• 제목/요약/키워드: Sequential confidence intervals

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WTO/TBT 협정에 따른 KS 규격의 부합화에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Conformity of KS Standards according to Agreement on WTO/TBT)

  • 김진규
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.12-22
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    • 2003
  • The purposes of this study are to investigate the conformity of Korean Standards(KS) according to agreement on WTO/TBT, and to propose systematic frameworks of preparation, adoption, and application for KS in our enterprises. Significant changes in this establishment, revision, and abrogation include the following divisions; i) statistics-vocabulary and symbols, ii) Shewhart control chart, iii) statistical interpretation of data, iv) sampling procedures for inspection by attributes, v) sequential sampling plans for inspection.

Monitoring of Clinical Trials: Issues and Recammendations

  • Fleming Thomas R.;Demets David L.
    • 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한예방의학회 1994년도 교수 연수회(역학)
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    • pp.270-284
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    • 1994
  • Interim analyses of randomized trials enable investigators to make more efficient use of limited research resources and to satisfy ethical requirements that a regimen be discontinued as soon as it has been established to have an inferior efficacy/toxicity profile. Unfortunately. the integrity and credibility of these trials can be compromised if inappropriate procedures are used in monitoring interim data. 'In this paper we discuss how group sequential designs provide useful guidelines that enable one to satisfy the valid objectives of interim monitoring while avoiding undesirable consequences, and we consider how flexible one can be in the way such designs are implemented. We also provide motivation for the role of data-monitoring committees in preserving study integrity and credibility in either government- or industry-sponsored trials. In our view. these committees should have multidisciplinary representation and membership limited to individuals free of apparent significant conflict of interest, and ideally should be the only individuals to whom the data analysis center provides interim results on relative efficacy of treatment regimens. Finally. we discuss some important practical issues such as estimation following group sequential testing, anal ysis of secondary outcomes after using a group sequential design applied to a primary outcome, early stopping of negative trials. and the role of administrative analyses.

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Coverage 분석을 위한 신뢰구간 추정량에 관한 비교 연구 (Comparative Study of Confidence Interval Estimators for Coverage Analysis)

  • 이종숙;정해덕
    • 정보처리학회논문지D
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    • 제11D권1호
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    • pp.219-228
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    • 2004
  • 지금까지 비율(proportion)에 대한 신뢰구간의 근사적 추정량(approximate estimator)에 대한 여러 기법들이 제안되었으나, 시뮬레이션 결과에 대한 coverage 분석을 수행할 경우에는 정규분포에 기반 한 신뢰구간 추정량이 주로 이용되었다. 그 이유는 정규분포에 대한 근사법이 다른 근사법들 보다 실제 구현하는데 쉽게 여겨졌기 때문이다. 하지만, 최근에 arcsin 변환에 기반한 coverage 분석을 위한 근사법이 [12]에서 시뮬레이션 수행 시에 최종결과에 요구되는 정확도의 조절과 비율을 추정하기 위해서 사용되었다. 본 논문에서는 세 개의 신뢰구간 추정량 근사법(정규분포 기반 근사법, arcsin 변환 기반 근사법, 그리고 F-분포 기반 근사법)을 비교 분석하였다. 세 신뢰구간에 대한 추정량을 단일 프로세서와 다중 프로세서 상에서 참조모델(reference model)로 M/M/1/$\infty$와 W/D/l/$\infty$ 큐잉 시스템을 활용하여 정상상태(steady-state)에서의 평균치를 추정하는 시뮬레이션에 적용하였다.

Hepatic Resection after Initial Transarterial Chemoembolization Versus Transarterial Chemoembolization Alone for the Treatment of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Meta-analysis of Observational Studies

  • Tang, Yu-Long;Qi, Xing-Shun;Guo, Xiao-Zhong
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권17호
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    • pp.7871-7874
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    • 2015
  • Background: There is no consensus regarding the selection of treatment options for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after initial transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). This meta-analysis aimed to explore the survival benefit of hepatic resection after initial TACE for the treatment of HCC. Materials and Methods: We searched three major databases to identify all relevant papers comparing the outcomes of hepatic resection after initial TACE versus TACE alone for the treatment of HCC. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) were calculated to evaluate the survival benefit of hepatic resection after initial TACE over TACE alone. Results: Three of 2037 initially identified papers were included. All of them were cohort studies from Asia. There was a significantly better overall survival (OS) in patients undergoing hepatic resection after initial TACE than in those undergoing TACE alone (HR=0.63, 95%CI=0.52-0.76, P<0.00001). The heterogeneity among studies was not statistically significant (P=0.96; I2=0%). Conclusions: Hepatic resection could improve the OS of HCC patients treated with initial TACE. Further randomized controlled trials should be necessary to identify the target population for the sequential use of hepatic resection after initial TACE and to compare the outcomes between patients undergoing hepatic resection after initial TACE session versus those undergoing TACE alone.

