레이션을 통한 원자재 가격 및 운송 운임 모델 (A System Dynamics Model for Basic Material Price and Fare Analysis and Forecasting)

  • 정재헌
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.61-76
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    • 2009
  • We try to use system dynamics to forecast the demand/supply and price, also transportation fare for iron ore. Iron ore is very important mineral resource for industrial production. The structure for this system dynamics shows non-linear pattern and we anticipated the system dynamic method will catch this non-linear reality better than the regression analysis. Our model is calibrated and tested for the past 6 year monthly data (2003-2008) and used for next 6 year monthly data(2008-2013) forecasting. The test results show that our system dynamics approach fits the real data with higher accuracy than the regression one. And we have run the simulations for scenarios made by possible future changes in demand or supply and fare related variables. This simulations imply some meaningful price and fare change patterns.

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Design of a renewable energy system with battery and power-to-methanol unit

  • Andika, Riezqa;Kim, Young;Yun, Choa Mun;Yoon, Seok Ho;Lee, Moonyong
    • Korean Journal of Chemical Engineering
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.12-20
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    • 2019
  • An energy storage system consisting of a battery and a power-to-methanol (PtM) unit was investigated to develop an energy storage system for renewable energy systems. A nonlinear programming model was established to optimize the energy storage system. The optimal installation capacities of the battery and power-to-methanol units were determined to minimize the cost of the energy system. The cost from a renewable energy system was assessed for four configurations, with or without energy storage units, of the battery and the power-to-methanol unit. The proposed model was applied to the modified electricity supply and demand based on published data. The results show that value-adding units, such as PtM, need be included to build a stable renewable energy system. This work will significantly contribute to the advancement of electricity supply and demand management and to the establishment of a nationwide policy for renewable energy storage.

제주지역 전력공급과 효과적인 수요관리 방안 (A Study on the DSM Policy and Power Supply in Jeju Island)

  • 김창수;이창호
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2004년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.677-679
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    • 2004
  • Although Jeju is an island, its electricity demand is 430MW. It indicates electricity demand and its growth rate in Jeju are higher than mainland average. The supply of electricity in Jeju consists of power plants within the island and connection of main system using cable line. The cost of supply is higher than mainland system. However the electricity rate and DSM incentives were treated equally with mainland. Therefore, Effective DSM promotion has not been carried out. This paper analyzes the policy alternatives of supply in Jeju and presents effective DSM countermeasures. Also it presents long-term policy on stabilization of supply and demand in Jeju.

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도시녹지 미세먼지 조절 서비스 수요와 공급의 공간적 차이 분석 - 수원시를 대상으로 - (Spatial Analysis on Mismatch Between Particulate Matter Regulation Services Supply and Demand in Urban Area - A Case Study of Suwon -)

  • 강다인;권혁수;최태영;박찬;김성훈
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.57-69
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    • 2021
  • Urban green spaces supply ecosystem services (ESs), which are consumed by city residents and generate demand, to improve air quality. It is important to determine supply and demand for ESs and reduce the gap for efficient management. This study proposed a method to use the concept of supply and demand for ESs in the decision-making process for urban planning or management. PM10 concentrations were converted to weight for demand assessment on PM10 reduction, and PM10 absorption capacity of all green spaces including the forests, and that of urban green spaces excluding forests, was calculated for each supply assessment. The differences in the calculated supply and demand were analyzed to derive the mismatched regions in Suwon. As a result, regions with big forested areas showed sufficient supply, indicating that the degree of mismatch among administrative neighborhoods (dong) varied greatly depending on whether they had a forest. An analysis of only urban green spaces showed that all neighborhoods lacked supply. Forests with high PM10 absorption capacity had a great effect, but urban green spaces can be considered a key element in reducing PM10 in daily life. Considering the mismatch of supply and demand, spatial distribution, and population distribution, it is possible to prioritize the supply of urban green spaces to reduce PM10 and, furthermore, support decision making for priority zones subject to forest conservation and designation and cancellation of green spaces, which gives significance to this study.

공공임대주택의 2단계 공급방식 적용 방안에 관한 연구 - 일본 스켈레톤 임대형 SI주택 사례를 중심으로 - (A Study on the Application of the Two Step Supply System of Public Rental Housing - Focused on the cases of SI housing with skeleton rental in Japan -)

  • 이용규;박지영
    • 대한건축학회논문집:계획계
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    • 제35권7호
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    • pp.45-52
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    • 2019
  • In recent years, there has been a demand for a residential supply model that can actively and flexibly cope with various housing demands in the changing paradigm of public rental housing. This study focuses on the two-step supply system that has been studied in Japan. It was used to examine and analyze cases to recommend a supply plan that can be used for domestic public rental housing. In more detail, the literature review of the two-step supply system discloses that four types by supply methods (A-1, A-2, B-2, and C-2) and four types of relationship (construction and management combine entities type, management entity type, construction entity type, a separated entity type) can be categorized. In addition, from the actual case study, it revealed that the way of linking and supplying activities among the entity can have a great influence on "ease of supply (supply)", "diversity of housing demand (diversity)," and "quality of construction (construction)". "Ease of supply (supply)" refers to whether the construction entity is separated, and the owner is a manager. "Diversity" refers to whether the management subject is separated, and if the owner is also the constructor or the manager. "Construction" is whether the management entity is connected and managed by the management entity and can be evaluated in "Good", "Middle", and "Bad" level. As a summary, even if the existing public rental housing in Korea can be separated into a skeleton and infill system, the result suggested that it has a limitation on response to residential demand. In addition, the paper was able to propose an improved plan to make the infill as a secondary operator.