• 제목/요약/키워드: Statistical-Mechanical Model

검색결과 245건 처리시간 0.03초

GMDH-based prediction of shear strength of FRP-RC beams with and without stirrups

  • Kaveh, Ali;Bakhshpoori, Taha;Hamze-Ziabari, Seyed Mahmood
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.197-207
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    • 2018
  • In the present study, group method of data handling networks (GMDH) are adopted and evaluated for shear strength prediction of both FRP-reinforced concrete members with and without stirrups. Input parameters considered for the GMDH are altogether 12 influential geometrical and mechanical parameters. Two available and very recently collected comprehensive datasets containing 112 and 175 data samples are used to develop new models for two cases with and without shear reinforcement, respectively. The proposed GMDH models are compared with several codes of practice. An artificial neural network (ANN) model and an ANFIS based model are also developed using the same databases to further assessment of GMDH. The accuracy of the developed models is evaluated by statistical error parameters. The results show that the GMDH outperforms other models and successfully can be used as a practical and effective tool for shear strength prediction of members without stirrups ($R^2=0.94$) and with stirrups ($R^2=0.95$). Furthermore, the relative importance and influence of input parameters in the prediction of shear capacity of reinforced concrete members are evaluated through parametric and sensitivity analyses.

Reliability analysis of laminated composite shells by response surface method based on HSDT

  • Thakur, Sandipan N.;Chakraborty, Subrata;Ray, Chaitali
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제72권2호
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    • pp.203-216
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    • 2019
  • Reliability analysis of composite structures considering random variation of involved parameters is quite important as composite materials revealed large statistical variations in their mechanical properties. The reliability analysis of such structures by the first order reliability method (FORM) and Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) based approach involves repetitive evaluations of performance function. The response surface method (RSM) based metamodeling technique has emerged as an effective solution to such problems. In the application of metamodeling for uncertainty quantification and reliability analysis of composite structures; the finite element model is usually formulated by either classical laminate theory or first order shear deformation theory. But such theories show significant error in calculating the structural responses of composite structures. The present study attempted to apply the RSM based MCS for reliability analysis of composite shell structures where the surrogate model is constructed using higher order shear deformation theory (HSDT) of composite structures considering the uncertainties in the material properties, load, ply thickness and radius of curvature of the shell structure. The sensitivity of responses of the shell is also obtained by RSM and finite element method based direct approach to elucidate the advantages of RSM for response sensitivity analysis. The reliability results obtained by the proposed RSM based MCS and FORM are compared with the accurate reliability analysis results obtained by the direct MCS by considering two numerical examples.

확률론적 위험도평가를 위한 베이지안 기반의 파손확률 추정 모델링 연구 (A Study on the Modeling of PoF Estimation for Probabilistic Risk Assessment based on Bayesian Method)

  • 김근원;신대한;최주호;신기수
    • 한국항공우주학회지
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    • 제41권8호
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    • pp.619-624
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    • 2013
  • 확률론적 수명예측은 파라미터들의 불확실성에 대하여 확률론적인 요소를 적용한다. 따라서 기존의 결정론적 수명해석 기법에 확률론적 기법을 적용하기 위해서는 파손확률을 이용한 위험도 평가가 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 항공기 구조물의 확률론적 위험도평가를 수행하기 위하여 파손확률 추정 모델링 기법을 연구하였다. 이를 위해 파라미터들의 확률론적 불확실성을 효과적으로 반영할 수 있는 베이지안 기법을 이용하여 파손확률을 모델링하고 실험 데이터를 이용하여 검증하였다. 연구결과 베이지안 기반의 파손확률 추정 모델링은 정량적인 파손확률을 계산하고 확률론적 위험도평가를 효과적으로 수행할 수 있음을 입증하였다.

상지 외골격 로봇 제어를 위한 인체 팔 동작의 기구학 및 동역학적 분석 - 파트 2: 제한조건의 선형 결합 (Analysis on the Kinematics and Dynamics of Human Arm Movement Toward Upper Limb Exoskeleton Robot Control - Part 2: Combination of Kinematic and Dynamic Constraints)

  • 김현철;이춘영
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제20권8호
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    • pp.875-881
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    • 2014
  • The redundancy resolution of the seven DOF (Degree of Freedom) upper limb exoskeleton is key to the synchronous motion between a robot and a human user. According to the seven DOF human arm model, positioning and orientating the wrist can be completed by multiple arm configurations that results in the non-unique solution to the inverse kinematics. This paper presents analysis on the kinematic and dynamic aspect of the human arm movement and its effect on the redundancy resolution of the seven DOF human arm model. The redundancy of the arm is expressed mathematically by defining the swivel angle. The final form of swivel angle can be represented as a linear combination of two different swivel angles achieved by optimizing two cost functions based on kinematic and dynamic criteria. The kinematic criterion is to maximize the projection of the longest principal axis of the manipulability ellipsoid of the human arm on the vector connecting the wrist and the virtual target on the head region. The dynamic criterion is to minimize the mechanical work done in the joint space for each of two consecutive points along the task space trajectory. The contribution of each criterion on the redundancy was verified by the post processing of experimental data collected with a motion capture system. Results indicate that the bimodal redundancy resolution approach improved the accuracy of the predicted swivel angle. Statistical testing of the dynamic constraint contribution shows that under moderate speeds and no load, the dynamic component of the human arm is not dominant, and it is enough to resolve the redundancy without dynamic constraint for the realtime application.

