• Title/Summary/Keyword: Short-Term Development

Search Result 958, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

Development of Neural Network System for Short-Term Load Forecasting (특수일 전력수요예측을 위한 신경회로망 시스템의 개발)

  • Kim, Kwang-Ho;Youn, Hyoung-Sun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
    • /
    • 1998.07c
    • /
    • pp.850-853
    • /
    • 1998
  • This paper proposes a new short-term load forecasting method for special day, such as Public holidays, consecutive holidays, and days before and after holidays. when the load curves are quite different from those of normal weekdays. In this paper, two Artificial Neural Network(ANN) systems are applied to short-term load forecasting for spacial days in anomalous load conditions.

  • PDF

Development of Rainfall-Runoff forecasting System (유역 유출 예측 시스템 개발)

  • Hwang, Man Ha;Maeng, Sung Jin;Ko, Ick Hwan;Ryoo, So Ra
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2004.05b
    • /
    • pp.709-712
    • /
    • 2004
  • The development of a basin-wide runoff analysis model is to analysis monthly and daily hydrologic runoff components including surface runoff, subsurface runoff, return flow, etc. at key operation station in the targeted basin. h short-term water demand forecasting technology will be developed fatting into account the patterns of municipal, industrial and agricultural water uses. For the development and utilization of runoff analysis model, relevant basin information including historical precipitation and river water stage data, geophysical basin characteristics, and water intake and consumptions needs to be collected and stored into the hydrologic database of Integrated Real-time Water Information System. The well-known SSARR model was selected for the basis of continuous daily runoff model for forecasting short and long-term natural flows.

  • PDF

A Development for Short-term Stock Forecasting on Learning Agent System using Decision Tree Algorithm (의사결정 트리를 이용한 학습 에이전트 단기주가예측 시스템 개발)

  • 서장훈;장현수
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
    • /
    • v.6 no.2
    • /
    • pp.211-229
    • /
    • 2004
  • The basis of cyber trading has been sufficiently developed with innovative advancement of Internet Technology and the tendency of stock market investment has changed from long-term investment, which estimates the value of enterprises, to short-term investment, which focuses on getting short-term stock trading margin. Hence, this research shows a Short-term Stock Price Forecasting System on Learning Agent System using DTA(Decision Tree Algorithm) ; it collects real-time information of interest and favorite issues using Agent Technology through the Internet, and forms a decision tree, and creates a Rule-Base Database. Through this procedure the Short-term Stock Price Forecasting System provides customers with the prediction of the fluctuation of stock prices for each issue in near future and a point of sales and purchases. A Human being has the limitation of analytic ability and so through taking a look into and analyzing the fluctuation of stock prices, the Agent enables man to trace out the external factors of fluctuation of stock market on real-time. Therefore, we can check out the ups and downs of several issues at the same time and figure out the relationship and interrelation among many issues using the Agent. The SPFA (Stock Price Forecasting System) has such basic four phases as Data Collection, Data Processing, Learning, and Forecasting and Feedback.

Wind-induced Spatial and Temporal Variations in the Thermohaline Front in the Jeju Strait, Korea

  • Han, In-Seong;Suh, Young-Sang;Seong, Ki-Tack
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.117-124
    • /
    • 2013
  • We investigated the short-term and local changes in the thermohaline front in the Jeju Strait, Korea, which is usually formed during winter and spring. To do so, we compared Real-Time Observation System by Ferryboat (RTOSF) data with wind data and routinely collected oceanographic data. During February and April 2007, a thermohaline front formed in the Jeju Strait around the 13-$14^{\circ}C$ isotherms and 33.0-33.5 isohalines. The thermohaline was clearly weakened and began moving southward in mid-March. The variations in the surface temperature and salinity showed a continuous north-south oscillation of the thermohaline front with a period of 3-10 days. The speed of the short-term and local fluctuation of thermohaline front was about 5-30 cm/s. We confirmed these findings by examining the variation in the maximum temperature gradient and $14^{\circ}C$ isotherm during the study period. These short-term and local changes had not been previously detected using serial oceanographic and satellite data. Analysis of local wind data revealed a northerly wind fluctuation with a period of 3-10 days, which was clearly related to the short-term and local changes in the thermohaline front. The short-term and local changes of the thermohaline front in the Jeju Strait originated from local changes in the winter monsoon in this area.