The Pallidal Index in Patients with Acute-on-Chronic Liver Disease: Is It a Predictor of Severe Hepatic Encephalopathy?

  • Lee, Dong Hyun;Lee, Hui Joong;Hahm, Myong Hun
    • Investigative Magnetic Resonance Imaging
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.125-130
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: To evaluate the clinical significance of T1 high signal intensity on the globus pallidus as a predictor of severe hepatic encephalopathy in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), which is a distinct syndrome characterized by multi-organ dysfunction including cerebral failure. Materials and Methods: From January 2002 to April 2014, we retrospectively reviewed the magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings and clinical and magnetic resonance (MR) features of 74 consecutive patients (44 men and 30 women; mean age, 59.5 years) with liver cirrhosis. The chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment score was used to diagnose ACLF. The pallidal index (PI), calculated by dividing the mean signal intensity of the globus pallidus by that of the subcortical frontal white matter were compared according to ACLF. The PI was compared with the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score in predicting the development of ACLF. Results: Fifteen patients who were diagnosed with ACLF had higher hepatic encephalopathy grades (initial, P = 0.024; follow-up, P = 0.002), MELD scores (P < 0.001), and PI (P = 0.048). In the ACLF group, the mean PI in patients with cerebral failure was significantly higher than that in the patients without cerebral failure (1.33 vs. 1.20, P = 0.039). In patients with ACLF, the area under the curve (AUC) for PI was 0.680 (95% confidence intervals [CI], 0.52-0.85), which was significantly lower than that for the MELD score (AUC, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.77-0.99) (P = 0.04). Conclusion: The PI can be an ancillary biomarker for predicting the development of ACLF and severe hepatic encephalopathy.

우리나라 노인의 우울과 주관적 구강건강 관련성: 국민건강영양조사 제6기 2차(2014년) 자료 이용 (Association between depression and poor oral health in Korean elderly: the six Korean national health and nutrition examination survey (KNHANES VI-2))

  • 조한아;최은실
    • 한국치위생학회지
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.931-941
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    • 2016
  • Objectives: The purpose of this study was to examine the association between depression and poor oral health in Korean elderly using Korean version of the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9) for assessment of depressive symptoms. Methods: This study used the data from Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES VI-2). The study included 1,454 elderly Korean aged over 65. Variables included demographic characteristics (gender, age), socioeconomic factor (income, education), systemic diseases, oral health related factor (tooth brush, dental products), health related factor (alcohol drinking, smoking), and depression. Logistic regression analysis was used as sequential models. Effects were quantified as odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results: From frequency analysis, being female, primary school or less, non-alcohol drinking, poor oral health were significantly related to depression. In the multiple logistic regression model, depression was significantly associated with poor oral health (OR=1.96, CI=1.15-3.53) after adjustment for other covariates including demographic characteristics, socioeconomic factor, systemic diseases, oral health related factor, and health related factor (OR=1.91, CI=1.13-3.27). Conclusions: Depression had an influence on the poor oral health after adjustment as confounding variable in the elderly. It should be focused on the health promotion for the elderly vulnerable to depression and poor oral health. The development of the mental health and oral health should be established.

단계적 실험 설계와 다차원 디자인 스페이스 분석 기술을 통한 초저온 SAW 공정의 최적 용접 파라미터 설계 (Optimal Parameter Design for a Cryogenic Submerged Arc Welding(SAW) Process by Utilizing Stepwise Experimental Design and Multi-dimensional Design Space Analysis)

  • 이현정;김영천;신상문
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제48권1호
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    • pp.51-68
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: The primary objective of this research is to develop the optimal operating conditions as well as their associated design spaces for a Cryogenic Submerged Arc Welding(SAW) process by improving its quality and productivity simultaneously. Methods: In order to investigate functional relationships among quality characteristics and their associated control factors of an SAW process, a stepwise design of experiment(DoE) method is proposed in this paper. Based on the DoE results, not only a multi-dimensional design space but also a safe operating space and normal acceptable range(NAR) by integrating statistical confidence intervals were demonstrated. In addition, the optimal operating conditions within the proposed NAR can be obtained by a robust optimal design method. Results: This study provides a customized stepwise DoE method (i.e., a sequential set of DoE such as a factorial design and a central composite design) for Cryogenic SAW process and its statistical analysis results. DoE results can then provide both the main and interaction effects of input control factors and the functional relationships between the input factors and their associated output responses. Maximizing both the product quality with high impact strength and the productivity with minimum processing times simultaneously in a case study, we proposed a design space which can provide both acceptable productivity and quality levels and NARs of input control factors. In order to confirm the optimal factor settings and the proposed NARs, validation experiments were performed. Conclusion: This research may provide significant contributions and applications to many SAW problems by preparing a standardization of the functional relationship between the input factors and their associated output response. Moreover, the proposed design space based on DoE and NAR methods can simultaneously consider a number of quality characteristics including tradeoff between productivity and quality levels.