LDV계측에 의한 동축노즐의 분무특성 연구 (A study on the spray characteristics of a coaxial nozzle by LDV measurement)

  • 윤석주;노병준
    • 대한기계학회논문집
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.1613-1620
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    • 1990
  • 본 연구에서는 일반적인 레이저 유속계를 사용하여 광전 증폭관내에 핀흘 대 신에 슬릿(slit)을 장치하고 광전증폭관을 측정영역에 90˚가 되도록 설치하여 in-situ calibration을 수행함으로써 분무의 입경과 속도를 동시에 계측할수 있다는 Yoon의 결과를 이용하고 모든 입자들의 궤적은 동일한 확률을 갖는다는 Yule와 Holve, Self의 가정을 기초로한 수학적인 Deconvolution에 의하여 계측방법에 발생되는 모순 점을 해결하였다. 일반적으로 분무특성해석을 위해서는 분무를 지배하는 기하학적인 변수, 입경분포, 액적의 속도분포, 밀도분포, 입경과 속도의 상관계수, 입자의 증발율 등이 규명 되어야하는데 본 연구에서는 이상류 동축노즐을 제작하고 이의 분무특성을 해석하기위하여 액적의 속도분포, 입경분포, 입경과 속도의 상관계수, 수밀도분포 등 을 계측하였다.

A software tool for integrated risk assessment of spent fuel transportation and storage

  • Yun, Mirae;Christian, Robby;Kim, Bo Gyung;Almomani, Belal;Ham, Jaehyun;Lee, Sanghoon;Kang, Hyun Gook
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제49권4호
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    • pp.721-733
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    • 2017
  • When temporary spent fuel storage pools at nuclear power plants reach their capacity limit, the spent fuel must be moved to an alternative storage facility. However, radioactive materials must be handled and stored carefully to avoid severe consequences to the environment. In this study, the risks of three potential accident scenarios (i.e., maritime transportation, an aircraft crashing into an interim storage facility, and on-site transportation) associated with the spent fuel transportation process were analyzed using a probabilistic approach. For each scenario, the probabilities and the consequences were calculated separately to assess the risks: the probabilities were calculated using existing data and statistical models, and the consequences were calculated using computation models. Risk assessment software was developed to conveniently integrate the three scenarios. The risks were analyzed using the developed software according to the shipment route, building characteristics, and spent fuel handling environment. As a result of the risk analysis with varying accident conditions, transportation and storage strategies with relatively low risk were developed for regulators and licensees. The focus of this study was the risk assessment methodology; however, the applied model and input data have some uncertainties. Further research to reduce these uncertainties will improve the accuracy of this model.

Sparse reconstruction of guided wavefield from limited measurements using compressed sensing

  • Qiao, Baijie;Mao, Zhu;Sun, Hao;Chen, Songmao;Chen, Xuefeng
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.369-384
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    • 2020
  • A wavefield sparse reconstruction technique based on compressed sensing is developed in this work to dramatically reduce the number of measurements. Firstly, a severely underdetermined representation of guided wavefield at a snapshot is established in the spatial domain. Secondly, an optimal compressed sensing model of guided wavefield sparse reconstruction is established based on l1-norm penalty, where a suite of discrete cosine functions is selected as the dictionary to promote the sparsity. The regular, random and jittered undersampling schemes are compared and selected as the undersampling matrix of compressed sensing. Thirdly, a gradient projection method is employed to solve the compressed sensing model of wavefield sparse reconstruction from highly incomplete measurements. Finally, experiments with different excitation frequencies are conducted on an aluminum plate to verify the effectiveness of the proposed sparse reconstruction method, where a scanning laser Doppler vibrometer as the true benchmark is used to measure the original wavefield in a given inspection region. Experiments demonstrate that the missing wavefield data can be accurately reconstructed from less than 12% of the original measurements; The reconstruction accuracy of the jittered undersampling scheme is slightly higher than that of the random undersampling scheme in high probability, but the regular undersampling scheme fails to reconstruct the wavefield image; A quantified mapping relationship between the sparsity ratio and the recovery error over a special interval is established with respect to statistical modeling and analysis.

