• Title/Summary/Keyword: Short-Term Development

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The Effect of an Improvement Service for Child Cognitive Ability Aimed at the Development of linguistic Ability in Children between the Ages of 3-6 Years : An Evaluation for Short-term Effectiveness (아동인지능력향상서비스가 만 3-6세 아동의 언어능력 발달에 미치는 영향 : 단기효과성 평가 연구)

  • Lee, Bong-Joo;Kim, Nang-Hee;Kim, Hyun-Min
    • Korean Journal of Child Studies
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.107-123
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study was to evaluate the short term effectiveness of a cognitive ability improvement service for children, which is one of the 'Investment activities for Local Community Services' conducted by the Ministry for Health and Welfare. Results indicate that the longer the period of using cognitive improvement services for children, the more positively significant influence there is on their language abilities in terms of comprehension, expression, and reading-writing. Furthermore, these influences are stronger in children of low-income families than in children from higher income families. Certainly, this type of service improves infants' language abilities regardless of the income level of their families.

Characteristics of Short-Term Creep Rupture in STS304 Steels (STS304강의 단시간 크리프 파단특성 평가)

  • Kim, Seon-Jin;Kong, Yu-Sik
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.28-33
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    • 2007
  • The objective of this paper is to investigate the relationship between the short-term creep rupture time and the creep rupture properties at three different elevated temperatures in STS304 stainless steel. Uniaxial constant stress creep rupture tests were performed on the steel to observe the creep rupture behaviors at the elevated temperatures of 600, 650 and 700, according to the testing matrix. It is very important to predict creep life in practical creep design problems. As one of the series of studies on the statistical modelling of probabilistic creep rupture time and the development of creep life prediction techniques, the relationship between applied stress and creep rupture behaviors, such as creep strain rate and rupture time, were investigated. In addition, the Monkman-Grant relationship was observed between the steady-state creep rate and the creep rupture time. The creep rupture surfaces observed by SEM showed up dimple phenomenon at all conditions.

LSTM Model based on Session Management for Network Intrusion Detection (네트워크 침입탐지를 위한 세션관리 기반의 LSTM 모델)

  • Lee, Min-Wook
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2020
  • With the increase in cyber attacks, automated IDS using machine learning is being studied. According to recent research, the IDS using the recursive learning model shows high detection performance. However, the simple application of the recursive model may be difficult to reflect the associated session characteristics, as the overlapping session environment may degrade the performance. In this paper, we designed the session management module and applied it to LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) recursive model. For the experiment, the CSE-CIC-IDS 2018 dataset is used and increased the normal session ratio to reduce the association of mal-session. The results show that the proposed model is able to maintain high detection performance even in the environment where session relevance is difficult to find.

Development of System Marginal Price Forecasting Method Using ARIMA Model (ARIMA 모형을 이용한 계통한계가격 예측방법론 개발)

  • Kim Dae-Yong;Lee Chan-Joo;Jeong Yun-Won;Park Jong-Bae;Shin Joong-Rin
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.55 no.2
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    • pp.85-93
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    • 2006
  • Since the SMP(System Marginal Price) is a vital factor to the market participants who intend to maximize the their profit and to the ISO(Independent System Operator) who wish to operate the electricity market in a stable sense, the short-term marginal price forecasting should be performed correctly. In an electricity market the short-term market price affects considerably the short-term trading between the market entities. Therefore, the exact forecasting of SMP can influence on the profit of market participants. This paper presents a new methodology for a day-ahead SMP forecasting using ARIMA(Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) model based on the time-series method. And also the correction algorithm is proposed to minimize the forecasting error in order to improve the efficiency and accuracy of the SMP forecasting. To show the efficiency and effectiveness of the proposed method, the case studies are performed using historical data of SMP in 2004 published by KPX(Korea Power Exchange).

