• 제목/요약/키워드: Simulation Scenario

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Power System Harmonic Estimation Based on Park Transform

  • Chen, Ya;Ji, Tianyao;Li, Mengshi;Wu, Qinghua;Wang, Xuejian
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.560-574
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    • 2016
  • This paper presents a novel method for power system harmonic estimation based on the Park transform. The proposed method firstly extends the signal to a group of three-phase signals in a-b-c coordinate. Then, a linear fitting based method is adopted to estimate the fundamental frequency. Afterwards, the Park transform is utilized to convert the three-phase signals from a-b-c coordinate to d-q-0 coordinate. Finally, the amplitude and phase of a harmonic component of interest can be calculated using the d-axis and q-axis components obtained. Simulation studies have been conducted using matrix laboratory (MATLAB) and power system computer aided design/electromagnetic transients including direct current (PSCAD/EMTDC). Simulation studies in MATLAB have considered three scenarios, i.e., no-frequency-deviation scenario, frequency-deviation scenario and the scenario in the presence of inter-harminics. The results have demonstrated that the proposed method achieves very high accuracy in frequency, phase and amplitude estimation under noisy conditions, and suffers little influence of the inter-harmonics. Moreover, comparison studies have proved that the proposed method is superior to FFT and Interpolated FFT with the Hanning Window (IpFFTHW). Finally, a popular case in PSCAD/EMTDC has been employed to further verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.

격자 해상도에 따른 EFDC의 새만금호 모의 (The Comparison of Grid Resolutions using EFDC in Saemangeum Reservoir)

  • 신유리;장정렬;최정훈;조영권
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제28권5호
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    • pp.646-656
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    • 2012
  • This study area was Saemangeum Reservoir in Korea and the applied model was Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code(EFDC). It was the same as the scenarios to the boundary and initial conditions except the resolutions of the model grids. The resolutions were about 800 and 2,000 cells. It was considered scenario 1 and 2. The model was performed to simulate the water temperature, salinity, water quality parameters such as dissolved oxygen(DO), chemical oxygen demand(COD), total nitrogen(T-N), and total phosphorus(T-P) at 2008. The simulation results of the two scenarios were reflected in the trend of observed data tolerably. However, water flow, water temperature, and salinity showed high confidence level at the scenario 1. The water quality items did not present high confidence level at the scenario 1 because which concept was considered to biochemical and physical processes. This result shows that grid resolution has an influence on the water transport and the effect is reflected directly shallow and narrow water area. But, the selection of grid resolution should be considered the purpose of model simulation and the process of target items.

도시철도차량의 가변편성을 고려한 고무완충기의 임계속도 평가 (An Evaluation of Critical Speed for Draft Gear using Variable Formation EMU)

  • 조정길;김용욱;한재현;최정균;서경수;구정서
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제34권5호
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    • pp.139-143
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we tried to derive the most severe scenario and its critical speed by 1-D collision simulation with a variable formation vehicle in order to prepare for the change of demand in Seoul Metropolitan Subway Line 3, which is operated by fixed arrangement. After establishing various collision scenario conditions, the friction coefficient between the wheel and the rail was evaluated as 0.3, which is considered to be severe. As a result of analysis according to all scenarios, the most severe scenario conditions were confirmed by comparing rubber shock absorber performance and vehicle collision deceleration. In addition, a typical wheel-rail friction coefficient was derived through accident cases, and the analysis was performed again and compared. Finally, the criterion of the critical speed in the condition of the friction coefficient of the normal wheel - rail condition was confirmed.

The COVID-19 and Stock Return Volatility: Evidence from South Korea

  • Pyo, Dong-Jin
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.205-230
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    • 2021
  • This study examines the impact of the number of coronavirus cases on regime-switching in stock return volatility. This study documents the empirical evidence that the COVID-19 cases had an asymmetric effect on the regime of stock return volatility. When the stock return is in the low volatility regime, the probability of switching to the high volatility regime in the next trading day increases as the number of cumulative cases increases. In contrast, in the high volatility regime, the effect of cumulative cases on the transition probability is not statistically significant. This study also documents the evidence that the government measures against the pandemic contribute to promoting the high volatility regime of the KOSPI during the pandemic. Besides, this study projects future stock prices through the Monte Carlo simulation based on the estimated parameters and the predicted number of the COVID-19 new cases. Under a scenario where the number of new cases rapidly increases, stock price indices in Korea are expected to be in a downward trend over the next three months. On the other hand, under the moderate scenario and the best scenario, the stock indices are likely to continue to rise.

