• 제목/요약/키워드: Stochastic Approach

검색결과 583건 처리시간 0.031초

Instability of (Heterogeneous) Euler beam: Deterministic vs. stochastic reduced model approach

  • Ibrahimbegovic, Adnan;Mejia-Nava, Rosa Adela;Hajdo, Emina;Limnios, Nikolaos
    • Coupled systems mechanics
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.167-198
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    • 2022
  • In this paper we deal with classical instability problems of heterogeneous Euler beam under conservative loading. It is chosen as the model problem to systematically present several possible solution methods from simplest deterministic to more complex stochastic approach, both of which that can handle more complex engineering problems. We first present classical analytic solution along with rigorous definition of the classical Euler buckling problem starting from homogeneous beam with either simplified linearized theory or the most general geometrically exact beam theory. We then present the numerical solution to this problem by using reduced model constructed by discrete approximation based upon the weak form of the instability problem featuring von Karman (virtual) strain combined with the finite element method. We explain how such numerical approach can easily be adapted to solving instability problems much more complex than classical Euler's beam and in particular for heterogeneous beam, where analytic solution is not readily available. We finally present the stochastic approach making use of the Duffing oscillator, as the corresponding reduced model for heterogeneous Euler's beam within the dynamics framework. We show that such an approach allows computing probability density function quantifying all possible solutions to this instability problem. We conclude that increased computational cost of the stochastic framework is more than compensated by its ability to take into account beam material heterogeneities described in terms of fast oscillating stochastic process, which is typical of time evolution of internal variables describing plasticity and damage.

ATM 다중화 장치에 적용된 추계적 유체흐름 모형의 근사분석 (An Approximate Analysis of a Stochastic Fluid Flow Model Applied to an ATM Multiplexer)

  • 윤영하;홍정식;홍정완;이창훈
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.97-109
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we propose a new approach to solve stochastic fluid flow models applied to the analysis of ceil loss of an ATM multiplexer. Existing stochastic fluid flow models have been analyzed by using linear differential equations. In case of large state space, however. analyzing stochastic fluid flow model without numerical errors is not easy. To avoid this numerical errors and to analyze stochastic fluid flow model with large state space. we develope a new computational algorithm. Instead of solving differential equations directly, this approach uses iterative and numerical method without calculating eigenvalues. eigenvectors and boundary coefficients. As a result, approximate solutions and upper and lower bounds are obtained. This approach can be applied to stochastic fluid flow model having general Markov chain structure as well as to the superposition of heterogeneous ON-OFF sources it can be extended to Markov process having non-exponential sojourn times.

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AR계수를 이용한 Hidden Markov Model의 기계상태진단 적용 (Application of Hidden Markov Model Using AR Coefficients to Machine Diagnosis)

  • 이종민;황요하;김승종;송창섭
    • 한국소음진동공학회논문집
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.48-55
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    • 2003
  • Hidden Markov Model(HMM) has a doubly embedded stochastic process with an underlying stochastic process that can be observed through another set of stochastic processes. This structure of HMM is useful for modeling vector sequence that doesn't look like a stochastic process but has a hidden stochastic process. So, HMM approach has become popular in various areas in last decade. The increasing popularity of HMM is based on two facts : rich mathematical structure and proven accuracy on critical application. In this paper, we applied continuous HMM (CHMM) approach with AR coefficient to detect and predict the chatter of lathe bite and to diagnose the wear of oil Journal bearing using rotor shaft displacement. Our examples show that CHMM approach is very efficient method for machine health monitoring and prediction.

Stochastic design charts for bearing capacity of strip footings

  • Shahin, Mohamed A.;Cheung, Eric M.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.153-167
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    • 2011
  • Traditional design methods of bearing capacity of shallow foundations are deterministic in the sense that they do not explicitly consider the inherent uncertainty associated with the factors affecting bearing capacity. To account for such uncertainty, available deterministic methods rather employ a fixed global factor of safety that may lead to inappropriate bearing capacity predictions. An alternative stochastic approach is essential to provide a more rational estimation of bearing capacity. In this paper, the likely distribution of predicted bearing capacity of strip footings subjected to vertical loads is obtained using a stochastic approach based on the Monte Carlo simulation. The approach accounts for the uncertainty associated with the soil shear strength parameters: cohesion, c, and friction angle, ${\phi}$, and the cross correlation between c and ${\phi}$. A set of stochastic design charts that assure target reliability levels of 90% and 95%, are developed for routine use by practitioners. The charts negate the need for a factor of safety and provide a more reliable indication of what the actual bearing capacity might be.

