• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2008년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.1499-1504
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• 2008

This study shows risk-based evaluation results of casualty accidents for passengers, railway staffs and MOP(Member of public) on the national railway in South Korea. To evaluate risk of these accidents, the hazardous events and the hazardous factors were identified by the review of the accident history and engineering interpretation of the accident behavior. A probability evaluation model for each hazardous event which was based on the accident appearance scenario was developed by using the Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) technique. The probability for each hazardous event was evaluated from the historical data and structured expert judgment. In addition, the severity assessment model utilized by the Event Tree Analysis (ETA) technique was composed of the accident progress scenarios. And the severity for the hazardous events was estimated using fatalities and weighted injuries. The risk assessment model developed can be effectively utilized in defining the risk reduction measures in connection with the option analysis.

• 지적과 국토정보
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• 제47권2호
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• pp.233-254
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• 2017

본 연구는 교통사고 가운데 인적피해를 동반한 교통사고에 대해 교통사고의 시공간적 특성과 교통사고 심각도에 영향을 미치는 주요인을 분석하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 2012년부터 2015년 까지 4년간 서울시에서 발생한 교통사고 데이터 가운데 인적사고가 있는 데이터를 교통사고 심각도에 따라 경상, 중상, 사망 교통사고로 분류하고, 교통사고의 시공간특성분석은 커널분석, 핫스팟분석, 스페이스타임큐브분석, EHSA(Emerging HotSpot Analysis)를 수행하였으며, 교통사고 심각도에 영향을 미치는 요인 분석은 데이터마이닝 기법중의 하나인 의사결정나무 모형을 활용하였다. 분석결과 서울시 교통사고는 도심부 보다는 외곽지역에서 많이 발생하며 특히 한강 이남의 상업 활동이 많은 곳에서 교통사고가 많음을 확인할 수 있었다. 특히 서초와 강남의 일부 상업 및 유흥지역을 중심으로 교통사고 집중지역이 나타나며 교통사고 다발지역은 시간이 흐름에 따라 그 현상이 더욱 심화되는 경향을 보이고 있었다. 사망교통사고의 경우 지역적으로는 영등포구, 구로구, 종로구, 중구, 성북구 일부지역에 통계적으로 유의미한 핫스팟지역이 나타나지만 시간대별로 구분해보면 오후 퇴근시간 부터 새벽까지 일부 구간에서 핫스팟이 나타나며 시간 고려 없이 분석된 결과와는 상이한 패턴이 나타남을 알 수 있었다. 서울시 교통사고 심각도에 영향을 미치는 주요 요인으로는 사고유형이 가장 중요한 역할을 하며 도로의 종류, 차량의 종류, 교통사고 발생 시간, 법규위반 종류 등의 순으로 중요도가 나타났다. 교통사고 가운데 심각한 교통사고로 이어지는 경우는 차대 사람이나 차량단독으로 사고가 나는 경우 고속도로나 특별광역시도와 같이 폭원이 넓고 차량속도가 높은 곳에서 승합차나 화물차에서 중상의 교통사고가 일어날 가능성이 높으며, 동일한 상황에서 승합차나 화물차가 아닌 승용차, 자전거, 이륜차 등의 경우에는 새벽시간에 심각한 교통사고로 이어질 가능성이 높은 것으로 나타났다.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제33권5호
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• pp.101-108
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• 2018

This study was carried out to obtain baseline data on the causes of industrial accidents and their prevention by investigating structural models between the Shipyard workers' egogram ego-states (CP: Critical Parent, NP: Nurturing Parent, A: Adult, FC: Free Child, AC: Adapted Child), safe and unsafe behaviors, and industrial accidents (frequency/severity). In order to achieve this goal, 378 workers from 3 locations of major corporations in Geojedo Island and Ulsan took a questionnaire, which was then analyzed with a structural equation model using the SPSS 23.0 and AMOS 24 statistics package, and the main results of the study are as follows. First, NP and A's ego-states had a positive influence on safe behavior, AC's ego-state had a negative influence on safe behavior, and A's ego-state had the largest influence on safe behavior. Second, CP and AC's ego-states had a positive influence on unsafe behavior, and A's ego-state had a negative influence on unsafe behavior. AC's ego-state had the largest influence on unsafe behavior. Third, safe behavior did not have a significant influence on industrial accidents. However, unsafe behavior had a positive influence on industrial accident frequency and industrial accident severity, both sub-factors of industrial accidents. This study, despite its limitations, such as sampling limitations, has the following significance. First, this study verified that ego-state, a psychological characteristic, is an important factor for predicting unsafe behavior that induces industrial accidents. Second, in order to reduce industrial accidents, there is a need to stimulate the A ego-states, and promote continuous safety management and safety education to neutralize the AC ego-state. Third, previous studies were limited in the area of practical methods for reducing unsafe behaviors, but this study presents practical methods for reducing unsafe behaviors by verifying the structural relationship between safe/unsafe behaviors and industrial accidents by selecting ego-gram ego-states, variable personality theory, as an independent variable.