2016년 경주지진 원인단층의 시나리오 지진에 의한 국내 광역도시 지진관측소에서의 추계학적 강진동 모사 (Stochastic Strong Ground Motion Simulation at South Korean Metropolises' Seismic Stations Based on the 2016 Gyeongju Earthquake Causative Fault)

  • 최호선
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.233-240
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    • 2021
  • The stochastic method is applied to simulate strong ground motions at seismic stations of seven metropolises in South Korea, creating an earthquake scenario based on the causative fault of the 2016 Gyeongju earthquake. Input parameters are established according to what has been revealed so far for the causative fault of the Gyeongju earthquake, while the ratio of differences in response spectra between observed and simulated strong ground motions is assumed to be an adjustment factor. The calculations confirm the applicability and reproducibility of strong ground motion simulations based on the relatively small bias in response spectra between observed and simulated strong ground motions. Based on this result, strong ground motions by a scenario earthquake on the causative fault of the Gyeongju earthquake with moment magnitude 6.5 are simulated, assuming that the ratios of its fault length to width are 2:1, 3:1, and 4:1. The results are similar to those of the empirical Green's function method. Although actual site response factors of seismic stations should be supplemented later, the simulated strong ground motions can be used as input data for developing ground motion prediction equations and input data for calculating the design response spectra of major facilities in South Korea.

Preliminary strong ground motion simulation at seismic stations within nuclear power plant sites in South Korea by a scenario earthquake on the causative fault of 2016 Gyeongju earthquake

  • Choi, Hoseon
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권7호
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    • pp.2529-2539
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    • 2022
  • Stochastic and an empirical Green's function (EGF) methods are preliminarily applied to simulate strong ground motions (SGMs) at seismic stations within nuclear power plant (NPP) sites in South Korea by an assumed large earthquake with MW6.5 (scenario earthquake) on the causative fault of the 2016 Gyeongju earthquake with MW5.5 (mainshock). In the stochastic method, a ratio of spectral amplitudes of observed and simulated waveforms for the mainshock is assumed to be an adjustment factor. In the EGF method, SGMs by the mainshock are simulated assuming SGMs by the 2016 Gyeongju earthquake with MW5.0 (foreshock) as the EGF. To simulate SGMs by the scenario earthquake, a ratio of fault length to width is assumed to be 2:1 in the stochastic method, and SGMs by the mainshock are assumed to be EGF in the EGF method. The results are similar based on a bias of the simulated response spectra by the two methods, and the simulated response spectra by the two methods exceeded commonly standard design response spectra anchored at 0.3 g of NPP sites slightly at a frequency band above 4 Hz, but considerable attention to interpretation is required since it is an indirect comparison.

Performance analyses of naval ships based on engineering level of simulation at the initial design stage

  • Jeong, Dong-Hoon;Roh, Myung-Il;Ham, Seung-Ho;Lee, Chan-Young
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.446-459
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    • 2017
  • Naval ships are assigned many and varied missions. Their performance is critical for mission success, and depends on the specifications of the components. This is why performance analyses of naval ships are required at the initial design stage. Since the design and construction of naval ships take a very long time and incurs a huge cost, Modeling and Simulation (M & S) is an effective method for performance analyses. Thus in this study, a simulation core is proposed to analyze the performance of naval ships considering their specifications. This simulation core can perform the engineering level of simulations, considering the mathematical models for naval ships, such as maneuvering equations and passive sonar equations. Also, the simulation models of the simulation core follow Discrete EVent system Specification (DEVS) and Discrete Time System Specification (DTSS) formalisms, so that simulations can progress over discrete events and discrete times. In addition, applying DEVS and DTSS formalisms makes the structure of simulation models flexible and reusable. To verify the applicability of this simulation core, such a simulation core was applied to simulations for the performance analyses of a submarine in an Anti-SUrface Warfare (ASUW) mission. These simulations were composed of two scenarios. The first scenario of submarine diving carried out maneuvering performance analysis by analyzing the pitch angle variation and depth variation of the submarine over time. The second scenario of submarine detection carried out detection performance analysis by analyzing how well the sonar of the submarine resolves adjacent targets. The results of these simulations ensure that the simulation core of this study could be applied to the performance analyses of naval ships considering their specifications.

