• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.475-486
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• 2006

Space time series data can be viewed either as a set of time series collected simultaneously at a number of spatial locations or as sets of spatial data collected at a number of time points. The major purpose of this article is to formulate a class of space time autoregressive moving average (STARMA) model, to discuss some of the their statistical properties such as model identification approaches, some procedure for estimation and the predictions. For illustration, we apply this STARMA model to the mumps data. The data set of mumps cases consists of the number of cases of mumps reported from twelve states monthly over the years 1969-1988.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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• 2003.09a
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• pp.338-341
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• 2003

Recently, the chaotic method is employed to forecast a near future of uncertain phenomena. This method makes it possible by restructuring an attractor of given time-series data in multi-dimensional space through Takens' embedding theory. However, many economical time-series data are not sufficiently chaotic. In other words, it is hard to forecast the future trend of such economical data on the basis of chaotic theory. In this paper, time-series data are divided into wave components using wavelet transform. It is shown that some divided components of time-series data show much more chaotic in the sense of correlation dimension than the original time-series data. The highly chaotic nature of the divided component enables us to precisely forecast the value or the movement of the time-series data in near future. The up and down movement of TOPICS value is shown so highly predicted by this method as 70％.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• v.36 no.4
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• pp.283-292
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• 2019

The purpose of this study was to develop a period analysis algorithm for detecting new variable stars in the time-series data observed by charge coupled device (CCD). We used the data from a variable star monitoring program of the CBNUO. The R filter data of some magnetic cataclysmic variables observed for more than 20 days were chosen to achieve good statistical results. World Coordinate System (WCS) Tools was used to correct the rotation of the observed images and assign the same IDs to the stars included in the analyzed areas. The developed algorithm was applied to the data of DO Dra, TT Ari, RXSJ1803, and MU Cam. In these fields, we found 13 variable stars, five of which were new variable stars not previously reported. Our period analysis algorithm were tested in the case of observation data mixed with various fields of view because the observations were carried with 2K CCD as well as 4K CCD at the CBNUO. Our results show that variable stars can be detected using our algorithm even with observational data for which the field of view has changed. Our algorithm is useful to detect new variable stars and analyze them based on existing time-series data. The developed algorithm can play an important role as a recycling technique for used data

• Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.432-442
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• 2011

Climatic variables such as temperature and precipitation tend to vary both in space and in time simultaneously. Thus, it is necessary to include space-time autocorrelation into conventional spatial interpolation methods for reliable time-series mapping. This paper introduces and applies space-time variogram modeling and space-time kriging to generate time-series temperature maps using hourly Automatic Weather System(AWS) temperature observation data for a one-month period. First, temperature observation data are decomposed into deterministic trend and stochastic residual components. For trend component modeling, elevation data which have reasonable correlation with temperature are used as secondary information to generate trend component with topographic effects. Then, space-time variograms of residual components are estimated and modelled by using a product-sum space-time variogram model to account for not only autocorrelation both in space and in time, but also their interactions. From a case study, space-time kriging outperforms both conventional space only ordinary kriging and regression-kriging, which indicates the importance of using space-time autocorrelation information as well as elevation data. It is expected that space-time kriging would be a useful tool when a space-poor but time-rich dataset is analyzed.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.17-29
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• 2007

The major purpose of this article is the comparison of estimation method with Newton-Raphson, Kalman-filter, and prediction method with Kalman prediction. Conditional expectation in space time bilinear(STBL) model, which is a very powerful and parsimonious nonlinear time-series model for the space time series data can be viewed as a set of time series collected simultaneously at a number of spatial locations and time points, and which have appeared in a important applications areas: geography, geology, natural resources, ecology, epidemiology, etc.