• Journal of Trauma and Injury
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• 제27권4호
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• pp.101-107
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• 2014

Purpose: Recently, the population of elderly people has been increasing rapidly all over the world. The social activities of the aging population have increased, which has also increased the number of elderly patients injured in traffic accidents. Thus, we analyzed the characteristics of elderly patients involved in traffic accidents. Methods: This study was conducted retrospectively from July 2008 to March 2009 among trauma patients involved in traffic accidents who visited Wonju Severance Christian Hospital. Patients under 18 years of age and pregnant patients were excluded. We divided the patients in two groups, a geriatrics group and an adult group on the basis of an age of 65. We compared the types of traffic accidents, the locations of the accidents, the behaviors of the patients at the times of the accidents, the use of seat-belts, and alcohol consumption between the two groups. We calculated the Revised Trauma Score (RTS), Injury Severity Score (ISS), and Trauma and Injury Severity Score (TRISS) for each group. Results: Total number of the included patients was 903, and the number of elderly patients was 181 (mean age: $71.7{\pm}4.9$ years old). There were no significant differences in the initial vital signs, GCS (Glasgow Coma Scale), and RTS between the two groups. There were differences in the types and the locations of the crashes, the behaviors of the patients at the times of the accidents, the use of seat belts, and alcohol consumption between the two groups (p<0.05). The average ISS of the geriatric group was higher than that of the adult group ($9.66{\pm}10.11$ vs. $6.59{\pm}8.99$, p=0.004). The mortality was higher in the geriatric group (n=17,9%) than in the adult group (n=23,2%) (p=0.004). Conclusion: The numbers of mortalities and surgical procedures were greater within the elderly group than the adult group. The average ISS was higher in the geriatric group than in the adult group. The severity of injuries due to traffic accidents was higher in the geriatric group than it was in the adult group.

• 한국ITS학회 논문지
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.114-131
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• 2023

개인형 이동수단의 이용이 활성화됨에 따라, 관련한 PM 사고도 급격하게 증가하였다. 이러한 사고 증가에 대응하기 위해, 2021년 5월 13일 정부에서는 관련 규정을 강화하였지만, PM 가해사고의 증가 추이는 피해사고의 증가 추이보다 크게 감소하지 않았다. 이러한 PM 가해사고의 대부분은 보행자와의 충돌 사고로, 보행자들의 안전이 위협받고 있는 것을 알 수 있었다. 이에 본 연구에서는 PM 대 보행자 충돌사고를 중점적으로 규제 및 기상환경, 도시건조환경 특성 등을 반영하여, PM 대 보행자 교통사고 심각도에 영향을 미치는 요인들을 분석하였다. 2020년부터 2021년 간 서울시에서 발생한 PM 대 보행자 교통사고를 수집하였으며, 이항 로지스틱 회귀분석을 활용하여 분석을 수행하였다. 주요 분석결과를 통해 정책적 시사점을 도출하였다.

• 대한영양사협회학술지
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• 제26권4호
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• pp.278-288
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• 2020

This study examined the effects of response-facilitating factors(Food-related Knowledge, Response-Efficacy, and Self-Efficacy) and response-inhibiting factors(Severity, Vulnerability, and Consumer Stress) on the consumer' behavior intention based on protection motivation theory, which explains the behavioral change to protect oneself. This study was conducted to reduce the customers' concerns regarding food safety accidents and introduce ways to make them more interested in food safety. A sample of 225 adults over 19 years of age was collected in February 2018 through a self-administered questionnaire. The results of the cognitive mediation process of protective motivation theory showed that the consumers' knowledge and self-efficacy which are response-facilitating factors, positively influence the behavioral intention. Severity and consumer stress were response-inhibiting factors. On the other hand, response-efficacy, which is a response-facilitating factor, and vulnerability, which is a response-inhibiting factor, did not influence the behavioral intention. Therefore, severity and consumer stress are response-inhibiting factors. The results were analyzed as a result of a behavioral change to protect oneself from food safety accidents. The applicability of the theory of protection motivation on the topic of food safety was also confirmed.