DEVS 통합개발환경 기반 모의 어뢰 표적탐지부 연동장비 개발 (Development of Torpedo Target Detection Section Interface Simulation System based on DEVS Integrated Development Environment)

  • 이민규;황근철;이동훈;나영인;김우식
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2015
  • 무기체계의 합리적인 요구사항 도출을 위해서는 많은 경험과 시행착오가 필요하지만, 현실적으로는 개발 비용과 위험 등의 이유로 M&S를 통한 접근이 일반적이다. 무기체계 획득 이외에도, 개발된 무기체계의 분석 또는 훈련을 목적으로도 M&S가 광범위하게 사용되고 있다. 국방과학연구소에서는 이러한 M&S의 필요성을 충족시키기 위해 모의실험 및 체계분석 구현에 필요한 M&S 공통기반기술 제공을 목적으로 해군 전투실험을 위한 DEVS 통합개발환경(QUEST)을 개발하였다. 본 논문에서는 모의 어뢰 표적탐지부 연동 아키텍처를 설계하고, QUEST의 무기체계 시뮬레이션 기능을 활용하여 모의 어뢰 표적탐지부 연동장비를 개발하였다. 모의 어뢰 표적탐지부 연동장비는 표적탐지 결과를 제공하는 어뢰 표적탐지부와 어뢰 표적탐지부의 성능 시험에서 필요한 시뮬레이션 시나리오를 제공하는 QUEST 시나리오 발생기로 구성된다. 모의 어뢰 표적탐지부 연동 아키텍처는 QUEST 시나리오 발생기와 어뢰 표적탐지부와의 연동을 통해 어뢰 표적탐지부의 성능 및 인터페이스를 검증할 수 있도록 설계되었다.

한국형 고속전철 차체의 충돌안전도 평가 연구 (An Evaluation of Crashworthiness for the car-bodies of KHST)

  • 노규석;구정서;송달호
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2001년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.223-228
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, crashworthiness of the KHST carbodies is evaluated by numerical simulation under the SNCF accident scenario (collision against a movable rigid mass of 15 ton at 110 kph) and the scenario of train-to-train collision at 30 kph. The numerical results of the several simulations, such as the accident collided against a deformable dump truck of 15 tons at 110 kph, the driver's dummy analysis using the integrated analysis method, and the accident of train-to-train collision for the first three units at 30 kph, show good performances in the viewpoint of energy absorption and survival space.

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어린이와 청소년의 비알콜성음료 섭취에 따른 다량무기질 섭취량 평가: 제 4기 국민건강영양조사 자료를 활용하여 (Macromineral intake in non-alcoholic beverages for children and adolescents: Using the Fourth Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES IV, 2007-2009))

