• 한국조명전기설비학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국조명전기설비학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
• /
• pp.328-333
• /
• 2007

Traditional maintenance planning is based on a constant maintenance interval for equipment life. In order to consider economic aspect for tm based preventive maintenance, preventive maintenance is desirable to be scheduled by RCM(Reliability-Centered Maintenance) evaluation. The main objective of RCM is to reduce the maintenance cost, by focusing on the most important functions of the system and avoiding or removing maintenance actions that are not strictly necessary. So, Markov state model is utilized considering stochastic state in RCM In this paper, a Markov state model much can be used for scheduling and optimization of maintenance is presented. The deterioration process of system condition is modeled by the stepwise Markov model in detail. Also, because the system is not continuously monitored, the inspection is considered. In case study, simulation results about RCM will be shown using the real historical data of combustion turbine generating unit in Korean power systems.

• 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국전산구조공학회 2006년도 정기 학술대회 논문집
• /
• pp.857-864
• /
• 2006

Due to the difficulties in numerical generation of random fields that satisfy not only the probabilistic distribution but the spectral characteristics as well. it is relatively hard to find an exact response variability of a structural response with a specific random field which has its features in the spatial and spectral domains. In this study. focusing on the fact that the random field assumes a constant over the domain under consideration when the correlation distance tends to infinity, a semi-theoretical solution of response variability is proposed for in-plane and plate bending structures. In this procedure, the probability density function is used directly resulting in a semi-exact solution for the random field in the state of random variable. It is particularly noteworthy that the proposed methodology provides response variability for virtually any type of probability density functions.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 대한전기학회 2015년도 제46회 하계학술대회
• /
• pp.493-494
• /
• 2015

전원설비 투자계획은 주어진 기간 하에서 최적 발전기 투입용량 및 시기를 결정하는 문제이다. 전원설비의 준공일정은 다양한 사회적 요인의 영향으로 불확실성에 노출되어 있다. 본 논문에서는 전원설비 준공 불확실성을 고려한 전원설비 계획 문제를 제시한다. 발전설비의 준공지연 불확실성은 이산 확률론적 밀도함수를 갖는 확률변수로 표현된다. 최적화 문제에서 확률변수를 고려하기 위해 2단계 확률론적 계획법이 도입된다. 주문제-부문제로 분해된 최적화 문제는 쌍대함수 정보를 교환하는 반복연산을 수행하여 최적 전역해에 도달할 수 있다.

• 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국신재생에너지학회 2011년도 추계학술대회 초록집
• /
• pp.140.2-140.2
• /
• 2011

Renewable energy(RE) systems have difficulties in operating and management due to the intermittency of the energy generation. Stochastic supply profiles of RE creates problems for mechanical and electrical design in relation to the selection of technology types and capacities of RE to be installed. This paper presents an methodology of the feasibility assessment of RE-integrated energy systems on the basis of hourly demand/supply analysis tools. Also, this paper shows the feasibility and the usefulness of GS REMA(Renewable Energy Matching Analysis) and HOMER by comparing actual energy data.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국수자원학회 2009년도 학술발표회 초록집
• /
• pp.1038-1041
• /
• 2009

현재 수자원 분야에서는 기후변화와 이에 대비한 안정적인 물공급을 위한 수자원 계획이 요구되는 시점이다. 따라서, 신뢰성있는 장기간의 유량자료를 확보하기 위하여 추계학적 기상모의자료를 이용하여 유역의 장기간에 걸친 공간적인 유량자료를 생성하고자 하였다. 본 연구에서는 한강유역에 대하여 추계학적인 방법을 이용하여 장기간의 기상자료(강수량, 최대/최소 온도, 일사량, 상대습도, 풍속)를 생성하였다. 기상모의생성을 위하여 WXGEN(Sharply와 Williams, 1990)을 이용하였다. 기상모의 발생순서는 우선 강수량을 독립적으로 모의생성하였다. 이후 최대/최소 온도, 일사량, 상대습도는 약한 상관성을 가진다는 가정으로 모의생성한 후, 해당일의 강수유무를 기준으로 값을 조정하였다. 마지막으로 풍속은 독립적으로 모의생성하였다. 모의생성된 장기간의 기상자료를 장기유출모형인 SWAT-K의 입력자료로 활용하여 한강유역에 대하여 장기간의 유량자료를 모의 분석하였다. 이러한 연구는 추계학적 방법과 확정론적 방법의 연계적용으로 수자원 설계 및 계획에 적극 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
• /
• 제51권3호
• /
• pp.109-117
• /
• 2002