혼합 군에 대한 확률적 란체스터 모형의 정규근사 (Gaussian Approximation of Stochastic Lanchester Model for Heterogeneous Forces)

  • 박동현;김동현;문형일;신하용
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제42권2호
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    • pp.86-95
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    • 2016
  • We propose a new approach to the stochastic version of Lanchester model. Commonly used approach to stochastic Lanchester model is through the Markov-chain method. The Markov-chain approach, however, is not appropriate to high dimensional heterogeneous force case because of large computational cost. In this paper, we propose an approximation method of stochastic Lanchester model. By matching the first and the second moments, the distribution of each unit strength can be approximated with multivariate normal distribution. We evaluate an approximation of discrete Markov-chain model by measuring Kullback-Leibler divergence. We confirmed high accuracy of approximation method, and also the accuracy and low computational cost are maintained under high dimensional heterogeneous force case.

1차 확률적 지배를 하는 최대수익 포트폴리오 가중치의 탐색에 관한 연구 (An Efficient Algorithm to Find Portfolio Weights for the First Degree Stochastic Dominance with Maximum Expected Return)

  • 류춘호
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.153-163
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    • 2009
  • Unlike the mean-variance approach, the stochastic dominance approach is to form a portfolio that stochastically dominates a predetermined benchmark portfolio such as KOSPI. This study is to search a set of portfolio weights for the first-order stochastic dominance with maximum expected return by managing the constraint set and the objective function separately. A nonlinear programming algorithm was developed and tested with promising results against Korean stock market data sets.

2단계 추계학적 야전 포병 사격 순서 결정 모형에 관한 연구 (A Two-Stage Stochastic Approach to the Artillery Fire Sequencing Problem)

  • 조재영
    • 한국국방경영분석학회지
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.28-44
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    • 2005
  • The previous studies approach the field artillery fire scheduling problem as deterministic and do not explicitly include information on the potential scenario changes. Unfortunately, the effort used to optimize fire sequences and reduce the total time of engagement is often inefficient as the collected military intelligence changes. Instead of modeling the fire sequencing problem as deterministic model, we consider a stochastic artillery fire scheduling model and devise a solution methodology to integrate possible enemy attack scenarios in the evaluation of artillery fire sequences. The goal is to use that information to find robust solutions that withstand disruptions in a better way, Such an approach is important because we can proactively consider the effects of certain unique scheduling decisions. By identifying more robust schedules, cascading delay effects will be minimized. In this paper we describe our stochastic model for the field artillery fire sequencing problem and offer revised robust stochastic model which considers worst scenario first. The robust stochastic model makes the solution more stable than the general two-stage stochastic model and also reduces the computational cost dramatically. We present computational results demonstrating the effectiveness of our proposed method by EVPI, VSS, and Variances.

TWO APPROACHES FOR STOCHASTIC INTEREST RATE OPTION MODEL

  • Hyun, Jung-Soon;Kim, Young-Hee
    • 대한수학회지
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    • 제43권4호
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    • pp.845-858
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    • 2006
  • We present two approaches of the stochastic interest rate European option pricing model. One is a bond numeraire approach which is applicable to a nonzero value asset. In this approach, we assume log-normality of returns of the asset normalized by a bond whose maturity is the same as the expiration date of an option instead that of an asset itself. Another one is the expectation hypothesis approach for value zero asset which has futures-style margining. Bond numeraire approach allows us to calculate volatilities implied in options even though stochastic interest rate is considered.

변분법을 이용한 확률론적 유한요소법에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Stochastic Finite Element Method Based on Variational Approach)

  • 배동명;김경열
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.432-446
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    • 1996
  • A stochastic Hamilton variational principle(SHVP) is formulated for dynamic problems of linear continuum. The SHVP allows incorporation of probabilistic distributions into the finite element analysis. The formulation is simplified by transformation of correlated random variables to a set of uncorrelated random variables through a standard eigenproblem. A procedure based on the Fourier analysis and synthesis is presented for eliminating secularities from the perturbation approach. In addition to, a method to analyse stochastic design sensitivity for structural dynamics is present. A combination of the adjoint variable approach and the second order perturbation method is used in the finite element codes. An alternative form of the constraint functional that holds for all times is introduced to consider the time response of dynamic sensitivity. The algorithms developed can readily be adapted to existing deterministic finite element codes. The numerical results for stochastic analysis by proceeding approach of cantilever, 2D-frame and 3D-frame illustrates in this paper.

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