• 한국항해항만학회지
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• 제47권4호
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• pp.202-211
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• 2023

국내 해양사고에서 어선의 충돌사고는 타 선종보다 빈번하고 사고 심각도는 높은 편에 속한다. 과거 큰 피해를 불러온 국내 어선충돌사고의 시사점은 어선이 충돌 직전까지 높은 항행 속력을 유지하고 있었다는 것과 어선이 규모 차이가 큰 선박과 충돌하였다는 점에 있다. 본 논문에서는 어선의 충돌사고 결과로 나타나는 선박피해 심각도를 선박의 속력과 분석하여 상관관계를 확인하는 연구를 하였다. 이를위해 도로교통분야에서 활용되고 있는 유효충돌속도(Effective Impact Speed)라는 개념을 두 선박의 충돌상황에 적용하였고 2016년부터 2022년까지 해양사고 재결서 중 어선과 어선, 어선과 비어선 충돌사고 데이터를 수집하여 총 617척 선박의 유효충돌속도를 산출하였다. 분석된 데이터를 바탕으로 유효충돌속도를 독립변수, 선박피해 심각도를 종속변수로 하는 이항 및 다항 로지스틱 회귀분석을 수행하여 두 변수의 상관성을 살펴보았다. 분석결과 유효충돌속도와 선박피해 심각도가 서로 통계적으로 유의하다는 것과 선박피해심각도는 유효충돌속도와 함께 선박의 질량에도 큰 영향을 받는다는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

• 한국ITS학회 논문지
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• 제22권5호
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• pp.200-215
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• 2023

자율주행 기술이 고도로 발전하고, 관련 시장이 급격하게 성장하고 있어 머지않은 시기 내에 완전 자율주행 시대가 도래할 것으로 예상된다. 한편, 자율주행 기술의 발전과 함께 기술 안전성에 대한 의문이 제기되고 있으며, 관련 사고 소식이 보도되면서 기술에 대한 우려는 증대되고 있다. 자율주행차의 안전성 향상을 위해, 사고 사례를 분석하고 사고 원인을 규명하는 행위가 선행될 필요가 있다. 이에, 본 연구는 자율주행 사고데이터를 통해 자율차 사고의 심각도에 대한 영향요인을 분석하였다. 연구 데이터는 CA DMV에서 수집·배포하고 있는 자율주행차 사고 레포트를 중심으로 사고 지점의 공간 정보, 교통 정보를 사용하였다. 중점 데이터가 사고 레포트임을 고려할 때, 사건 발생 횟수의 기댓값이 반영될 수 있도록 포아송 회귀 분석을 사용하여 모델링을 진행하였다. 모형 분석 결과, 자율주행차 사고 심각도는 조도가 낮을 때, 자전거·버스 전용 차로가 존재할 때, 보행자와 자전거 사고 이력이 많은 지역에서 증가한다는 결과가 도출되었다. 본 연구 결과는 향후, 자율주행차 안전성 개선을 위한 알고리즘 개발 및 관련 교통 인프라 설치를 위한 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제32권3호
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• pp.141-150
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• 2017

A rapid increase in traffic accidents involving senior vehicle occupants has been an issue in Korea because of the aging of the population occurring at one of the fastest rates in the world; unfortunately, few studies beyond several looking at the effect of senior occupants on the level of accident injury severity can be found in the literature. A Multinomial logit model was estimated with Newton-Raphson algorithm to perform bias-reducing penalized likelihood optimization. Model covariates integral to developing the model were included, but the main focus was on the interaction of seating position and injury to senior vehicle occupants. It was found that the likelihood of an accident resulting in a fatality increased: 2.2 times for the driver seat, 2.7 times for the front passenger seat, and even 6.7 times for the rear seat. A mandatory seatbelt law to be extended to the rear seat needs to pass the assembly as soon as possible, and government, industry, and safety groups should be encouraged to join forces to strongly carry out targeted campaigns for the wearing of seatbelts in all vehicle seats to enhance the safety of senior occupants as well as other occupants who are vulnerable to road traffic accidents.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.89-98
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• 2011

The traffic accidents at a construction site, which happen due to construction vehicles' frequent access to a construction site, its subsequent conflicts with ordinary vehicles and pedestrians, and inappropriate installation & management of traffic security facilities, have not many proportions in all traffic accidents, but obviously, the accident damage is quite serious when comparing the level of the fatal per one accident. This research conducted an analysis of traffic accident injury severity using Ordered Probit Model in relation to 241 traffic accident cases that occurred caused by construction sites among the traffic accidents that took place in Seoul and Gyeoggi-do region for two years from 2006 until 2007. As a result, the significant variables enough to explain traffic accident injury severity were analyzed to be the state of road surface, linear shape of an accident spot & whether the damaging car belongs to the vehicle for construction, and whether vehicles have access to a construction site at the time of an accident. Through this, this research found out some fact as follows: first, there need to be more aggressive management of the vehicles for construction and a year-round placement of the manpower who can control vehicular access to a construction site. Second, it is necessary to get drivers to recognize the fact that there exists a construction site on the construction section which is on the border of curved roads in advance to prevent a traffic accident, helping to reduce socioeconomic loss & costs incurred by a traffic accident.