• 제목/요약/키워드: Simulation Scenario

검색결과 1,068건 처리시간 0.023초

Electricity mix scenarios simulation for Korean carbon neutrality in 2050

  • Pilhyeon Ju;Sungyeol Choi;Jongho Lee
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제56권8호
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    • pp.3369-3377
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    • 2024
  • As the realization of carbon neutrality has been a main assignment for coping with the global climate change, it became necessary to analyze upcoming changes in electricity mix with economic and technical viewpoints. This paper presents a newly-developed simulation model that reflects the daily intermittency of renewable energy by applying daily average power supply-demand patterns for each season. Also, the paper provides an economic analysis in the viewpoint of investment cost, annual cost and power generation cost by utilizing the calculations from the simulation model. Four scenarios are selected for the analyses, one based on the Korean Government's 2050 Carbon Neutrality Scenario and three Nuclear Power Build-up scenarios, which are newly suggested by the authors. The simulation results show that the increase of nuclear energy from 5.7% of Government's Scenario to 37.7% of the proposed Nuclear Power Build-up Scenario leads to the decrease of about 704 billion US$ in investment cost and about 181 billion US$ in annual cost; with reduction in the increase of 2050 expected generation cost from 3.1 to 1.6 times compared with the referenced 2021 average cost. Further, this study has significance in performing the economic analysis with the expected daily power supply-demand patterns in 2050.

차세대에너지시스템 구축을 위한 친환경 도시계획 시나리오 검토 (An Analysis of Examination of Eco-City Planning Scenario for Constructing Urban Integrated Energy System)

  • 여인애;이정재;윤성환
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국태양에너지학회 2009년도 추계학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.181-184
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    • 2009
  • This study aimed at framing alternative urban planning scenarios reflecting urban planning factors, performing urban climate simulation and evaluating eco-friend and low energy characteristics of each scenario on the viewpoint of urban temperature and energy savings on the target of the costal city including Haeundae District in Busan The results are as follows. 1)The fact that urban higher temperature is approximately 2.5 times higher in the building constructed area than whole urban area was represented severe higher temperature phenomenon in the built-up area. Ground greening, water scenario and soil scenario could be expected peek air temperature alleviating effect in order. Especially water scenario had significant effect(maximum $2.5^{\circ}C$) on lowering of air temperature.

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국방 시뮬레이션에서 무기효과 데이터 획득을 위한 MSDL의 확장 (An Extension of MSDL for Obtaining Weapon Effectiveness Data in a Military Simulation)

  • 이상진;오현식;김도형;이예림;이순주
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2021
  • 국방 모델링 및 시뮬레이션에서 교전상황을 모의할 때 바람의 방향이나 세기, 온도, 장애물과 같은 다양한 요소들이 탄의 명중률에 영향을 줄 수 있다. 이러한 요소는 명중확률 값과 표적의 탄착위치에 영향을 줄 수 있기 때문에, 신뢰성 있는 무기효과 데이터를 얻기 위해서는 이러한 요소들을 고려해야 한다. 본 연구는 신뢰성 있는 무기효과 데이터 계산을 위한 시나리오 설정을 위해 군사 시나리오 정의 언어인 MSDL(Military Scenario Definition Language)의 확장을 제안한다. 기존 MSDL의 요소 중 무기효과 데이터를 산출과 관리에 영향을 주는 요소인 시나리오 식별자(ScenarioID), 환경(Environment), 조직(Organizations), 그리고 설치(Installations)의 하위에 일부 요소를 추가하고, 해당 무기효과 데이터를 효율적으로 획득하기 위하여 적용하기 위하여 교전결과 처리 요소(DamageAssessment)와 실험계획 요소(DesignOfExperiments)를 추가하였다. 확장된 MSDL을 사용한 시뮬레이션 시나리오는 무기효과 데이터 산출을 위한 실험 시나리오 설정에서 교전에 영향을 주는 요소를 쉽게 반영할 수 있다. 확장된 MDSL은 무기체계 효과분석을 위한 실행환경인 AddSIM 4.0의 시나리오 설정 기능으로 반영되었으며, 이는 신뢰성 있는 무기효과 데이터 산출에 활용될 것이다.