  • 김성단;문현경;박주성;이용철;신기영;조한빈;김복순;김정헌;채영주
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
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    • 제46권1호
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    • pp.50-60
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구는 단위 체중 당 비알콜성음료 섭취량이 가장 높았던 1~19세의 어린이 및 청소년을 대상으로 비알콜성음료를 통한 다량무기질의 추정식이섭취량을 산출하여 평가하고자, 음료, 액상커피 및 액상차의 다량무기질의 실측치와 제4기 국민건강영양조사 중 영양조사 (조사 1일 전 식품섭취내용, 24시간 회상법)의 섭취량을 이용하였다. 이를 위하여 어린이 및 청소년 6,082명 전체의 비알콜성음료의 평균소비자와 극단소비자의 비알콜성음료 섭취량을 파악하기위하여 평균, 95percentile 및 분포를 적용한 경우 (scenario I)와 비알콜성음료를 섭취한 어린이와 청소년 1,074명의 섭취량 평균, 95percentile 및 분포를 적용한 경우 (scenario II)로 나누어 살펴보았다. 다량무기질인 나트륨, 칼슘, 인의 위해성평가는 추정식이섭취량과 한국인 영양섭취기준의 목표섭취량 (2.0 g/day) 및 상한섭취량 (칼슘: 2,500 mg/day, 인: 3,000~3,500 mg/day)을 비교하여 %Goal, %UL값으로 위해성 평가를 하였다. 이 때 위해도 평가방법은 평균과 95th percentile을 이용하는 단일값평가와 point value를 사용하는 경우에 발생할 수 있는 불확실성을 최소화하기 위하여 각 변수의 확률밀도함수(Probabilistic Density Functions, PDFs)를 이용한 Monte Carlo simulation을 실시하여 확률평가를 하였다. 연구결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 1) Scenario I의 비알콜성 음료의 평균 및 95th percentile 섭취량은 $74.4{\pm}2.2$, 404.7 g/day로 극단섭취자는 평균섭취자에 비해 5.4배 더 많은 양을 섭취하였다. Scenario II의 평균 및 95th percentile 섭취량은 $265.4{\pm}5.8$, 662.0 g/day로, 극단섭취자는 평균섭취자에 비해 2.5배 더 많은 양을 섭취하였다. 또한 Scenario II의 평균섭취자는 scenario I의 평균섭취자에 비해 3.6배 더 많은 양을 섭취하였으며, scenario II의 극단섭취자는 scenario I의 극단섭취자에 비해 1.6배 더 많은 양을 섭취하였다. 2) 비알콜성음료에 존재하는 다량무기질의 분포는 마그네슘을 제외하고 대부분 왼쪽으로 기울어진 분포를 나타내었다. 비알콜성음료 섭취량 분포는 scenario I에서는 대부분 Logistic 분포를 나타내었으나, scenario II 경우에는 왼쪽으로 기울어진 Max Extreme분포가 되었다. 3) Scenario I에서 확률평가한 다량무기질의 평균 EDI는 나트륨 7.93, 칼슘 10.92, 인 6.73, 칼륨 23.41, 마그네슘 1.11 mg/day였으며, 95th percentile EDI는 나트륨 28.02, 칼슘 44.86, 인 27.43, 칼륨 98.14, 마그네슘 3.87 mg/day이였다. 다량무기질은 목표섭취량이 설정되어있는 나트륨과 상한섭취량이 설정되어있는 칼슘 및 인에 대해서만 위해성 평가를 하였으며 그 결과를 살펴보면, 확률평가한 나트륨의 평균 % Goal은 0.39, 칼슘 및 인의 평균 %UL은 각각 0.43, 0.19이며, 나트륨의 95th percentile %Goal은 2.56, 칼슘 및 인의 95th percentile %UL은 각각 3.71, 1.60이였다. Scenario II에서 확률평가한 다량 무기질의 평균 EDI는 나트륨 19.10, 칼슘 25.77, 인 15.83, 칼륨 56.56, 마그네슘 2.68 mg/day이였으며, 95th percentile EDI는 나트륨 62.67, 칼슘 101.95, 인 62.09, 칼륨 227.92, 마그네슘 8.67 mg/day였다. 확률평가한 나트륨의 평균 %Goal은 0.95, 칼슘 및 인의 평균 %UL은 각각 1.03, 0.45이였으며, 나트륨의 95th percentile %Goal은 3.12, 칼슘 및 인의 평균 %UL은 각각 4.08, 1.75였다. 4) 비알콜성음료 섭취를 통한 다량무기질 중 나트륨, 칼슘, 인의 노출수준은 목표섭취량과 상한섭취량을 초과하는 인구집단은 없는 것으로 나타났으며, Scenario I II에서 나트륨, 칼슘, 인의 평균 및 95th percentile %Goal 및 %UL은 모두 5 이내로 낮은 수준이였다.