• Title/Summary/Keyword: Spatial Statistical Models

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Construction of Basin Scale Climate Change Scenarios by the Transfer Function and Stochastic Weather Generation Models (전이함수모형과 일기 발생모형을 이용한 유역규모 기후변화시나리오의 작성)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Seoh, Byung-Ha;Kim, Nam-Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.3 s.134
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    • pp.345-363
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    • 2003
  • From the General Circulation Models(GCMs), it is known that the increases of concentrations of greenhouse gases will have significant implications for climate change in global and regional scales. The GCM has an uncertainty in analyzing the meteorologic processes at individual sites and so the 'downscaling' techniques are used to bridge the spatial and temporal resolution gaps between what, at present, climate modellers can provide and what impact assessors require. This paper describes a method for assessing local climate change impacts using a robust statistical downscaling technique. The method facilitates the rapid development of multiple, low-cost, single-site scenarios of daily surface weather variables under current and future regional climate forcing. The construction of climate change scenarios based on spatial regression(transfer function) downscaling and on the use of a local stochastic weather generator is described. Regression downscaling translates the GCM grid-box predictions with coarse resolution of climate change to site-specific values and the values were then used to perturb the parameters of the stochastic weather generator in order to simulate site-specific daily weather values. In this study, the global climate change scenarios are constructed using the YONU GCM control run and transient experiments.

Analysis of Urban Heat Island Effect Using Information from 3-Dimensional City Model (3DCM) (3차원 도시공간정보를 이용한 도시열섬현상의 분석)

  • Chun, Bun-Seok;Kim, Hag-Yeol
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2010
  • Unlike the previous studies which have focused on 2-dimensional urban characteristics, this paper presents statistical models explaining urban heat island(UHI) effect by 3-dimensional urban morphologic information and addresses its policy implications. 3~dimensional informations of Columbus, Ohio arc captured from LiDAR data and building boundary informations are extracted from a building digital map, Finally NDV[ and temperature data are calculated by manipulating band 3, band 4, and thermal hand of LandSat images. Through complicated data processing, 6 independent variables(building surface area, building volume, height to width ratio, porosity, plan surface area) are introduced in simple and multiple linear regression models. The regression models are specified by Box-Tidwell method, finding the power to which the independent variable needs to raised to be in a linearity. Porosity, NDVI, and building surface area are carefully chosen as explanatory variables in the final multiple regression model, which explaining about 57% of the variability in temperatures. On reducing UHI, various implications of the results give guidelines to policy-making in open space, roof garden, and vertical garden management.

Regional Vulnerability Assessment of Invasive Alien Plants in Seoul and Gyeonggi Province (서울시 및 경기도의 생태계교란식물 취약지역 평가)

  • Park, Hyun-Chul;Lee, Gwan-Gyu;Lee, Jung-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2015
  • This study was conducted to develop an environmental index for assessing the vulnerability of areas with invasive alien plants. To that end, "Regional Vulnerability Numerical Index" (RVNI) was developed with a spatial statistical technique and applied to Seoul and Gyeonggi-do area first. The results are as follows. First, RVNI was high in stream areas. Second, RVNI was lowest in mountain areas. It indicates that stream areas are vulnerable to invasive alien plants. In terms of regions, Guri City is most vulnerable and Gapyeong-gun is the least vulnerable. To expand and manage the invasive alien plants, a control protocol should be developed by considering the physiology and ecology by invasive alien plant. Also, related policies should be pursued based on the results. Thus, the findings of this study can be used as baseline data for setting policies for invasive alien species management.

