• 제목/요약/키워드: State-space

검색결과 3,330건 처리시간 0.033초

상태-공간 모형에서의 주가의 가성 평균-회귀 (Spurious Mean-Reversion of Stock Prices in the State-Space Model)

  • 최원혁;전덕빈;김동수;노재선
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.13-26
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    • 2011
  • In order to explain the U-shaped pattern of autocorrelations of stock returns i.e., autocorrelations starting around 0 for short-term horizons and becoming negative and then moving toward 0 for long-term horizons, researchers suggested the use of a state-space model consisting of an I(1) permanent component and an AR(1) stationary component, where the two components are assumed to be independent. They concluded that auto-regression coefficients derived from the state-space model follow a U-shape pattern and thus there is mean-reversion in stock prices. In this paper, we show that only negative autocorrelations are feasible under the assumption that the permanent component and the stationary component are independent in the state-space model. When the two components are allowed to be correlated in the state-space model, we show that the sign of the auto-regression coefficients is not restricted as negative. Monthly return data for all NYSE stocks for the period from 1926 to 2007 support the state-space model with correlated noise processes. However, the auto-regression coefficients of the ARIMA process, equivalent to the state-space model with correlated noise processes, do not follow a U-shaped pattern, but are always positive.

ShadowCam Instrument and Investigation Overview

  • Mark Southwick Robinson;Scott Michael Brylow;Michael Alan Caplinger;Lynn Marie Carter;Matthew John Clark;Brett Wilcox Denevi;Nicholas Michael Estes;David Carl Humm;Prasun Mahanti;Douglas Arden Peckham;Michael Andrew Ravine;Jacob Andrieu Schaffner;Emerson Jacob Speyerer;Robert Vernon Wagner
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • 제40권4호
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    • pp.149-171
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    • 2023
  • ShadowCam is a National Aeronautics and Space Administration Advanced Exploration Systems funded instrument hosted onboard the Korea Aerospace Research Institute (KARI) Korea Pathfinder Lunar Orbiter (KPLO) satellite. By collecting high-resolution images of permanently shadowed regions (PSRs), ShadowCam will provide critical information about the distribution and accessibility of water ice and other volatiles at spatial scales (1.7 m/pixel) required to mitigate risks and maximize the results of future exploration activities. The PSRs never see direct sunlight and are illuminated only by light reflected from nearby topographic highs. Since secondary illumination is very dim, ShadowCam was designed to be over 200 times more sensitive than previous imagers like the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter Camera Narrow Angle Camera (LROC NAC). ShadowCam images thus allow for unprecedented views into the shadows, but saturate while imaging sunlit terrain.

Dynamic Action Space Handling Method for Reinforcement Learning Models

  • Woo, Sangchul;Sung, Yunsick
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.1223-1230
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    • 2020
  • Recently, extensive studies have been conducted to apply deep learning to reinforcement learning to solve the state-space problem. If the state-space problem was solved, reinforcement learning would become applicable in various fields. For example, users can utilize dance-tutorial systems to learn how to dance by watching and imitating a virtual instructor. The instructor can perform the optimal dance to the music, to which reinforcement learning is applied. In this study, we propose a method of reinforcement learning in which the action space is dynamically adjusted. Because actions that are not performed or are unlikely to be optimal are not learned, and the state space is not allocated, the learning time can be shortened, and the state space can be reduced. In an experiment, the proposed method shows results similar to those of traditional Q-learning even when the state space of the proposed method is reduced to approximately 0.33% of that of Q-learning. Consequently, the proposed method reduces the cost and time required for learning. Traditional Q-learning requires 6 million state spaces for learning 100,000 times. In contrast, the proposed method requires only 20,000 state spaces. A higher winning rate can be achieved in a shorter period of time by retrieving 20,000 state spaces instead of 6 million.

Descriptor Type Linear Parameter Dependent System Modeling And Control of Lagrange Dynamics

  • Kang, Jin-Shik
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2003년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.444-448
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, the Lagrange dynamics is studied. A state space representation of Lagrange dynamics and control algorithm based on the state feedback pole placement are presented. The state space model presented is descriptor type linear parameter dependent system. It is shown that the control algorithms based on the linear system theory can be applicable to the state space representation of Lagrange dynamics. To show that the linear system theory can be applicable to the state space representation of Lagrange dynamics, the LMI based regional pole-placement design algorithm is developed and present two examples.