Development of Deep Learning Models for Multi-class Sentiment Analysis (딥러닝 기반의 다범주 감성분석 모델 개발)

  • Syaekhoni, M. Alex;Seo, Sang Hyun;Kwon, Young S.
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.149-160
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    • 2017
  • Sentiment analysis is the process of determining whether a piece of document, text or conversation is positive, negative, neural or other emotion. Sentiment analysis has been applied for several real-world applications, such as chatbot. In the last five years, the practical use of the chatbot has been prevailing in many field of industry. In the chatbot applications, to recognize the user emotion, sentiment analysis must be performed in advance in order to understand the intent of speakers. The specific emotion is more than describing positive or negative sentences. In light of this context, we propose deep learning models for conducting multi-class sentiment analysis for identifying speaker's emotion which is categorized to be joy, fear, guilt, sad, shame, disgust, and anger. Thus, we develop convolutional neural network (CNN), long short term memory (LSTM), and multi-layer neural network models, as deep neural networks models, for detecting emotion in a sentence. In addition, word embedding process was also applied in our research. In our experiments, we have found that long short term memory (LSTM) model performs best compared to convolutional neural networks and multi-layer neural networks. Moreover, we also show the practical applicability of the deep learning models to the sentiment analysis for chatbot.

Development of Hydrological Variables Forecast Technology Using Machine Learning based Long Short-Term Memory Network (기계학습 기반의 Long Short-Term Memory 네트워크를 활용한 수문인자 예측기술 개발)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Jung, Min-Kyu;Hwang, Kyu-Nam;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.340-340
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    • 2019
  • 지구온난화로 유발되는 기후변동성이 증가함에 따라서 정확한 수문인자의 예측은 전 세계적으로 주요 관심사항이 되고 있다. 최근에는 고성능 컴퓨터 자원의 증가로 수문기상학 연구에서 동일한 학습량에 비하여 정확도의 향상이 뚜렷한 기계학습 구조를 활용하여 위성영상 기반의 대기예측, 태풍위치 추적 및 강수량 예측 등의 연구가 활발하게 진행되고 있다. 본 연구에는 기계학습 중 시계열 분석에 널리 활용되고 있는 순환신경망(Recurrent Neural Network, RNN) 기법의 대표적인 LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory) 네트워크를 이용하여 수문인자를 예측하였다. LSTM 네트워크는 가중치 및 메모리 요소에 대한 추가정보를 셀 상태에 저장하고 시계열의 길이 조정하여 모형의 탄력적 활용이 가능하다. LSTM 네트워크를 이용한 다양한 수문인자 예측결과 RMSE의 개선을 확인하였다. 따라서 본 연구를 통하여 개발된 기계학습을 통한 수문인자 예측기술은 권역별 수계별 홍수 및 가뭄대응 계획을 능동적으로 수립하는데 활용될 것으로 판단된다. 향후 연구에서는 LSTM의 입력영역을 Bayesian 추론기법을 활용하여 구성함으로 학습과정의 불확실성을 정량적으로 제어하고자 한다.

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A SE Approach for Machine Learning Prediction of the Response of an NPP Undergoing CEA Ejection Accident

  • Ditsietsi Malale;Aya Diab
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.18-31
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    • 2023
  • Exploring artificial intelligence and machine learning for nuclear safety has witnessed increased interest in recent years. To contribute to this area of research, a machine learning model capable of accurately predicting nuclear power plant response with minimal computational cost is proposed. To develop a robust machine learning model, the Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty (BEPU) approach was used to generate a database to train three models and select the best of the three. The BEPU analysis was performed by coupling Dakota platform with the best estimate thermal hydraulics code RELAP/SCDAPSIM/MOD 3.4. The Code Scaling Applicability and Uncertainty approach was adopted, along with Wilks' theorem to obtain a statistically representative sample that satisfies the USNRC 95/95 rule with 95% probability and 95% confidence level. The generated database was used to train three models based on Recurrent Neural Networks; specifically, Long Short-Term Memory, Gated Recurrent Unit, and a hybrid model with Long Short-Term Memory coupled to Convolutional Neural Network. In this paper, the System Engineering approach was utilized to identify requirements, stakeholders, and functional and physical architecture to develop this project and ensure success in verification and validation activities necessary to ensure the efficient development of ML meta-models capable of predicting of the nuclear power plant response.