중일정계획을 고려한 선체 생산설계 작업할당 시뮬레이션 (Job Assignment Simulation of Ship Hull Production Design in Consideration of Mid-Term Schedule)

  • 손명조;김태완
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제50권5호
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    • pp.334-342
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we analyze the procedure of the design manager for the enhancement of the hull production design process by use of the simulation method. Normally, design manager assigns design jobs according to various methods and estimates the corresponding results. When the construction drawing which is the output of the detail design where a design is dealt by zones, the design manager identifies blocks and analyzes their work difficulties, and assigns jobs to design engineers who are different in capabilities. These processes including the design engineer who can be modeled with man-hours evaluation model are represented in detail as a simulation model. As the high-level modeling for the discrete-event system, we use Event Graph model. And we implemented the simulation using Simkit which is open simulation engine for the discrete-event system. We made the simulation scenario to be written by a user in the scenario generator which is separated from the simulation model, and made the simulation result to be visualized in the form of Gantt chart in a Web. In the scenario of the irregular issuance for various construction drawings which contain different numbers of blocks, we performed the Monte-Carlo simulation according to various assignment methods to find the assignment result that satisfies the mid-term schedule.

시뮬레이션에서의 간호대학생의 임상적 판단 기술 분석: Tanner의 Clinical Judgment Model을 적용하여 (Nursing Students' Clinical Judgment Skills in Simulation: Using Tanner's Clinical Judgment Model)

  • 김은정
    • 한국간호교육학회지
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.212-222
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the nursing students' clinical judgment skills in simulation using Tanner's Clinical Judgment Model. Method: Forty-five teams of a total 93 nursing students participated in a post-operative patient care scenario using human patient simulator. Data were collected from students' responses in scenario and guided reflective journaling according to the framework of Tanner's model which comprised noticing, interpreting, responding, and reflecting on response. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics. Results: The students' responses of the situation were in accordance with the goals of scenario, i.e. relieving patient' pain and preventing pulmonary complications. However, most of students needed clinical cues and focused on a given clue to solve the issues. They were lack of ability to collect additional information as well as connect the relevant clues in simulated clinical situation. Conclusion: The nursing students have difficulty in what they notice, how they interpret finding, and respond appropriately to the situation. The simulation training using Tanner's model could provide faculty and nursing students with an effective teaching and learning strategy to develop the clinical judgment skills.

Stationary Distribution for the Mobilities in Catastrophe Rescue Scenario

  • Wang, Yong;Peng, Wei;Dou, Qiang;Gong, Zhenghu
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.308-326
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    • 2013
  • Mobility Model has drawn more and more attentions since its critical role in Mobile Wireless Networks performance evaluation. This paper analyzes the mobility patterns in the catastrophe rescue scenario, and proposes the Random Waypoint with Base Point mobility model to model these characteristics. We mathematically analyze the speed and spatial stationary distributions of the nodes and derive explicit expressions for the one dimensional case. In order to keep the stationary distribution through the entire simulation procedure, we provide strategies to initialize the speed, location and destination of the nodes at the beginning of the simulation. The simulation results verify the derivations and the proposed methods in this paper. This work gives a deep understanding of the properties of the Random Waypoint with Base Point mobility model and such understanding is necessary to avoid misinterpretation of the simulation results. The conclusions are of practical value for performance analysis of mobile wireless networks, especially for the catastrophe rescue scenario.

국내 성능위주설계의 시행현황 분석 - 화재시나리오 및 시뮬레이션을 중심으로 (Analysis on the Implementation Status of Domestic PBD (Performance Based Design) - Focusing on the Fire Scenario and Simulation)

  • 안성호;문선여;류일현;최준호;황철홍
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제32권5호
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    • pp.32-40
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    • 2017
  • The current status of Performance-Based Design (PBD) implemented in 4 wide areas (Seoul, Gyeonggi, Incheon and Busan) over the past 5 years was reviewed with regard to the number of PBD implementation and target buildings. Then, detailed status related to fire scenarios, input information for fire simulation, and grid size were analyzed with the pre-review for the PBD. As a result, the domestic PBD was mainly applied to the mixed occupancy. In the fire simulations performed on the identical fire scenario and fire space, the maximum heat release rate (HRR) varied significantly depending on the PBD designer. Various combustibles were also considered for the identical fire source, and their combustion properties also showed considerable uncertainty. In addition, the applicability of accurate input information for predictive models of heat and smoke detectors was examined. Finally, the average grid size for the fire simulation using Fire Dynamics Simulator (FDS) was analyzed, and the improvement of PBD to minimize designer dependency was proposed.