The Development of Short-term Load Forecasting System Using Ordinary Database (범용 Database를 이용한 단기전력수요예측 시스템 개발)

  • Kim Byoung Su;Ha Seong Kwan;Song Kyung Bin;Park Jeong Do
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
    • /
    • summer
    • /
    • pp.683-685
    • /
    • 2004
  • This paper introduces a basic design for the short-term load forecasting system using a commercial data base. The proposed system uses a hybrid load forecasting method using fuzzy linear regression for forecasting of weekends and Monday and general exponential smoothing for forecasting of weekdays. The temperature sensitive is used to improve the accuracy of the load forecasting during the summer season. MS-SQL Sever has been used a commercial data base for the proposed system and the database is operated by ADO(ActiveX Data Objects) and RDO(Remote Data Object). Database has been constructed by altering the historical load data for the past 38 years. The weather iDormation is included in the database. The developed short-term load forecasting system is developed as a user friendly system based on GUI(Graphical User interface) using MFC(Microsoft Foundation Class). Test results show that the developed system efficiently performs short-term load forecasting.

  • PDF

Development of Neural Network System for Short-Term Load Forecasting for a Special Day (특수일 전력수요예측을 위한 신경회로망 시스템의 개발)

  • Kim, Kwang-Ho;Youn, Hyoung-Sun;Lee, Chul-Heui
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
    • /
    • v.18
    • /
    • pp.379-384
    • /
    • 1998
  • Conventional short-term load forecasting techniques have limitation in their use on holidays due to dissimilar load behaviors of holidays and insufficiency of pattern data. Thus, a new short-term load forecasting method for special days in anomalous load conditions is proposed in this paper. The proposed method uses two Artificial Neural Networks(ANN); one is for the estimation of load curve, and the other is for the estimation of minimum and maximum value of load. The forecasting procedure is as follows. First, the normalized load curve is estimated by ANN. At next step, minimum and maximum values of load in a special day are estimated by another ANN. Finally, the estimate of load in a whole special day is obtained by combining these two outputs of ANNs. The proposed method shows a good performance, and it may be effectively applied to the practical situations.

  • PDF

What Causes the College Entrance Gap in Korea? Short-term financial constraints vs. long-term constraints (저소득층의 대학진학 제약요인 분석)

  • Lee, Seungeun;Kim, Taejong
    • Journal of Labour Economics
    • /
    • v.35 no.3
    • /
    • pp.51-81
    • /
    • 2012
  • This paper empirically investigates the dynamics of the poverty-higher education gap in Korea. Poverty may lead to a gap in access to higher education through two channels: the short-term inability to pay college tuition and fees and long-term disadvantages arising from one's environment that impede the development of academic ability. A regression analysis based on data from the Korean Education and Employment Panel suggests that it is long-term disadvantages that plays a dominant role in the dynamics of this gap. We also replicate a study carried out by Carneiro and Heckman, who have addressed a similar question in the US. Again, the results confirm that the crucial constraint is the long-term accumulation of disadvantages arising mainly from family background, not the short-term constraint. These findings suggest that policies designed to alleviate short-term financial constraints, such as tuition reduction, will be less effective in reducing the gap in accessing four-year college in Korea than policies involving early intervention in children's development.