무한사면해석기법과 GIS를 이용한 사면 재해 위험성 분석 및 검증 (Analysis and Verification of Slope Disaster Hazard Using Infinite Slope Model and GIS)

  • 박혁진;이사로;김정우
    • 자원환경지질
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.313-320
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    • 2003
  • 사면재해는 강우기에 반복적으로 발생하는 지질재해의 하나로 우리나라의 경우 연평균 약 23명 정토의 인명피해가 사면재해로 인해 발생하고 있으며, 이는 자연재해로 인한 인명피해 중 약 25% 정도를 차지하는 수치이다. 그러나, 이러한 사면재해는 다양하고 복합한 지질 및 지형 특성과 갉은 공간적인 특성과 집중호우와 같은 기후특성에 의해 좌우되므로 사면재해 예측이나 위험성에 대한 정량적인 산정을 무척 어려운 실정이다. 따라서, GIS를 이용한 위험성분석이나 확률을 이용한 다양한 기법이 활용되고 있다. 특히, GIS를 이용한 기법은 광역적인 지역에 대하여 방대한 양의 자료를 효율적으로 처리 및 분석을 수행함으로서 사면재해 관련 연구에 폭 넓게 활용되고 있다 본 연구에서 사용된 무한사면해석기법은 사면재해의 발생여부와 관련요인간의 연관성에 대한 단순한 통계적인 분석에 의한 기존 기법의 한계점을 보완하고 사면재해발생과 관련된 역학적인 검토를 수행하기 위하여 제안되었다. 본 연구 결과에 의하면 사면재해가 발생했던 지점과의 비교를 농하여 지반이 완전히 포화된 경우, 즉 m=1인 경우 무한사면모델에서 불안정하다고 해석된 지역에서 전체 사면재해의 87.5%가 발생하였음을 보여주고 있어 사면재해에 대한 해석기법으로서의 착용가능성을 보여주고 있다.

ANN 및 SVM을 사용하여 투과 유량을 예측하는 동적 막 여과 공정 모델링 (Modeling of a Dynamic Membrane Filtration Process Using ANN and SVM to Predict the Permeate Flux)

  • 수피안 라데그;모하메드 무사우이;마마르 라이디;나지 물라이-모스테파
    • 멤브레인
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.34-45
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    • 2023
  • 본 연구에서는 투과 유량 모델을 개발하기 위하여, 시간, 막 전후의 압력 차, 회전 속도, 막의 기공 크기, 동점도, 농도 및 공급 유체의 밀도 등 7개의 입력 변수에 기반한 두 종류(ANN 및 SVM) 인공지능 기법을 이용하였다. 시행착오법과 실험데이터와 예측 데이터 간의 결정 계수(R2) 와 평균절대상대편차(AARD)를 포함한 두 가지 통계 변수를 통해 최적의 모델을 선정하였다. 최종적으로 얻어진 결과에서 최적화된 ANN 모델이 R2 = 0.999 및 AARD% = 2.245인 투과 플럭스 예측 정확도를 보여서, R2 = 0.996 및 AARD% = 4.09의 정확도를 보인 SVM 모델에 비해 더 정확함을 알 수 있었다. 또한, ANN 모델은 SVM 방식에 비해 투과 유속을 예측하는 능력도 더 높은 것으로 나타났다.

The gene expression programming method for estimating compressive strength of rocks

  • Ibrahim Albaijan;Daria K. Voronkova;Laith R. Flaih;Meshel Q. Alkahtani;Arsalan Mahmoodzadeh;Hawkar Hashim Ibrahim;Adil Hussein Mohammed
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제36권5호
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    • pp.465-474
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    • 2024
  • Uniaxial compressive strength (UCS) is a critical geomechanical parameter that plays a significant role in the evaluation of rocks. The practice of indirectly estimating said characteristics is widespread due to the challenges associated with obtaining high-quality core samples. The primary aim of this study is to investigate the feasibility of utilizing the gene expression programming (GEP) technique for the purpose of forecasting the UCS for various rock categories, including Schist, Granite, Claystone, Travertine, Sandstone, Slate, Limestone, Marl, and Dolomite, which were sourced from a wide range of quarry sites. The present study utilized a total of 170 datasets, comprising Schmidt hammer (SH), porosity (n), point load index (Is(50)), and P-wave velocity (Vp), as the effective parameters in the model to determine their impact on the UCS. The UCS parameter was computed through the utilization of the GEP model, resulting in the generation of an equation. Subsequently, the efficacy of the GEP model and the resultant equation were assessed using various statistical evaluation metrics to determine their predictive capabilities. The outcomes indicate the prospective capacity of the GEP model and the resultant equation in forecasting the unconfined compressive strength (UCS). The significance of this study lies in its ability to enable geotechnical engineers to make estimations of the UCS of rocks, without the requirement of conducting expensive and time-consuming experimental tests. In particular, a user-friendly program was developed based on the GEP model to enable rapid and very accurate calculation of rock's UCS, doing away with the necessity for costly and time-consuming laboratory experiments.