• Journal of Welding and Joining
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• v.16 no.6
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• pp.86-96
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• 1998

This study proposes the analysis method of time series ultrasonic signal using the chaotic feature extraction for degradation extent evaluation. Features extracted from time series data using the chaotic time series signal analyze quantitatively degradation extent. For this purpose, analysis objective in this study is fractal dimension, lyapunov exponent, strange attractor on hyperspace. The lyapunov exponent is a measure of the rate at which nearby trajectories in phase space diverge. Chaotic trajectories have at least one positive lyapunov exponent. The fractal dimension appears as a metric space such as the phase space trajectory of a dynamical system. In experiment, fractal correlation) dimensions, lyapunov exponents, energy variation showed values of 2.217∼2.411, 0.097∼ 0.146, 1.601∼1.476 voltage according to degardation extent. The proposed chaotic feature extraction in this study can enhances precision ate of degradation extent evaluation from degradation extent results of the degraded materials (SA508 CL.3)

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 1993.10b
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• pp.18-23
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• 1993

In this paper, we attempt to estimate the state of a finite state system. In such system, we can observe time series data which has some significant behaviors corresponding to its system states. The behavior is characterized by feature parameters extracted from time series. Our thought is that the system output time series data is expressed as a sequence of behavior patterns which are represented by clusters in feature parameters space. An algorithm jointing fuzzy clustering to fuzzy finite state transition model is suggested.

• Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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• v.2
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• pp.635-638
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• 2006

Regression of conventional prediction techniques in data mining uses the model which is generated from the training step. This model is applied to new input data without any change. If this model is applied directly to time series, the rate of prediction accuracy will be decreased. This paper proposes an incremental regression for time series prediction like typhoon track prediction. This technique considers the characteristic of time series which may be changed over time. It is composed of two steps. The first step executes a fractional process for applying input data to the regression model. The second step updates the model by using its information as new data. Additionally, the model is maintained by only recent data in a queue. This approach has the following two advantages. It maintains the minimum information of the model by using a matrix, so space complexity is reduced. Moreover, it prevents the increment of error rate by updating the model over time. Accuracy rate of the proposed method is measured by RME(Relative Mean Error) and RMSE(Root Mean Square Error). The results of typhoon track prediction experiment are performed by the proposed technique IMLR(Incremental Multiple Linear Regression) is more efficient than those of MLR(Multiple Linear Regression) and SVR(Support Vector Regression).

• Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Technology Engineers
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.45-51
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• 2000

This study proposes that analysis and evaluation method of time series ultrasonic signal using the chaotic feature extrac-tion for degradation extent. Features extracted from time series data using the chaotic time series signal analyze quantitatively material degradation extent. For this purpose analysis objective in this study if fractal dimension lyapunov exponent and strange attractor on hyperspace. The lyapunov exponent is a measure of the rate at which nearby trajectories in phase space diverge. Chaotic trajectories have at least one positive lyapunov exponent. The fractal dimension appears as a metric space such as the phase space trajectory of a dynamical syste, In experiment fractal(correlation) dimensions and lyapunov experiments showed values of mean 3.837-4.211 and 0.054-0.078 in case of degradation material The proposed chaotic feature extraction in this study can enhances ultrasonic pattern recognition results from degrada-tion signals.

• 한국가시화정보학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2002.11a
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• pp.77-80
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• 2002

The recent 3D visualization such as volume rendering, iso-surface rendering or stream line visualization gives more understanding about structures or distribution of data in a space and, moreover, the real-time rendering of a scene enables the animation of time-series data. Because the meteorological data is frequently formed as multi-variables, 3-dimensional and time-series data, the spatial analysis, time-series analysis, vector display, and animation techniques can do important roles to get more understanding about data. In this research, our aim is to develop the 3-dimensional visualization techniques for meteorological data in the PC environment by using IDL. The visualization technology from :his research will be used as basic technology not only for the deeper understanding and the more exact prediction about meteorological environments but also for the scientific and spatial data visualization research in any field from which three-dimensional data comes out such as oceanography, earth science, or aeronautical engineering.