  • PDF

Status survey on short-term agricultural machinery rental system for efficient operation (농업기계 단기임대사업의 효율적 운영을 위한 실태조사 연구)

  • Hong, Soon-Jung;Huh, Yun-Kun;Chung, Sun-Ok;Shin, Seung-Yeoub
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
    • /
    • v.38 no.3
    • /
    • pp.583-591
    • /
    • 2011
  • Status survey on short-term agricultural machinery rental business was conducted to provide basic data for effective and sustainable implementation of the rental system. Selected survey samples were 34 rental management institutions such as city and county level government offices and agricultural technology development centers, and Primary Agricultural Cooperatives. Survey was conducted through mailing of questionnaire papers and direct interviews with the officers in charge of the agricultural machinery short-term rental management. Number of agricultural machinery retained by the 34 management institutions for the machinery rental business was 3,699, and numbers of the machinery were 1630 for upland crops, 929 for rice, 542 for orchard farming, 274 for animal husbandry, and 324 for common use. Regarding size of warehouse for rental agricultural machinery, 50% of the institutes were less than 660 $m^2$, 26.5% were greater than 993 $m^2$, and 23.5% were between 663 and 990 $m^2$. Institutes maintaining machinery washing facilities were only 10 (29%) among the 34 rental management institutions. Agricultural machinery rental business was advertised to farmers by 91% of the institutes, and the methods were leaflet (35.2%), village broadcasting (26.5%), call-up education (23.6%), and TV and radio (14.7%). Major contents of the advertisement were rental procedure (52.9%), rental machinery (26.5%), and rental cost (20.6%).

The Impairment of Thyroid Hormones Homeostasis after Short-Term Exposure to Di(2-ethylhexyl)phthalate in Adolescent Male Rats

  • Kim, Sang-Yon;Hong, Yeon-Pyo;Yang, Yun-Jung
    • Development and Reproduction
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.293-298
    • /
    • 2021
  • Di(2-ethylhexyl)phthalate (DEHP) could induce metabolic disorders through interfering with thyroid homeostasis. Therefore, we evaluated the effects of short term to environmental relevant doses of DEHP on thyroid hormones. Four week old Sprague-Dawley (SD) rats were treated with vehicle (corn oil), and DEHP 0.75, 7.5, and 150 mg/kg/day. The rats were treated with once daily by oral gavage and were sacrificed with after 1 week. They were measured body weight and relative thyroid weight, serum thyroid hormones and histological changes of thyroid. There was no difference in body weight between the control and DEHP exposed rats. Relative thyroid weight in DEHP 150 mg/kg/day treated group was significantly lower than control. Serum thyroxine levels was decreased in rats exposed to 0.75 and 150 mg/kg/day DEHP. No histological changes were observed in the thyroid of rats administered DEHP compared to control. Exposure to DEHP at environmental relevant levels, even short-term exposure, can cause hypothyroidism in adolescent rats even the exposure period is relative short.

Development of Long Term Flow Duration Curves in 4 River Basins for the Management of Total Maximum Daily Loads (수질오염총량관리를 위한 4대강수계 장기유황곡선 작성방안)

  • Park, Jun Dae;Oh, Seung Young
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
    • /
    • v.29 no.3
    • /
    • pp.343-353
    • /
    • 2013
  • Flow duration curve (FDC) can be developed by linking the daily flow data of stream flow monitoring network to 8-day interval flow data of the unit watersheds for the management of Total Maximum Daily Loads. This study investigated the applicable method for the development of long term FDC with the selection of the stream flow reference sites, and suggested the development of the FDC in 4 river basins. Out of 142 unit watersheds in 4 river basins, 107 unit watersheds were shown to estimate daily flow data for the unit watersheds from 2006 to 2010. Short term FDC could be developed in 64 unit watersheds (45%) and long term FDC in 43 unit watersheds (30%), while other 35 unit watersheds (25%) were revealed to have difficulties in the development of FDC itself. Limits in the development of the long term FDC includes no stream monitoring sites in certain unit watersheds, short duration of stream flow data set and missing data by abnormal water level measurements on the stream flow monitoring sites. To improve these limits, it is necessary to install new monitoring sites in the required areas, to keep up continuous monitoring and make normal water level observations on the stream flow monitoring sites, and to build up a special management system to enhance data reliability. The development of long term FDC for the unit watersheds can be established appropriately with the normal and durable measurement on the selected reference sites in the stream flow monitoring network.