A Study on S.I.P(Shop Identity Program) Design method Task in Multi-used Shopping Complex. (복합상업공간의 점포 정위화 전략의 디자인 방법에 관한 연구)

  • 하재경
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.19 no.37
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    • pp.127-136
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    • 1996
  • Due to the development of technology, urbanization, industrialization, etd. at modern times, even the individual view of value has changed in variety. That means the change of each consumcer's life-style and even that of propensity to consume. In that regard, the modern, commercial space became to be increasingly included to specialization and complication. Such specialization and complication of the commercial space can be thought to be a positive response of enterprises to satisfy the needs or desire of consumers who become diversified. In this study, some new models in the method of the planning and designing of the S.I.P(Shop Identity Program). intended to research into as follows ; - As the background of the advent of the multi-used shopping complex, changes in consumer life-style and propensity to consume according to social and economical changes were intended to be studied through various statistical data literature. - For the study of the characteristics, constituent conditions, and planning operation of the future multi used shopping complex in the marketing aspect of enterprises, it was intended to study centered on the theory of consumer behavior and that of retail marketing. - In the process of the spatial design of the multi-used shopping complex, it was tried that a designing process to materialize a target of the discrimination and orderly arrangement of stores be progressed. In the process of materializing a target based on both corporate image and 'brand' image in designing.

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Probabilistic Analysis of the Stability of Soil Slopes (사면안정의 확률론적 해석)

  • Kim, Young Su
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.85-90
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    • 1988
  • A probabilistic model for the failure in a homogeneous soil slope is presented. The Safety of the slope is measured through its probability of failure rather than the customary factor of safety. The safety margin of slope failure is assumed to follow a normal distribution. Sources of uncertainties affecting characterization of soil property in a homogeneous soil layer include inherent spatial variability., estimation error from insufficient samples, and measurement errors. Uncertainties of the shear strength-along potential failure surface are expressed by one-dimensional random field models. The rupture surface, created at toe of a soil slope, has been considered to propagate towards the boundary along a path following an exponential (log-spiral) law. Having derived the statistical characteristics of the rupture surface and of the forces which act along it, the probability of failure of the slope was found. Finally the developed procedure has been applied in a case study to yield the reliability of a soil slope.

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Sensitivity Evaluation of Wind Fields in Surface Layer by WRF-PBL and LSM Parameterizations (WRF 모델을 이용한 지표층 바람장의 대기경계층 모수화와 지면모델 민감도 평가)

  • Seo, Beom-Keun;Byon, Jae-Young;Choi, Young-Jean
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.319-332
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    • 2010
  • Sensitivity experiments of WRF model using different planetary boundary layer (PBL) and land surface model (LSM) parameterizations are evaluated for prediction of wind fields within the surface layer. The experiments were performed with three PBL schemes (YSU, Pleim, MYJ) in combination with three land surface models (Noah, RUC, Pleim). The WRF model was conducted on a nested grid from 27-km to 1-km horizontal resolution. The simulations validated wind speed and direction at 10 m and 80 m above ground level at a 1-km spatial resolution over the South Korea. Statistical verification results indicate that Pleim and YSU PBL schemes are in good agreement with observations at 10 m above ground level, while the MYJ scheme produced predictions similar to the observed wind speed at 80 m above ground level. LSM comparisons indicate that the RUC model performs best in predicting 10-m and 80-m wind speed. It is found that MYJ (PBL) - RUC (LSM) simulations yielded the best results for wind field in the surface layer. The choice of PBL and LSM parameterization will contribute to more accurate wind predictions for air quality studies and wind power using WRF.

Improving Satellite Derived Soil Moisture Data Using Data Assimilation Methods (자료동화 기법을 이용한 위성영상 추출 토양수분 자료 개선)

  • Hwang, Soonho;Ryu, Jeong Hoon;Kang, Moon Seong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.152-152
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    • 2018
  • Soil moisture is a important factor in hydrologic analysis. So, if we have spatially distributed soil moisture data, it can help to study much research in a various field. Recently, there are a lot of satellite derived soil moisture data, and it can be served through web freely. Especially, NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Administration) launched the Soil Moisture Aperture Passive (SMAP) satellite for mapping global soil moisture on 31 January 2015. SMAP data have many advantages for study, for example, SMAP data has higher spatial resolution than other satellited derived data. However, becuase many satellited derived soil moisture data have a limitation to data accuracy, if we have ancillary materials for improving data accuracy, it can be used. So, in this study, after applying the alogorithm, which is data assimilation methods, applicability of satellite derived soil moisture data was analyzed. Among the various data assimilation methods, in this study, Model Output Statistics (MOS) technique was used for improving satellite derived soil moisture data. Model Output Statistics (MOS) is a type of statistical post-processing, a class of techniques used to improve numerical weather models' ability to forecast by relating model outputs to observational or additional model data.

