• Title/Summary/Keyword: Ship-handling Safety Assessment

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Review on the Application of Statistical Methods to Maritime Traffic Safety Assessment

  • Gong, In-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • v.1
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    • pp.35-40
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    • 2006
  • For the maritime traffic safety assessment of vessels navigating in harbor or fairway, simulation techniques by using shiphandling simulator system have been traditionally used. When designing the simulation experiments and when analyzing the simulation results, however, there has been a little systematic method. Ship-handling simulations can be regarded as a kind of statistical experiment by using ship-handling simulator system, which means that shiphandling simulation conditions should be designed statistically and that the simulation results should be statistically analyzed as well. For the safe and economic design of harbor and fairway, reasonable decisions based upon the scientific analysis of shiphandling simulation results are indispensable. In this paper, various statistical methods, such as Bayes theorem, statistical hypothesis testing, and probability distributions, are reviewed with a view to application to maritime traffic safety assessment. It is expected that more reasonable decisions on harbor and fairway design can be made from shiphandlers' view point by using statistical methods.

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A Study on Minimum Number of Ship-handling Simulation Required for Evaluating Vessel's Proximity Measure

  • Jeong, Tae-Gweon;Pan, Bao-Feng
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.689-694
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    • 2014
  • The Korean government has introduced and enforced maritime traffic safety assessment to secure traffic safety since 2010. The maritime traffic safety assessment is needed by law to design a new port or modify an existing one. According to Korea Maritime Safety Act, in the assessment the propriety of marine traffic system consists of the safety of channel transit and berthing/unberthing maneuver, safety of mooring, and safety of marine traffic flow. The safety of channel transit and berthing/unberthing maneuver can be evaluated only by ship-handling simulation. The ship-handling simulation is carried out by sea pilots working with the port concerned. The vessel's proximity measure is an important factor to evaluate traffic safety. The proximity measure is composed of vessel's closest distance to channel boundary and probability of grounding/collision. What is more, the probability of grounding becomes important. According to central limit theorem, a sample has a normal distribution on condition that its size is more than 30. However, more than 30 simulation runs bring about the increase of assessment period and difficulty of employing sea pilots. Therefore this paper is to find out minimum sample size for evaluating vessel's proximity. First sample sets of size of 3, 5, 7, 9 etc. are selected randomly on the basis of normal distribution. And then KS test for goodness of fit and t-test for confidence interval are applied to each sample set. Finally this paper decides the minimum sample size. As a result this paper suggests the minimum sample size of 5, that is, the simulation of more than five times.

A Study on Development of PC-based Ship Handling Simulator (PC를 이용한 선박 조종 시뮬레이터의 개발에 관한 연구)

  • 손경호;이성욱
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 1998
  • This paper deals with PC-based ship handling simulator, which is now widely utilized not only for total assessment of safety in harbour area but also for training purpose. The suitable mathematical model for low advance speed manoeuvre is treated with the effects of current, wind, wave, tug force and water depth. We adopt 3 dimensional graphic technique for perspective representation of relative ship motion. Some graphical panels on the screen are devised for data input/output or ship manoeuvring information. We show the real time simulation of berthing menoeuvre applied to Pusan harbour as an example.

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Determination of Simulation Conditions for Ship-handling Safety Assessment (선박운항 안전성 평가를 위한 시뮬레이션 조건 도출 연구)

  • Gong, In-Young;Kwon, Se-Hyug;Kim, Sun-Young
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.207-213
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    • 2008
  • Ship-handling simulation system has been used for maritime traffic safety assessment for harbor and fairway. There exist various environmental conditions under which ship may navigate along a fairway or in harbor. Due to the time and budget limitations, however, ship-handling simulations are usually carried out for very limited number of environmental conditions. In this paper, statistical method for effective and systematic determination of real time simulation conditions is suggested and applied to the maritime traffic safety assessment problems. In the empirical study, the principal component analysis method and the concept of empirical cumulative distribution function are suggested to estimate synthetic navigational difficulty and to select simulation conditions which would impose high difficulty on shiphandling.