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상태 공간 모형에서의 모수 공간 제약 (Parameter Space Restriction in State-Space Model)

  • 전덕빈;김동수;박성호
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회 2006년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.169-172
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    • 2006
  • Most studies using state-space models have been conducted under the assumption of independently distributed noises in measurement and state equation without adequate verification of the assumption. To avoid the improper use of state-space model, testing the assumption prior to the parameter estimation of state-space model is very important. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the general relationship between parameters of state-space models and those of ARIMA processes. Under the assumption, we derive restricted parameter spaces of ARIMA(p,0,p-1) models with mutually different AR roots where $p\;{\le}\;5$. In addition, the results of ARIMA(p,0,p-1) case can be expanded to more general ARIMA models, such as ARIMA(p-1,0,p-1), ARIMA(p-1,1,p-1), ARIMA(p,0,p-2) and ARIMA(p-1,1,p-2).

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보완 필터의 상태 공간 표현식 유도 및 GPS/INS 수직채널 감쇄 루프 설계 (State-Space Representation of Complementary Filter and Design of GPS/INS Vertical Channel Damping Loop)

  • 박해리
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제14권8호
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    • pp.727-732
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, the state-space representation of generalized complimentary filter is proposed. Complementary filter has the suitable structure to merge information from sensors whose frequency regions are complementary. First, the basic concept and structure of complementary filter is introduced. And then the structure of the generalized filter and its state-space representation are proposed. The state-space representation of complementary filter is able to design the complementary filter by applying modern filtering techniques like Kalman filter and $H_{\infty}$ filter. To show the usability of the proposed state-space representation, the design of Inertial Navigation System(INS) vertical channel damping loop using Global Positioning System(GPS) is described. The proposed GPS/INS damping loop lends the structure of Baro/INS(Barometer/INS) vertical channel damping loop that is an application of complementary filter. GPS altitude error has the non-stationary statistics although GPS offers navigation information which is insensitive to time and place. Therefore, $H_{\infty}$ filtering technique is selected for adding robustness to the loop. First, the state-space representation of GPS/INS damping loop is acquired. And next the weighted $H_{\infty}$ norm proposed in order to suitably consider characteristics of sensor errors is used for getting filter gains. Simulation results show that the proposed filter provides better performance than the conventional vertical channel loop design schemes even when error statistics are unknown.

상태공간모형을 이용한 이자율 확률과정의 추정

  • 전덕빈;정우철
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회 2003년도 추계학술대회 및 정기총회
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    • pp.11-14
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    • 2003
  • The dynamics of unobservable short rate are frequently estimated directly by using a proxy. We estimate the biases resulting from this practice ("proxy problem"). To solve this problem, State-Space models have been proposed by many researchers. State-Space models have been used to estimate the unobservable variables from the observable variables in econometrics. However, applications of State-Space models often result in a misleading interpretation of the underlying processes especially when the absorbability of the State-Space model and the assumption of noise processes in the state vector are not properly considered. In this study, we propose the exact State-Space model that properly considers the faults of previous researchers to solve the proxy problem.

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Attitude control of space robots with a manipulator using time-state control form

  • Sampei, Mitsuji;Kiyota, Hiromitsu;Ishikawa, Masato
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1995년도 Proceedings of the Korea Automation Control Conference, 10th (KACC); Seoul, Korea; 23-25 Oct. 1995
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    • pp.468-471
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    • 1995
  • In this paper, we propose a new strategy for a space robot to control its attitude. A space robot is an example of a class of non-holonomic systems, a system of which cannot be stabilized into its equilibria with continuous static state feedbacks even in the case that the system is, in some sense, controllable. Thus, we cannot design stabilizing controllers for space robots using conventional control theories. The strategy presented here transforms the non-holonomic system into a time-state control form, and allows us to make the state of the original system any desired one. In the stabilization, any conventional control theory can be applied. For simplicity, a space robot with a two-link manipulator is considered, and a simulated motion of the controlled system is shown.

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