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Detection and Forecast of Climate Change Signal over the Korean Peninsula (한반도 기후변화시그널 탐지 및 예측)

  • Sohn, Keon-Tae;Lee, Eun-Hye;Lee, Jeong-Hyeong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.705-716
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    • 2008
  • The objectives of this study are the detection and forecast of climate change signal in the annual mean of surface temperature data, which are generated by MRI/JMA CGCM over the Korean Peninsula. MRI/JMA CGCM outputs consist of control run data(experiment with no change of $CO_2$ concentration) and scenario run data($CO_2$ 1%/year increase experiment to quadrupling) during 142 years for surface temperature and precipitation. And ECMWF reanalysis data during 43 years are used as observations. All data have the same spatial structure which consists of 42 grid points. Two statistical models, the Bayesian fingerprint method and the regression model with autoregressive error(AUTOREG model), are separately applied to detect the climate change signal. The forecasts up to 2100 are generated by the estimated AUTOREG model only for detected grid points.

Building Boundary Extraction of Airborne LIDAR data by Image-Based and Point-Based Data Analysis (영상 및 점기반 자료처리에 의한 항공 라이다 자료의 건물경계추출)

  • Kim, Eui-Myoung
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.43-52
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    • 2009
  • LIDAR data, as the source of the 3D information of buildings, are used many modeling fields such as three-dimensional city models in urban planning and the visibility analysis of buildings. This study suggests a methodology, that is characterized by combining image-based and point-based process, for minimizing the user's intervention and automatically extracting building boundary only using the LIDAR data. Image processing methodology is firstly used to separate building and non-building regions from LIDAR data. Moreover, building regions are then classified main roof into remaining parts by the statistical analysis of height values, and the remaining parts are processed separately. Through the experimental results of study areas which exist many types of buildings, for example, apartment-type, stair-type, complex-type, etc. Approximately 90% building boundaries are automatically extracted by the proposed methodology.

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Development and Evaluation of Maximum-Likelihood Position Estimation with Poisson and Gaussian Noise Models in a Small Gamma Camera

  • Chung, Yong-Hyun;Park, Yong;Song, Tae-Yong;Jung, Jin-Ho;Gyuseong Cho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Medical Physics Conference
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    • 2002.09a
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    • pp.331-334
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    • 2002
  • It has been reported that maximum-likelihood position-estimation (MLPE) algorithms offer advantages of improved spatial resolution and linearity over conventional Anger algorithm in gamma cameras. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the performances of the noise models, Poisson and Gaussian, in MLPE for the localization of photons in a small gamma camera (SGC) using NaI(Tl) plate and PSPMT. The SGC consists of a single NaI(Tl) crystal, 10 cm diameter and 6 mm thick, optically coupled to a PSPMT (Hamamatsu R3292-07). The PSPMT was read out using a resistive charge divider, which multiplexes 28(X) by 28(Y) cross wire anodes into four channels. Poisson and Gaussian based MLPE methods have been implemented using experimentally measured light response functions. The system resolutions estimated by Poisson and Gaussian based MLPE were 4.3 mm and 4.0 mm, respectively. Integral uniformities were 29.7% and 30.6%, linearities were 1.5 mm and 1.0 mm and count rates were 1463 cps and 1388 cps in Poisson and Gaussian based MLPE, respectively. The results indicate that Gaussian based MLPE, which is convenient to implement, has better performances and is more robust to statistical noise than Poisson based MLPE.

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