A Study On Mathematical Model of Manoeuvring Motions of Twin-screw and Twin-rudder Ship for Construction of Real-time Ship-handling Simulator (시뮬레이터 구축을 위한 2축2타선박의 조종운동 수학모델에 관한 연구)

  • 손경호;김용민
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2001
  • In view of the fact that marine casualties have more often occurred recently, there is a need for ship-handling simulator as a useful tool for maritime training, safety assessment and so on. Moreover various kinds of hull forms have appeared for the purpose of improving ship manoeuvrality. Therefore ship-handling simulator is in need of a database for various ships, and it can make diverse maneuvering simulations possible to apply respective mathematical model to ship-handling simulator. In this paper, we adopted twin-screw and twin-rudder ship and discussed mathematical model of maneuvering motions for her. It was discussed from the viewpoint of hull damping forces at low advance speed and interaction between hull, propeller and rudder. Using this model, maneuvering motion of twin-screw and twin-propeller ship was simulated numerically and her principal manoeuvrability was examined.

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A Study on the Analysis of Ship Handling Simulation about Domestic Sea Bridge over the Harbor (국내 항만횡단 해상교량 관련 선박조종시뮬레이션 분석)

  • Lee, Yun-Sok;Cho, Ik-Soon;Cho, Ju-Hyun;Song, Chae-Uk
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.321-326
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    • 2008
  • Recently the large sea bridge's construction crossing harbor and main ship's route have been propelled in the domestic so that it is active for the smoothly traffic flow of inland transportation and road user's convenience. However, it can bring about the trouble to ensure marine traffic safety if it is built that sea bridge's construction sets to an economy principle in the extension of the land road system. We're adopting Ship Handling Simulation in representative method for the influence assessment of marine traffic safety and danger elements beforehand. This research attempts to show the problems through the comparison and analysis of the reports relating to the sea bridge construction for 4 organization possessing Ship Handling Simulation. Finally, We offer the necessity of standardization on performing and assessment method of simulations.

Reduction of Simulation Number for Ship Handling Safety Assessment (선박운항 시뮬레이터 실험조건 축소화 연구)

  • Kwon, S.H.;Oh, H.S.
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.101-106
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    • 2012
  • Ship handling simulator is a virtual ship navigating system with three dimensional screen system and simulation programs. FTS simulation can produce theoretically infinite experiment tests without time constraint, but which results in collecting determinstic observations. RTS simulation can collect statistical observations but has disadvantage of spending at least 30 minutes for a single experiment. The previous studies suggested that the number of experiment conditions to be tested could be reduced to obtain random data with RTS simulation by focusing on highly difficult experiment condition for ship handling. It has the limitation of not estimating the distribution of ship handling difficulty for the route. In this paper, similarity and clustering analysis are suggested for reduction methodology of experiment conditions. Similarity of experiment conditions are measured as follows: euclidean distance of ship handling difficulty index and correlation matrix of distance differences from the designed route. Clustering analysis and multi-dimensional scaling are applied to classify experiment conditions with measured similarity into reducing the number of RTS simulation conditions. An empirical result on Dangin harbor is shown and discussed.

A Study on Assessment of Vessel Traffic Safety Management by Marine Traffic Flow Simulation (해상교통류 시뮬레이션에 의한 해상교통안전관리평가에 관한 연구)

  • Park Young- Soo;Jong Jae-Yong;Inoue Kinzo
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.43-55
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    • 2002
  • Vessel traffic safety management means the managerial technical measures for improving the marine traffic safety in general terms. The main flow of vessel traffic safety management is that: 1) Traffic Survey, 2) Replay by Marine Traffic Flow Simulation, 3) Quantitative Assessment, 4) Policy Alternatives, 5) Prediction·Verification. In the management of vessel traffic safety, it is most important to establish assessment models that can numerically estimate the current safety level and quantitatively predict the correlation between the measures to be taken and the improvement of safety and the reduction of ship handling difficulties imposed on mariners. In this paper, the replay model for traffic flow simulation was made using marine traffic survey data, and the present traffic situation became replay in the computer. An attempt was made to rate the current safety of ports and waterways by applying the Environmental Stress model. And, as a countermeasure for traffic management, by taking of, the promotion of total traffic congestion in early morning rush hour, the correlation between traffic control rate and the reduction in ship handling difficulties imposed on mariners was predicted quantitatively.

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