방탈출카페의 성능위주설계에 의한 피난안전성 확대 방안 (Measures to Increase Evacuation Safety through Performance-Based Design of Escape Room Cafes)

  • 이홍상;이재영;공하성
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.95-104
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to propose measures to increase evacuation safety by calculating the habitable time using a fire and evacuation simulation program for the Room-escape cafe currently in operation, and comparing and analyzing it with the evacuation required time. Assuming a fire due to overheating of electric heaters in use in front of the warehouse, the habitable time was calculated through fire simulation, and the occupant's evacuation time calculated through evacuation simulation according installation of safety facilities, etc. was compared and analyzed with the habitable time. In the case of escape room cafes with safety facilities installed, evacuation safety was satisfied, but in escape room cafes without safety facilities, the evacuation safety was not secure. As a result of analyzing evacuation safety for each scenario based on the ASET analyzed in the fire simulation, it was found that in scenario 1, evacuation safety was secured and everyone successfully evacuated, while in scenario 2, no one succeeded in evacuation. These results can be said to confirm that the installation of safety facilities is very important in business establishments such as escape room cafes, which become enclosed structures when games are started.

사이버공격에 의한 임무영향 분석 도구를 이용한 통합시나리오 저작 방법 (Integrated Scenario Authoring Method using Mission Impact Analysis Tool due to Cyber Attacks)

  • 김용현;김동화;이동환;김주엽;안명길
    • 인터넷정보학회논문지
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.107-117
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    • 2023
  • 사이버 공간에서 이루어지는 전투 행위가 군의 주요 임무체계 및 무기체계에 어떠한 영향을 미치는지를 평가할 수 있어야 한다. 사이버공격에 의한 임무영향을 사이버 M&S로 분석하기 위해서는 대상이 되는 임무체계와 사이버전 요소를 모델로 구축하고, 시뮬레이션을 위한 시나리오를 저작하여야 한다. 사이버전에 의한 임무영향 분석 관련 연구는 미국을 중심으로 많은 연구가 수행되었으며, 기존의 연구에서는 물리전장과 사이버전장에 대해 별개로 시나리오를 저작하였다. 임무영향 분석의 정확도를 높이기 위해서는 물리전장 모델과 사이버전장 모델을 결합한 시뮬레이션 환경을 구축하고, 임무 시나리오와 사이버공격/방어 시나리오를 통합해서 저작할 수 있어야 한다. 또한 물리전장과 사이버전장은 업무영역이 상이함을 고려하여 시나리오를 효율적으로 저작할 수 있는 방법이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 임무체계 정보를 이용하여 시나리오 저작에 필요한 자료를 사전에 작성하고, 선작업된 자료를 이용하여 통합시나리오를 저작하는 방법을 제안한다. 제안한 방법은 시나리오 저작도구의 설계에 반영하여 개발하고 있으며, 제안 방법을 입증하기 위해 대화력전 분야의 통합시나리오 저작을 수행하였다. 향후, 제안한 방법을 반영한 시나리오 저작도구를 활용하면 임무영향 분석을 위한 통합시나리오를 짧은 시간에 쉽게 저작할 수 있게 될 것이다.

조선 선체 생산설계 일정 계획을 위한 상세 이산사건 모델링기반 비즈니스 프로세스 시뮬레이션 (High-level Discrete-event Modeling-based Business Process Simulation for the Scheduling of the Ship Hull Production Design)

  • 손명조;김태완
    • 한국CDE학회논문집
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.224-233
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    • 2013
  • For the scheduling and the job assignment of the ship hull production design which is a process-based work, we suggest the simulation-based scheduling using the discrete-event-based business process simulation. First, we analyze the ship hull production design process from the perspective of a job assignment to make it into the simulation model using DEVS (Discrete Event System Specification) which is the representative modeling method for a discrete-event simulation. Based on the APIs of the open-source discrete-event simulation engine, we implement the simulation using the Groovy script. We develop the scenario generator in which the user defines detail information of the construction drawing and its member blocks, and design engineers information, and the various setting for the simulation including the job assignment strategy. We use the XML files from this scenario generator as inputs of simulation so that we can get simulation result in forms of Gantt chart without changes of the simulation model.