Effects of Restaurants' e-Wom Characteristics on Attitude and Visit Intention: Focused on Visit Intention Over Time (레스토랑의 e-Wom 특성이 시간 경과에 따른 방문의도를 중심으로 한 태도 및 방문의도에 미치는 영향)

  • KIM, Sung-Hwan;JEON, Young-Mi;LEE, Ji-Ah
    • The Korean Journal of Franchise Management
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.17-31
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: With the development of the Internet, consumers can quickly access the electronic word-of-mouth. Consumers seek to reduce uncertainty by referring to the opinions of other consumers about products and services when making purchase decisions. In the food service industry, evaluating a restaurant before an actual visitation is difficult. Therefore, electronic word-of-mouth is important to interact with the customer in restaurants. as it can be used as an exchange of information in which consumers participate and interact with other customers. This study was conducted to verify how online word-of-mouth characteristics (Consensus, Vividness, Neutrality) on attitudes and visit intention from the perspective of social exchange theory. And it was performed to verify the structural relationship between short-term visit intention, mid-term visit and long-term visit intention. Research design, data, and methodology: A survey was conducted on customers who have visited restaurants. Of a total of 312 responses, 306 responses were used, excluding insincere responses and missing values for factors analysis. SPSS 25.0 and AMOS 25.0 were used for statistical analysis, and hypothesis testing was conducted after verifying the validity and reliability of the questionnaire items. Result: The result of the analysis showed that, consensus and neutrality have a positive effect on attitude but not much on vividness. In addition, consensus, vividness, and neutrality have no effect on the short-term visit intention. Finally, the short-term visit intention has a positive effect on mid-term visit intention, and mid-term visit intention has a positive effect on long-term visit intention. Conclusions: Based on the results, this study suggested that it is necessary to have practical implications for marketing and monitoring restaurant reviews in consideration of the characteristics of electronic word-of-mouth. When managing electronic-word-of-mouth, it is necessary to manage the consensus and neutrality is essential to provide sufficient information about the restaurant. The focus should not only be on vividness, such as photos and videos. In addition, restaurants should also provide a good experience for first-time visitors as the short-term visit intention positively affects mid-term and long-term visit intention.

International Inflation Synchronization and Implications

  • CHON, SORA
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.57-84
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzes global inflation synchronization and derives policy implications for the Korean economy. Unlike previous studies that assume a single global inflation factor, this study investigates if inflation in Korea can be explained further by other global inflation factors. Our principal component analysis provides three principal components for global inflation that are linked to the Korea inflation rate - the first component is closely related to OECD inflation, and the second and third components reflect China's inflation. This study empirically demonstrates via in-sample fitting and out-of-sample forecasting that the three principal components of global inflation play a significant role in explaining and predicting Korean inflation in the short-term, while their role is limited in the mid-term. Domestic macroeconomic variables are found to be more important for the mid-term movements of the Korean inflation rate. The empirical results here suggest that the Bank of Korea should focus more on domestic economic conditions than on global inflation when implementing monetary policy because global factors are likely to be already reflected in domestic macro-variables in the mid-term.

Korea's Inflation Expectations with regard to the Phillips Curve and Implications of the COVID-19 Crisis

  • JUNG, KYU-CHUL
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.81-101
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    • 2021
  • This paper estimates the expectation-augmented Phillips curve, which explains inflation dynamics, in Korea. The phenomenon of low inflation in Korea has been going on for quite some time, in particular since 2012. During the Covid-19 crisis, due to low inflation expectations the operation of monetary policy was limited as the base rate approached the zero lower bound. The main objective of this paper is to estimate where and how tightly inflation expectations are anchored. It was found that long-term inflation expectations fell to around 1%, falling short of the inflation target, and that inflation expectations are strongly anchored to long-term expectations, which implies that the low inflation phenomenon is likely to extend into the future. The results also imply that even if inflation fluctuates due to temporary disturbances, it may converge to a level below the inflation target. The slight rebound of long-term expectations during the Covid-19 crisis suggests that the aggressive monetary policy may have contributed to improving economic agents' beliefs about the commitment of monetary authorities to inflation stability. This may also help long-term expectations gradually to approach the inflation target.