High accuracy of the load forecasting for power systems improves the security of the power system and generation cost. However, the forecasting problem is difficult to handle due to the nonlinear and the random-like behavior of system loads as well as weather conditions and variation of economical environments. So far. many studies on the problem have been made to improve the prediction accuracy using deterministic, stochastic, knowledge based and artificial neural net(ANN) method. In the conventional load forecasting method, the load forecasting maximum error occurred for the holidays on Saturday and Monday. In order to reduce the load forecasting error of the daily peak load for the holidays on Saturday and Monday, fuzzy concept and linear regression theory have been adopted into the load forecasting problem. The proposed algorithm shows its good accuracy that the average percentage errors are 2.11% in 1996 and 2.84% in 1997.

• International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
• /
• 제10권1호
• /
• pp.21-36
• /
• 2018

The incidence of collision damage models on oil tanker and bulk carrier reliability is investigated considering the IACS deterministic model against GOALDS/IMO database statistics for collision events, substantiating the probabilistic model. Statistical properties of hull girder residual strength are determined by Monte Carlo simulation, based on random generation of damage dimensions and a modified form of incremental-iterative method, to account for neutral axis rotation and equilibrium of horizontal bending moment, due to cross-section asymmetry after collision events. Reliability analysis is performed, to investigate the incidence of collision penetration depth and height statistical properties on hull girder sagging/hogging failure probabilities. Besides, the incidence of corrosion on hull girder residual strength and reliability is also discussed, focussing on gross, hull girder net and local net scantlings, respectively. The ISSC double hull oil tanker and single side bulk carrier, assumed as test cases in the ISSC 2012 report, are taken as reference ships.

• 대한음성학회지:말소리
• /
• 제58호
• /
• pp.45-66
• /
• 2006

In this paper, a rule-based (transformation-based) NE recognition system is proposed. This system uses Brill's rule inference approach. The performance of the rule-based system and IdentiFinder, one of most successful stochastic systems, are compared. In the baseline case (no punctuation and no capitalisation), both systems show almost equal performance. They also have similar performance in the case of additional information such as punctuation, capitalisation and name lists. The performances of both systems degrade linearly with the number of speech recognition errors, and their rates of degradation are almost equal. These results show that automatic rule inference is a viable alternative to the HMM-based approach to NE recognition, but it retains the advantages of a rule-based approach.

• 국제학술발표논문집
• /
• The 1th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
• /
• pp.791-795
• /
• 2005

A simulation model is proposed to evaluate the effect of correlations between activity durations on the overall project duration. The proposed model incorporates NORTA, a recent developed statistical method, into the simulation process to allow arbitrarily specified marginal distributions for activity durations and any desired correlation structure. The generality is of practical value when systematic data is not available and planners have to rely on arbitrary experts' estimation, which may involve a mixed situation when some activity durations are continuously distributed whereas others are discrete outcomes. The proposed model is validated by showing that the correlation coefficients of the simulation results are close to the originally specified ones. The simulation results are compared to two conventional approaches: PERT and simulation without correlation. The comparisons illustrate that the proposed model can provide important management information, which would otherwise be distorted due to the neglect of the correlations between activity durations.

• Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
• /
• 제22권2호
• /
• pp.127-132
• /
• 2024

Haptic actuators for large display panels play an important role in bridging the gap between the digital and physical world by generating interactive feedback for users. However, the generation of meaningful haptic feedback is challenging for large display panels. There are dead zones with low haptic sensations when a small number of actuators are applied. In contrast, it is important to control the traveling wave generated by the actuators in the presence of multiple actuators. In this study, we propose a particle swarm optimization (PSO)-based algorithm for the haptic localization of plates with electrostatic vibration actuators. We modeled the transverse displacement of a plate under the effect of actuators by employing the Kirchhoff-Love plate theory. In addition, starting with twenty randomly generated particles containing the actuator parameters, we searched for the optimal actuator parameters using a stochastic process to yield localization. The capability of the proposed PSO algorithm is reported and the transverse displacement has a high magnitude only in the targeted region.